\section{Proofs for Section~\ref{sec:critical}}\label{app:critical} Throughout, $G$ is simple, infinite, connected, locally finite and quasi-transitive with $h_V(G)>0$, and $\Aut(G)$ is unimodular. Steps described as verbatim are those of~\cite{OAINU}, read with site bits; each was checked for site percolation. \subsection{Moments}\label{app:moments} \begin{lemma}[{Maximal susceptibility in an intrinsic ball; site form of~\cite[Lemma~5.1]{OAINU}}] \label{lem:maxpot} For a deterministic domain $D$ put $f_D(v)=\E_p|C^D_v|$, which is zero off $D$. Let $B^D(v,M)$ be the set of vertices reachable from $v$ by an open path in $D$ of length at most $M$, empty if $v$ is closed; a maximum over the empty set is $0$. If $v\in D$ and $00$, cap $M\ge2$ and $H>1$, and run it at parameter $p$. On a map-dependent interval $p_0\le p0$ with $r=1/2+\eps_1-2\alpha<0$. Uniformly for $p_c/2\le pt)\le2e^{-2t^2/N}$. \emph{Exterior score.} Expose $A=C_x$ with $\partial A$, that is, the bits of $\Nb[A]$. If $v\notin\Nb[A]$, explore the cluster of $v$ in $V\setminus\Nb[A]$ with the same rule and cap; the queried bits are fresh, so the same tail bound holds. If $x$ is closed, set $S_{\mathrm{ext}}=0$; this case never enters the next step, since $H_n\subseteq\{x\text{ open}\}$. \emph{Difference.} On $H_n\cap\{s_v\le s_x\}$, $v$ is open and $C_v\ne C_x$, so $v\notin\Nb[A]$ and $C_v\cap\Nb[A]=\varnothing$. Both explorations finish, since $|\Nb[C_v]|\le(d+1)s_v0$, each with weight at most $d$. The dyadic bins are as in~\cite{OAINU}. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:trace}] \emph{Russo for the trace.} By Lemma~\ref{lem:russo} and cyclicity, $a_3'=3\tr(T^2T')$ almost everywhere. With $J=T^2$, Lemma~\ref{lem:russo} and the rerooting give \[ (1-p)a_3'=3\cD(k_sk_J)+3\tr(JR_p). \] \emph{Terminal terms.} $\tr(JR_p)\le(1-p)a_2+\tr(T^2\Adj T)+\tr(T^3\Adj)=(1-p)a_2+2\tr(\Adj T^3)$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:trace} with $A=T^3$ (positive semidefinite, invariant and bounded) and $B=\Adj$ (self-adjoint, invariant and bounded), $\tr(\Adj T^3)\le\norm\Adj\tr T^3\le da_3$. Also $a_3\ge[\sum_yT(o,y)T(y,y)T(y,o)]=pa_2$, so $a_2\le a_3/p$. Hence $0\le\tr(JR_p)\le((1-p)/p+2d)a_3\le Ca_3$. \emph{Square bound and the small part.} The square bound of~\cite[Proposition~6.2]{OAINU} is verbatim, since distinct clusters are disjoint witnesses. For the small-$A$ part, $k_s\le k_{\Adj^2}$; reroot with $J'=\Adj^2$, expose $\Nb[A]$ with $A=C_o$, and use $v\notin\Nb[A]$, so that the exterior cluster is fresh. This gives $\cD(k_sk_J\1\{|A|W^{D\setminus A'}_t(v,y)$. If the connection is destroyed, every old simple path visits $A'$. Otherwise a template is newly counted after deletion. It is eligible in $D$, its interior is open, and the terminal condition is unchanged. Either an interior vertex was not pivotal before, in which case an old simple path avoiding it visits $A'$; or a blocker $\beta\in A'$ was open before, in which case $\beta\sim z$ for some interior $z\notin A'$, and every surviving simple path, being an old one, visits $z\in\Nb[A']$. So the whole loss is at most the indicator that some old simple open $v$--$y$ path in $D$ visits $\Nb[A']$. \emph{Splitting.} Split at the visited $z$: a prefix containing $z$, and a suffix that is empty ($z=y$) or runs from $N(z)$ to $y$; the two are disjoint witnesses, and the van den Berg--Kesten inequality gives $\E(W^D-W^{D\setminus A'})\le\sum_{z\in\Nb[A']}T_0(v,z)(I+\Adj T_0)(z,y)$. \emph{Summing} over $y$, $\sum_y(I+\Adj T_0)(z,y)\le1+d\chi_0^+\le(1/p+d)\chi_0^+$, since $\chi_0^+\ge p$. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:correlation}] \emph{Exposure.} Expose $A=C^D_u$ with its closed boundary, that is, the bits of $\Nb[A]\cap D$. Then $X^D_t(u)$ is determined: counted templates have interior and terminals in $A$ and blockers in $\Nb[A]$, and a blocker in $A$ would be open, so the template would not be counted. The bits of $D\setminus\Nb[A]$ are fresh. \emph{Deleting $\Nb[A]$ changes nothing outside.} For $v\notin\Nb[A]$, which is forced when $v$ is open and $C_v\ne A$, $C^D_v\cap\Nb[A]=\varnothing$, and weighted connections from $v$ in $D$ and in $D\setminus\Nb[A]$ agree exactly: eligibility and pivotality are cluster-internal, and a blocker of a template inside $C_v$ cannot lie in $A$, since it would be open and adjacent to $C_v$, so it is closed or absent in both domains. Including $v\in\Nb[A]$ by the zero convention, $\E(X(u)X(v);\ C_u\ne C_v)=\E[X^D_t(u)s^{D\setminus\Nb[A]}_t(v)]$. \emph{Error.} Apply Lemma~\ref{lem:deletion} with $A'=\Nb[A]\cap D$, and note $\Nb[A']\subseteq\{z:\operatorname{dist}(z,A)\le 2\}$. By (H1), $\sum_{z\in\Nb[A']}T_0(v,z)\le c_{\mathrm{nb}}(p)\sum_{a\in A}T_0(v,a)$, and by Lemma~\ref{lem:tools}, $\E(|A|\1\{a\in A\})\le\kappa_p\chi_0^+T_0^2(u,a)$. So $C'=C_{\mathrm{del}}c_{\mathrm{nb}}\kappa_p$, evaluated at $p=p_c/2$, works. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:endpoint}] Let $F=\{\pi_0,\dots,\pi_{l-1}\text{ open}\}$, so $\Pp(F)=p^l$. Templates counted for $b\lr y$ whose interior meets the path have total weight at most $(l+1)c_k/k$. For the others, interior pivotality for $z\lr y$ holds by concatenation, and $z\notin I_{w'}$ because $z$ lies on the path; blockers and eligibility are unchanged. Harris's inequality for $\1_F$ and $W^D_t(z,y)$, both increasing by Lemma~\ref{lem:basic}, finishes the proof. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:smoothing}] The proof of~\cite[Lemma~8.2]{OAINU} applies verbatim with $T_0(b,b)=p$ and $\tr T_0=p$. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:escapes}] Use the labelled experiment of~\cite[Lemma~8.1]{OAINU}. Replace the event that the escape avoids every raw-path vertex other than the start by the \emph{site avoidance event}: every escape vertex other than the start is at graph distance at least $2$ from every raw-path vertex other than the start. Since $I_w\subseteq\cW(w)\setminus\{u,v\}$, this keeps the escape inside $D_w=V\setminus(\Nb[I_w]\setminus \{u,v\})$. The event refers only to the vertex set of the raw path and the escape, so rooted reversal transfers its bound from $u$ to $v$ unchanged. \begin{itemize} \item \emph{Deterministic part.} $\operatorname{dist}(g_{-i},g_j)=i+j\ge2$ for $i,j\ge1$ along the geodesic segments, so the negative half never violates avoidance against the positive half. \item \emph{Near-collision bounds.} Replace each point collision by membership in $\Nb[x]$, which costs a factor at most $d+1$: a middle time $r$ near a negative-segment vertex $g_{-i}$, $i\ge1$, has probability at most $(d+1)\rho^r$, and zero for $r0$ choose $K_*$ with $\lambda K_*>C_2+4$, and put $A_\delta=\log(2R)+\log(2+a_3)+\log S$, $k=\lceil K_*A_\delta\rceil$, $B_*=(kR)^{C_2+2}$ and $t_*=B_*/m_0$. Then $k\to\infty$, $k=o(S)$, and $B_*\rho^k=o(1)$, $R^2a_3\rho^k=o((kR)^{-C_2})$ and $t_*jc_k=o(1)$, as in~\cite[Section~9]{OAINU}; the last estimate also gives $t_*(j+1)c_k=o(1)$ and $t_*c_k=o(1)$. \item \emph{Retained norm.} Proposition~\ref{prop:norm} and $B_*\rho^k=o(1)$ give $m_t\ge m_0/2$ and $\chi_t\ge m_0/(2c_\sigma)$ on $0\le t\le t_*$, using $m_t\le c_\sigma\chi_t$ (Lemma~\ref{lem:basic}). \item \emph{Positive term.} For a raw path selected by Lemma~\ref{lem:escapes}, with escape endpoint $z$, Lemma~\ref{lem:deletion} with $A'=I_w\cup B_w$ (so $\Nb[A']\subseteq\Nb[\Nb[I_w]]$), the escape bound, the row comparison and the retained norm give \[ s^{D_w}_t(z)\ge c_f\chi_t-C_{\mathrm{del}}\chi_0^+\tau/R=c_f\chi_t-C_{\mathrm{del}}\tau m_0\ge (c_f-2c_\sigma C_{\mathrm{del}}\tau)\chi_t\ge(c_f/2)\chi_t. \] Lemma~\ref{lem:endpoint} along the two escapes gives $s^{D_w}_t(u)s^{D_w}_t(v)\ge e^{-2t(j+1)c_k}p^{2j} (c_f\chi_t/2)^2$, and since such paths have $\E_{\mathrm{path}}$-probability at least $b_*$, $\E_{\mathrm{path}}[\1\{\ell_w\ge3\}s^{D_w}_t(u)s^{D_w}_t(v)]\ge c_1(kR)^{-C_2}\chi_t^2$ on $[0,t_*]$. \item \emph{Error and contradiction.} The error in Proposition~\ref{prop:decrease} is $C'(\chi_0^+)^2\rho^ka_3=C'R^2m_0^2\rho^ka_3\le4C'c_\sigma^2R^2\rho^ka_3\chi_t^2=o((kR)^{-C_2}\chi_t^2)$, and the prefactor $e^{-2tc_k}$ is bounded below on $[0,t_*]$. So $-\chi_t'\ge c_2(kR)^{-C_2}\chi_t^2$ on $[0,t_*]$. Integrating, $1/\chi_{t_*}\ge c_2(kR)^{-C_2}t_*=c_2(kR)^2/m_0$, while the retained norm gives $1/\chi_{t_*}\le2c_\sigma/m_0$. These are incompatible as $kR\to\infty$. Hence $T_{p_c}$ is bounded. \qed \end{enumerate}