\subsection{Variation during the slow decay} \label{sec:small-section-slow-variation} The interval of slow decay is long enough for the logarithmic wall derivatives to grow with time. Their effect on the shear derivative is nevertheless weighted by the small wall amplitudes. Two time moments of those amplitudes control this interaction: the zeroth moment bounds direct growth, and the first moment bounds the contribution of the growing wall derivatives. We consider the family in Theorem~\ref{thm:small-section-slow-decay}, now with $\zeta,\nu>0$. Write \[ z(t,\rho)=\phi_{t_0+t}\Xi_h(\rho,\zeta,\nu) =(p,s,n,x,y)(t,\rho),\qquad 0\leq t\leq T. \] Derivatives in $\rho$ keep $h,a,q,D,\zeta,\nu$ and $t$ fixed; in particular, $t_0$ and $T$ are fixed. We use $\Dt$ for differentiation in normalized time. The walls remain positive, so their logarithmic derivatives are defined. Set \begin{equation} S=\partial_\rho s,\qquad \ell=(\partial_\rho\log n,\partial_\rho\log x, \partial_\rho\log y),\qquad L=\|\ell\|_\infty. \label{eq:slow-variation-variables} \end{equation} Set \begin{equation} b=n^2+x^2+y^2+n(x+y),\qquad J_0=\int_0^T b(t)\dd t,\qquad J_1=\int_0^T tb(t)\dd t. \label{eq:slow-variation-moments} \end{equation} We suppress $\rho$ when discussing a fixed orbit. Let $\delta=\partial_\rho$, $\chi=-p$, and $H=-x^2+y^2+nx-ny$. Differentiating the constraint and the two curvature polynomials gives \begin{align} \delta p&=\frac{sS+\delta Q/2}{\chi}, \label{eq:slow-variation-constraint}\\ \delta Q&=2\bigl((n-x-y)\delta n+(x-n-y)\delta x +(y-n-x)\delta y\bigr),\notag\\ \delta H&=(x-y)\delta n+(n-2x)\delta x +(2y-n)\delta y.\notag \end{align} The constraint identity holds for nearby chart parameters and flow times, so its differential is the tangent constraint for the actual flow. Differentiating \eqref{eq:normalized-flow}, and using \eqref{eq:slow-variation-constraint} to eliminate $\delta p$, yields \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} \Dt S&=QS+s\delta Q+\sqrt3\,\delta H,\\ \Dt\ell_n&=(1+\chi^{-1})\delta Q+2s\chi^{-1}S,\\ \Dt\ell_x&=(1-(2\chi)^{-1})\delta Q +(-s\chi^{-1}+\sqrt3)S,\\ \Dt\ell_y&=(1-(2\chi)^{-1})\delta Q +(-s\chi^{-1}-\sqrt3)S. \end{aligned} \label{eq:slow-variation-equations} \end{equation} In the last three equations the wall rate cancels when the quotient $\delta N_i/N_i$ is differentiated in time. By definition, $|\delta n|\leq nL$, $|\delta x|\leq xL$, and $|\delta y|\leq yL$. Nonnegativity of the walls and $(n+x+y)^2\leq2b$ therefore imply \begin{equation} |Q|\leq2b,\qquad |\delta Q|\leq4bL, \qquad |\delta H|\leq2bL. \label{eq:slow-variation-polynomial-bounds} \end{equation} For example, each coefficient inside the parentheses in $\delta Q$ has absolute value at most $n+x+y$. The bound for $\delta H$ follows by bounding its three terms by $(x+y)nL$, $(n+2x)xL$, and $(2y+n)yL$. On the region \eqref{eq:slow-decay-region}, the constraint gives $p\leq-15/16$ and $|s|\leq1/8$. Consequently $\chi^{-1}\leq5/4$ and $|s|\chi^{-1}\leq1/4$. The coefficients of $\delta Q$ in the last three rows of \eqref{eq:slow-variation-equations} have absolute value at most $9/4$, and the coefficients of $S$ at most $2$. Together with $\sqrt3\leq7/4$, this proves \begin{equation} |\Dt S|\leq2b|S|+4bL,\qquad \|\Dt\ell\|_\infty\leq2|S|+9bL. \label{eq:slow-variation-inequalities} \end{equation} \begin{lemma} \label{lem:slow-variation-moments} Suppose $T\geq0$ and an actual orbit remains in \eqref{eq:slow-decay-region} for $0\leq t\leq T$, with $00$, integration gives \[ \int_0^T g\dd t\leq\frac{g(0)}c, \qquad \int_0^T tg\dd t\leq\frac{g(0)}{c^2}. \] For the second inequality, differentiate $(1+ct)g(t)$ to obtain an upper bound $-c^2tg(t)$, and use its nonnegative endpoint value. Apply these inequalities to $f$ and $y^2$. The remaining square satisfies $x(t)^2\leq x(0)^2e^{12at}$, so \[ \int_0^T x(t)^2\dd t \leq\frac{x(0)^2}{12a}e^{12aT},\qquad \int_0^T tx(t)^2\dd t \leq T\frac{x(0)^2}{12a}e^{12aT}. \] Since $b=f+y^2+x^2$, these are \eqref{eq:slow-variation-moment-zero} and \eqref{eq:slow-variation-moment-one}. For the simpler bounds, the initial region gives \[ f_0\leq3a^3,\qquad \frac{y(0)^2}{a}\leq\frac a{256},\qquad \frac{y(0)^2}{a^2}\leq\frac1{256}. \] The additional growing-wall assumption gives \[ \frac{x(0)^2}{12a}e^{12aT}\leq\frac{a^3}{12}. \] Moreover, $a\log(1/a)\leq1$, and hence \[ T\frac{a^3}{12} =\frac{Da}{12}\,a\log(1/a)\leq Da. \] Insert these bounds in the two moment estimates and use $a^3\leq a$. This proves \eqref{eq:slow-variation-linear-moments}. \end{proof} The following estimate explains why the first time moment is sufficient. It applies directly to \eqref{eq:slow-variation-inequalities}. \begin{lemma} \label{lem:slow-variation-feedback} Let $T\geq0$, let $S:[0,T]\to\R$ and $\ell:[0,T]\to\R^3$ be differentiable, and let $b\geq0$ be continuous. Suppose \eqref{eq:slow-variation-inequalities} holds, with $L=\|\ell\|_\infty$. Put $L_0=L(0)$ and define $J_0,J_1$ by \eqref{eq:slow-variation-moments}. Then, with \begin{equation} c=e^{9J_0},\qquad B=(|S(0)|+4cL_0J_0)e^{2J_0+8cJ_1}, \label{eq:slow-variation-general-bound} \end{equation} one has \begin{equation} |S(t)|\leq B,\qquad L(t)\leq c(L_0+2tB) \quad(0\leq t\leq T). \label{eq:slow-variation-general-conclusion} \end{equation} In particular, if $|S(0)|\leq2$ and \begin{equation} 9J_0\leq\log2,\qquad 2J_0+16J_1\leq\frac12,\qquad L_0J_0\leq\frac1{16}, \label{eq:slow-variation-small-moments} \end{equation} then $|S(t)|\leq5$ and $L(t)\leq2L_0+20t$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} We use the integral norm comparison \begin{equation} \|u(t)\|\leq \left(\|u(0)\|+\int_0^t e(v)\dd v\right) \exp\left(\int_0^t k(v)\dd v\right) \label{eq:slow-variation-integral-comparison} \end{equation} when $\|\Dt u\|\leq k\|u\|+e$ and $k,e$ are continuous and nonnegative. To verify it also at zeros of $u$, compare its norm with \[ \left(\|u(0)\|+\delta+\int_0^t e(v)\dd v\right) \exp\left(\int_0^t k(v)\dd v+\delta t\right), \qquad \delta>0. \] At any contact this function has strictly larger derivative than the permitted growth of the norm. Norm comparison followed by $\delta\downarrow0$ proves \eqref{eq:slow-variation-integral-comparison}. Define a nondecreasing envelope \[ M(t)=|S(0)|+\int_0^t \bigl(2b(v)|S(v)|+4b(v)L(v)\bigr)\dd v. \] Then $|S(t)|\leq M(t)$. Apply \eqref{eq:slow-variation-integral-comparison} to $\ell$. For $0\leq v\leq t$, $|S(v)|\leq M(t)$, so \[ L(t)\leq c\left(L_0+2\int_0^t|S(v)|\dd v\right) \leq c(L_0+2tM(t)). \] It follows that \[ \Dt M(t)\leq(2+8ct)b(t)M(t)+4cL_0b(t). \] A second application of \eqref{eq:slow-variation-integral-comparison}, with $\int_0^T(2+8ct)b(t)\dd t=2J_0+8cJ_1$, gives $M(t)\leq B$. Substituting this into the preceding bound for $L$ proves \eqref{eq:slow-variation-general-conclusion}. Under \eqref{eq:slow-variation-small-moments}, $c\leq2$ and $e^{2J_0+8cJ_1}\leq e^{1/2}<2$. Also $|S(0)|+4cL_0J_0\leq5/2$. Thus $B\leq5$, which gives the last assertion. \end{proof} \begin{theorem} \label{thm:small-section-slow-variation} There are constants $C\geq32$ and $h_*>0$ with the following property. For every $02$, $D\geq0$, and $P>6D+2$, there is $a_*>0$ such that for $0