\chapter{Conditional measures and analytic estimates}\label{ch10:chapter} In this section, we set up the renormalization group recursion for the Wilson measure restricted to the small-field event. We prove that the effective interactions stay in the same ball of an analytic coefficient norm at every scale, and we prove estimates for the conditional law of the normalized fluctuation variables given the coarse field. One renormalization group step consists of $J$ consecutive applications of the block averaging map $T_M$, from a lattice of side $mM^J$ to a coarse lattice of side $m\ge4$. Its fluctuations are integrated with the results of \cref{ch09:chapter}. The probability of the restriction event under the Wilson measure and the continuum limit are treated in later sections. \paragraph{The exact formula for one step.} The central identity is \cref{ch10:thm:actual-compact-cut}. Let the density at the fine scale be $\one_{D_r}e^{-E_{d_0,\mathrm{sat}}/g_0^2-R_{\mathrm{sat}}}$ with respect to the product Haar measure, where $E_{d_0}$ is the effective classical action of depth $d_0$ and $R$ is the input effective interaction, produced by the integrations at finer scales. Restricting to the event on which the step is defined and the fluctuations are cut off, and pushing forward by $T_M^J$, we obtain \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:schematic} \one_{D_r}(c)\,A_{\mathrm{coord}}\,e^{-E_{d_0+J,\mathrm{sat}}(c)/g_J^2-\mathsf B_{\mathrm{ref},\mathrm{sat}}(c)-R_{\mathrm{ref},\mathrm{sat}}(c)}\Bigl(\int_{\Omega_p}e^{-V_c(w)}\,dw\Bigr)\,dH(c). \end{equation} Here $\Omega_p=\prod_{i,e}\{w_{i,e}\in\R^3:\abs{w_{i,e}}\le p\}$, where $e$ runs over the $f_i$ normalized fluctuation variables of the intermediate scale $i$, each with three components, and $dH$ is the product Haar measure on the coarse configuration. The factors are defined precisely in \cref{ch10:thm:actual-compact-cut}. Besides the effective classical action $E_{d_0+J}$ at the coarse scale, the formula involves the reconstructed fine field, written through its logarithm $\varphi_\theta(w)$ in the gauge chosen in \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}. The values at the identity of the Haar disintegration densities and Jacobians are collected in the constant $A_{\mathrm{coord}}$. The terms $\mathsf B_{\mathrm{ref}}$ and $R_{\mathrm{ref}}$ are the determinant and Haar density terms and the input effective interaction, respectively, evaluated on the zero-fluctuation reconstruction. The conditional fluctuation potential $V_c$ contains everything that depends on the fluctuations, and dividing by the integral gives the conditional fluctuation kernel $k(c,dw)$ of \cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law}. The formula is first proved in local gauge charts and then glued across charts by exact, finite gauge invariance. Iterating it identifies the measures of the recursion with the conditioned Wilson measure, pushed forward to the coarse scales. \paragraph{Main results.} In \Cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}, we construct a gauge representative of the reconstruction, depending only on the coarse field, on the whole domain of coarse fields and fluctuations. \Cref{ch10:thm:actual-compact-cut} proves \eqref{ch10:eq:schematic} and identifies the iterated measures with the conditioned Wilson measure. \Cref{ch10:thm:common-analytic-class} proves that one step maps the effective interaction into a fixed ball of the norm $\mathcal B_{\rho,a}$, at the same radius and rate. The new effective interaction is the sum of a newly generated effective interaction, a contracting pullback of the input effective interaction at zero fluctuation, and a fluctuation correction to the pullback, of second order in the coupling. \Cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law} proves convexity and concentration for the conditional fluctuation kernel, and \cref{ch10:thm:actual-means-and-scores} estimates its means, its covariance, and the coefficients of the reconstruction at its mean. The inputs are the concentration theorem on convex products of balls and the Haar measure identities of \cref{ch02:thm:reflecting-concentration,ch02:lem:haar-and-forests}, the constrained minimizers and their coefficient bounds of \cref{ch07:thm:bellman,ch07:thm:all-root-classical}, and the gauge invariance of the effective classical action, the contraction estimate, and the background field of \cref{ch08:thm:compact-overlap,ch08:thm:principal-contraction,ch08:lem:aligned-zero-white}. We also use the coordinates, exact integrals, and cluster expansions of \cref{ch09:lem:centered-white-coarea,ch09:thm:sequential-density,ch09:lem:marked-insertion,ch09:thm:hard-core-log,ch09:thm:supported-log-holomorphy}. The results are used in \cref{ch11:chapter,ch12:chapter} to construct the small-field restriction and the backward reconstruction, and in \cref{ch13:chapter,ch14:chapter} for conditional estimates of the reconstruction. They are also used in \cref{ch16:chapter,ch17:chapter,ch20:chapter}, and, through the conditional law and its moments, in \cref{ch23:chapter,ch24:chapter,ch25:chapter,ch28:chapter,ch31:chapter}. \paragraph{Domains.} Several neighborhoods of the identity appear, with different roles. \begin{center} \begin{tabular}{@{}l p{0.78\textwidth}@{}} \toprule Set & Role\\ \midrule $B_r$ & coarse fields with link logarithms of norm less than $r$; here the integral is identified with the restricted Wilson measure\\ $B_\rho$ & a larger set of coarse fields, $\rho\ge r$, on which the auxiliary integral and the analytic recursion are defined\\ $B_{\rho/2}$ & contains the gauge-transformed reconstruction for all coarse fields and fluctuations in the enlarged product; the input effective interaction is evaluated here\\ $D_r=\mathcal G B_r$ & the gauge-invariant small-field domain; the reconstructed fine field must lie in it\\ \bottomrule \end{tabular} \end{center} The gauge-transformed reconstruction lies in $B_{\rho/2}$ by the coefficient bounds of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}. That the reconstructed fine field lies in $D_r$, for every coarse field in $B_r$ and every fluctuation in $\Omega_p$, is a separate hypothesis, the support-inclusion hypothesis of \cref{ch10:def:image-and-overlap-gates}. A sufficient condition for it is $\mathfrak M_J(r,tp)a$ is taken below the rate $b_*$ of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}. No constant depending on $J$ is used to choose $J$. The support radius $r\le\rho$ and its support-inclusion hypothesis are treated separately. \paragraph{Conventions.} All distances within a renormalization group step are measured in units of the coarse lattice spacing. The input mesh is $\delta=M^{-J}$, the normalized fluctuation variables $w_i$ and the variables $q_i=g_iw_i$ of the intermediate scale $i\in\{0,\ldots,J-1\}$ have mesh $M^{i-J}$, and the couplings are $g_i=t\lambda_i$ with $\lambda_i=M^{(i-J+1)/2}\in[M^{-(J-1)/2},1]$; also $g_J^2=Mg_{J-1}^2$. The number of scalar indices of $\theta$ and of $w$ located in a unit cell is at most $D_J\le C_M(1+J)M^{3J}$; this is a density bound, not a bound on the number of variables. Unless a bound is stated to hold before $J$ is chosen, a constant in this section may depend on $M$, $J$, the larger construction domains and their margins, the spatial decay rates, $\rho$, $a$, and the bound $E_*$ on the effective interaction. Such a constant does not depend on the depth $d_0$, the side $m$, $L$, or $\gamma$. All results concern the whole periodic torus, not regions with fixed exterior data. We use ordered scalar tensors with their Taylor factorials divided out; for example, a symmetric scalar tensor $A$ of degree $k$ contributes $A[\theta^{\otimes k}]/k!$. Fixing one input index and summing over the remaining indices defines the norm of a scalar tensor with one index fixed. For a vector tensor one may instead fix its output, or fix any input and sum over the output with its volume normalization, as in \cref{ch01:def:analytic-norms}. Every such sum carries the weight $e^{b\Tree}$, where $\Tree$ is the length of a shortest connected network joining the locations of the indices, with internal vertices allowed. At each degree we take the maximum over the positions of the fixed index. Additive constants are excluded from these norms. As in \cref{ch09:chapter}, a majorant series is a power series with nonnegative coefficients that dominates the corresponding sums of absolute coefficients. \paragraph{Attribution.} The construction follows Bałaban's renormalization group method for lattice gauge theories. The logarithmic averaging with reference transports adapts his averaging operations \cite{Balaban1985Averaging}; the use of small gauge representatives belongs to the program of \cite{Balaban1985Regular}; and the constrained minimizer as a background field is the construction of \cite{Balaban1985Variational}. The exponential decay of the propagators, used through \cref{ch07:chapter,ch08:chapter}, adapts \cite{Balaban1984I,Balaban1984II,Balaban1985Background}. The iteration of effective densities with Gaussian-normalized fluctuations, separated normalization constants, and local effective interactions follows \cite{Balaban1985UV,Balaban1987RGI,Balaban1988RGII}; the four-dimensional coupling renormalization of \cite{Balaban1987RGI} is not used. None of these works proves the identities for the centered block averaging map and the full periodic reconstruction used here, and we prove them below. The polymer expansions are those of \cref{ch09:chapter}, which uses the criterion of Kotecký and Preiss \cite{KoteckyPreiss1986} and the finite graph estimate recorded by Dimock \cite[Appendix~B, Theorem~27, p.~39, and (323), p.~42]{Dimock2013v2}. The variance, entropy, and covariance estimates for the conditional law come from \cref{ch02:thm:reflecting-concentration}, which belongs to the framework of Brascamp and Lieb \cite{BrascampLieb1976}, Gross \cite{Gross1975}, Bakry and Émery \cite{BakryEmery1985}, and Helffer and Sjöstrand \cite{HelfferSjostrand1994,Helffer1998}; here we verify its hypotheses for the conditional fluctuation potential. \section{Weighted coefficient bounds and majorant series}\label{ch10:sec:coefficients} We first describe how the coefficient norms behave under the operations used in this section. Connected networks control the spatial weights; cancellation of mesh-volume factors also requires compatible directed substitutions or common-output products. \begin{lemma}\label{ch10:lem:positive-composition} Suppose that analytic tensor families have convergent majorant series, at one spatial decay rate $b$, for all their output-fixed rows and all their input-fixed volume-normalized columns. Directed vector substitutions and pointwise products at a common output are bounded by the corresponding products and compositions of the majorant series, with their compatible mesh normalizations. For a general connected contraction diagram, use \cref{ch02:lem:coefficient-algebra}(1)--(3): at each attachment through an input port $j$ of a vector factor with output $o$, retain the factor $v_j/v_o$, and at an external input $l$ retain the final normalization $v_{\mathrm{out}}/v_l$. These ratios are included in the diagram majorant; connectedness alone does not cancel them. Products of extensive scalar interactions without such a connection are excluded: they require an additional connecting kernel with its own bounds, or separate bounds without a fixed index. To bound a composition with a specified input fixed, we use the derivative of the scalar composition of majorants with respect to the input variable, $(\widehat F\circ\widehat G)'=(\widehat F'\circ\widehat G)\,\widehat G'$, which accounts for the choice of the factor containing that input and of its position there. The volume normalization at the fixed input is that of its own lattice, and no second derivative factorial occurs. On a fixed smaller analytic product, evaluation and any fixed number of derivatives satisfy the same bounds. Let $T(o;i_1,\ldots,i_k)$ be a tensor of fixed Taylor degree whose output-fixed rows are bounded by $A$ at the rate $2b$, and let $v_o$ and $v_i$ denote the volumes of the meshes of the output and of an input. Then, for every fixed input $i$, \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:row-to-column} \sum_{o,\ \text{other inputs}}\frac{v_o}{v_i}e^{b\Tree}\abs{T(o;i,\ldots)}\le\frac A{v_i}\sum_ov_oe^{-b\dist(o,i)}. \end{equation} If $i$ is an input of the coarse lattice, then $v_i=1$, and if the outputs have spacing $\eta\le1$ and bounded density, then $\eta^3\sum_oe^{-b\dist(o,i)}\le C_b$; thus summing over the output converts the row bound into a column bound at the rate $b$, with a constant depending only on $b$ and the density of the labels. An input of mesh $\eta_{\mathrm{in}}<1$ keeps the factor $\eta_{\mathrm{in}}^{-3}$, which within one renormalization group step is at most $M^{3J}$. Conversions between counting sums at the finitely many meshes of one renormalization group step cost at most a fixed factor depending on $J$. Finally, for an analytic vector map $F_e(u)=\sum_\nu f_{e;\nu}u^\nu$ and a radius $r>0$, define the entrywise envelope of its derivative \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:derivative-envelope} \mathcal C_{ex}(r)=\sum_{\nu:\,\nu_x>0}\nu_x\abs{f_{e;\nu}}\,r^{\abs\nu-1}. \end{equation} Then $\sup_{\norm u_\infty\le r}\abs{\partial_xF_e(u)}\le\mathcal C_{ex}(r)$, and the sums of $\mathcal C_{ex}(r)$ over $x$ at fixed $e$, and over $e$ at fixed $x$ with the volume factor $v_e/v_x$, both with the weight $e^{b\Tree}$ of the corresponding coefficients, are bounded by the derivatives at $r$ of the majorant series of the output-fixed rows and of the input-fixed columns at $x$, respectively. This is an entrywise bound uniform on the product, not a bound on an evaluated operator norm. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} We first consider finite Taylor polynomials. For a pointwise product at a common output, we join the networks of the factors at that output; for a contraction we join them at the contracted index. Repeating these joins along the assumed connected structure, we obtain a connected union joining all uncontracted locations. Its length bounds the external $\Tree$, which implies that the external exponential weight is at most the product of the weights of the factors. We fix the external index and choose a spanning tree of the graph of factors, rooted at the factor containing that index. Summation of the other indices is bounded by \cref{ch02:lem:coefficient-algebra}(2), retaining its attachment ratios and final external normalization. For directed substitutions those ratios telescope, and common-output products use compatible ports of the same kind, giving the factor-free product bound. For other connected diagrams the ratios remain in the bound and in its scalar majorant. The argument gives no such bound for two scalar factors with disjoint networks and independent summed indices. For a composition, we partition the ordered derivative indices among the inner factors. If the parts have sizes $k_1,\ldots,k_l$, there are $k!/(k_1!\cdots k_l!)$ assignments, and division by $k!$ leaves the ordinary coefficients of the composition of exponential generating series. The derivative of the scalar composition bounds every coefficient series with a fixed input, including the columns, since it counts the choice of the inner factor and of the position of the fixed input in it. All bounds concern nonnegative sums, and passing to the limit of finite Taylor truncations gives the statements for the convergent series. For the radius reduction, if $A_k\ge0$ and $\sum_kA_kR^k<\infty$, then for $r0$, the remaining $k-1$ derivative indices can be ordered in $(k-1)!\,\nu_x/\prod_j\nu_j!$ ways, and each ordered derivative of $f_{e;\nu}u^\nu$ at zero has modulus $\abs{f_{e;\nu}}\prod_j\nu_j!$; dividing by $k!$ gives $(\nu_x/k)\abs{f_{e;\nu}}$ (see also \eqref{ch10:eq:root-count} below). This shows that the column majorant at $x$ has the coefficients $c_k=\sum_e\sum_{\abs\nu=k}(\nu_x/k)\abs{f_{e;\nu}}(v_e/v_x)e^{b\Tree}$, and the weighted sum of $\mathcal C_{ex}(r)$ over $e$ equals $\sum_kkc_kr^{k-1}$, the derivative of this majorant at $r$. \end{proof} \section{Gauge representatives on the reconstruction domain}\label{ch10:sec:gauge} The reconstruction ${\RawRecon}_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)$ of \cref{ch09:sec:insertion} expresses the fine field in the block axial gauges of the intermediate scales. Even at zero fluctuation it need not lie in a small neighborhood of the identity in which the input effective interaction is defined. We now apply a gauge transformation, depending only on the coarse field, after which the reconstruction of the whole product of coarse fields and fluctuations lies in such a neighborhood. Here $\Omega(\theta)$ denotes a gauge transformation; it is unrelated to the product of balls $\Omega_p$. \paragraph{Comparison products.} Fix a comparison radius $00$ and a majorant $Z(u)\le Cu/(1-Cu)$, both chosen before $J$, with the following property. Let $J\ge1$, $d_0\ge0$, and $m\ge4$, and put $\delta=M^{-J}$. There exist $r_J,C_J>0$, independent of $d_0$, $m$, $L$, and $\gamma$, and a gauge transformation $\Omega_{d_0,J}(\theta)$ of the fine lattice, holomorphic in $\theta$, with values in $\SU$ for real $\theta$, equal to the identity at every vertex of the coarse lattice, and with $\Omega_{d_0,J}(0)=I$, such that \[ \Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)=\Log\bigl[{\RawRecon}_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)^{\Omega_{d_0,J}(\theta)}\bigr],\qquad T_M^Je^{\Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)}=e^\theta,\qquad \Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,0)=\delta\overline A_{d_0,J}(\theta), \] where $e^{\delta\overline A_{d_0,J}(\theta)}$ is the background field of \cref{ch08:lem:aligned-zero-white}. Here $q_i$ replaces $g_iw_i$, and the matrices $K_i^{-1/2}$ remain inside the recursion. Moreover the following statements hold. \begin{enumerate} \item On a fixed larger product with $u+v0$ such that \[ 4K_*\rho0$, all intermediate margins hold, and $\mathfrak M_J(r,Q)0$ so that these scalar compositions converge and all intermediate values stay below the radii of Step 1. The networks are connected, since each composition joins the outputs of one step to the inputs of the next and the factor $S_iq_i$ contracts its index of $z$. The derivative of the same composition with respect to a fixed input controls each column at the mesh of that input. We obtain the joint absolute coefficient series of the reconstruction, independently of $d_0$ and $m$; the constants and the radius may depend on $J$. To include the factors of the gauge transformation at the endpoints of each link, we transfer arrays indexed by vertices to the start or to the end of each link by the local incidence maps. These maps have one entry in each output row and a bounded number of entries in each input column. The corresponding segments have length at most $\delta$, and these maps therefore have bounded series at the fixed rate. The three resulting factors indexed by links have a common output, and their connected pointwise product is the matrix \[ \Omega_x(\theta)\,{\RawRecon}_{xy}(\theta,q)\,\Omega_y(\theta)^{-1} \] on the link $(x,y)$. Reducing $r_J$ so that the logarithm of the identity chart applies, we obtain a joint absolute series for its logarithm at every fixed index. At $q=0$ this series is exactly $\delta\overline A$. Subtracting this series coefficient by coefficient leaves only terms of positive degree in $q$. Any convergent nonnegative series in two variables with this property is bounded, on a smaller fixed product, by \[ \frac{C_Jv}{1-C_J(u+v)}. \] Indeed, its coefficient of degree $(r,s)$, $s\ge1$, is at most $AR^{-r-s}$ on a smaller disc of absolute convergence, and if $C_JR\ge\max(1,A)$, then \[ [u^rv^s]\frac{C_Jv}{1-C_J(u+v)}=C_J^{r+s}\binom{r+s-1}r\ge AR^{-r-s}\qquad(r\ge0,\ s\ge1), \] including the coefficient of $v$ itself. Grouping the three output colors costs at most a factor three in the absolute coefficient rows. We absorb this fixed factor into the pre-$J$ majorant $Z$ and the post-$J$ constant $C_J$ before fixing their final values. Thus evaluation of $\mathfrak M_J$ controls the Euclidean norm of a complex link logarithm, as well as each scalar component. We reduce the final radius so that $C_Jr_J<1/2$. The part of degree zero in $q$ has the separate majorant $\delta Z(u)$. This proves the majorant $\mathfrak M_J$ as a statement about coefficients on the larger product. \paragraph{Step 4: columns and rates.} Every input is kept as a fixed input in this composition, and its column has the volume normalization of its own lattice. Weighting each input, including the fixed one, by its radius turns the derivative of the composed majorant with respect to the variable of the fixed input into $u\,\partial_u$ or $v\,\partial_v$ of that majorant. This gives the column majorants $c_\theta$ and $c_q$ of (1). Since every term of the part of positive degree in $q$ contains a variable $q_i$ and the part of degree zero does not depend on $q$, we have $c_q(u,0)=0$. The sum over the output carries the factor $\delta^3$; converting it to a sum with a coarse-field index fixed therefore introduces no factor of the total volume. Summing over the kinds of indices of $q$ costs only $D_J$. The spatial decay rate in coarse units can be fixed before $J$. Indeed, a step of mesh $\eta\le1$ turns a rate $b_0$ in its own units into the rate $b_0/\eta\ge b_0$ in coarse units, and contractions use the union of networks at this one rate. The block forests of all scales together extend over a distance at most $C_M\sum_{l=1}^JM^{-l}0$, and the intermediate classical and Haar disintegration margins on this product; only then is $\mathfrak M_J(r,Q)$ a convergent majorant. If its value is less than $r/2$, domination of the coefficients places the image of the entire real product in $B_{r/2}$. This proves (3). \paragraph{Step 7: overlaps.} If $C'=C^{\widetilde k}$, then by the rule $(U^k)^l=U^{lk}$ we have \[ (C')^{\Omega(\theta')}=C^{\Omega(\theta')\widetilde k}=\bigl(C^{\Omega(\theta)}\bigr)^{\Omega(\theta')\widetilde k\Omega(\theta)^{-1}}. \] No fluctuation variable changes in this calculation. The coordinate map, the cutoff domain, and the triangular determinant are therefore those of \cref{ch09:thm:sequential-density}. This proves (4) and completes the proof. \end{proof} \section{Cutoffs and gauge invariance on overlapping charts}\label{ch10:sec:cutoff} We compute the integral over one renormalization group step in a chart, that is, for a chosen small representative of the coarse field. Different representatives are related by gauge transformations whose logarithms need not be small. The following definition states the invariance property used to glue the local formulas and the two hypotheses on the reconstruction. \begin{definition}\label{ch10:def:image-and-overlap-gates} Fix the larger construction domains and the coefficient bounds of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}. \begin{enumerate} \item A scalar function $R$ on configurations of a periodic lattice is \emph{gauge invariant on $B_\rho$} if it is real analytic on $B_\rho$ and \[ R(U^k)=R(U) \] for every periodic $\SU$-valued gauge transformation $k$ of that lattice with $U,U^k\in B_\rho$. Its gauge-invariant extension is $R_{\mathrm{sat}}(U)=R(U^k)$ whenever $U^k\in B_\rho$; it is defined on $D_\rho=\mathcal GB_\rho$. \item The \emph{enlarged-domain reconstruction hypothesis} consists of the coefficient inequality $\mathfrak M_J(4K_*\rho,4K_*s_J)<\rho/2$, including the column bounds at every fixed input, together with fixed margins for every intermediate classical, constraint, and Haar disintegration map, and the comparison-product conditions above, including the common margin inside $B_{r_{\mathrm{cmp}}}$ for every original and transitioned intermediate target. It does not depend on the support radius. \item Let $00$, a larger rate $b>a$, a box scale $\mathscr L$, a factor $K_*\ge2$, and $\rho_0>0$, all chosen before $J$; the density of the coefficient indices affects only constants that depend on $J$. Let $C_{\mathrm{geom}}\ge1$ be a constant, depending only on the metric conventions, that bounds the lengths of the rectilinear networks used to construct supports by the lengths of shortest connecting networks. The rate $a$ is chosen below $a_{\mathrm{cen}}/8$, where $a_{\mathrm{cen}}$ is the rate of the bounds of \cref{ch08:lem:aligned-zero-white}. Choose $J$ such that \[ \begin{gathered} q_P=C_P(a)M^{-J}<\tfrac14,\qquad M^{-J}\le\delta_0(a),\\ M^{-J}Z(4K_*\rho)\le\rho/4\quad(0<\rho\le\rho_0),\qquad C_{\mathrm{geom}}bM^{-J}\le a. \end{gathered} \] where $C_P(a)$ and $\delta_0(a)$ are the constant and mesh threshold of \cref{ch08:thm:principal-contraction}, and $Z$ is the majorant of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}. The pre-$J$ radius $\rho_0$ is also chosen within the radius allowed by that contraction theorem. Then choose $0<\rho\le\min(\rho_0,r_J/(8K_*))$, with $\rho C_B\le1/2$ for a constant $C_B$ depending only on $M$, $J$, and the larger domains (defined in the proof), and $s_J>0$ such that the enlarged-domain reconstruction hypothesis of \cref{ch10:def:image-and-overlap-gates} holds strictly. These choices use only the fixed larger domains, not the support radius $r$. \item Let $\{\Psi_Y\}$ be a family of functions of the coarse field indexed by supports, with coefficient norms at radius $\rho$, whose sum $f=\sum_Y\Psi_Y$ is invariant under the translations of the coarse lattice. Assume also that $Df(0)=0$. Suppose that $a\Tree\le2\abs Y$ for the coarse-field labels of each coefficient of $\Psi_Y$. Then \[ \mathcal B_{\rho,a}(f)\le9\rho^{-2}\sup_x\sum_{Y\ni x}e^{2\abs Y}\norm{\Psi_Y}_{\rho,\mathrm{coeff}} \] in scalar orientation and color coordinates. The individual $\Psi_Y$ need not be translation invariant. Without translation invariance of $f$, a bound of this kind requires a strictly larger coefficient radius. \item There exist $C_G,C_T,c_*>0$, depending on $M$, $J$, $\rho$, $a$, $b$, $K_*$, $s_J$, and the larger domains, and independent of the side and of $d_0$, such that the following holds. Let $R$ be gauge invariant on $B_\rho$, invariant under translations, the spatial inversion, and constant color conjugations, with $DR(I)=0$ and $\mathcal B_{\rho,a}(R)\le\epsilon$. Then the pullback $R(e^{\Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)})$ has the joint coefficient bound $C_{J,\rho,a}\epsilon$ at every fixed index on the enlarged product of coarse fields and variables $q$. Define the auxiliary recursion by the integral over the fixed product of fluctuation variables and the formula \eqref{ch10:eq:one-step-formula}, using this pullback on the gauge-transformed image in $B_{\rho/2}$, and without any indicator of $D_r$ at coarse fields outside $B_r$. Let $p\ge p_0$, and assume \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:recursion-domain} 00$, depending only on the fixed data, such that for every $0a$ below the rate $b_*$ of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}, with enough room for the support and location estimates above. This is possible since $b_*$ is a fixed positive rate chosen before $J$, and $a$ may be taken as small as needed. The condition $C_{\mathrm{geom}}bM^{-J}\le a$ is then imposed when $J$ is chosen, after $a$ and $b$ are fixed. All these choices precede $J$, and the metric conventions are included once in $C_{\mathrm{geom}}$. The coefficient bounds for the reconstruction $\Phi_{d_0,J}$, for the auxiliary interaction $H$, and for $\mathsf B_{\mathrm{ref}}$ hold at a common rate $b_*>0$ in coarse units, chosen before $J$. Indeed, the bounds of one averaging step in \cref{ch09:lem:centered-white-coarea} hold at a rate chosen before $J$. This rate does not decrease when lengths are measured in coarse units, since every mesh is at most one, and composition through connected networks keeps one rate, by \cref{ch10:lem:positive-composition}. The rate $b_*$ of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge} is chosen below these rates. The inserted interaction is treated separately in Step 3: the network of $R$ has the rate $a/\delta$ in coarse units, the condition $C_{\mathrm{geom}}b\delta\le a$ supplies the rate $b$ needed for the support estimates, and the attached networks of the reconstruction have rate at least $b_*>b$. Since \[ 0\rho$ bounds the degree-$k$ norm with a fixed index by $u^{-k}$ times the norm at $u$, and summing $\rho^{k-2}u^{-k}$ over $k\ge2$ gives $u^{-2}(1-\rho/u)^{-1}$. This explains the need for a strictly larger radius in that case. A supremum over the fixed index cannot be interchanged with the infinite sum over degrees at the same radius. This proves (2). \paragraph{Step 3: the coefficients of the composed input interaction.} Let $\epsilon=\mathcal B_{\rho,a}(R)$. We write the logarithms of the fine field as $A=(A_j)$, where the labels $j$ of the fine lattice have volume $v_{\mathrm{old}}=\delta^3$, and we expand \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:inherited-expansion} \begin{gathered} R(e^A)=R(I)+\sum_{n\ge2}\frac1{n!}\sum_{j_1,\ldots,j_n}R_n(j_1,\ldots,j_n)\prod_{r=1}^nA_{j_r},\\ P_j(\theta,q)=\Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)_j=\sum_{\abs\xi+\abs\eta\ge1}p_{j;\xi\eta}\theta^\xi q^\eta; \end{gathered} \end{equation} there is no term with $n=1$ since $DR(I)=0$. For a multiindex $(\nu,\eta)$ of positive total degree $N=\abs\nu+\abs\eta\ge1$, the coefficient of $\theta^\nu q^\eta$ in $R(e^P)$ is \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:inherited-coefficient} [\theta^\nu q^\eta]R(e^P)=\sum_{n=2}^N\frac1{n!}\sum_{j_1,\ldots,j_n}\ \sum_{\substack{\sum_r\xi_r=\nu,\ \sum_r\eta_r=\eta\\ \abs{\xi_r}+\abs{\eta_r}\ge1}}R_n(j_1,\ldots,j_n)\prod_{r=1}^np_{j_r;\xi_r\eta_r}, \end{equation} where the inner sum is over ordered allocations. No further multinomial factor occurs, since each $p_{j;\xi\eta}$ is already the coefficient of a monomial. For example, the allocation $(\xi_1,\eta_1)=(\mathbf e_i,0)$, $(\xi_2,\eta_2)=(0,\mathbf e_l)$ with $n=2$ contributes $(1/2)\sum_{j_1,j_2}R_2(j_1,j_2)p_{j_1;\mathbf e_i,0}\,p_{j_2;0,\mathbf e_l}$, and the exchanged allocation contributes the other half. We keep each summand of \eqref{ch10:eq:inherited-coefficient} with the union of the network of $R_n$ and the networks of the attached coefficients of the reconstruction. These are connected through the indices $j_r$, and \cref{ch10:lem:positive-composition} applies; no product of independent extensive scalars occurs. Let $r_n=\abs{R_n}_a/n!$, where $\abs{R_n}_a$ is the norm with one index fixed, and $F(s)=\sum_{n\ge2}r_ns^n$. Then $\sum_nr_n\rho^{n-2}=\epsilon$, so each $r_n\rho^{n-2}\le\epsilon$, and for $0\le m\le\rho/2$, \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:inherited-derivative} F'(m)\le\epsilon\rho\sum_{n\ge2}n2^{-(n-1)}=3\epsilon\rho. \end{equation} At the radii $U_0=4K_*\rho$ and $V_0=4K_*s_J$ the majorant for the output-fixed rows satisfies $\mathfrak M_J(U_0,V_0)<\rho/2$; that is, every attached factor has majorant less than $\rho/2$. Fix an external input $i$. We choose the factor containing it and its position there, and we use the column of that factor and rows for all other factors. The column carries the factor $v_{\mathrm{old}}/v_i$, while the norm of $R_n$ with a fixed index has no volume factor, and the bound for the composed scalar with $i$ fixed therefore contains $v_i/v_{\mathrm{old}}\le\Gamma_J$, where \[ \Gamma_J=\max_{i}\frac{v_i}{v_{\mathrm{old}}}\le M^{3J}, \] the maximum being over indices of $\theta$ and of $q$. Let $c_\theta(U,V)$ and $c_q(U,V)$ be the majorant series of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}(1) for the columns at a fixed coarse-field input and at a fixed input of $q$, in which the fixed input carries its radius $U$ or $V$. In particular, $c_q(U,0)=0$. Then the series with the input $i$ fixed is bounded by \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:inherited-majorant} \Gamma_J\,F'\bigl(\mathfrak M_J(U,V)\bigr)\bigl(c_\theta(U,V)+c_q(U,V)\bigr), \end{equation} and by \eqref{ch10:eq:root-count} the series without a distinguished input is no larger. The column majorants are finite at $(U_0,V_0)$. Combining \eqref{ch10:eq:inherited-derivative} and \eqref{ch10:eq:inherited-majorant}, we obtain the joint coefficient bound $C_{J,\rho,a}\epsilon$ on the enlarged product. It controls coefficients with a coarse-field index fixed, with an index of $q$ fixed, and mixed ones, before any evaluation, and the constant $R(I)$ never enters. A network of locations of the fine lattice has length $\delta^{-1}$ times its length in coarse units. Its weight at the rate $a$ therefore gives the rate $a/\delta$ in coarse units, and the condition $C_{\mathrm{geom}}b\delta\le a$ provides the rate $b$ on this part of the composed network. Each attached network of the reconstruction has its own rate, which is at least $b$. Their union provides the rates used for the supports and for the location sums in Step 1, while the output norm still has the rate $a$. Conversions between the fixed meshes cost factors depending only on $J$, not volume factors. For real coarse fields and fluctuations, the value of this pullback is $R_{\mathrm{sat}}(\RawRecon)$, by \eqref{ch10:eq:literal-inheritance}. Thus $R(e^{\Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,q)})$ is the holomorphic pullback required in \cref{ch09:lem:marked-insertion}, and its hypothesis is verified on the whole range of the reconstruction, not only at its center. This proves the first assertion of (3). \paragraph{Step 4: the inserted interaction at the radius $\rho$.} We now show that the estimate of \cref{ch09:lem:marked-insertion} holds at the radius $\rho$ itself, rather than at a smaller radius. We fix $p$, every parameter internal to $R$, the balls, and the classical functions, and we substitute $q_i=\zeta\lambda_iw_i$. For each summand $o$ of \eqref{ch10:eq:inherited-coefficient} with $\abs\eta\ge1$, where $o$ specifies $n$, the indices $j_r$, the allocation, and the refinements of the networks, we set \[ a_o(\zeta)=\frac{\zeta^{\abs\eta}}{n!}R_n(j_1,\ldots,j_n)\prod_{r=1}^np_{j_r;\xi_r\eta_r}\prod_l\lambda_{s(l)}^{\eta_l}, \] where $s(l)$ is the scale of the index $l$ of $q$. Let $Y_o$ be the set of boxes assigned to the external locations of $o$ by the construction of \cref{ch09:lem:supported-activities}, and set $(A_R)_Y(\theta,w;\zeta)=\sum_{o:\,Y_o=Y}a_o(\zeta)\theta^\nu w^\eta$. Then, exactly, \[ \sum_Y(A_R)_Y=R\bigl(e^{\Phi(\theta,(\zeta\lambda_iw_i)_i)}\bigr)-R\bigl(e^{\Phi(\theta,0)}\bigr), \] supports winding around the torus being included; the construction is linear in $R$. We replace the supremum over $w$ in the norm $\mathscr S_8$ of \cref{ch09:thm:supported-log-holomorphy}, at the coefficient radius $\rho$, by the sum of absolute coefficients at $\abs{w_l}\le p$. We then bound each monomial by the sum over its variables $w_l$ of the corresponding terms with that variable fixed. The support-weight estimate \eqref{ch09:eq:hull-payment} costs a fixed constant and a factor $K^N$ for a monomial with $N$ locations, which we absorb by multiplying all radii by $K$. This enlargement is included in $K_*$, so that $K\rho\le U_0$ and $K\abs\zeta p\le V_0$ in the range used below. The sum over the location of the fixed index of $w$ costs a constant depending on the density. In this supported norm we count the chosen variable with its multiplicity $\eta_l$. A branch monomial of total degree $k$ contributes only $\eta_l/k$ times its absolute coefficient to the normalized input column of Step~3, so we must use the degree-marked column \[ c_q^{\mathrm{mark}}(U,V)=(U\partial_U+V\partial_V)c_q(U,V). \] The derivative $F'$ in \eqref{ch10:eq:inherited-majorant} accounts separately for the choice of the outer branch. To bound the marked column, let $C_{\mathrm{col},J}$ be the constant of the rational part of $\widetilde{\mathfrak M}_J$ in \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge}(1), and put $\eta_{\mathrm{col}}=1-C_{\mathrm{col},J}(U_0+V_0)>0$. Applying degree marking to the coefficientwise bound $c_q\preccurlyeq V\partial_V\widetilde{\mathfrak M}_J$, and writing $C=C_{\mathrm{col},J}$, gives \[ c_q^{\mathrm{mark}}(U,V)\le\frac{CV(1-CU+CV)}{[1-C(U+V)]^3} \le2CV\eta_{\mathrm{col}}^{-3}\qquad(U\le U_0,\ V\le V_0). \] Thus $L_q^{\mathrm{mark}}=\sup_{00$ be such that $Ks_{\mathrm{aux}}\le V_0$, and choose \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:marked-disc} 00$ and $l\ge0$ we have $t^k\log(1/t)^l\to0$ as $t\downarrow0$. There are finitely many strict requirements: the image conditions, the cluster conditions, the condition $t\le c_*/(2(p(t)^3+E_*p(t)))$, the condition on $C_Tt^2(p(t)^4+E_*p(t)^2)$, the bound $tp(t)0$ below the thresholds of all these requirements. For $\epsilon\le E_*$, condition \eqref{ch10:eq:recursion-domain} holds, and by the recursion we have \[ C_G+q_P\epsilon+C_Tt^2\epsilon(p^4+\epsilon p^2)\le\frac{1-q_P}2E_*+q_PE_*+\frac{1-q_P}2E_*=E_*. \] This proves (4). Starting with $R_0=0$, we construct the next effective interaction at the same $\rho$, $a$, and $E_*$ from the auxiliary integral, the nonvanishing of its continuation, and this bound, and we repeat this through every finite chain satisfying the coupling ceiling and output-side restriction at each step. Where the separate support-inclusion hypothesis holds at every step, \cref{ch10:thm:actual-compact-cut} identifies each restricted density with the displayed expression, and the induction keeps every initial and pulled-back indicator. This proves (5). \end{proof} \section{The conditional fluctuation potential}\label{ch10:sec:potential} Dividing \eqref{ch10:eq:one-step-formula} by the integral over the fluctuations gives the conditional law of the normalized fluctuation variables given the coarse field. We show that its potential is uniformly convex, which implies dimension-free concentration and covariance estimates. The heuristic reason is the following count of powers of the coupling. By stationarity and the normalization by the constrained Hessian, \[ \frac{F(z^*+gK^{-1/2}w)-F(z^*)}{g^2}=\frac12\abs w^2+O(g\abs w^3), \] while the Haar density terms, the determinant terms, and the input effective interaction contribute $O(g\abs w)+O(g^2\abs w^2)+\cdots$. Substituting the fluctuations of coarser scales into the backgrounds of finer scales adds one factor $g_l w_l$ for each such variable and preserves these powers. Thus the Hessian of the interaction is small when $tp$ is small, while the complex polymer expansion of \cref{ch10:sec:iteration} needs $tp^3$ small. On a larger product with radius $P=q_*/t$, in which only $tP=q_*$ is small, real convexity still holds although the polymer expansion is not available. We first record some facts about probability measures on a fixed product of balls. Here the product does not move when parameters vary. Differentiation of a family of observables means differentiation of continuous functions with continuous derivatives on a neighborhood of the product, and the same formulas hold for families with dominated difference quotients and integrable derivatives. \begin{lemma}\label{ch10:lem:fixed-domain-calculus} Let $\Omega$ be a fixed product of closed balls, let $I\subset\R$ be an interval, and let $(V_u)_{u\in I}$ be real functions such that $V_u(w)$ and $\partial_uV_u(w)$ are continuous on $I\times N$ for a neighborhood $N$ of $\Omega$. Let $\E_u$, $\Cov_u$ refer to the probability measure on $\Omega$ with density proportional to $e^{-V_u}$, and let $F_u$ be a family of observables as above. \begin{enumerate} \item We have \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:fixed-score} \partial_u\E_uF_u=\E_u\partial_uF_u-\E_u(F_u\partial_uV_u)+\E_uF_u\,\E_u\partial_uV_u=\E_u\partial_uF_u-\Cov_u(F_u,\partial_uV_u), \end{equation} and $\partial_u\log\int_\Omega e^{-V_u}\,dw=-\E_u\partial_uV_u$. \item Let $m_u=\E_uw$, $\xi=w-m_u$, $\Sigma_u=\E_u\xi\xi^{\mathsf T}$, and $Q_u=\partial_uV_u-\E_u\partial_uV_u$. Then \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:covariance-score} \partial_u\Sigma_u(i,j)=-\E_u\xi_i\xi_jQ_u, \end{equation} and \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:three-partitions} \E\xi_i\xi_jQ_u=\Cov(\xi_i\xi_j,Q_u)=\Cov(\xi_i,\xi_jQ_u)=\Cov(\xi_j,\xi_iQ_u), \end{equation} including the case $i=j$. \item For a matrix $A$, $\norm A_{\mathrm{op}}\le(\norm A_{\mathrm{row}}\norm A_{\mathrm{col}})^{1/2}$, where $\norm A_{\mathrm{row}}=\sup_i\sum_j\abs{A_{ij}}$ and $\norm A_{\mathrm{col}}=\sup_j\sum_i\abs{A_{ij}}$. If an array $(b_{eij})$ satisfies $\sup_e\sum_{i,j}\abs{b_{eij}}\le C$ and $\sup_{i,j}\sum_e\abs{b_{eij}}\le C$, then $\norm{\sum_ea_eb_{e\cdot\cdot}}_{\mathrm{HS}}\le C\norm a_2$ for every array $(a_e)$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} On a compact interval of $u$, the functions $e^{-V_u}$, $F_u$, and their $u$-derivatives are bounded on $\Omega$. The fundamental theorem of calculus applied to difference quotients, followed by integration over the fixed set $\Omega$, differentiates the integrals without a boundary term, and the quotient rule gives \eqref{ch10:eq:fixed-score}. Taking $F=1$ before normalizing gives the formula for the logarithm. No integration by parts in $w$ is used. For families with dominated difference quotients, the same argument applies with the integrable dominating function. For (2), the explicit $u$-derivative of the observable $\xi_i\xi_j$ has expectation $-(\partial_um_i)\E\xi_j-(\partial_um_j)\E\xi_i=0$. Then \eqref{ch10:eq:fixed-score} implies \eqref{ch10:eq:covariance-score}. Since $\xi_i$, $\xi_j$, and $Q_u$ are centered, expanding the definition of the covariance gives \eqref{ch10:eq:three-partitions}. For (3), by the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality, we have \[ \sum_i\Bigl\lvert\sum_jA_{ij}v_j\Bigr\rvert^2\le\Bigl(\sup_i\sum_j\abs{A_{ij}}\Bigr)\sum_{i,j}\abs{A_{ij}}\abs{v_j}^2\le\norm A_{\mathrm{row}}\norm A_{\mathrm{col}}\sum_j\abs{v_j}^2. \] Regard $(b_{eij})$ as a matrix $T$ with rows indexed by $e$ and columns by pairs $(i,j)$. Since its row sums and column sums are at most $C$, we have $\norm T_{\mathrm{op}}\le C$, and the same holds for its transpose. The array $\sum_ea_eb_{e\cdot\cdot}$ is $T^{\mathsf T}a$, and its Hilbert--Schmidt norm is $\norm{T^{\mathsf T}a}_2\le C\norm a_2$. This uses the column sums; a bound for each output $e$ separately would not suffice. \end{proof} The next lemma bounds conditional means along an interpolation that starts from a measure with zero means. We use it twice below. \begin{lemma}\label{ch10:lem:mean-interpolation} Let $\Omega$ be a fixed product of balls in the scalar coordinates $w_i$, and for $s\in[0,1]$ let $\pi_s$ be the probability measure on $\Omega$ with density proportional to $e^{-V_s}$, where $V_s$ satisfies the hypotheses of \cref{ch10:lem:fixed-domain-calculus} in $s$, with continuous derivatives $\partial_{w_j}\partial_sV_s$. Let $m(s)=\max_i\abs{\E_{\pi_s}w_i}$. Assume that \begin{enumerate} \item $m(0)=0$; \item there is a matrix $L=(L_{ij})$ with nonnegative entries such that, for every $s$ and $i$, $\abs{\Cov_{\pi_s}(w_i,\partial_sV_s)}\le\sum_jL_{ij}\norm{\partial_{w_j}\partial_sV_s}_{L^2(\pi_s)}$, with $\sup_i\sum_jL_{ij}\le\Lambda_0$; \item for every $s$, $\sup_j\norm{\partial_{w_j}\partial_sV_s}_{L^2(\pi_s)}\le\beta(1+m(s)^2)$. \end{enumerate} If $2\Lambda_0\beta<1$, then $m(s)<1$ and $m(s)\le2\Lambda_0\beta s$ for every $s\in[0,1]$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} By \eqref{ch10:eq:fixed-score} with $F=w_i$, we have $d\E_{\pi_s}w_i/ds=-\Cov_{\pi_s}(w_i,\partial_sV_s)$. Since the entries of $L$ are nonnegative, (2) and (3) give $\abs{d\E_{\pi_s}w_i/ds}\le\Lambda_0\beta(1+m(s)^2)$. Integrating from $0$ and using (1), we obtain $m(s)\le\Lambda_0\beta\int_0^s(1+m(v)^2)\,dv$. The function $m$ is continuous. If $m$ reached the value one, then at the first such time $s_1\le1$ we would have $1=m(s_1)\le2\Lambda_0\beta s_1<1$, which is impossible. Thus $m<1$ on $[0,1]$, and inserting this in the integral, we obtain $m(s)\le2\Lambda_0\beta s$. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{ch10:thm:complete-white-law} Fix the parameters of \cref{ch10:thm:common-analytic-class}, with $p=p(t)=A_{\mathrm w}\log(1/t)$, and reduce its coupling threshold $t_*$ once to enforce the Hessian and mean-absorption bounds in the proof below. This reduction depends only on the fixed data, including $A_{\mathrm w}$, and on the fixed $q_*$ when part (3) is used. Let $00$, depending only on $M$, $J$, $\rho$, $a$, $E_*$, and the larger domains, such that the entrywise envelope $\mathcal H_{ij}=\sup_{w\in\Omega_p}\abs{\partial_{w_i}\partial_{w_j}(V_c-\abs w^2/2)}$ satisfies \[ \norm{\mathcal H}_{b,\mathrm{row+col}}\le\frac{C_H[tp+t^2(1+E_*)]}{(1-C_Htp)^3}\le\frac12. \] In particular $D_w^2V_c\ge I/2$ on the closed product, and $V_c$ is smooth on a neighborhood of it. For the Neumann realization on the convex product $\Omega_p$, every real $F\in H^1(k)$ satisfies \[ \Var_kF\le2\E_k\abs{\nabla F}^2,\qquad \Ent_k(F^2)\le4\E_k\abs{\nabla F}^2, \] and for real or complex $F,G$, with the covariance taken bilinear, \[ \abs{\Cov_k(F,G)}\le C\sum_{i,j}e^{-b'\dist(i,j)}\norm{\partial_iF}_2\norm{\partial_jG}_2 \] for a fixed $b'>0$. The constants do not depend on the dimension, on the radii of the balls, on the side, on the depth, or on the coupling below the reduced threshold $t_*$. \item Choose $0i$. With total degree $n=s+\sum_{l>i}r_l$ in $w$, the coupling factor is exactly \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:classical-free-powers} g_i^{s-2}\prod_{l>i}g_l^{r_l}=t^{n-2}\lambda_i^{s-2}\prod_{l>i}\lambda_l^{r_l},\qquad n\ge3. \end{equation} No negative power of a ratio $\lambda_i\le1$ occurs, since $s\ge3$. Centering at the minimizer removes the term of degree one in the variables of its own scale. The normalization by the positive square root of the Hessian removes the quadratic term, at every value of the coarser fluctuations. Thus no classical term of total degree one or two in $w$ survives the substitution. Each difference of Haar densities and each difference of determinant terms has positive total degree $n$ in $w$ and the coupling factor $t^n$. The composed difference of the input effective interaction obeys the same rule, with amplitude bounded by $C\epsilon\le CE_*$. The joint coefficient bounds, evaluated on a slightly larger coarse-field radius and a slightly larger product of the variables $q$, therefore give the following bounds for the absolute coefficients with one index fixed: \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:free-coefficient-rules} \begin{array}{l|c|c} \text{contribution}&\text{degree in }w&\text{coefficient bound}\\ \hline \text{classical remainder}&n\ge3&C^nt^{n-2}\\ \text{Haar density and determinant differences}&n\ge1&C^nt^n\\ \text{difference of }R\circ e^{\varphi}&n\ge1&C^nE_*t^n. \end{array} \end{equation} These bounds include every substitution of a background and every derivative of the matrices $S_i$. The fixed ratios $\lambda_i$ and the fixed radii are included in $C$. \paragraph{Step 3: the Hessian.} We take two derivatives in $w$ and sum their weighted rows. The multiplicities of the two derivatives are at most $n(n-1)$, and the other coordinates have absolute value at most $p$. With $x=Ctp<1$, the classical sum is \[ \sum_{n\ge3}n(n-1)C^nt^{n-2}p^{n-2}=2C^2\bigl\{(1-x)^{-3}-1\bigr\}\le\frac{6C^3tp}{(1-Ctp)^3}, \] where we used $1-(1-x)^3\le3x$. The sums for the Haar density and determinant terms and for the terms from $R$ are bounded by \[ (1+E_*)\sum_{n\ge2}n(n-1)C^nt^np^{n-2}=\frac{2C^2t^2(1+E_*)}{(1-Ctp)^3}, \] and the terms of degree one contribute nothing. The network weights give the decay in the distance between the two remaining indices, and by symmetry the column sums have the same bound. These sums of absolute coefficients, evaluated at the radius $p$, are uniform in $w\in\Omega_p$, so they bound the entrywise envelope $\mathcal H_{ij}$; this is the bound \eqref{ch10:eq:derivative-envelope} of \cref{ch10:lem:positive-composition} applied to the first derivatives of $U$. Choose $C_H$ once to dominate the coefficient constants and fixed multipliers in these two sums. Then, on the branch $C_Htp<1$, they give the stated bound for $\norm{\mathcal H}_{b,\mathrm{row+col}}$. For the part coming from $R$, both terms of \[ D^2(R\circ e^{\varphi})=D^2(R\circ\exp)(\varphi)[D\varphi,D\varphi]+D(R\circ\exp)(\varphi)[D^2\varphi] \] are included in its series of degree $n$. In particular, the first derivative of $R$ multiplying the second derivative of the reconstruction is kept. We reduce the coupling threshold of \cref{ch10:thm:common-analytic-class} so that $C_Htp<1/2$ and this bound is at most $1/2$. By \cref{ch10:lem:fixed-domain-calculus}(3), the operator norm is bounded by the row and column sums, and we obtain $D_w^2V_c\ge I/2$. The margin in the coefficient bounds provides a smooth extension of the potential to an open neighborhood of the closed product. \paragraph{Step 4: the inequalities of the Neumann realization.} The balls are convex, have dimension three, and have radii independent of $c$, and the potential has the smoothness and the lower bound on the Hessian just proved. By \cref{ch02:thm:reflecting-concentration} with $m=1/2$, we have the variance constant $2$ and the entropy constant $4$, including the corners of the product. To check its spatial hypothesis, recall that the weighted row-plus-column norm of $\mathcal H$ at the rate $b$ is at most $1/2$. The hypothesis concerns the operator norms of the mixed blocks of the three-dimensional balls, so we group the scalar indices into their three-component blocks. The operator norm of a block is at most the sum of the absolute values of its scalar entries. Hence the weighted row and column sums of the operator norms of the mixed blocks are at most three times the scalar sums, that is, at most $3/2$. We set $b'=b/8$. For $z\ge0$, convexity gives \[ e^{z/8}-1\le\tfrac18(e^z-1)\le\tfrac18e^z. \] Both block sums with the weight $e^{b'\dist(x,y)}-1$ are therefore at most $3/16$, which is below $m/2=1/4$; the diagonal Gaussian blocks have no mixed contribution. Thus the spatial hypothesis of \cref{ch02:thm:reflecting-concentration}, which involves the suprema over $\Omega_p$ of the mixed blocks, holds at the rate $b'$. Expanding the block gradient norms into their scalar components, we obtain the stated scalar covariance inequality, with a fixed change of its constant. Distinct blocks with the same location can be treated by separating them by an arbitrarily small distance, applying the inequality at a slightly smaller rate, and passing to the limit; the strict inequality $3/16<1/4$ leaves room for this perturbation. All sums are finite at this stage, and the weighted bounds remain uniform in the limit. This proves (2). \paragraph{Step 5: the larger product.} The proof of the Hessian bound evaluated the majorant series at the radius $tp$ of the variables $q$; it did not use smallness of $tp^3$. Let $0u)\le2e^{-u^2/4}$, hence $\E\abs{w_i-\E w_i}^4\le\int_0^\infty8u^3e^{-u^2/4}\,du\le C$. Thus, with $m(s)=\max_i\abs{\E_{\pi^P_{s,c}}w_i}$, \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:fourth-moment} \norm{w_i}_{L^4(\pi^P_{s,c})}\le C(1+m(s)), \end{equation} and the bound for three-component blocks changes only $C$. If we differentiate a classical monomial of degree $n$ in $U$ with respect to one fluctuation variable, there remain $n-1\ge2$ fluctuation factors. We place two of them in $L^4$ and the others in $L^\infty$, and Hölder's inequality bounds their product in $L^2$ by $C(1+m(s)^2)P^{n-3}$. The coupling factor becomes \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:two-l4-power} t^{n-2}P^{n-3}=tq_*^{n-3}. \end{equation} The absolute coefficient series converges at $q_*$, and the margin in the radius absorbs the multiplicities of the derivative and the choice of the two factors placed in $L^4$. The derivatives of the Haar density and determinant terms and of the terms from $R$ of degree $n$ give $t^nP^{n-1}=tq_*^{n-1}$, hence the bound $Ct(1+E_*)$. It follows that \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:wide-force} \sup_j\norm{\partial_{w_j}U}_{L^2(\pi^P_{s,c})}\le Ct(1+E_*+m(s)^2)\le Ct(1+E_*)(1+m(s)^2). \end{equation} These bounds hold with one index of $w$ fixed, with a profile that decays exponentially in the distance to that index. Summing the covariance kernel of Step 4 over its second index costs only a constant depending on the density. We apply \cref{ch10:lem:mean-interpolation} to $V_s=\abs w^2/2+sU$, for which $\partial_sV_s=U$. At $s=0$ the measure is the even product of truncated Gaussian measures, and $m(0)=0$. Hypothesis (2) of the lemma holds with the nonnegative kernel $L_{ij}=Ce^{-b'\dist(i,j)}$ of the covariance bound of Step 4, whose row sums are at most a constant $\Lambda_0$ depending only on the fixed data, and hypothesis (3) holds with $\beta=Ct(1+E_*)$ by \eqref{ch10:eq:wide-force}. After one fixed reduction of the coupling threshold, $2\Lambda_0\beta<1$, and the lemma implies that $m(s)\le Ct(1+E_*)\le Ct(E_*+2)$, uniformly in $s$, $c$, and the volume. Together with \eqref{ch10:eq:fourth-moment} this proves (3). All bounds are bounds at a fixed coordinate, and the total dimension does not appear. \end{proof} \section{Conditional means and coarse-field derivatives}\label{ch10:sec:means} We now study how the conditional fluctuation kernel depends on the coarse field. The main point is that its means are small, of order $t\norm\theta_\infty$, even though the kernel is interacting. At the identity coarse field they vanish by the global color symmetry. We also control the derivative of the conditional fluctuation covariance, by a three-point decay estimate, and the first two Taylor coefficients of the reconstruction at the conditional mean, which are used in the later reconstruction estimates. We first prove the three-point estimate under abstract hypotheses. \begin{lemma}\label{ch10:lem:three-point-covariance} Let $\Omega$ be a fixed product of balls of radii at most $p$, $p\ge1$, in scalar coordinates $w_i$, and let $V_\theta$ be potentials depending on parameters $\theta_u$, with the probability measures of density proportional to $e^{-V_\theta}$ on $\Omega$, along the segment $\{s\theta:0\le s\le1\}$. Assume that $V_\vartheta(w)$ and $\partial_{\vartheta_u}V_\vartheta(w)$, for every parameter coordinate $u$, are jointly continuous on $\mathcal U\times N$, where $\mathcal U$ is an open neighborhood of the segment and $N$ is a neighborhood of the fixed compact product $\Omega$. Let $\Sigma_\theta$ be the covariance matrix of $w$. Suppose that $D_0\ge2$, $A_{\mathrm{sc}}\ge0$, and that along the segment, for every location $x$ and every $R\ge0$, \[ \begin{gathered} \#\{i:\dist(i,x)\le R\}+\#\{u:\dist(u,x)\le R\}\le D_0(1+R)^3,\\ \abs{\Cov(F,G)}\le\sum_{i,j}L_{ij}\norm{\partial_iF}_2\norm{\partial_jG}_2,\qquad L_{ij}\le D_0e^{-\dist(i,j)/D_0},\\ \sup_\Omega\abs{\partial_{w_i}\partial_{\theta_u}V}\le A_{\mathrm{sc}}D_0e^{-\dist(i,u)/D_0}. \end{gathered} \] Let $\tau_3(i,j,u)$ be the sum of the two smallest of the distances $\dist(i,j)$, $\dist(i,u)$, and $\dist(j,u)$. Then, for an absolute constant $C$, \[ \abs{\partial_{\theta_u}\Sigma_\theta(i,j)}\le CpA_{\mathrm{sc}}D_0^6e^{-\tau_3(i,j,u)/(4D_0)},\qquad \norm{\Sigma_\theta-\Sigma_0}_{\mathrm{op}}\le CpA_{\mathrm{sc}}D_0^{14}\norm\theta_\infty. \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The joint continuity assumptions bound the potential and each parameter derivative on compact sub-neighborhoods of the fixed product, so differentiation under the integral is justified and the covariance has continuous parameter derivatives. We write $D=D_0$ and $A=A_{\mathrm{sc}}$. The counting hypothesis implies, for each fixed $c>0$, \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:exp-count} \sup_x\sum_ie^{-\dist(i,x)/(cD)}+\sup_x\sum_ue^{-\dist(u,x)/(cD)}\le C_cD^4. \end{equation} To prove it, let $N_x(R)=\#\{i:\dist(i,x)\le R\}$ and use $e^{-r/(cD)}=(cD)^{-1}\int_r^\infty e^{-R/(cD)}\,dR$; summing this identity over $i$ bounds the first sum by \[ \frac1{cD}\int_0^\infty e^{-R/(cD)}D(1+R)^3\,dR\le C_cD^4, \] and the sum over $u$ is bounded in the same way. The argument also works on small periodic tori. By the triangle inequality, \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:exp-convolution} \sum_le^{-\dist(i,l)/D-\dist(l,u)/D}\le CD^4e^{-\dist(i,u)/(2D)}; \end{equation} indeed, we extract the exponential on the right using half of the two distances and sum the remaining factor $e^{-\dist(i,l)/(2D)}$ by \eqref{ch10:eq:exp-count}. Since each coordinate and its mean have absolute value at most $p$, we have $\abs{\xi_i}\le2p$, where $\xi=w-\E w$. Moving between two points of the convex product along a segment and using the bound on the mixed derivatives, we find that the oscillation of $\partial_{\theta_u}V$ is at most $2pAD\sum_le^{-\dist(l,u)/D}$. Subtracting the expectation does not increase this bound, and the centered potential derivative $Q_u=\partial_{\theta_u}V-\E\partial_{\theta_u}V$ satisfies \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:score-oscillation} \norm{Q_u}_\infty\le CpAD^5,\qquad \abs{\partial_lQ_u}\le ADe^{-\dist(l,u)/D}. \end{equation} By \eqref{ch10:eq:covariance-score}, $\partial_{\theta_u}\Sigma(i,j)=-\E\xi_i\xi_jQ_u$, and we bound this by each of the three covariances in \eqref{ch10:eq:three-partitions}. For the first, the gradient of $\xi_i\xi_j$ is $\partial_l(\xi_i\xi_j)=\delta_{li}\xi_j+\delta_{lj}\xi_i$. Using $\norm{\xi_i}_2\le2p$, the amplitudes $D$ and $AD$ of the two kernels, and \eqref{ch10:eq:exp-convolution}, we obtain \[ \abs{\E\xi_i\xi_jQ_u}\le CpAD^6\bigl\{e^{-\dist(i,u)/(2D)}+e^{-\dist(j,u)/(2D)}\bigr\}. \] For the second, the gradient of $\xi_i$ is the coordinate vector at $i$, and $\partial_l(\xi_jQ_u)=\delta_{lj}Q_u+\xi_j\partial_lQ_u$. The first term costs $L_{ij}\norm{Q_u}_2\le CpAD^6e^{-\dist(i,j)/D}$, and the second costs the convolution \eqref{ch10:eq:exp-convolution} times $2pAD^2$. We obtain \[ \abs{\E\xi_i\xi_jQ_u}\le CpAD^6\bigl\{e^{-\dist(i,j)/(2D)}+e^{-\dist(i,u)/(2D)}\bigr\}. \] For the third, the coordinate vector is at $j$, the gradient of the product is $\delta_{li}Q_u+\xi_i\partial_lQ_u$, and the two resulting terms are bounded by \[ CpAD^6\bigl\{e^{-\dist(i,j)/(2D)}+e^{-\dist(j,u)/(2D)}\bigr\}. \] Using only the first of these three bounds would not control the separation of $i$ from $j$. We order the three distances as $x\le y\le z$. The smallest of the three braces is at most $e^{-y/(2D)}+e^{-z/(2D)}\le2e^{-y/(2D)}$, and since $\tau_3=x+y\le2y$, this is at most $2e^{-\tau_3/(4D)}$. This proves the bound on $\partial_{\theta_u}\Sigma(i,j)$. Since $\tau_3$ is the smallest length of the three trees with two edges on the points $i,j,u$, the factor $e^{-\tau_3/(4D)}$ is at most the sum of the three corresponding products of exponentials. For fixed $i$, summing one such tree over $(j,u)$ removes its two leaves successively, and \eqref{ch10:eq:exp-count} gives a factor at most $CD^8$. Hence \[ \sup_i\sum_{j,u}\abs{\partial_{\theta_u}\Sigma(i,j)}\le CpAD^{14}. \] Integrating along the segment $s\theta$, $0\le s\le1$, and using $\abs{\theta_u}\le\norm\theta_\infty$, we bound the row sums of $\Sigma_\theta-\Sigma_0$. By symmetry in $i,j$, the column sums have the same bound, and \cref{ch10:lem:fixed-domain-calculus}(3) implies the operator bound. \end{proof} In the following theorem the conditional law is the kernel $k(c,dw)$ of \cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law} on the product $\Omega_p$, and the derivatives are taken with the couplings, and hence the radii of the balls, held fixed. We write $\E_\theta$, $\Cov_\theta$ for this kernel at $c=e^\theta$. \begin{theorem}\label{ch10:thm:actual-means-and-scores} Use the conditional fluctuation kernel of \cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law} with $p=A_{\mathrm w}\log(1/t)$, and reduce the coupling threshold once so that $tp^3$ is small. Let $m_\theta=\E_\theta w$, $\xi=w-m_\theta$, $\Sigma_\theta=\E_\theta\xi\xi^{\mathsf T}$, and $\varphi_\theta(w)=\Phi_{d_0,J}(\theta,(g_iw_i)_i)$. There exist $C,b>0$ such that the following statements hold uniformly for all $\norm\theta_\infty0$. Here $\Sigma_0=\Sigma_{\mathrm{sp}}\otimes I_3$ is the covariance of the conditional fluctuation kernel at the identity coarse field; this kernel is interacting and truncated, and $\Sigma_{\mathrm{sp}}$ includes all its spatial covariances. \item Put $g=g_0$, $\mathsf E_\theta=g^{-1}D_w\varphi_\theta(m_\theta)$, and $\mathsf B_\theta=(2g^2)^{-1}D_w^2\varphi_\theta(m_\theta)$. For every $w=m_\theta+\xi\in\Omega_p$, \[ \varphi_\theta(m_\theta+\xi)=\varphi_\theta(m_\theta)+g\mathsf E_\theta\xi+g^2\mathsf B_\theta(\xi,\xi)+\mathcal R_\theta(\xi),\qquad \norm{\mathcal R_\theta}_\infty\le Cg^3p^3. \] Moreover $\norm{\mathsf E_\theta}_{\mathrm{op}}\le C$, the scalar coefficients $b_{eij}$ of $\mathsf B_\theta$ satisfy \[ \sup_e\sum_{i,j}\abs{b_{eij}}+\sup_i\sum_{e,j}\abs{b_{eij}}\le C,\qquad \Bigl\lVert\sum_ea_eb_{e\cdot\cdot}\Bigr\rVert_{\mathrm{HS}}\le C\norm a_2 \] for every array $(a_e)$, and \[ \begin{gathered} \norm{\mathsf E_\theta-\mathsf E_0}_{\mathrm{op}}+\norm{\mathsf B_\theta-\mathsf B_0}_{\mathrm{abs,root}}\le C\norm\theta_\infty,\\ \norm{\mathsf E_\theta\Sigma_\theta\mathsf E_\theta^{\mathsf T}-\mathsf E_0\Sigma_0\mathsf E_0^{\mathsf T}}_{\mathrm{op}}\le C\norm\theta_\infty(1+tp^3),\qquad \sup_e\abs{\E_\theta\mathsf B_{\theta,e}(\xi,\xi)}\le C\norm\theta_\infty, \end{gathered} \] where $\norm\cdot_{\mathrm{abs,root}}$ is the sum of absolute coefficients with one index fixed. At $\theta=0$ the matrix $\mathsf E_0$ is scalar in the color components, and the contraction of the color-equivariant quadratic tensor $\mathsf B_0$ with $\Sigma_0$ vanishes. \item For the unnormalized integral of one step, \[ \widetilde F(\theta)=A_{\mathrm{coord}}e^{-E_{d_0+J}(e^\theta)/g_J^2-\mathsf B_{\mathrm{ref}}(\theta)-R_{\mathrm{ref}}(\theta)}\int_{\Omega_p}e^{-V_\theta(w)}\,dw, \] we have \[ D\log\widetilde F=-D\bigl(E_{d_0+J}/g_J^2+\mathsf B_{\mathrm{ref}}+R_{\mathrm{ref}}\bigr)-\E_\theta DV_\theta. \] The derivatives of the terms evaluated at the zero-fluctuation reconstruction disappear only from normalized conditional expectations. \end{enumerate} The constants depend only on $M$, $J$, $\rho$, $a$, $E_*$, $A_{\mathrm w}$, the ratios of the couplings, and the fixed domains; they are independent of the side, $L$, $\gamma$, the depth, and the coarse field satisfying the hypotheses. Converting volume-normalized column bounds into bounds for operators in counting coordinates costs a fixed factor depending on $J$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} We use the coefficient bounds of \cref{ch10:thm:whole-image-gauge} throughout; the conditional law is always the kernel on $\Omega_p$ of \cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law}. We first prove (3) and (4), then the bounds on the means and on the derivative of the potential by \cref{ch10:lem:mean-interpolation}, and finally the statements about the reconstruction. \paragraph{Step 1: differentiation and the mixed derivatives.} With the couplings, and hence the radii of the balls, fixed, the potential $V_\theta$ and its derivatives in $\theta$ are continuous on a neighborhood of the closed product, and \cref{ch10:lem:fixed-domain-calculus} applies and proves (3). We differentiate the series of \eqref{ch10:eq:free-coefficient-rules} once in a coordinate $\theta_u$ of the coarse field and once in a fluctuation variable $w_i$. A derivative in $\theta$ on the larger product of coarse fields preserves the powers of the coupling and the coefficient bounds. A classical term of degree $n$ leaves $n-1$ fluctuation factors after the derivative in $w_i$, so its sum is bounded by \[ Ctp^2\sum_{n\ge3}n(Ctp)^{n-3}\le\frac{Ctp^2}{(1-Ctp)^2}. \] The Haar density and determinant terms and the terms from $R$ give at most $C(1+E_*)t/(1-Ctp)^2$, which is absorbed in the same bound since $E_*$ is fixed and $p\ge1$. Keeping both indices $i$ and $u$ in the network of each coefficient gives the factor $e^{-b\dist(i,u)}$. Reducing the coupling threshold so that $Ctp$ is below a fixed margin, we obtain \begin{equation}\label{ch10:eq:physical-mixed-score} \sup_{\Omega_p}\abs{\partial_{w_i}\partial_{\theta_u}V_\theta}\le Ctp^2e^{-b\dist(i,u)}. \end{equation} The Gaussian term contributes nothing to this derivative in $\theta$, taken with all couplings fixed, since the normalization by the constrained Hessian made it equal to $\abs w^2/2$ for every coarse field. The density of the indices and the covariance bound of \cref{ch10:thm:complete-white-law} satisfy the hypotheses of \cref{ch10:lem:three-point-covariance} with a fixed $D_0$ depending only on the fixed data, and by \eqref{ch10:eq:physical-mixed-score} we may take $A_{\mathrm{sc}}=Ctp^2$. The proof of that lemma is linear in $A_{\mathrm{sc}}$, and it yields the bound $Ctp^3e^{-b_1\tau_3}$ for the derivative of $\Sigma$. We keep an exponential weight in the final sums. Since $\dist(i,j)\le\tau_3$ by the triangle inequality, we may choose $0