math.PR — Probability
The Real-Rooting Time Of Heat-Evolved Random Polynomials
Let be a random Weyl polynomial of degree under the backward heat flow, with independent coefficients of a law that is not a point mass and has finite variance. Hall, Ho, Jalowy and Kabluchko showed that the empirical zero distribution collapses onto the real line at . We show that the first time at which all zeros of are real, a finite-degree analogue of the de Bruijn--Newman constant, converges in distribution to , where is the smallest modulus of a nonreal zero of the random power series with coefficients of the same law; the convergence is almost sure under a coupling of the degrees that shares the top coefficients, whereas under the standard coupling the set of limit points of the real-rooting time is almost surely . The proof rests on an exact count of the nonreal zeros of analytic combinations of orthonormal Hermite polynomials: if the real power series has radius of convergence greater than , no zeros on the unit circle and simple zeros in the unit disk, then for all large the combination has exactly as many nonreal zeros as has in the disk. Its method expresses the polynomial and its derivative in the bulk through a matrix applied to , built from only steps of the backward three-term recurrence, with the remaining terms controlled by a Christoffel--Darboux bound. For Gaussian coefficients the law of is a Fredholm determinant, as , and as , half of the constant for complex coefficients. At the scale the last pair of nonreal zeros collides inside the real bulk, at relative position , where are the nonreal zeros of minimal modulus, and the real-rooting time is within of . In a window of size the polynomial is, up to a positive factor and , the model , whose threshold for real-rootedness is given by Kepler's equation; the phase rotates with , so oscillates over an explicit interval and has an explicit limit law jointly with .