\documentclass[aps,prd,twocolumn,superscriptaddress,nofootinbib,longbibliography,floatfix,amsmath,amssymb,10pt]{revtex4-2} \usepackage{mathptmx} \usepackage{amsthm} \usepackage{graphicx} \usepackage{booktabs} \usepackage{xcolor} \usepackage{enumitem} \usepackage[colorlinks=true,linkcolor=blue!50!black,citecolor=blue!50!black,urlcolor=blue!50!black,bookmarksnumbered=true]{hyperref} \usepackage{orcidlink} \usepackage{microtype} \usepackage{xurl} \usepackage{tikz} \usetikzlibrary{arrows.meta,patterns} \makeatletter % Ragged-right paragraph cells without the array package, whose current % release is not recognised by revtex4-2. \newcommand*{\raggedcells}{% \let\YM@arrayparboxrestore\@arrayparboxrestore \def\@arrayparboxrestore{\YM@arrayparboxrestore\rightskip\z@\@plus1fil\relax}} \makeatother \makeatletter \AtBeginDocument{\def\NAT@bibsetup{\setlength{\labelwidth}{\z@}% \setlength{\labelsep}{0.5em}\setlength{\itemindent}{\z@}% \setlength{\listparindent}{\z@}\setlength{\topsep}{\z@}% \setlength{\parsep}{\z@}\NATx@bibsetup}} \let\write@bibliographystyle\relax \let\bibliography@latex\@gobble \makeatother \tolerance=2000 \emergencystretch=2em \hbadness=2000 \hfuzz=1pt \raggedbottom \newtheorem{theorem}{Theorem} \newtheorem{lemma}[theorem]{Lemma} \newtheorem{proposition}[theorem]{Proposition} \newtheorem{corollary}[theorem]{Corollary} \theoremstyle{definition} \newtheorem{definition}[theorem]{Definition} \theoremstyle{remark} \newtheorem{remark}[theorem]{Remark} \newcommand{\R}{\mathbb{R}} \newcommand{\Z}{\mathbb{Z}} \newcommand{\C}{\mathbb{C}} \newcommand{\E}{\mathbb{E}} \newcommand{\SU}{\mathrm{SU}} \newcommand{\SO}{\mathrm{SO}} \newcommand{\U}{\mathrm{U}} \newcommand{\g}{\mathfrak{g}} \newcommand{\Tr}{\operatorname{Tr}} \newcommand{\ReTr}{\operatorname{Re}\operatorname{Tr}} \newcommand{\ImTr}{\operatorname{Im}\operatorname{Tr}} \newcommand{\Hess}{\operatorname{Hess}} \newcommand{\Ric}{\operatorname{Ric}} \newcommand{\Cov}{\operatorname{Cov}} \newcommand{\Var}{\operatorname{Var}} \newcommand{\dist}{\operatorname{dist}} \newcommand{\ip}[2]{\langle #1,#2\rangle} \setlength{\emergencystretch}{3em} \begin{document} \title{Yang--Mills Mass Gap on the Lattice and One Cube from the Continuum} \author{Deep Bhattacharjee$^{*}$\,\orcidlink{0000-0003-0466-750X}} \email{itsdeep@live.com} \thanks{$^{*}$\,Corresponding author. Secondary address: \nolinkurl{d.bhattacharjee@erl-forschung.de}; GitHub contact: \nolinkurl{egspl@proton.me}, \href{https://github.com/creelie}{github.com/creelie}.} \affiliation{Formerly, Electro-Gravitational Space Propulsion Laboratory (EGSPL), Bhubaneswar, Odisha 751030, India} \affiliation{Formerly, University of Calcutta (Heramba Chandra College), 23/49 Gariahat Road, Golpark, Kolkata 700029, West Bengal, India} \author{Ushashi Bhattacharya\,\orcidlink{0009-0002-2254-3914}} \email{rai.bhattacharya.in@gmail.com} \affiliation{Formerly, National Taiwan University, Taipei 106319, Taiwan} \author{James Montgomery Lockwood} \email{spectralityworkinggroup@gmail.com} \thanks{Secondary address: \nolinkurl{Blaze61029dogQ@proton.me}.} \affiliation{Independent Researcher, San Antonio, USA} \author{Tristan Romanov} \email{romanov360@gmail.com} \affiliation{Independent Researcher, San Francisco, CA, USA} \date{2 November 2026} \begin{abstract} \itshape We prove that four-dimensional lattice Yang--Mills theory with any compact simple gauge group has a unique infinite-volume state and an explicit transfer-matrix gap in a forest gauge, up to $\beta_W=0.351$ for $\SU(2)$ and $\beta_W=0.77$ for $\SU(3)$. We prove that a Dobrushin--Shlosman estimate in one cube of fixed physical size gives a mass gap in every continuum limit, and that the cube needs a side of order $(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}$ lattice spacings. We prove that the curvature of Ba{\l}aban's block averages costs action independent of the scale, that a translation of the Haar measures makes it rare at every scale for the abelian theory, and that for $\SU(2)$ every such translation transported along a forest reaches its constant on the gauge orbit of the vacuum, which fixes the one estimate that remains open. \end{abstract} \maketitle \begingroup \renewcommand\thefootnote{}\footnotesize \footnotetext{\footnotesize\emph{2020 Mathematics Subject Classification.} Primary 81T25, 82B20; Secondary 81T13, 60K35, 82B26, 22E30. \emph{PACS.} 11.15.Ha, 11.15.Tk, 05.50.+q, 02.50.Cw. \emph{Keywords.} Lattice gauge theory; mass gap; Dobrushin uniqueness; block averages; reflection positivity. \emph{Preprint.} This paper is the Hexagon preprint 2610.00341, version 5, \url{https://hexagonmath.org/2610.00341v5}.} \endgroup \addtocounter{footnote}{-1} \section{Introduction}\label{sec:intro} Wilson's lattice gauge theory~\cite{Wil74} assigns an element $Q_e$ of a compact group $G\subset\U(N)$ to every link $e$ of $\Z^4$ and weighs a configuration by $\exp(N\beta\sum_p\ReTr Q_p)$, where $Q_p$ is the ordered product of the four link variables around the plaquette~$p$.\footnote{This is the normalisation of Shen, Zhu and Zhu~\cite{SZZ23} and of our earlier paper~\cite{BB26a}. The conventional inverse coupling is $\beta_W=N^2\beta$, so the weight is $\exp(\frac{\beta_W}N\sum_p\ReTr Q_p)$; for $\SU(2)$, identified with the unit quaternions, $\frac12\Tr Q_p=\operatorname{Re}Q_p$ and $\beta_W=4\beta$. Standard accounts of the lattice theory are the books of Montvay and M\"unster~\cite{MM94} and of Gattringer and Lang~\cite{GL10}; the Hamiltonian version is due to Kogut and Susskind~\cite{KS75}.} At small $|\beta|$ the theory is under control: it has a unique infinite-volume state, correlations decay exponentially, and the transfer matrix has a gap~\cite{OSei78,Sei82}.\footnote{Strong-coupling results of this kind go back to Osterwalder and Seiler~\cite{OSei78}, who proved exponential clustering and a gap by a convergent expansion, and to Seiler's monograph~\cite{Sei82}; the general framework for lattice gauge fields and their continuum limits is that of Brydges, Fr\"ohlich and Seiler~\cite{BFS79}. More recent work treats the strong-coupling regime by probabilistic methods: the survey of Chatterjee~\cite{Chat19}, his large-$N$ solution of $\SO(N)$ lattice gauge theory at strong coupling~\cite{Chat19b} and its planar extension by Basu and Ganguly~\cite{BG18}, the Langevin dynamics of Shen, Zhu and Zhu~\cite{SZZ23}, and the area law in an enlarged region by Cao, Nissim and Sheffield~\cite{CNS25}. For finite gauge groups Adhikari and Cao proved correlation decay at weak coupling~\cite{AC25}. In two dimensions the continuum Yang--Mills measure has been constructed by Gross, King and Sengupta~\cite{GKS89}, Driver~\cite{Dri89} and L\'evy~\cite{Lev03}; in four dimensions Ba{\l}aban's renormalisation group, as expounded by Dimock~\cite{Dim13}, gives ultraviolet stability in finite volume, and Magnen, Rivasseau and S\'en\'eor constructed the theory with an infrared cutoff~\cite{MRS93}. None of these results gives a mass gap in physical units.} The question is how far into the coupling range such statements can be proved with explicit constants, since the problem of the continuum limit~\cite{JW06} begins where strong coupling ends and Ba{\l}aban's weak-coupling analysis~\cite{Bal84a,Bal85a,Bal89b} takes over. Two methods give explicit ranges. The Bakry--\'Emery method~\cite{BE85,BGL14} of Shen, Zhu and Zhu~\cite{SZZ23} bounds the Hessian of the action; in~\cite{BB26a} we showed that the sharp bound is $4d=16$ and that no curvature argument for the ungauged measure goes beyond $|\beta|<1/32$. The Dobrushin method~\cite{Dob68,Dob70}\footnote{Dobrushin's theorem: if the conditional law of each variable given all others moves, in Kantorovich distance, by at most $C_{xy}$ times the distance by which the variable at $y$ moves, and $\sup_x\sum_yC_{xy}<1$, then the Gibbs measure is unique and correlations decay at the rate given by the Neumann series of the matrix $C$. Dobrushin and Shlosman~\cite{DS85} replaced single variables by finite boxes, which is the form used in Sec.~\ref{sec:bypass}.} bounds the influence of each link on the conditional law of another; for $\SU(2)$ the single-link conditional law is a von Mises--Fisher law on the three-sphere, the sharp Kantorovich modulus\footnote{The Kantorovich distance between two probability measures on a metric space is the least expected distance over their couplings, equivalently the largest difference of their integrals over $1$-Lipschitz functions~\cite{Vil09}. The modulus of a family of laws indexed by a metric space is the best Lipschitz constant of the map from the index to the law in that distance.} of that family is one quarter~\cite{BB26a} (Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter} in Appendix~\ref{app:sharp}), and every link has eighteen partners, which gives $\beta_W<2/9$ and nothing beyond, because the coefficients are attained. Both limits come from the same count. A link of $\Z^4$ lies in six plaquettes and shares each with three other links. Gauge invariance makes part of this redundant: in a box, the variables on a forest of links can be set to the identity without changing any gauge-invariant expectation~\cite{Cre77}.\footnote{Creutz used a maximal tree to remove the gauge freedom completely; the temporal gauge, with all links in one direction fixed, is the special case of a family of straight lines. In a maximal tree almost every link is fixed in some region and none in others, so the number of partners of a free link is not uniform, and the temporal gauge leaves fourteen partners per link. The point here is a pattern that fixes exactly one link in every plaquette.} The forest we use is a field of straight lines with one line through every site, chosen so that every plaquette contains exactly one fixed link. Then every free link has exactly twelve free partners, two in each of its plaquettes (Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}), and both methods improve. \begin{theorem}[$\SU(2)$]\label{thm:su2} Let $G=\SU(2)$ and $0\le\beta_W<\frac13$. For every gauge-invariant local observable $O$ the expectations $W_\Lambda(O)$ in boxes with free boundary converge, along every sequence of boxes that exhausts $\Z^4$, to a limit $\omega(O)$ that does not depend on the sequence. The state $\omega$ is invariant under translations and the hypercubic group and reflection positive;\footnote{That is, $\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)F)\ge0$ for every $F$ depending on the links on one side of a lattice hyperplane, $\vartheta$ being the reflection in it. It gives the Hilbert space and the transfer matrix of Osterwalder and Schrader~\cite{OS73,OS75} and of Osterwalder and Seiler~\cite{OSei78}, reconstructed in Appendix~\ref{app:transfer}.} truncated correlations of Lipschitz observables decay at every rate below $-\log(3\beta_W)$; and the transfer matrix has spectral gap \[ m\ge-\log(3\beta_W)>0 . \] For $-\frac13<\beta_W<0$ all statements except reflection positivity and the gap hold. \end{theorem} The step behind Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} is short once the line field is in place. The number $\frac13$ is also the end of the road for this kind of argument. \begin{theorem}[Ceiling]\label{thm:ceiling} Let $F'$ be any set of links of $\Z^4$ without cycles, and give two distinct links outside $F'$ that share a plaquette the coefficient $|\beta|$, the largest single-link Kantorovich coefficient of $\SU(2)$. Then the weighted Dobrushin condition with these coefficients fails for $\beta_W\ge\frac13$. For the line field the coefficients are attained, so no single-link Kantorovich argument in that gauge reaches $\beta_W=\frac13$. \end{theorem} The ceiling concerns coefficients between single links. Take instead as a block the three free links of one plaquette. The free links of the line field split into such triples with period two (Lemma~\ref{lem:plaqblocks}), the coupling inside the block plaquette is no longer paid for, and each link keeps ten outside partners. The price is the sensitivity of a law on three spheres instead of one, which we bound analytically by integrating out the middle link of the block. \begin{theorem}[$\SU(2)$ with plaquette blocks]\label{thm:blocks} Let $G=\SU(2)$ and $0\le\beta_W\le0.351$. The number $\alpha(\beta_W)$ of~\eqref{eq:alphablock} is increasing, $\alpha(\frac13)\le0.9428$, $\alpha(0.345)\le0.9805$ and $\alpha(0.351)\le0.99995$. The conclusions of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} hold with decay at every rate below $-\frac12\log\alpha(\beta_W)$ and a transfer-matrix gap \[ m\ge-\tfrac12\log\alpha(\beta_W)>0 ; \] at $\beta_W=\frac13$ this gives $m\ge0.0294$. For $-0.351\le\beta_W<0$ all statements except reflection positivity and the gap hold. \end{theorem} At small coupling the rate of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} is the better one, so both bounds stand side by side; Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks} matters past $\beta_W=\frac13$, where the gap of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} has closed. The curvature method gains as well, and for every $N$. Let $\Hess S_0$ be the Hessian of $\sum_p\ReTr Q_p$ on $G^E$ and $F$ the set of fixed links. \begin{theorem}[Curvature in the gauge]\label{thm:curv} For every $N$, every field $Q$ and every tangent vector $v=(X_eQ_e)$ with $X_e=0$ for $e\in F$, \[ |\Hess S_0(v,v)|\le\tfrac{29}2|v|^2 , \] against the sharp constant $16$ without gauge fixing. Consequently, for $G=\SU(N)$ and $|\beta|<\frac1{29}$, or $G=\SO(N)$, $N\ge3$, and $|\beta|<\frac{N-2}{58N}$, the conclusions of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} hold with the rate and gap of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups}. For $\SU(3)$ this is $\beta_W<\frac9{29}=0.310$. \end{theorem} The constant $\frac{29}2$ is a statement about $\U(N)$, so it holds on every closed subgroup, and the curvature of the group does the rest. This gives the theorem for every compact simple gauge group, the exceptional groups included, with an explicit gap. Let $\rho:G\to\U(N)$ be a faithful unitary representation of a compact connected Lie group $G$, weigh a configuration by $\exp(N\beta\sum_p\ReTr\rho(Q_p))$, and let $\kappa_G$ be the least Ricci\footnote{For a bi-invariant metric on a compact Lie group the Ricci curvature is $-\frac14\Tr((\operatorname{ad}X)^2)$ in the direction of $X$. It is positive for every $X\ne0$ exactly when the Lie algebra is semisimple, and $\kappa_G$ is its minimum over unit vectors.} curvature of $G$ for the bi-invariant metric $\ip XY=-\Tr(\rho(X)\rho(Y))$; we identify $G$ with $\rho(G)\subset\U(N)$. \begin{theorem}[Every compact simple group]\label{thm:groups} Suppose that the Lie algebra of $G$ is semisimple, so that $\kappa_G>0$, and that \[ N|\beta|<\tfrac2{29}\,\kappa_G . \] Then the conclusions of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} hold, for $\beta<0$ all of them except reflection positivity and the gap, with decay at every rate below \[ m_G(\beta)=\operatorname{arccosh}\Bigl(1+\frac1{12}\Bigl(\frac{\kappa_G}{N|\beta|} -\frac{29}2\Bigr)\Bigr)>0 \] and a transfer-matrix gap $m\ge m_G(\beta)$. For a simple $G$, $\kappa_G=h^\vee/(2\ell_\rho)$, where $h^\vee$ is the dual Coxeter number and $\ell_\rho$ the Dynkin index of $\rho$; Table~\ref{tab:groups} lists the values. \end{theorem} For $\SU(N)$, $\kappa_G=\frac N2$, and for $\SO(N)$, $\kappa_G=\frac{N-2}4$, so Theorem~\ref{thm:groups} contains the ranges of Theorem~\ref{thm:curv} and supplies their rate.\footnote{The dual Coxeter number is $h^\vee=N$ for $\SU(N)$, $N-2$ for $\SO(N)$, $n+1$ for $\mathrm{Sp}(n)$, $4,9,12,18,30$ for $G_2,F_4,E_6,E_7,E_8$, and the Dynkin index of a representation is normalised to one on the defining representation of $\SU(N)$~\cite[Ch.~6]{Kac90}. The identity $\kappa_G=h^\vee/(2\ell_\rho)$ is the statement that the Ricci tensor of a compact simple group with a bi-invariant metric is one quarter of the negative Killing form, $\Ric(X,X)=-\frac14B(X,X)$~\cite{Mil76}, together with $B(X,X)=2h^\vee\Tr(\rho(X)^2)/\ell_\rho$. Lower Ricci bounds of the same kind, for special holonomy and for Riemannian submersions, are studied in~\cite{BTBS26,GBN26}.} For small $|\beta|$ the existence of a gap is classical for every compact group, with no explicit range~\cite[Thm.~3.6]{OSei78}; what is new is an explicit range for every group, past the range $N|\beta|<\kappa_G/16$ that the Hessian bound $16$ gives without gauge fixing, and an explicit gap.\footnote{With the computer-assisted bound $h_F\le14.420001$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:certificate} in place of $\frac{29}2$, every range of Table~\ref{tab:groups} grows by the factor $29/28.840002=1.0055$. Appendix~\ref{app:certificate} derives that bound from a certificate of T.~Romanov.} As $\beta\to0$ the gap grows like $\log\frac{\kappa_G}{6N|\beta|}$. \begin{table}[t] \caption{Least Ricci curvature $\kappa_G=h^\vee/(2\ell_\rho)$ of the compact simple groups in a faithful representation $\rho$ of least dimension $N$, and the range of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups} for the conventional inverse coupling $\beta_W=N^2\beta$.} \label{tab:groups} \begin{ruledtabular} \begin{tabular}{llcccc} Group&$\rho$&$h^\vee$&$\ell_\rho$&$\kappa_G$&$\beta_W<$\\ \colrule $\SU(N)$, $N\ge2$&$\C^N$&$N$&$1$&$\frac N2$&$\frac{N^2}{29}$\\ $\SO(N)$, $N\ge5$&$\R^N$&$N-2$&$2$&$\frac{N-2}4$&$\frac{N(N-2)}{58}$\\ $\SO(3)$&$\R^3$&$2$&$4$&$\frac14$&$\frac3{58}$\\ $\mathrm{Sp}(n)$, $n\ge2$&$\C^{2n}$&$n+1$&$1$&$\frac{n+1}2$&$\frac{2n(n+1)}{29}$\\ $G_2$&$7$&$4$&$2$&$1$&$\frac{14}{29}$\\ $F_4$&$26$&$9$&$6$&$\frac34$&$\frac{39}{29}$\\ $E_6$&$27$&$12$&$6$&$1$&$\frac{54}{29}$\\ $E_7$&$56$&$18$&$12$&$\frac34$&$\frac{84}{29}$\\ $E_8$&$248$&$30$&$60$&$\frac14$&$\frac{124}{29}$\\ \end{tabular} \end{ruledtabular} \end{table} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_groups.png} \caption{The gap $m_G(\beta)$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups} as a function of $\beta_W=N^2\beta$ on a logarithmic scale, for nine groups in the representations of Table~\ref{tab:groups}. Each curve ends at the edge $\beta_W=2N\kappa_G/29$ of the range, marked by a dot, where the gap tends to zero; as $\beta_W\to0$ it grows like $\log(\kappa_G/(6N|\beta|))$. The curves differ only by the factor $N\kappa_G$, since $m_G$ depends on $N|\beta|/\kappa_G$ alone.} \label{fig:groups} \end{figure*} No Bakry--\'Emery argument for the ungauged measure can pass $|\beta|= \frac1{32}$~\cite[Thm.~C]{BB26a}; the gauge fixing changes the measure, not the metric, which is why it can. For $\SU(2)$ the curvature range $\beta_W<\frac4{29}$ lies inside that of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2}, and no curvature argument for the gauge-fixed $\SU(2)$ measure passes $\beta_W=\frac13$: when one active link $e$ is $-1$ and all others are $1$, the six plaquettes through $e$ have variable $-1$, and along a geodesic through $Q_e$ the Hessian of $-\frac{\beta_W}2\sum_p\ReTr Q_p$ is $-6\beta_W$ times the metric of the unit sphere $S^3$, whose Ricci curvature is $2$, so the Bakry--\'Emery tensor is negative there once $\beta_W>\frac13$. For $\SU(3)$ the Dobrushin route goes much further. \begin{theorem}[$\SU(3)$]\label{thm:su3} Let $G=\SU(3)$ and $0\le\beta_W\le\frac34$. Then the conclusions of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} hold, with decay at every rate below $-\log(1.33319\,\beta_W)$ and a transfer-matrix gap \[ m\ge-\log(1.33319\,\beta_W)>0 . \] \end{theorem} The proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3} bounds the Kantorovich modulus of the one-link measure $\nu_b(dU)\propto e^{\ReTr(Ub)}dU$ on $\SU(3)$ uniformly over staple sums $b$. Its analytic part is a lower bound for the spectral gap of $\nu_b$ through Bochner's formula with a cross term (Lemma~\ref{lem:gap}), a corrector chosen box by box among polynomials of degree two in the matrix entries (Lemma~\ref{lem:corrector}), the reduction of $b$ to diagonal matrices (Lemma~\ref{lem:orbits}), the character expansion of the moments of $\nu_b$ (Lemma~\ref{lem:characters}) and an interpolation inequality on boxes of staple sums (Lemma~\ref{lem:boxes}). The remaining step evaluates the resulting bound on $2341$ boxes with rigorous error bounds; the theorem rests on that computation, which is described in full in Sec.~\ref{ssec:cover} and Appendix~\ref{app:cover}. The plaquette blocks of Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks} work for $\SU(3)$ as well. They use the same modulus of the one-link measure, but only through the three links of a block, so they need $\Lambda(2\beta_W)$ small and not $2r\Lambda(r)<1$: near the end of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3} they give a much larger gap, and they go past it. \begin{theorem}[$\SU(3)$ with plaquette blocks]\label{thm:su3blocks} Let $G=\SU(3)$ and $0\le\beta_W\le\frac{77}{100}=0.77$. Then $\alpha_3(\beta_W)<1$ for the number of~\eqref{eq:blockconst3}, with $\alpha_3(0.72)\le0.9182$, $\alpha_3(\frac34)\le0.9653$ and $\alpha_3(0.76)\le0.99950$ and $\alpha_3(0.77)\le0.99978$. The conclusions of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} hold with decay at every rate below $-\frac12\log\alpha_3(\beta_W)$ and a transfer-matrix gap \[ m\ge-\tfrac12\log\alpha_3(\beta_W)>0 ; \] at $\beta_W=\frac34$ this gives $m\ge0.0177$, against $1.1\cdot10^{-4}$ from Theorem~\ref{thm:su3}, and at $\beta_W=0.76$ and $0.77$, where Theorem~\ref{thm:su3} no longer applies, $m\ge2.5\cdot10^{-4}$ and $m\ge1.1\cdot10^{-4}$. \end{theorem} \begin{table}[t] \caption{Explicit ranges of uniqueness, decay and a transfer-matrix gap for four-dimensional lattice Yang--Mills theory. The first three rows hold for the ungauged measure; the last three are the results of this paper.} \label{tab:ranges} \begin{ruledtabular} \begin{tabular}{lll} Method&$\SU(2)$, $\beta_W$&$\SU(3)$, $\beta_W$\\ \colrule Curvature, Shen--Zhu--Zhu~\cite{SZZ23}&$<\frac1{12}$&$<\frac3{16}$\\ Curvature, sharp~\cite{BB26a}&$<\frac18$&$<\frac9{32}$\\ Dobrushin, sharp quarter~\cite{BB26a}&$<\frac29$&\\ Curvature, forest gauge&$<\frac4{29}$&$<\frac9{29}$\\ Dobrushin, forest gauge&$<\frac13$&$\le\frac34$\\ Plaquette blocks, forest gauge&$\le0.351$&$\le0.77$\\ \end{tabular} \end{ruledtabular} \end{table} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.86\textwidth]{figures/fig_ranges.png} \caption{Ranges of Table~\ref{tab:ranges}. The height of each bar is the largest inverse coupling $\beta_W$ covered by the method. Grey bars are methods for the ungauged measure; blue, red and orange bars use the forest gauge. For $\SU(2)$ the red bar ends at the ceiling of Theorem~\ref{thm:ceiling} and the orange bar, plaquette blocks, passes it (Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks}); for $\SU(3)$ the red bar is Theorem~\ref{thm:su3} and the orange bar, plaquette blocks, gives a larger gap there and passes it (Theorem~\ref{thm:su3blocks}).} \label{fig:ranges} \end{figure*} All seven theorems are statements at fixed lattice spacing. They do not touch the continuum limit, the crossover to Ba{\l}aban's regime, or a gap in physical units, which together are the Clay problem; Sec.~\ref{sec:limits} says where each method stops and what remains of the four open problems of~\cite{BB26a}. The obstruction proved in~\cite{BB26b}, that a lattice gap uniform in lattice units forces trivial continuum two-point functions, applies to all of them. \emph{The continuum step.} Sec.~\ref{sec:bypass} goes past that obstruction in one respect, through three implications, each proved. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(I\arabic*)},leftmargin=*] \item A Dobrushin--Shlosman condition on one cube of fixed physical size, uniform along the continuum tuning, gives a mass gap in physical units for every continuum limit (Theorems~\ref{thm:onescale} and~\ref{thm:transfer}), and so does exponential decay with constants of the renormalised correlations of a spanning set of observables (Theorem~\ref{thm:clustering}); this holds also for observables smoothed by the spatial gradient flow (Proposition~\ref{prop:spatialflow}). \item The flowed observables, renormalised by one condition at a single physical separation, have reflection positive continuum limits along subsequences, and such a limit is nontrivial exactly when one ratio of lattice two-point functions stays away from zero (Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}); that ratio is bounded above and below by ratios of correlations of one slice field at fixed physical separations (Proposition~\ref{prop:sliceratio}). \item Tree bounds on the truncated correlations give all the higher Schwinger functions as reflection positive distributions, imply the ratio bound, and carry the conditional mass gap to every polynomial in the smeared fields (Theorem~\ref{thm:higher}); for a smooth packet they give the ratio with an explicit rate and a reference vector of finite energy (Proposition~\ref{prop:treeenergy}). \end{enumerate} \emph{What is open.} The inputs of (I1)--(I3), namely the cube condition along the tuning, the slice ratio in four dimensions and the tree bounds, are not proved, and so the nontrivial existence of the continuum limit and the gap in physical units remain open. Figure~\ref{fig:logic} shows how the proved statements, the implications and the open inputs fit together. Sec.~\ref{sec:inputs} measures the open inputs. The cube condition holds at strong coupling, fails at every fixed cube size at weak coupling, forces the gauge-fixed variables to be disordered on the scale of the cube, and cannot be reached from estimates on single lines of links; for $\SU(N)$ it needs cubes of side at least of order $(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}$ (Propositions~\ref{prop:cubesize} and~\ref{prop:cubesizeN}). For a Gaussian field it holds at a fixed physical scale when the field has a mass and fails exactly, at every size, when it is massless (Proposition~\ref{prop:gauss}); it also fails for the quadratic approximation of the forest gauge itself (Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest}), and of every gauge fixed on an invariant forest with infinite trees (Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussevery}). The order-two cases of the tree bounds force the lattice gap below a fixed multiple of the lattice spacing, so no strong coupling expansion gives them (Proposition~\ref{prop:treecritical}). The slice ratio holds in two dimensions, where it is the exact solution of lattice gauge theory (Remark~\ref{rem:twodslice}), and fails for a field whose mass is fixed in lattice units; for the free field, conditioning an energy packet on averages over blocks leaves a fixed fraction of its ordinary variance at every lattice spacing, so a reduction to block averages has to be measured in the reflected norm (Proposition~\ref{prop:blockfree}). \emph{Block averages.} Sec.~\ref{sec:blocks} poses the cube condition for block averages in a gauge whose fixed links are trees inside blocks of side two. Its quadratic approximation then holds at every coupling once the cube is large (Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}), and integrating out one scale reduces it to a cube condition for the averages, which carry the coarse quadratic form at every scale up to a factor between $1$ and $256$ that does not depend on the scale, with an exponentially decaying kernel whose constants do not depend on the scale either, and the constrained cube condition holds at every scale with one cube side (Corollary~\ref{cor:compose}, Proposition~\ref{prop:effective}, Theorems~\ref{thm:effectiveupper}, \ref{thm:effectivelocal} and~\ref{thm:constrainedscales}); the averages along the lines of the forest gauge, by contrast, leave one class of lines invisible and fail at every size (Proposition~\ref{prop:invisible}). For the group-valued links, the straight path between block roots gives a coarse link whose fibres satisfy a coercivity bound for every compact group and every field (Theorem~\ref{thm:pathcoercive}), but this map does not compose across scales (Proposition~\ref{prop:thinpath}), and for every compact connected group no continuous covariant block map treats the positions of a block alike (Proposition~\ref{prop:nomean}). A cut-off of Ba{\l}aban's averaging operation is continuous, covariant and coercive for every field and agrees with the block averages to first order; it breaks the symmetry only at large fields, as it must, and its constants are those of one step (Theorem~\ref{thm:cutoff}). On fields with values in a maximal torus whose curvature stays small at every scale it composes, with the energy nonincreasing and the thin paths contracted (Theorem~\ref{thm:torusscales}), and for every compact group it composes on fields whose curvatures at the successive scales have a small sum (Theorem~\ref{thm:smallscales}). Under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure the plaquettes that are not small lie in clusters whose physical size tends to zero in probability, and the cut-off acts only next to them (Theorem~\ref{thm:defects}, Corollaries~\ref{cor:defectclusters} and~\ref{cor:activelinks}); such plaquettes are nevertheless present along the one-loop tuning (Proposition~\ref{prop:manydefects}). The cut-off average composes through these clusters, which spread by at most three spacings of the current scale per step, up to a coarse spacing of order $(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}a$, the order of the cube side that the cube condition needs (Theorem~\ref{thm:defectscales} and Corollary~\ref{cor:defectscales}). Under every exterior, excess action in a box is rare, restricting one link to a fixed set leaves its Dobrushin response bounded, and one-point rarity of a bad set gives approximate uniqueness of the Gibbs measures but no decay (Lemmas~\ref{lem:excess} and~\ref{lem:fixedset}, Proposition~\ref{prop:onepoint}). The curvature of the block averages costs action independent of the scale (Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy}, Proposition~\ref{prop:torusenergy}); the chessboard estimate applies to coarse events and is lost after $O(\log\beta_W)$ scales in the normalisation alone (Proposition~\ref{prop:coarsechess}); a right translation of the Haar measures bounds the tails of the force along any fixed direction by the second variation of the action, at every scale and under every exterior (Theorem~\ref{thm:haartilt}), which for the abelian theory makes coarse defects rare at the rate $\beta_Wx^2$ at every scale (Corollary~\ref{cor:abeliancoarse}), while for $\SU(2)$ that second variation grows like $4^k$ at scale $k$, on the gauge orbit of the vacuum, and the same happens when the direction is transported along a forest, which keeps the Haar measures but leaves the residual gauge freedom of the blocks (Propositions~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, \ref{prop:foresttilt}); this locates the estimate that the cube condition still needs. In a box whose boundary field has small plaquettes and either lies in a maximal torus or, for $\SU(2)$, has plaquette angles $\rho_s$ with $l^2\rho_s$ below a fixed constant, the fraction of unit cubes with a large plaquette is small with probability exponentially close to one in the volume, uniformly over such boundary fields (Lemmas~\ref{lem:boxextension} and~\ref{lem:nonabelianfilling} and Proposition~\ref{prop:conddensity}). The second class allows cube sides up to a constant times $(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}$ at the level of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectscales}, which is the scale $a_{k_*}$ up to a constant factor; for larger boxes with general boundary fields this conditional estimate is open (Remark~\ref{rem:boxnonabelian}). On the fibres of the cut-off average, at a background whose plaquettes are at most $\kappa\le10^{-8}$, the gap $\frac1{52}$ of the averages\footnote{By the certificate of Proposition~\ref{prop:blockgapsharp} this gap is at least $\frac{537}{5000}=0.1074$, within $0.09$ per cent of the best constant on $\Z^4$, a floating-point value.} persists up to a factor $1+O(\kappa)$, and the Hessian of the action along the fibre is at least $\lambda(\frac1{26}-c\kappa)$, however far the links are from $I$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:smallfibre}). On a chart of the fibre with convex domain the constrained law is log-concave for large $\lambda$, coarea factor included, and satisfies a Brascamp--Lieb inequality with constant $60/\lambda$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}); on a chart whose domain is a product in the coordinates of the links other than the path links, the covariances of local observables decay exponentially at a rate that depends only on $G$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}). Off the chart the fibre has only points with a large plaquette, and under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure their mass is small on most fibres (Theorem~\ref{thm:offchart}). Along its private links the cut-off average is a submersion with a constant that depends on nothing (Lemma~\ref{lem:privatesubmersion}), and its law under Haar measure on them has a bounded density, so a Peierls argument inside the fibre bounds that mass on every fibre through a field whose plaquettes near the blocks are small (Proposition~\ref{prop:calmfibre}). On every fibre, whatever the boundary links, the same argument concentrates the law within any $t$ of the least action of the fields whose averaging sites are near $I$ (Proposition~\ref{prop:everyfibre}); where that action is not small the decay is open (Remark~\ref{rem:chartdecayopen}). Whether some block map is coercive for all fields and composes across the remaining scales is open. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_logic.png} \caption{The logical structure of the paper. Green: theorems at fixed lattice spacing (P1 the gap for every compact simple group, Theorem~\ref{thm:groups}, P2 the plaquette blocks for $\SU(2)$ and $\SU(3)$, P3 the cube condition at strong coupling). Blue: the proved implications (I1)--(I3) of the continuum step. Red: their inputs, none of which is proved along the continuum tuning. Each arrow joins an open input to the implication that consumes it; no implication feeds its own input.} \label{fig:logic} \end{figure*} \emph{Plan.} Sec.~\ref{sec:linefield} constructs the line field. Sec.~\ref{sec:state} shows that a Dobrushin bound for the gauge-fixed specification gives the full conclusion of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2}. Secs.~\ref{sec:su2}, \ref{sec:plaqblocks}, \ref{sec:curvature}, \ref{sec:su3} and~\ref{sec:su3blocks} prove Theorems~\ref{thm:su2}--\ref{thm:su3blocks}, and Sec.~\ref{sec:limits} measures what is left. Sec.~\ref{sec:bypass} proves (I1)--(I3), Sec.~\ref{sec:inputs} states and measures their open inputs, and Sec.~\ref{sec:blocks} poses the cube condition for block averages, composes the cut-off average across scales at small fields and locates the large fields under the Wilson measure. The appendices contain the residue table of the line field, the comparison lemma and its version for blocks, the blocks of the local Hessian inequality, the details of the certified computation, the reconstruction of the transfer matrix with the equivalence of a gap and exponential clustering (Appendix~\ref{app:transfer}), the facts on spectral measures and on the character expansion that the continuum step uses (Appendices~\ref{app:spectral} and~\ref{app:characters}), and a complete proof of the sharp quarter for the single-link law of $\SU(2)$ (Appendices~\ref{app:sharp}--\ref{app:bessel}), so that the paper does not depend on our earlier one for any step. \section{The line field}\label{sec:linefield} Write $e_0,\dots,e_3$ for the unit vectors of $\Z^4$ and $(x,\mu)$ for the link from $x$ to $x+e_\mu$. A \emph{direction field} is a map $\sigma:\Z^4\to\{0,1,2,3\}$; its links are $F=\{(x,\sigma(x)):x\in\Z^4\}$. At each site put $\pi_x(\mu)=\sigma(x+e_\mu)$. The plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ has the links $(x,\mu)$, $(x+e_\mu,\nu)$, $(x+e_\nu,\mu)$, $(x,\nu)$, so it contains \begin{equation}\label{eq:count} [\sigma(x)\in\{\mu,\nu\}]+[\pi_x(\mu)=\nu]+[\pi_x(\nu)=\mu] \end{equation} links of $F$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:cycle} Every plaquette of $\Z^4$ contains exactly one link of $F$ if and only if, at every site $x$, $\pi_x$ fixes $\sigma(x)$ and permutes the other three directions cyclically. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Fix $x$, let $s=\sigma(x)$ and let $R$ be the set of the other three directions. For a plane $\{s,\nu\}$ the count~\eqref{eq:count} is $1+[\pi_x(s) =\nu]+[\pi_x(\nu)=s]$; it equals one for all $\nu\in R$ exactly when $\pi_x(s)=s$ and $\pi_x(\nu)\ne s$ for $\nu\in R$, that is, when $\pi_x$ fixes $s$ and maps $R$ into $R$. For a plane $\{\mu,\nu\}\subset R$ the count is $[\pi_x(\mu)=\nu]+[\pi_x(\nu)=\mu]$. Draw an arrow $\mu\to\pi_x(\mu)$ for every $\mu\in R$ with $\pi_x(\mu)\in R\setminus\{\mu\}$. Each vertex of $R$ has at most one outgoing arrow, and the condition says that each of the three pairs of $R$ carries exactly one arrow. Three arrows on three vertices with out-degree at most one give out-degree exactly one everywhere, and a tournament on three vertices with all out-degrees one is a directed three-cycle. \end{proof} From now on $\sigma$ is the field of period two given in Table~\ref{tab:sigma} of Appendix~\ref{app:table}, read from $x$ modulo two. The table lists $\pi_x$ at each of the sixteen residue classes; in each row $\pi_x$ fixes $\sigma(x)$ and is a three-cycle on the rest, so every plaquette contains exactly one link of $F$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:cycle}.\footnote{There are exactly eight period-two direction fields with this property, all equivalent to $\sigma$ under the symmetries of the lattice. A field with one fixed link at every site and one in every plaquette exists only in four dimensions: a link lies in $2(d-1)$ plaquettes and a site carries $d(d-1)/2$ of them, and $2(d-1)=d(d-1)/2$ forces $d=4$. The statements of this section are also checked in the Lean certificate of the archive.} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:structure} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $F$ is a disjoint union of bi-infinite straight lines, one through every site: every site has exactly one outgoing and one incoming link of $F$, and both point in the direction $\sigma(x)$. \item For every box $\Lambda$ (a product of four finite intervals, with the links and plaquettes it contains), $F\cap E(\Lambda)$ is a disjoint union of segments, hence a forest. \item A link $e=(x,\mu)\notin F$ lies in six plaquettes. Four of them contain a link of $F$ that shares an end point with $e$, and these lie in the planes $\{\mu,\sigma(x)\}$ and $\{\mu,\pi_x(\mu)\}$. In the other two, which lie in the remaining plane $\{\mu,\rho\}$, the link of $F$ is opposite to $e$. \item Every link outside $F$ shares a plaquette with exactly twelve other links outside $F$, two in each of its plaquettes. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) Since $\pi_x$ fixes $\sigma(x)$, $\sigma(x+e_{\sigma(x)})=\sigma(x)$. Because $\sigma$ has period two, $x-e_\mu\equiv x+e_\mu$, so also $\sigma(x-e_{\sigma(x)})=\sigma(x)$, and the link $(x-e_{\sigma(x)},\sigma(x))$ is in $F$. Conversely, if $(x-e_\nu,\nu)\in F$, then $\sigma(x-e_\nu)=\nu$, and straightness at $x-e_\nu$ gives $\sigma(x)=\nu$. So the incoming link is unique and continues the outgoing one. (ii) A line meets a box in a segment, and distinct lines are disjoint. (iii) The plaquettes of $e$ are, for each $\nu\ne\mu$, the one at $x$ and the one at $x-e_\nu$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$. A link of $F$ sharing an end point with $e$ is the outgoing or the incoming link of $F$ at $x$ or at $x+e_\mu$. At $x$ both point in the direction $s=\sigma(x)\ne\mu$, and they lie in the plaquettes at $x$ and at $x-e_s$ in the plane $\{\mu,s\}$. At $x+e_\mu$ both point in the direction $t=\pi_x(\mu)$, which lies in $R\setminus\{\mu\}$ because $\pi_x$ is a three-cycle on $R$, and they lie in the plaquettes at $x$ and at $x-e_t$ in the plane $\{\mu,t\}$. These four plaquettes are distinct because $s\ne t$. Each plaquette contains exactly one link of $F$, so in the two plaquettes of the third plane $\{\mu,\rho\}$ the link of $F$ is a link of direction $\mu$ or $\rho$ not touching $e$; the links of direction $\rho$ in such a plaquette touch $e$, so it is the opposite link. (iv) Each of the six plaquettes contains $e$, one link of $F$ and two other links, and two distinct links share at most one plaquette. \end{proof} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_linefield.png} \caption{(a) The line field in the slice $x_3=0$ of a box of side three. Thick red segments are the links of $F$ in the directions $0,1,2$, with a dot marking the direction of travel; an orange ring marks a site whose line leaves the slice in direction~$3$. Every line is straight (Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(i)), and the segments that leave the box are its boundary stubs. (b) One plaquette with its fixed link $e_1$. The weights are those of the local inequality of Lemma~\ref{lem:local} for the three free links: $\frac{21}{10}$ on the two links adjacent to $e_1$ and $\frac54$ on the opposite one. The two purple corners are the ones that enter the corner form~\eqref{eq:corner} once $Y_1=0$.} \label{fig:linefield} \end{figure*} \section{Gauge fixing and the free-boundary state}\label{sec:state} Let $G\subset\U(N)$ be compact with Haar measure $dU$, and let $\Lambda$ be a box. The Wilson measure with free boundary is \[ W_\Lambda(dQ)=\frac1{Z_\Lambda}\exp\Bigl(N\beta\sum_{p\in P(\Lambda)}\ReTr Q_p\Bigr)\prod_{e\in E(\Lambda)}dQ_e . \] The measure is invariant under the gauge transformations $Q_{(x,y)}\mapsto g_xQ_{(x,y)}g_y^{-1}$ with $g\in G^\Lambda$. Call the links outside $F$ \emph{active} and write $A$ for their set. For a function $O$ of the links, $O^F$ is $O$ with every link of $F$ set to the identity. \begin{lemma}[Gauge fixing]\label{lem:gaugefix} Let $\mu^F_\Lambda$ be the probability measure on $G^{A\cap E(\Lambda)}$ whose density with respect to Haar measure is proportional to $\exp(N\beta\sum_{p\in P(\Lambda)}\ReTr Q^F_p)$. For every gauge-invariant $O$ on $G^{E(\Lambda)}$, \[ W_\Lambda(O)=\mu^F_\Lambda(O^F). \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Each segment of $F\cap E(\Lambda)$ is a path $x_0,x_1,\dots,x_k$ along one direction. Given the variables on $F$, put $g_{x_0}=1$ and $g_{x_{i+1}}= g_{x_i}Q_{(x_i,x_{i+1})}$ on every segment. The transformed field has $Q^g_e =1$ on $F\cap E(\Lambda)$, and for fixed values on $F$ the map $Q_A\mapsto Q^g_A$ is a product of left and right translations, which preserves Haar measure. Gauge invariance of the action and of $O$ and the change of variables give the claim. \end{proof} No leftover holonomy appears because $F\cap E(\Lambda)$ is a forest. The measures $\mu^F_\Lambda$ are finite-volume versions of the specification $\gamma^F$ on $G^A$: for $e\in A$, $\gamma^F_e$ resamples $Q_e$ from the law with density proportional to $\exp(N\beta\sum_{p\ni e}\ReTr Q^F_p)$ given all other active links. No infinite-volume gauge transformation is performed; $\gamma^F$ is a specification in its own right. Fix a metric $\delta$ on $G$ of diameter $D$ that is bi-invariant (for $\SU(2)$ the chordal metric on $S^3$, $D=2$; for $\SU(N)$ the Hilbert--Schmidt distance). The Kantorovich coefficient of $e'$ on $e$ is \[ C_{ee'}=\sup\frac{W_1\bigl(\gamma^F_e(\cdot\mid Q),\gamma^F_e(\cdot\mid Q')\bigr)}{\delta(Q_{e'},Q'_{e'})}, \] the supremum over pairs of configurations that differ only at $e'$. It vanishes unless $e$ and $e'$ share a plaquette. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:state} Suppose that every row and every column of $(C_{ee'})$ sums to at most $\alpha<1$. Then: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\gamma^F$ has exactly one Gibbs measure $\mu_F$; \item for every gauge-invariant local $O$ the limit $\omega(O)=\lim W_\Lambda(O)$ exists along every sequence of boxes exhausting $\Z^4$ and equals $\mu_F(O^F)$; \item $\omega$ is invariant under translations and the hypercubic group; \item if $\beta\ge0$, $\omega$ is reflection positive for reflections in hyperplanes through sites and in hyperplanes bisecting links; \item for gauge-invariant local $O,O'$ with $O$ Lipschitz in each link, $|\Cov_\omega(O,O')|\le C_{O,O'}e^{-\lambda\dist(O,O')}$ for every $\lambda<-\log\alpha$; \item if $\beta\ge0$, the transfer matrix of $\omega$ has spectral gap at least $-\log\alpha$. \end{enumerate} \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) Gibbs measures exist by compactness, and the comparison lemma of Appendix~\ref{app:comparison} with $S=\emptyset$ shows that any two coincide. (ii) Extend $\mu^F_\Lambda$ by Haar measure on the active links outside $\Lambda$, and let $S$ be the set of active links with a plaquette outside $P(\Lambda)$; this includes every active link outside $E(\Lambda)$. For an active link $e\notin S$ all six plaquettes of $e$ lie in $P(\Lambda)$, so the conditional law of $Q_e$ under the extended measure is $\gamma^F_e$. Let $T$ be the support of $O^F$ and $\lambda<-\log\alpha$. The comparison lemma with weights $e^{-\lambda\dist(\cdot,T)}$ gives \[ |\mu^F_\Lambda(O^F)-\mu_F(O^F)|\le L\,\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta} \sum_{z\in S}e^{-\lambda\dist(z,T)}, \] with $\theta=\alpha e^\lambda<1$ and $L$ a Lipschitz constant of $O^F$; the sum is at most $C_TR^3e^{-\lambda R}$ when $R$ is the distance from $T$ to the complement of $\Lambda$. For $O$ continuous but not Lipschitz, approximate uniformly. Lemma~\ref{lem:gaugefix} gives $W_\Lambda(O)=\mu^F_\Lambda(O^F)$. (iii) $W_\Lambda(\tau_vO)=W_{\Lambda-v}(O)$, and the boxes $\Lambda-v$ also exhaust $\Z^4$; by (ii) the limit does not depend on the sequence. The line field is a device for computing $W_\Lambda$ and is never shifted. The same argument applies to the hypercubic group. (iv) For $\beta\ge0$ the measure $W_\Lambda$ is reflection positive for every box symmetric under the reflection~\cite{OSei78}, and reflection positivity passes to the limit along such boxes, which is $\omega$ by (ii). (v) $\Cov_\omega(O,O')=\Cov_{\mu_F}(O^F,O'^F)$, and setting the links of $F$ to the identity keeps the Lipschitz property. The bound is Corollary~\ref{cor:decay}. (vi) Let $\vartheta$ be a time reflection and $\tau_t$ a time translation. For gauge-invariant local $O$ that are Lipschitz in each link, (v) gives $|\omega(\vartheta(\bar O)\tau_tO)-|\omega(O)|^2|\le C_Oe^{-\lambda t}$. On the support of $O$ these functions are dense in the gauge-invariant part of $L^2(\omega)$: gauge-invariant functions are functions on the compact quotient of $G^{E}$ by the gauge group, Lipschitz functions for the quotient metric are dense in $L^2$ of every finite measure on it, and they lift to gauge-invariant Lipschitz functions. By Proposition~\ref{prop:gapdecay} the spectrum of the transfer matrix on the complement of the vacuum lies in $[0,e^{-\lambda}]$, for every $\lambda<-\log\alpha$. \end{proof} The proposition replaces the torus limits and the uniqueness of the ungauged Gibbs measure used in~\cite[Thm.~F]{BB26a} by the free-boundary limit, which has all the properties the reconstruction of the transfer matrix needs.\footnote{On a torus the line field closes up into cycles, and the holonomies along them cannot be removed by a gauge transformation; the argument never uses a torus. The state $\omega$ is defined only on gauge-invariant observables, which is all that the Osterwalder--Schrader reconstruction~\cite{OS73,OS75,OSei78} uses.} \section{SU(2) up to one third}\label{sec:su2} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2}] Identify $\SU(2)$ with the unit quaternions and use the chordal metric. For an active link $e$ and a plaquette $p\ni e$, the staple $s_p$ is the product of the other three link variables in the order that makes $\operatorname{Re}(Q_es_p) =\frac12\Tr Q_p$, with links of $F$ equal to one. Since $N\beta\ReTr Q_p= 4\beta\ip{Q_e}{\bar s_p}$ in $\R^4$, the conditional law of $Q_e$ is the von Mises--Fisher law $\nu_b(dx)\propto e^{\ip xb}dx$ on $S^3$ with $b=4\beta \sum_{p\ni e}\bar s_p$. Changing a partner $e'$ by $\delta$ in the chordal metric changes one staple by an isometric image of that displacement, so $b$ moves by $4|\beta|\delta$, and the sharp quarter (Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter}), $W_1(\nu_b,\nu_{b'})\le\frac14|b-b'|$, gives $C_{ee'}\le|\beta|$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(iv) every row and column has twelve nonzero entries, so $\alpha\le12|\beta|=3|\beta_W|$. Proposition~\ref{prop:state} applies for $|\beta_W|<\frac13$. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:ceiling}] For the line field, every staple of an active link contains two active links, so the six staples can be chosen with sum zero while the staple through a given partner $e'$ moves freely. At $b=0$ the derivative of $\nu_b$ in the direction $h$ has Kantorovich norm $\frac14|h|$ by Lemma~\ref{q-lem:rate}(i), so $C_{ee'}=|\beta|$ exactly, and every row sum is $12|\beta|=3|\beta_W|$. Now let $F'$ be any forest and $C'$ the matrix of the statement. Suppose a positive weight $w$ satisfies $C'w\le\alpha w$. For a box $\Lambda_n$ of side $n$ let $C_n$ be the principal submatrix on the active links of $E(\Lambda_n)$; then $C_nw\le\alpha w$ on these links, and the Collatz--Wielandt inequality for nonnegative matrices gives $\rho(C_n)\le\alpha$. Since $C_n$ is symmetric, $\rho(C_n)$ is at least the mean row sum. The box has $4n^4-O(n^3)$ links and $n^4$ sites, and a forest has fewer links than sites, so the number $a$ of active links is at least $3n^4-O(n^3)$. Let $a_p$ be the number of active links of the plaquette $p$; the box has $P=6n^4-O(n^3)$ plaquettes and $\sum_pa_p=6a-O(n^3)$. Two links share at most one plaquette, so the row sums add up to $|\beta|\sum_pa_p(a_p-1)$, and by convexity \[ \frac{|\beta|}a\sum_pa_p(a_p-1)\ge\frac{|\beta|P}a\,\bar a(\bar a-1) =6|\beta|(\bar a-1)-o(1), \] with $\bar a=\sum_pa_p/P=6a/P-o(1)\ge3-o(1)$. Hence $\alpha\ge12|\beta|-o(1)$ for every $n$, and $\alpha\ge12|\beta|=3|\beta_W|$. \end{proof} Without gauge fixing the same count gives eighteen partners and the ceiling $\beta_W=\frac29$ of~\cite[Prop.~13]{BB26a}; the temporal gauge, a family of lines in one direction, leaves fourteen. The line field is optimal among forests: twelve is the mean number of partners forced by the number of free links, and it is attained at every link. \section{SU(2) past one third: plaquette blocks}\label{sec:plaqblocks} Throughout this section $G=\SU(2)$ is the group of unit quaternions with the chordal metric $|x-y|$, $\bar x$ is the conjugate, $\ip xy=\operatorname{Re} (x\bar y)$ is the inner product of $\R^4$, and $dx$ is the normalised Haar measure on $S^3$. Left and right multiplication by unit quaternions and conjugation are isometries, and $\operatorname{Re}(xyz)=\operatorname{Re} (yzx)=\ip y{\bar z\bar x}$. Put \[ Z_0(c)=\int_{S^3}e^{\ip cx}dx=\sum_{j\ge0}\frac{(|c|^2/4)^j}{j!\,(j+1)!}, \qquad c\in\R^4, \] let $\nu_c(dx)\propto e^{\ip cx}dx$ be the von Mises--Fisher law, and write $g=\log Z_0$, so that $\nabla g(c)$ is the mean and $\Hess g(c)$ the covariance of $\nu_c$. \subsection{The blocks} Let $\mathcal B$ be the set of plaquettes at $x$ in the plane $\{0,1\}$ with $x_0\equiv x_1$ and in the plane $\{2,3\}$ with $x_2\equiv x_3$, congruences modulo two (Table~\ref{tab:plaqblocks} of Appendix~\ref{app:plaqblocks} lists them modulo $2\Z^4$, and Fig.~\ref{fig:plaqblocks} draws them). A \emph{block plaquette} is a plaquette of $\mathcal B$, and its \emph{block} is the set of its three active links. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:plaqblocks} The set $\mathcal B$ is invariant under translations by $2\Z^4$ and: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item the blocks partition the active links; \item every plaquette $p\notin\mathcal B$ meets three distinct blocks, one in each of its active links; \item every active link lies in exactly five plaquettes outside $\mathcal B$, so it shares a plaquette outside $\mathcal B$ with exactly ten active links, none of them in its own block; \item if an active link $j$ and a link of a block $B$ lie in a common plaquette outside $\mathcal B$, then every link of $B$ has its midpoint within distance $2$ of the midpoint of $j$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Invariance under $2\Z^4$ is clear from the congruences. We use one fact throughout: two distinct links lie in at most one common plaquette, since they span it. Every link lies in exactly one plaquette of $\mathcal B$. Indeed, a link $(y,\mu)$ with $\mu\in\{0,1\}$ lies in no plaquette of the plane $\{2,3\}$, and in exactly two of the plane $\{0,1\}$, those at $y$ and at $y-e_\nu$, where $\nu$ is the other element of $\{0,1\}$. The base points $y$ and $y-e_\nu$ differ only in the coordinate $\nu$, so $y_0-y_1$ has opposite parities at the two, and exactly one of them satisfies $x_0\equiv x_1$. The directions $2,3$ are treated in the same way. Every plaquette of $\Z^4$ contains exactly one link of $F$ (Lemma~\ref{lem:cycle}), so a block plaquette contains three active links, and every active link lies in exactly one block. This is (i). (ii) Let $p\notin\mathcal B$ have active links $e_1,e_2,e_3$, and let $q_i$ be the block plaquette of $e_i$. Then $q_i\ne p$, so $q_i\cap p=\{e_i\}$ by the fact above. If $q_i=q_k$ with $i\ne k$, then $e_i,e_k$ lie in the two distinct plaquettes $p$ and $q_i$, which is impossible. So the three blocks are distinct, and each meets $p$ in one link. (iii) An active link $e$ lies in six plaquettes (Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}), and by (i) exactly one of them is in $\mathcal B$. Each of the other five contains two further active links. These ten links are distinct, because a link other than $e$ shares at most one plaquette with $e$, and none lies in the block of $e$, because a link $f$ of that block sharing the plaquette $p\notin\mathcal B$ with $e$ would put $e,f$ in the two distinct plaquettes $p$ and the block plaquette of $e$. (iv) Let $f\in B$ share the plaquette $p\notin\mathcal B$ with $j$. Two links of one unit square have midpoints at distance $2^{-1/2}$ or $1$, so the midpoint of $j$ is within distance $1$ of that of $f$, and the midpoint of $f$ is within distance $1$ of that of every link of its block plaquette. The triangle inequality gives the bound $2$. \end{proof} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.82\textwidth]{figures/fig_plaqblocks.png} \caption{Block plaquettes, shaded, in (a) a plane $\{0,1\}$ and (b) a plane $\{2,3\}$: the plaquettes at $x$ with $x_0\equiv x_1$, respectively $x_2\equiv x_3$, modulo two. Red links belong to the line field $F$; a filled dot marks a site whose line runs in the plane, an open dot one whose line leaves it. The shaded squares form a checkerboard, so every link of the plane borders exactly one of them, and every square contains exactly one red link (Lemma~\ref{lem:cycle}); hence each block plaquette carries three active links and the blocks partition the active links (Lemma~\ref{lem:plaqblocks}(i)).} \label{fig:plaqblocks} \end{figure*} Fix a block plaquette $p$ with active links $e_1,e_2,e_3$. Reading the plaquette product cyclically and deleting its fixed link, $\frac12\Tr Q_p= \operatorname{Re}(y_1y_2y_3)$, where $y_i$ is $Q_{e_i}$ or $Q_{e_i}^{-1}$. Every other plaquette containing $e_i$ meets the block only in $e_i$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:plaqblocks}(ii) and contributes $4\beta\ip{y_i}{\bar s}$ to the exponent, where $s$ is the staple of $y_i$ in it. Hence the conditional law of the block given all other active links is \begin{equation}\label{eq:blocklaw} \mu_b(dy)\propto\exp\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^3\ip{y_i}{b_i}+4\beta\operatorname{Re} (y_1y_2y_3)\Bigr)dy_1\,dy_2\,dy_3, \end{equation} with $b_i$ the sum of $4\beta\bar s$ over the five staples, so that $|b_i|\le20|\beta|$. Inversion is an isometry of $S^3$ and preserves Haar measure, so we may work with $y$ instead of $Q$. On $(S^3)^3$ we use the metric $d(y,y')=\sum_i|y_i-y'_i|$. \subsection{The sensitivity of one block} Let $\lambda_*$ and $\tau$ be a lower and an upper bound for the eigenvalues of $\Hess g(c)$ on the ball $|c|\le24|\beta|$, and $M$ an upper bound there for the norm of the third derivative $D^3g(c)$ as a trilinear form. Put \begin{equation}\label{eq:blockconst} \begin{gathered} w=8\beta^2(\tau-\lambda_*),\qquad s=\tfrac14+(e^w-1)e^w\sqrt{\tau/3},\\ C=4|\beta|sA+\tfrac{320}3|\beta|^3Me^w,\qquad K=\frac{(1+|\beta|)\,s}{1-C}, \end{gathered} \end{equation} assuming $C<1$, where $A$ is an upper bound for $|\nabla g(c)|$ on the ball $|c|\le20|\beta|$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:tilt} Let $\nu$ be a probability measure and $\lambda=e^R\nu/\nu(e^R)$ with $\operatorname{osc}R\le\omega$. For bounded $f,h$, \[ \Cov_\lambda(f,h)\le\Cov_\nu(f,h)+(e^\omega-1)e^\omega\,\mathrm{sd}_\nu(f) \,\mathrm{sd}_\nu(h). \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} We may assume $0\le R\le\omega$. The density $\rho=e^R/\nu(e^R)$ lies in $[e^{-\omega},e^\omega]$, so $\delta=\|\rho-1\|_\infty\le e^\omega-1$. With $\tilde f=f-\nu f$ and $\tilde h=h-\nu h$, \[ \begin{split} \Cov_\lambda(f,h)-\Cov_\nu(f,h)={}&\nu\bigl((\rho-1)\tilde f\tilde h\bigr)\\ &-\nu\bigl((\rho-1)\tilde f\bigr)\,\nu\bigl((\rho-1)\tilde h\bigr), \end{split} \] and the right side is at most $(\delta+\delta^2)\,\mathrm{sd}_\nu(f)\, \mathrm{sd}_\nu(h)$ by the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:onesite} Let $\beta\ge0$, $a,c_0\in\R^4$ with $|a|,|c_0|\le20\beta$, and \[ \kappa(dx)\propto\exp\bigl(\ip xa+g(c_0+4\beta\bar x)\bigr)dx \quad\text{on }S^3 . \] For every $1$-Lipschitz $f$ and every $h\in\R^4$: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\Cov_\kappa(f,\ip xh)\le s|h|$; \item if $\kappa'$ is the law with $c_0'$ in place of $c_0$ and $|c_0'|=|c_0|=\rho$, then $|\kappa(f)-\kappa'(f)|\le(8\beta s\varphi'(\rho^2) +\frac{16}3\beta^2Me^w)|c_0-c_0'|$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) Taylor's formula at $c_0$ gives $g(c_0+4\beta u)=g(c_0)+4\beta\ip{\nabla g(c_0)}u+R(u)$ with $R(u)=8\beta^2\Hess g(\xi)(u,u)$ for some $\xi$ on the segment, $|\xi|\le24\beta$. For $u=\bar x$ of norm one, $R(\bar x)\in[8\beta^2 \lambda_*,8\beta^2\tau]$, so $\operatorname{osc}R\le w$. Since $\ip{\nabla g(c_0)}{\bar x}=\ip x{\overline{\nabla g(c_0)}}$, $\kappa$ is the tilt $e^{R}\nu/\nu(e^R)$ of $\nu=\nu_c$ with $c=a+4\beta\overline{\nabla g(c_0)}$. The sharp quarter, Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter}, gives $\Cov_\nu(f,\ip xh)=\frac{d}{dt} \nu_{c+th}(f)\le\frac14|h|$. A function that is $1$-Lipschitz for the chordal metric is $1$-Lipschitz for the geodesic one, so $|\nabla f|\le1$ almost everywhere and the Poincar\'e inequality of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:vmf} gives $\mathrm{sd}_\nu(f)\le1/\sqrt3$; and $\mathrm{sd}_\nu\ip xh\le\sqrt\tau|h|$ because $|c|\le|a|+4\beta\le24\beta$. Lemma~\ref{lem:tilt} gives (i). The same argument applies to every law $e^{R'}\nu_{c'}/\nu_{c'}(e^{R'})$ with $|c'|\le24\beta$ and $\operatorname{osc}R'\le w$. (ii) We interpolate the exponents rather than the field. For $t\in[0,1]$ let $\kappa_t\propto\exp\bigl(\ip xa+(1-t)g(c_0+4\beta\bar x)+tg(c'_0+4\beta \bar x)\bigr)dx$, so that $\kappa_0=\kappa$, $\kappa_1=\kappa'$ and $\frac d{dt}\kappa_t(f)=\Cov_{\kappa_t}(f,D)$ with $D(x)=g(c'_0+4\beta\bar x)- g(c_0+4\beta\bar x)$. Write $g(c+4\beta u)=g(c)+4\beta\ip{\nabla g(c)}u+R_c(u)$ as in (i), for $c\in\{c_0,c'_0\}$. Then $\kappa_t$ is the tilt of $\nu_{c_t}$, $c_t=a+4\beta\,\overline{(1-t)\nabla g(c_0)+t\nabla g(c'_0)}$, by $R_t=(1-t)R_{c_0}+tR_{c'_0}$, with $\operatorname{osc}R_t\le w$ and $|c_t|\le 24\beta$ because $|\nabla g|\le1$; so (i) holds for $\kappa_t$, and the density of $\kappa_t$ with respect to $\nu_{c_t}$ is at most $e^w$. Up to a constant, $D(x)=\ip xh+N(\bar x)$ with $h=4\beta\,\overline{\nabla g(c'_0)-\nabla g(c_0)}$ and $N=R_{c'_0}-R_{c_0}$. Since $\nabla g(c)=2\varphi'(|c|^2)c$ and $|c_0|=|c'_0|=\rho$, $|h|=8\beta\varphi'(\rho^2)|c_0-c'_0|$, and by (i) the linear part contributes at most $s|h|$. For the rest, $\nabla N(u)=16\beta^2 \int_0^1\bigl(\Hess g(c'_0+4\beta\sigma u)-\Hess g(c_0+4\beta\sigma u)\bigr)u\, d\sigma$, both arguments in the convex ball $|c|\le24\beta$, so $N$ is $L$-Lipschitz on the unit ball with $L=16\beta^2M|c_0-c'_0|$. With $\nu= \nu_{c_t}$ and the Poincar\'e inequality of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:vmf} again, $\Var_{\kappa_t}(N)\le\kappa_t((N-\nu N)^2)\le e^w\Var_\nu(N)\le e^wL^2/3$, and in the same way $\Var_{\kappa_t}(f)\le e^w/3$. So $\Cov_{\kappa_t}(f,N)\le e^wL/3$. Integrating over $t$ gives (ii). \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:blockK} Let $C<1$. If $b$ and $b'$ satisfy $|b_i|,|b'_i|\le20|\beta|$ and differ only in one coordinate $b_i$, then \[ W_1(\mu_b,\mu_{b'})\le K\,|b_i-b'_i| \] in the metric $d$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The map $y_1\mapsto-y_1$ turns $\mu_b$ for $\beta$ into the law for $-\beta$ with $b_1$ replaced by $-b_1$ and is an isometry, so we may take $\beta\ge0$; the cyclic symmetry of $\operatorname{Re}(y_1y_2y_3)$ lets us take $i=1$. Let $f$ be $1$-Lipschitz for $d$ and $\varepsilon=|b_1-b'_1|$. \emph{The middle link.} Given $y_1,y_3$, the law of $y_2$ is $\nu_c$ with $c= b_2+4\beta\,\overline{y_3y_1}$, which does not involve $b_1$. Changing $y_1$ by $\eta$ moves $c$ by $4\beta\eta$, and the sharp quarter moves $\nu_c$ by at most $\beta\eta$ in $W_1$. Hence $F(y_1,y_3)=\E[f\mid y_1,y_3]$ is $(1+\beta)$-Lipschitz in each variable, and $\mu_b(f)=\mu^{13}_b(F)$, where $\mu^{13}_b$ is the law of $(y_1,y_3)$: \[ \mu^{13}_b\propto e^{\ip{y_1}{b_1}+\ip{y_3}{b_3}}Z_0\bigl(b_2+4\beta\, \overline{y_3y_1}\bigr). \] Since $|b_2+4\beta\overline{y_3y_1}|=|b_2y_3+4\beta\bar y_1|=|y_1b_2+ 4\beta\bar y_3|$, its conditional laws are \[ \begin{split} \kappa_1(dy_1\mid y_3)&\propto e^{\ip{y_1}{b_1}+g(b_2y_3+4\beta\bar y_1)}dy_1,\\ \kappa_3(dy_3\mid y_1)&\propto e^{\ip{y_3}{b_3}+g(y_1b_2+4\beta\bar y_3)}dy_3, \end{split} \] both of the form of Lemma~\ref{lem:onesite}, with $|c_0|=|b_2|$. \emph{Two sites.} Integrating Lemma~\ref{lem:onesite}(i) along the segment from $b_1$ to $b'_1$ gives $W_1(\kappa_1,\kappa'_1)\le s\varepsilon$ for the same $y_3$. Moving $y_3$ to $y'_3$ replaces $c_0=b_2y_3$ by $c'_0=b_2y'_3$, of the same norm $\rho=|b_2|\le20\beta$ and with $|c_0-c'_0|=\rho|y_3-y'_3|$. Since $\rho\cdot2\varphi'(\rho^2)=|\nabla g(c_0)|\le A$, Lemma~\ref{lem:onesite}(ii) gives $W_1(\kappa_1(\cdot\mid y_3),\kappa_1( \cdot\mid y'_3))\le(4\beta sA+20\beta\cdot\frac{16}3\beta^2Me^w)|y_3-y'_3|= C|y_3-y'_3|$, and the same for $\kappa_3$, which does not depend on $b_1$. Let $\pi$ be a coupling of $\mu^{13}_b$ and $\mu^{13}_{b'}$ minimising $d_1+d_3$, $d_k=\E_\pi|y_k-y'_k|$. Replacing $(y_1,y'_1)$ by an optimal coupling of $\kappa_1(\cdot\mid y_3)$ and $\kappa'_1(\cdot\mid y'_3)$ keeps a coupling, so minimality gives $d_1\le s\varepsilon+Cd_3$; in the same way $d_3\le Cd_1$. Hence $d_1\le s\varepsilon/(1-C^2)$ and \[ |\mu_b(f)-\mu_{b'}(f)|\le(1+\beta)(d_1+d_3)\le\frac{(1+\beta)s}{1-C} \,\varepsilon=K\varepsilon .\qedhere \] \end{proof} \subsection{The constants} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:vmfconst} Write $g(c)=\varphi(|c|^2)$ and $r=|c|$. For $c\ne0$ the eigenvalues of $\Hess g(c)$ are $2\varphi'(r^2)$, three times, and $2\varphi'(r^2)+4r^2 \varphi''(r^2)$, and the norm of $D^3g(c)$ is \[ \max\Bigl(|A+\Gamma|,\tfrac23|A|\Bigr),\qquad A=12r\varphi''(r^2),\quad \Gamma=8r^3\varphi'''(r^2). \] On the ball $r\le2.106$ every eigenvalue of $\Hess g$ lies between $0.156381$ and $0.25000001$, and the norm of $D^3g$ is at most $0.0615172$; on the ball $r\le1.755$, $|\nabla g|\le0.391443$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Differentiating $\varphi(|c|^2)$ gives $D^2g(v,v)=2\varphi'|v|^2+4\varphi'' \ip cv^2$ and $D^3g(v,v,v)=12\varphi''\ip cv|v|^2+8\varphi'''\ip cv^3$. For $|v|=1$ and $t=\ip{c/r}v\in[-1,1]$ the cubic form is $At+\Gamma t^3$, whose largest absolute value is attained at $t=\pm1$ or at an interior critical point, where it equals $\frac23|A||t|\le\frac23|A|$; by Banach's theorem~\cite{Ban38} the supremum of a symmetric trilinear form on the diagonal of the unit sphere is its norm. The numerical bounds are obtained in ball arithmetic~\cite{Joh17} from the series of $Z_0$, truncated after forty-eight terms with a proved bound on the tail, on $2\cdot10^5$ subintervals of $[0,2.106]$, with $|\nabla g(c)|=r\cdot2\varphi'(r^2)$; the program is described in Appendix~\ref{app:plaqblocks}. \end{proof} \subsection{The proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks}} Let $\gamma^{\mathcal B}$ be the block specification: for a block $B$, $\gamma^{\mathcal B}_B$ resamples the three links of $B$ from~\eqref{eq:blocklaw}. It comes from the same interaction as $\gamma^F$, so the two specifications have the same Gibbs measures. Define the block coefficients \[ C_{Bj}=\sup\frac{W_1\bigl(\gamma^{\mathcal B}_B(\cdot\mid Q),\gamma^{\mathcal B}_B (\cdot\mid Q')\bigr)}{|Q_j-Q'_j|} \] for an active link $j\notin B$, the supremum over pairs of configurations that differ only at $j$, with $W_1$ for the metric $d$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:blockstate} Suppose that $\sum_BC_{Bj}\le\alpha<1$ for every active link $j$. Then the conclusions (i)--(vi) of Proposition~\ref{prop:state} hold with $-\frac12\log\alpha$ in place of $-\log\alpha$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:state} goes through with Lemma~\ref{lem:blockcomparison} of Appendix~\ref{app:comparison} in place of Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison}, and with the set $S$ of part~(ii), and the support of $H$ in Corollary~\ref{cor:decay}, enlarged to the union of the blocks that meet it. The enlargement multiplies the size of these sets by at most three and moves them by at most one, which changes only the constants. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks}] Let $|\beta|\le0.351/4$ and take the constants of Lemma~\ref{lem:vmfconst}, whose balls $r\le2.106$ and $r\le1.755$ contain $|c|\le24|\beta|$ and $|c|\le20|\beta|$. With these fixed constants every quantity in~\eqref{eq:blockconst} is increasing in $|\beta|$, and so is \begin{equation}\label{eq:alphablock} \alpha(\beta_W)=40|\beta|K . \end{equation} Changing an active link $j$ by $\eta$ changes one staple of each of its ten partners outside its block by an isometric image of the displacement, so the field $b_i$ of each such partner $i$ moves by at most $4|\beta|\eta$, and Lemma~\ref{lem:blockK}, applied once for each of these ten fields, gives $\sum_BC_{Bj}\le40|\beta|K$. Evaluating~\eqref{eq:blockconst} in ball arithmetic at $\beta_W=0.351$ gives $w\le0.0057670$, $s\le0.2516793$, $C\le0.0390392$, $K\le0.2848858$ and $\alpha\le0.99995$; at $\beta_W=0.345$ and $\beta_W=\frac13$ it gives $\alpha\le0.98044$ and $\alpha\le0.94279$. At $\beta_W=0.3511$ the same evaluation exceeds one. Proposition~\ref{prop:blockstate} applies. \end{proof} \begin{remark}\label{rem:blockgap} Most of the range is kept. A second bound for the same sensitivity, which keeps the law of the middle link instead of linearising it, evaluated in floating point on a quadrature grid and maximised over the fields $b$ by a random search followed by the Nelder--Mead method, gives $0.2783$ at $\beta_W=0.34$, against $0.2837$ from Lemma~\ref{lem:blockK}, and $40|\beta|$ times it crosses one near $\beta_W=0.357$. Most of the difference is the two-site constant $C\approx0.038$, which the floating-point value suggests is about twice the true feedback between $y_1$ and $y_3$. No bound of this form passes $\beta_W\approx0.366$: at $b=0$ the function $f=\ip{y_1}e+ \operatorname{Re}(y_2y_3e)$ is $1$-Lipschitz for $d$ and has $\Cov_{\mu_b}(f, \ip{y_1}e)=\frac14(1+\beta)+O(\beta^2)$, so the sensitivity is at least $\frac14(1+|\beta|)+O(\beta^2)$ and $40|\beta|$ times it is $10|\beta|(1+|\beta|)+O(|\beta|^3)$. That computation is not certified and is not used in the proof. Past this point the gain from integrating out one link is spent, and larger blocks are needed, such as the free links of a cube of the line field, whose sensitivity no longer reduces to two sites. \end{remark} \section{Curvature in the gauge}\label{sec:curvature} In this section $G\subset\U(N)$ is a closed connected subgroup with Lie algebra $\g$ and the inner product $\ip XY=-\Tr(XY)$; the bound of Theorem~\ref{thm:curv} is proved first for $\U(N)$. A tangent vector at a field $Q$ is $v=(X_eQ_e)$, $|v|^2=\sum_e|X_e|^2$. For the plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\mu<\nu$ number its links $e_1=(x,\mu)$, $e_2=(x+e_\mu,\nu)$, $e_3=(x+e_\nu,\mu)$, $e_4=(x,\nu)$, transport their vectors to $x$, \begin{equation}\label{eq:transport} Y_1=X_{e_1},\ \ Y_2=Q_{e_1}X_{e_2}Q_{e_1}^*,\ \ Y_3=Q_{e_4}X_{e_3}Q_{e_4}^*,\ \ Y_4=X_{e_4}, \end{equation} and write $W=Q_p$. The second derivative of $\ReTr Q_p$ along the geodesic $Q_e(t)=e^{tX_e}Q_e$ is \begin{equation}\label{eq:fp} \begin{split} f_p={}&\sum_{i=1}^4\ReTr(Y_i^2W)+2\ReTr(Y_1Y_2W)+2\ReTr(Y_3Y_4W)\\ &-2\sum_{i\in\{1,2\},\,j\in\{3,4\}}\ReTr(Y_iWY_j), \end{split} \end{equation} so that $\Hess S_0(v,v)=\sum_pf_p$. To see this, write $Q_p=Q_{e_1}Q_{e_2}Q_{e_3}^*Q_{e_4}^*$. Since $Q_{e_1}e^{tX_{e_2}}=e^{tY_2}Q_{e_1}$ and $e^{-tX_{e_3}}Q_{e_4}^*=Q_{e_4}^* e^{-tY_3}$, the plaquette variable along the geodesic is $Q_p(t)=e^{tY_1}e^{tY_2}We^{-tY_3}e^{-tY_4}$. Differentiating twice at $t=0$ gives the four squares, the two products of neighbouring factors and the four products across $W$, and the squares and the product $WY_3Y_4$ are moved cyclically under the trace. The corner form of $p$ is \begin{equation}\label{eq:corner} c_p=2\ip{Y_1}{Y_4}-2\ip{Y_1}{Y_2}+2\ip{Y_2}{WY_3W^*}-2\ip{Y_3}{Y_4}. \end{equation} It collects the inner products of the transported vectors of two links that meet at a right angle at a corner of $p$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:identity} On $\Z^4$, or on a box with free boundary, for every field $Q$ and every square-summable $X$, \[ \begin{split} &\sum_y\Bigl[|D_yX|^2+\sum_\mu\bigl|X_{y,\mu}+Q^*_{y-e_\mu,\mu}X_{y-e_\mu,\mu} Q_{y-e_\mu,\mu}\bigr|^2\Bigr]\\ &\qquad=4|X|^2+\sum_pc_p , \end{split} \] where $D_yX=\sum_\mu[X_{y,\mu}-Q^*_{y-e_\mu,\mu}X_{y-e_\mu,\mu}Q_{y-e_\mu,\mu}]$ is the covariant divergence and terms with a link outside the box are omitted. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} At a site $y$ write $o_\mu$ for the vector of the outgoing link in direction $\mu$ and $i_\mu$ for the transported vector of the incoming one, so that $D_yX=\sum_\mu(o_\mu-i_\mu)$. Every link is outgoing at one end and incoming at the other, so the squares $|o_\mu|^2+|i_\mu|^2$, which appear once in $|D_yX|^2$ and once in $|o_\mu+i_\mu|^2$, add up to $4|X|^2$. The collinear cross term $-2\ip{o_\mu}{i_\mu}$ of $|D_yX|^2$ cancels the term $+2\ip{o_\mu}{i_\mu}$ of $|o_\mu+i_\mu|^2$. The remaining cross terms of $|D_yX|^2$ pair two perpendicular ends at $y$, and each such pair is a corner of exactly one plaquette, with the sign and the transport of~\eqref{eq:corner} (this is the proof of~\cite[Lemma~1]{BB26a}). In a box two perpendicular ends at $y$ span a plaquette of the box, because a box is a product of intervals. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:local} Let $k\in\{1,2,3,4\}$, let $k\pm1$ \textup{(}mod $4$\textup{)} be the positions adjacent to $k$ and $k+2$ the opposite one. For every $N$, every $W\in\U(N)$ and all $Y_1,\dots,Y_4\in\mathfrak u(N)$ with $Y_k=0$, \[ \pm f_p+\tfrac9{10}c_p\le\tfrac{21}{10}\bigl(|Y_{k-1}|^2+|Y_{k+1}|^2\bigr) +\tfrac54|Y_{k+2}|^2 . \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Replacing $W$ by $-W$ changes the sign of $f_p$ and fixes $c_p$, so the sign $+$ suffices. Conjugation by a unitary matrix preserves both sides, so we may take $W=\operatorname{diag}(w_a)$. The form $\mathcal F=\mathrm{RHS}-f_p- \frac9{10}c_p$ then splits into a block for each diagonal position $a$, in the real variables $y_i=-i(Y_i)_{aa}$, and a block for each pair $a\ne b$, in the complex variables $z_i=(Y_i)_{ab}$, since $(Y_i)_{ba}=-\bar z_i$. Appendix~\ref{app:blocks} shows that every block is positive definite. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of the bound in Theorem~\ref{thm:curv}] Every plaquette has exactly one link of $F$, and $X$ vanishes on it. By Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(iii) each active link is adjacent to the fixed link in four of its plaquettes and opposite to it in two. Summing Lemma~\ref{lem:local} over the plaquettes, \[ \sum_p\bigl(\pm f_p+\tfrac9{10}c_p\bigr)\le\bigl(4\cdot\tfrac{21}{10}+2\cdot \tfrac54\bigr)|X|^2=\tfrac{109}{10}|X|^2 . \] By Lemma~\ref{lem:identity}, $\frac9{10}\sum_pc_p=\frac9{10}\Sigma-\frac{36}{10} |X|^2$, where $\Sigma\ge0$ is the left side of the lemma. Hence \[ \pm\Hess S_0(v,v)+\tfrac9{10}\Sigma\le\bigl(\tfrac{109}{10}+\tfrac{36}{10}\bigr) |X|^2=\tfrac{29}2|X|^2 . \] In a box, links near the boundary lie in fewer plaquettes and receive less. \end{proof} The factor $\frac9{10}$ is chosen so that the corners are paid by the divergence identity at the price $\frac{36}{10}$ while the local blocks stay positive; Lemma~\ref{lem:identity} is the divergence identity of~\cite[Lemma~1]{BB26a} with the collinear term written as a square, so nothing is lost by Cauchy--Schwarz. The two lemmas concern vectors in $\mathfrak u(N)$ and fields in $\U(N)$, so the bound holds without change on every closed subgroup $G\subset\U(N)$, the vectors $X_e$ ranging over its Lie algebra $\g$. It is also the Hessian of $S_0$ on $G^E$: the metric is bi-invariant, the geodesics of $G$ through $Q_e$ are the curves $e^{tX}Q_e$ with $X\in\g$, which are geodesics of $\U(N)$, and the Hessian is read off from second derivatives along geodesics. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:ricci} Let $G\subset\U(N)$ be closed and connected with simple Lie algebra $\g$, let $\mathfrak t\subset\g$ be a maximal abelian subalgebra, and write the eigenvalues of $\operatorname{ad}H$ on $\g\otimes\C$ and of $H$ on $\C^N$, for $H\in\mathfrak t$, as $i\alpha(H)$ and $i\mu(H)$, with $\alpha$ running over the roots and $\mu$ over the weights of $\C^N$ counted with multiplicity. Then $\Ric_G=\kappa_G\ip\cdot\cdot$ with \[ \kappa_G=\frac{\sum_\alpha\alpha(H)^2}{4\sum_\mu\mu(H)^2}\qquad(0\ne H\in\mathfrak t). \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} For a bi-invariant metric the curvature is $R(X,Y)Z=-\frac14[[X,Y],Z]$ on left-invariant fields~\cite[Sect.~7]{Mil76}, so for an orthonormal basis $(E_i)$ of $\g$, \[ \begin{split} \Ric(X,X)&=\sum_i\ip{R(E_i,X)X}{E_i}\\ &=\tfrac14\sum_i|[X,E_i]|^2=-\tfrac14\Tr(\operatorname{ad}X)^2 , \end{split} \] since $\operatorname{ad}X$ is skew. The Killing form $B(X,Y)=\Tr(\operatorname{ad}X \operatorname{ad}Y)$ and $\ip\cdot\cdot$ are invariant under the adjoint action, and $\g$ is simple, so $B=-4\kappa\ip\cdot\cdot$ for a constant $\kappa$ and $\Ric=\kappa\ip\cdot\cdot$. On $H\in\mathfrak t$ the two forms are $B(H,H)=-\sum_\alpha\alpha(H)^2$ and $\ip HH=-\Tr H^2=\sum_\mu\mu(H)^2$. \end{proof} Table~\ref{tab:groups} evaluates the ratio of Lemma~\ref{lem:ricci} for every compact simple Lie algebra and a faithful representation of least dimension, on the root systems of~\cite[Sect.~12.1]{Hum72}; the weights of the representations of dimensions $27$ and $56$ of $E_6$ and $E_7$ are the roots of $E_8$ with prescribed inner products with a subsystem $A_2$, respectively $A_1$, projected to its orthogonal complement, by the decompositions $248=(78,1)+(27,3)+(\overline{27},\bar3)+(1,8)$ and $248=(133,1)+(56,2)+(1,3)$~\cite{Sla81}. Taking for $H$ the coroot $\theta^\vee$ of the highest root gives $\sum_\alpha\alpha(\theta^\vee)^2=4h^\vee$ and $\sum_\mu\mu(\theta^\vee)^2=2\ell_\rho$, so $\kappa_G=h^\vee/(2\ell_\rho)$, with the Dynkin index normalised to one on the defining representation of $\SU(N)$. The ratio depends on $\g$ and $\rho$ only, so it is the same for every compact group with Lie algebra $\g$, simply connected or not. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:mixed} Let $e\ne e'$ be two links of a plaquette $p$, and write \[ \Hess\ReTr Q_p(v,v)=\sum_{e,e'\in p}H^p_{ee'}(X_e,X_{e'}) \] with bilinear forms satisfying $H^p_{ee'}(a,b)=H^p_{e'e}(b,a)$. Then $|H^p_{ee'}(a,b)|\le|a|\,|b|$ for all $a,b\in\mathfrak u(N)$ and every field. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} By~\eqref{eq:fp} the terms of $f_p$ that mix two positions $i\ne j$ are $2\ReTr(Y_1Y_2W)$, $2\ReTr(Y_3Y_4W)$ and $-2\ReTr(Y_iWY_j)$, so $H^p_{ee'}$ is $\pm\ReTr(abW)$ or $\pm\ReTr(aWb)$ after an isometric transport of $a$ and $b$, and $|\Tr(abW)|\le\|a\|_{\mathrm{HS}}\|bW\|_{\mathrm{HS}}=|a|\,|b|$. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:be} Let $G\subset\U(N)$ be closed and connected with semisimple Lie algebra and $N|\beta|<\frac2{29}\kappa_G$. For every box the measure $\mu^F_\Lambda$ satisfies the Bakry--\'Emery condition with $K=\kappa_G-\frac{29}2N|\beta|>0$, uniformly in the box, and hence a logarithmic Sobolev inequality with constant $2/K$ and a Poincar\'e inequality with constant $1/K$. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} The set $\{Q_F=1\}$ is a product factor, so its Ricci curvature is at least $\kappa_G$ on every link, and the Hessian of the restricted action is the restriction of $N\beta\Hess S_0$ to $X_F=0$. Apply the bound and~\cite[Cor.~5.7.2]{BGL14}. \end{proof} \subsection{Decay with an explicit rate} Let $A'$ be a finite set of active links and $P'$ a finite set of plaquettes whose active links lie in $A'$. An action $S=\sum_{p\in P'}c_p\ReTr Q^F_p$ with $0\le c_p\le1$ is \emph{admissible} if $|\Hess S(v,v)|\le\frac{29}2|v|^2$ for all $v$ tangent to $G^{A'}$. Two links lie in at most one common plaquette, so by Lemma~\ref{lem:mixed} and Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(iv) the mixed blocks of its Hessian satisfy $|\Hess S_{ee'}(a,b)|\le|a|\,|b|$, and each link has at most twelve partners. The action $S_\Lambda=\sum_{p\in P(\Lambda)}\ReTr Q^F_p$ of a box is admissible by the bound proved above, and so is every convex combination of two admissible actions. Let $\mu$ be the probability measure on $G^{A'}$ with density proportional to $e^{N\beta S}$ with respect to Haar measure, let $L=\Delta+N\beta\ip{\nabla S}{\nabla\cdot}$ be its Langevin generator, which is self-adjoint in $L^2(\mu)$, and $P_t=e^{tL}$. Write $\nabla_e$ for the gradient in the factor of the link $e$, and for weights $w:A'\to(0,\infty)$ put $\Gamma^w(f)=\sum_ew_e|\nabla_ef|^2$; $\Gamma$ is the case $w\equiv1$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:weighted} Let $\lambda\ge0$ and $w_e=e^{\lambda d_e}$, where $|d_e-d_{e'}|\le1$ whenever $e$ and $e'$ share a plaquette, and put \[ K_\lambda=\kappa_G-N|\beta|\Bigl(\tfrac{29}2+12\bigl(\cosh\tfrac\lambda2-1\bigr)\Bigr). \] Then $\Gamma^w(P_tf)\le e^{-2K_\lambda t}P_t\Gamma^w(f)$ for every smooth $f$ and $t\ge0$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Put $V=-N\beta S$. On the product manifold $M=G^{A'}$ the projection to the tangent space of one factor is parallel, the rough Laplacian commutes with it, and the Ricci tensor is block diagonal. Hence the Bochner--Weitzenb\"ock formula $\nabla\Delta g=\bar\Delta\nabla g+\Ric(\nabla g)$, applied factor by factor, together with the derivative of the drift, gives for smooth $g$ \[ \begin{split} &\tfrac12L\Gamma^w(g)-\Gamma^w(g,Lg)\\ &\quad=\sum_ew_e\bigl(|\nabla\nabla_eg|^2+\Ric_G(\nabla_eg,\nabla_eg)\bigr)\\ &\qquad+\sum_{e,e'}w_e\Hess V_{ee'}(\nabla_eg,\nabla_{e'}g), \end{split} \] where $\Gamma^w(g,h)$ is the polarised form.\footnote{For $w\equiv1$ this is Bochner's identity $\Gamma_2=|\nabla^2g|^2+(\Ric+\Hess V)(\nabla g,\nabla g)$; the weights enter only through the factor index, which the connection, the Laplacian and the Ricci tensor preserve, so only the off-diagonal blocks of $\Hess V$ see them.} Put $u_e=\nabla_eg$ and $v_e=\sqrt{w_e}\,u_e$. By the symmetry of $\Hess V$, \[ \begin{split} &\sum_{e,e'}w_e\Hess V_{ee'}(u_e,u_{e'})=\Hess V(v,v)\\ &\quad+\sum_{e\ne e'}\Bigl(\cosh\tfrac{\lambda(d_e-d_{e'})}2-1\Bigr) \Hess V_{ee'}(v_e,v_{e'}), \end{split} \] because $\frac{w_e+w_{e'}}{2\sqrt{w_ew_{e'}}}=\cosh\frac{\lambda(d_e-d_{e'})}2$. The first term is at least $-\frac{29}2N|\beta|\,|v|^2$. In the second only partners contribute, each with a coefficient at most $\cosh\frac\lambda2-1$ and a block of norm at most $N|\beta|$, and $2|v_e|\,|v_{e'}|\le|v_e|^2+|v_{e'}|^2$ with twelve partners per link bounds it by $12(\cosh\frac\lambda2-1)N|\beta|\,|v|^2$. Since $\Ric_G\ge\kappa_G$ and $|v|^2=\Gamma^w(g)$, \[ \tfrac12L\Gamma^w(g)-\Gamma^w(g,Lg)\ge K_\lambda\Gamma^w(g). \] For fixed $t$ let $\varphi(s)=P_s\Gamma^w(P_{t-s}f)$, $0\le s\le t$. Then $\varphi'(s)=P_s\bigl(L\Gamma^w(g_s)-2\Gamma^w(g_s,Lg_s)\bigr)\ge2K_\lambda\varphi(s)$ with $g_s=P_{t-s}f$, and $\varphi(0)\le e^{-2K_\lambda t}\varphi(t)$ is the claim. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:decayrate} Suppose $K_\lambda>0$. Let $f$ and $g$ be smooth functions on $G^{A'}$ that depend only on the links of $A_f$ and of $B_g$, and let $D$ be the least number of steps from $A_f$ to $B_g$ in the graph on $A'$ whose edges join links that share a plaquette. Then \[ |\Cov_\mu(f,g)|\le\frac{e^{-\lambda D/2}}{K_\lambda}\,\|\nabla f\|_\infty \sum_{e\in B_g}\|\nabla_eg\|_\infty , \] where $\|\nabla f\|_\infty^2=\sup\sum_e|\nabla_ef|^2$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Since $K_0\ge K_\lambda>0$, Lemma~\ref{lem:weighted} with $\lambda=0$ gives $\Gamma(P_tf)\le e^{-2K_0t}\|\nabla f\|_\infty^2$, so $P_tf$ converges uniformly to a constant, which is $\mu(f)$ by invariance, $M$ being connected. Since $\frac d{dt}\mu(gP_tf)=\mu(gLP_tf)=-\mu(\Gamma(g,P_tf))$, \[ \Cov_\mu(f,g)=\int_0^\infty\mu\bigl(\Gamma(P_tf,g)\bigr)\,dt . \] Let $d_e$ be the smaller of $D$ and the graph distance from $e$ to $A_f$, so that $|d_e-d_{e'}|\le1$ for partners, $w_e=1$ on $A_f$, $w_e=e^{\lambda D}$ on $B_g$, and $\Gamma^w(f)\le\|\nabla f\|_\infty^2$. For $e\in B_g$, Lemma~\ref{lem:weighted} gives $|\nabla_eP_tf|^2\le w_e^{-1}\Gamma^w(P_tf)\le e^{-\lambda D}e^{-2K_\lambda t} \|\nabla f\|_\infty^2$. Hence $|\Gamma(P_tf,g)|\le e^{-\lambda D/2}e^{-K_\lambda t} \|\nabla f\|_\infty\sum_{e\in B_g}\|\nabla_eg\|_\infty$, and integration in $t$ gives the bound. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups}] Let $\lambda^*>0$ solve $K_{\lambda^*}=0$, so that $\frac{\lambda^*}2=m_G(\beta)$, and let $0<\lambda<\lambda^*$; then $K_\lambda>0$. \emph{Decay in boxes.} Lemma~\ref{lem:decayrate} with $S=S_\Lambda$ gives \[ |\Cov_{\mu^F_\Lambda}(f,g)|\le C_{f,g}e^{-\lambda D/2}, \] uniformly in the box. \emph{Limit.} For boxes $\Lambda\subset\Lambda'$ let $S_s=(1-s)S_\Lambda+sS_{\Lambda'}$ on the active links of $\Lambda'$, $s\in[0,1]$, and $\mu_s$ the corresponding measure; $S_s$ is admissible, $\mu_0$ is $\mu^F_\Lambda$ times Haar measure on the active links outside $\Lambda$, and $\mu_1=\mu^F_{\Lambda'}$. For smooth $f$ of the active links of $\Lambda$, \[ \frac d{ds}\mu_s(f)=N\beta\sum_{p\in P(\Lambda')\setminus P(\Lambda)} \Cov_{\mu_s}\bigl(f,\ReTr Q^F_p\bigr), \] and $|\nabla_e\ReTr Q_p|\le\|Q_p\|_{\mathrm{HS}}=\sqrt N$. A step in the graph of Lemma~\ref{lem:decayrate} moves a link by at most one lattice unit, so a plaquette at graph distance $k$ from the support $T$ of $f$ lies within distance $k+1$ of $T$, there are at most $C_T(k+1)^4$ of them, and every plaquette outside $P(\Lambda)$ is at graph distance at least $R-1$, $R$ the distance from $T$ to the complement of $\Lambda$. Lemma~\ref{lem:decayrate} gives \[ |\mu^F_{\Lambda'}(f)-\mu^F_\Lambda(f)|\le C_fR^4e^{-\lambda R/2}. \] The limit therefore exists along every increasing sequence of boxes, and two sequences are compared through their intersections, which are boxes. Continuous gauge-invariant $O$ are uniform limits of smooth gauge-invariant ones, for instance of $e^{\tau\Delta}O$, since the heat semigroup of $G^E$ commutes with left and right translations; with Lemma~\ref{lem:gaugefix} the limit $\omega(O)$ of $W_\Lambda(O)$ exists for all of them. \emph{Properties.} Invariance and, for $\beta\ge0$, reflection positivity follow as in Proposition~\ref{prop:state}(iii)--(iv). For Lipschitz $O$ the functions $e^{\tau\Delta}O$ are smooth with the same Lipschitz constant, since $\Ric_G\ge0$~\cite[Sect.~3.3]{BGL14}, so the bound of the first step passes to $\omega$ and to Lipschitz observables. Two links of one plaquette have time coordinates that differ by at most one, so observables at time separation $t$ are at graph distance at least $t-c$, and truncated correlations decay at every rate below $m_G(\beta)$. The gap follows from Proposition~\ref{prop:gapdecay} as in Proposition~\ref{prop:state}(vi). \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of the rest of Theorem~\ref{thm:curv}] By Lemma~\ref{lem:ricci} and Table~\ref{tab:groups}, $\kappa_{\SU(N)}=\frac N2$ and $\kappa_{\SO(N)}=\frac{N-2}4$; for $\SO(4)$, whose Lie algebra is $\mathfrak{so}(3)\oplus\mathfrak{so}(3)$ acting on $\R^4\otimes\C=\C^2\otimes\C^2$, each ideal gives $\frac12$ by the same computation. The conditions of Theorem~\ref{thm:curv} are those of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups}. \end{proof} \begin{remark}\label{rem:hf} Let $h_F$ be the supremum of $\pm\Hess S_0$ on the gauge-fixed directions, so that uniform curvature reaches $|\beta|<1/(2h_F)$ and no further. At the identity field $-\Hess S_0$ restricted to $X_F=0$ has the eigenvalue $9+\sqrt{17}=13.123$ on the torus of side two, so $9+\sqrt{17}\le h_F\le\frac{29}2$. A gradient search over $\SU(2)$ fields of periods two, four and six finds nothing above $13.97401$, the value at an abelian field; certificates made of plaquette forms and vertex forms on the period-two cell cannot go below $14.384$. One of us (T.~Romanov)~\cite{Rom26} constructed such a certificate, with sixteen positive definite vertex forms of size eight and nonnegative plaquette weights, rational with denominator $10^6$. It gives $h_F\le14.420001$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:certificate}; Appendix~\ref{app:certificate} gives the derivation and the checks). Like $\frac{29}2$ this is a statement about $\U(N)$, so it can replace $\frac{29}2$ in Theorems~\ref{thm:curv} and~\ref{thm:groups}, and the curvature method then reaches $|\beta|<1/28.840002$, that is $\beta_W<0.1387$ for $\SU(2)$ and $\beta_W<0.3121$ for $\SU(3)$. The bound is computer-assisted and concerns the lattice at fixed spacing, not the continuum limit. The theorems of this paper are stated with $\frac{29}2$, which is proved by hand. With this gauge the curvature method stops between $|\beta|=1/28.840002$ and $\frac1{26.25}$. \end{remark} \section{SU(3) up to 3/4}\label{sec:su3} In this section $G=\SU(3)$, $\beta\ge0$ and $\beta_W=9\beta$. The distance on $\SU(3)$ is $d(U,V)=\|U-V\|_{\rm HS}$, which is at most the geodesic distance for $\ip XY=-\Tr(XY)$; $K=\operatorname{conv}\SU(3)$; $A(M)=\frac12(M-M^*)$ and $P$ removes the trace. With this inner product $\Ric=\frac32$, the Casimir of the fundamental representation is $\lambda_F=\frac83$ and that of the adjoint representation is $6$. \subsection{Reduction to one link} The conditional law of an active link is \[ \nu_b(dU)\propto e^{\ReTr(Ub)}dU,\qquad b=N\beta\sum_{p\ni e}S_p , \] where $S_p$ is the staple of $e$ in $p$, a product of $\SU(3)$ matrices and identities, or its adjoint. Six staples give $b\in rK$ with $r=6N\beta=2\beta_W$. For a matrix $h$ put $\varphi_h(U)=\ReTr(Uh)$ and \[ L_h(b)=\sup\{\Cov_{\nu_b}(g,\varphi_h):g\text{ 1-Lipschitz for }d\}, \] \[ \Lambda(r)=\sup_{b\in rK}\ \sup_{\|h\|_{\rm HS}=1}L_h(b). \] Changing a partner $e'$ changes one staple by a matrix of norm $d(Q_{e'}, Q'_{e'})$. Along the segment $b_t$ from $b$ to $b'$, which stays in $rK$, $\frac d{dt}\nu_{b_t}(g)=\Cov_{\nu_{b_t}}(g,\ReTr(U(b'-b)))$, so $W_1(\nu_b,\nu_{b'})\le N\beta\Lambda(r)\,d(Q_{e'},Q'_{e'})$. With twelve partners per link, \begin{equation}\label{eq:alpha} \alpha\le12N\beta\Lambda(r)=2r\Lambda(r)=4\beta_W\Lambda(2\beta_W). \end{equation} Since $K$ is convex and contains $0$, the mean of $I,\omega I,\omega^2I$ with $\omega^3=1$, $r'K\subset rK$ for $r'\le r$ and $\Lambda$ is nondecreasing. \subsection{Gradients and one-forms} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:gradients} In the left trivialisation, $\nabla\varphi_c(U)=-PA(cU)$; if $V=\varphi_b$ then $\Hess V(X,X)=\ReTr(UX^2b)$; and $\Delta\varphi_c=-\lambda_F\varphi_c$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} $\frac d{dt}\ReTr(Ue^{tX}c)|_{t=0}=\ReTr(cUX)=-\ip{PA(cU)}X$ for $X\in \mathfrak{su}(3)$. On a group with a bi-invariant metric $\nabla_XX=0$ for left-invariant $X$, so the Hessian is the second derivative along $e^{tX}$. The function $\varphi_c$ is a matrix coefficient of the fundamental representation, on which the Casimir acts by $\lambda_F$. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:roughlap} The bottom of the spectrum of the rough Laplacian $\nabla^*\nabla$ on $L^2$ one-forms of $\SU(3)$ is $\mu_0=\frac76$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Trivialise one-forms on the left, so that a one-form is a function $f:\SU(3)\to\mathfrak{su}(3)$. For an orthonormal basis $X_a$ acting as left-invariant vector fields, $\nabla_{X_a}Y=\frac12[X_a,Y]$ and $\nabla_{X_a}X_a=0$, so $\nabla^*\nabla=-\sum_a(\rho(X_a)+\frac12\operatorname{ad} X_a)^2$. On the isotypic part $V_\pi\otimes V_\pi^*\otimes\mathfrak{su}(3)$ of $L^2\otimes\mathfrak{su}(3)$ put $A_a=\rho_\pi(X_a)$, $B_a=\operatorname{ad}X_a$ and $T_a=A_a+B_a$, the action on the tensor product. Since $A_a$ and $B_a$ commute, $A_a+\frac12B_a=\frac12(A_a+T_a)$ and $A_aT_a+T_aA_a=A_a^2+T_a^2-B_a^2$, so on a component $\sigma\subset\pi\otimes\operatorname{ad}$ \[ \nabla^*\nabla=\tfrac12(C_\pi+C_\sigma)-\tfrac14C_{\rm ad}=\tfrac12(C_\pi+ C_\sigma)-\tfrac32 , \] with $C(p,q)=\frac23(p^2+q^2+pq+3p+3q)$ for the representation of highest weight $(p,q)$~\cite{FH91}. The components of $(p,q)\otimes(1,1)$ are $(p+1,q+1)$, $(p+2,q-1)$, $(p-1,q+2)$, $(p+1,q-2)$, $(p-2,q+1)$, $(p-1,q-1)$ and $(p,q)$, the last with multiplicity two, one or zero as both, one or none of $p,q$ are positive, and only those with nonnegative labels occur. For $\pi=(0,0)$ the only component is $(1,1)$, with value $\frac32$. For $\pi=(1,0)$ the components are $(2,1)$, $(0,2)$, $(1,0)$, with values $\frac{31}6$, $\frac{19}6$, $\frac76$, and $(0,1)$ is conjugate. For $p+q\ge2$ the smallest values occur at $(p-1,q-1)$, $(p,q)$, $(p-2,q+1)$ or $(p+1,q-2)$, and each is at least $\frac13(2(p^2+q^2+pq)+3(p+q)-3)-\frac32\ge \frac32$. \end{proof} \subsection{The gap of the one-link measure} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:gap} For $b\in rK$ the spectral gap of $L=\Delta+\ip{\nabla V}{\nabla\cdot}$, $V=\varphi_b$, on $L^2(\nu_b)$ is at least \[ \gamma(r)=\tfrac{39}{64}\mu_0+\tfrac32-\tfrac r2=\tfrac{283}{128}-\tfrac r2 . \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Let $-Lf=\lambda f$ with $\lambda>0$, $\omega=df$ and $\eta=e^{V/2}\omega$; norms are in $L^2(dU)$. Bochner's formula integrated against $\nu_b$ gives $\lambda\nu_b|\omega|^2=\nu_b|\nabla\omega|^2+\nu_b((\Ric-\Hess V)(\omega, \omega))$, and since $e^{V/2}\nabla\omega=\nabla\eta-\frac12dV\otimes\eta$, \begin{equation}\label{eq:bochner} \lambda\|\eta\|^2=\|\nabla\eta-\tfrac12dV\otimes\eta\|^2+\int(\Ric-\Hess V) (\eta,\eta). \end{equation} Put $\mathcal A=\nabla\eta$ and $\mathcal B=\frac12dV\otimes\eta$. Then \[ \ip{\mathcal A}{\mathcal B}=\tfrac14\int\ip{\nabla V}{\nabla|\eta|^2} =\tfrac{\lambda_F}4\int V|\eta|^2 , \] because $-\Delta V=\lambda_FV$. Writing $\|\mathcal A-\mathcal B\|^2= \|\frac58\mathcal A-\mathcal B\|^2+\frac{39}{64}\|\mathcal A\|^2-\frac34 \ip{\mathcal A}{\mathcal B}$ and dropping the first term, \[ \|\mathcal A-\mathcal B\|^2\ge\tfrac{39}{64}\mu_0\|\eta\|^2-\tfrac12\int V|\eta|^2 \] by Lemma~\ref{lem:roughlap}. With $\Ric=\frac32$, \eqref{eq:bochner} gives $\lambda\|\eta\|^2\ge(\frac{39}{64}\mu_0+\frac32)\|\eta\|^2-\int(\Hess V(\eta, \eta)+\frac12V|\eta|^2)$, and the claim follows from the pointwise bound \begin{equation}\label{eq:pointwise} \ReTr(MX^2)+\tfrac12\ReTr M\le\tfrac r2|X|^2,\qquad M=bU\in rK , \end{equation} since $\Hess V(X,X)=\ReTr(MX^2)$ and $V=\ReTr M$. The maximum over $|X|=1$ of the left side is convex in $M$, so it suffices to take $M=rW$ with $W\in \SU(3)$ and, after a conjugation, $W=\operatorname{diag}(e^{i\theta_k})$ with $\sum_k\theta_k=0$; put $c_k=\cos\theta_k$. Write $X=iH$ with $H$ Hermitian, traceless, $\Tr H^2=1$, with diagonal $d_k$ and entries $H_{jk}$. Then \[ \ReTr(WX^2)=-\sum_kc_kd_k^2-\sum_{j0.24$ and vanishes before $r=1$.} \subsection{A corrector of degree two} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:corrector} For $b\in rK$, $\|h\|=1$ and every smooth real function $u$ on $\SU(3)$, \[ L_h(b)\le\sqrt{\nu_b|\nabla u|^2}+\sqrt{\Var_{\nu_b}(\varphi_h+Lu)/ \gamma(r)} . \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Let $-L\psi=\varphi_h-\nu_b\varphi_h$. For a 1-Lipschitz $g$, $|\nabla g|\le1$ almost everywhere, because $d$ is at most the geodesic distance, so $\Cov(g,\varphi_h)=\nu_b\ip{\nabla g}{\nabla\psi}\le\nu_b|\nabla\psi|$. Write $\psi=u+\chi$. Since $\nu_b(Lu)=0$, $\chi$ solves $-L\chi=X-\nu_bX$ with $X=\varphi_h+Lu$, and \[ \nu_b|\nabla\chi|^2=\Cov(\chi,X)\le\sqrt{\Var\chi\,\Var X}\le \sqrt{\nu_b|\nabla\chi|^2\Var X/\gamma} \] by Lemma~\ref{lem:gap}. Hence $\nu_b|\nabla\chi|^2\le\Var X/\gamma$, and $\nu_b|\nabla\psi|\le\sqrt{\nu_b|\nabla u|^2}+\sqrt{\nu_b|\nabla \chi|^2}$. \end{proof} The best $u$ is $\psi$ itself, and then the second term vanishes. With $u=s\varphi_h$, Lemma~\ref{lem:gradients} gives $\varphi_h+Lu=(1-s\lambda_F) \varphi_h+s\Gamma$ with $\Gamma=\ip{\nabla V}{\nabla\varphi_h}$; the choice $s=1/\lambda_F$ removes $\varphi_h$ and leaves the drift. This blended corrector reaches $\beta_W=\frac{45}{64}$ and stops near $0.715$ (Sec.~\ref{sec:limits}). We take $u$ in a space of polynomials of degree two. Let $\mathcal P_2$ be the real vector space of real polynomials of degree one or two in the entries $u_{ij}$ of $U$ and $\bar u_{ij}$ of $\bar U$. It has dimension $189$: a basis $(B_k)$ consists of $\frac12(m+\bar m)$ and $\frac1{2i}(m-\bar m)$ for each pair $\{m,\bar m\}$ of conjugate monomials with $m\ne\bar m$, and $m$ itself when $m=\bar m$. Identify $h\in\C^{3\times3}$ with $\R^{18}$ through the real and imaginary parts of its entries. For a real $189\times18$ matrix $C$ put \[ q_h=\sum_{k}\sum_{m=1}^{18}C_{km}h_mB_k\in\mathcal P_2 , \] linear in $h$. For diagonal $b=\operatorname{diag}(a_1,a_2,x_3+iy_3)$ we have $V=\sum_kb_k\varphi_{F_k}$ with $(b_k)=(a_1,a_2,x_3,y_3)$ and $F=(e_{11},e_{22}, e_{33},ie_{33})$, so \begin{equation}\label{eq:Xq} X_h=\varphi_h+Lq_h=\varphi_h+\Delta q_h+\sum_kb_k\ip{\nabla\varphi_{F_k}} {\nabla q_h} \end{equation} is a polynomial of degree at most three, affine in $b$, while $\nabla q_h$ does not depend on $b$. The squares of these functions have degree at most six, so the quadratic forms $h\mapsto\nu_b|\nabla q_h|^2$ and $h\mapsto\nu_b[(X_h-\kappa)^2]$ are combinations of moments of $\nu_b$ of degree at most six. To compute $\Delta$ and $\ip{\nabla f}{\nabla g}$ exactly we use the basis of $\mathfrak{su}(3)$ \[ \begin{gathered} e_{jk}-e_{kj},\quad i(e_{jk}+e_{kj})\quad(j34}(\frac32\|D\|)^n/n!$; Cauchy's estimate on a polydisc around $b$ turns this into a bound for every derivative (Appendix~\ref{app:cover}). \begin{lemma}[Interpolation on a box]\label{lem:boxes} Let $Q=\prod_k[l_k,l_k+w_k]$ in the coordinates $(a_1,a_2,x_3,y_3)$, with corners $b_i$ and multilinear weights $\omega_i(b)\ge0$, $\sum_i\omega_i(b)=1$, and let $\varsigma=w_1^2+w_2^2+\max(w_3^2,w_4^2)$. For $b\in Q$: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $Z(b)\ge e^{-\varsigma/8}\sum_i\omega_i(b)Z(b_i)$; \item $\nu_b(f)\le e^{\varsigma/8}\max_i\nu_{b_i}(f)$ for every $f\ge0$ that does not depend on $b$; \item if $Y_b=(\mathcal A+\sum_k(b_k-\beta_k)\mathcal B_k)^2$ with functions $\mathcal A,\mathcal B_k$ of $U$ and a fixed point $\beta$, then \[ \nu_b(Y_b)\le e^{\varsigma/8}\Bigl(\max_i\nu_{b_i}(Y_{b_i})+\sum_k \frac{w_k^2}4\,\frac{\max_iZ(b_i)\nu_{b_i}(\mathcal B_k^2)}{\min_iZ(b_i)}\Bigr). \] \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Write $E(b)=e^{\ReTr(Ub)}=\prod_ke^{c_kb_k}$, where \[ c=(\operatorname{Re}u_{11},\operatorname{Re}u_{22},\operatorname{Re}u_{33}, -\operatorname{Im}u_{33}), \] so that $|c_k|\le1$ and $c_3^2+c_4^2\le1$. In each coordinate the chord of $e^{c_kx}$ over $[l_k,l_k+w_k]$ lies above the function and, by Hoeffding's lemma~\cite{Hoe63} for a two-point variable, below $e^{c_kx}e^{c_k^2w_k^2/8}$. Multiplying, \begin{equation}\label{eq:hoeffding} E(b)\le\sum_i\omega_i(b)E(b_i)\le E(b)\,e^{\sum_kc_k^2w_k^2/8}\le E(b)\, e^{\varsigma/8}. \end{equation} Integrating the right inequality gives (i), and (ii) follows from the left one and (i). For (iii) let $\mathcal F(b)=Y_bE(b)$ and $I_k$ the linear interpolation in the $k$-th coordinate, so that $\mathcal F-I_1I_2I_3I_4 \mathcal F=\sum_kI_1\cdots I_{k-1}(\mathcal F-I_k\mathcal F)$. Along the $k$-th coordinate $\mathcal F$ is $\ell^2e^{c_kx}$ times a positive factor, with $\ell$ affine of slope $\mathcal B_k$, and $\partial_k^2\mathcal F=((c_k\ell+2\mathcal B_k)^2-2\mathcal B_k^2)E\ge-2\mathcal B_k^2E$. With the Green kernel of the interval, whose integral is at most $w_k^2/8$, \[ \mathcal F-I_k\mathcal F\le2\mathcal B_k^2\int G\,E\le\tfrac{w_k^2}4\mathcal B_k^2\sum_i\omega_i^{(k)}E(b_i) \] by the left inequality of~\eqref{eq:hoeffding}, with weights $\omega_i^{(k)} \ge0$ of sum one that do not depend on $U$. The operators $I_j$ have nonnegative weights of sum one; integrate over $U$ and divide by $Z(b)$, bounded below by (i). \end{proof} \subsection{The cover and the theorem}\label{ssec:cover} Fix a box $Q$ and a matrix $C$. For any constant $\kappa$, $\Var(X_h)\le \nu_b[(X_h-\kappa)^2]$; take $\kappa=\ip{\kappa(b)}h$ with $\kappa(b)$ affine in $b$, fitted to the means at the corners. By~\eqref{eq:Xq}, $X_h-\kappa= \mathcal A+\sum_k(b_k-\beta_k)\mathcal B_k$ with $\beta$ the centre of $Q$ and $\mathcal B_k=\ip{\nabla\varphi_{F_k}}{\nabla q_h}-\ip{\partial_k\kappa}h$, and Lemmas~\ref{lem:corrector} and~\ref{lem:boxes} give, for all $b\in Q\cap \mathcal R_r$, \begin{equation}\label{eq:BQ} \begin{split} \sup_hL_h(b)\le{}&\sqrt{e^{\varsigma/8}\max_i\lambda_A(b_i)}\\ &+\sqrt{\frac{e^{\varsigma/8}}{\gamma(r)}\Bigl(\max_i\lambda_V(b_i)+ \frac{e_N}{\min_iZ(b_i)}\Bigr)} , \end{split} \end{equation} where $e_N=\sum_k\frac{w_k^2}4\max_iZ(b_i)\lambda_k(b_i)$ and $\lambda_A$, $\lambda_V$, $\lambda_k$ are the largest eigenvalues of the quadratic forms $h\mapsto\nu_{b_i}|\nabla q_h|^2$, $h\mapsto\nu_{b_i}[(X_h-\kappa)^2]$ at $b=b_i$, and $h\mapsto\nu_{b_i}[\mathcal B_k^2]$ on $\R^{18}$. Their entries are moments of $\nu_{b_i}$ of degree at most six, computed with rigorous error bounds (Appendix~\ref{app:cover}); each largest eigenvalue is bounded above by an $LDL^\top$ factorisation of $tI$ minus the computed form with certified positive pivots, plus the norm of its error matrix by Weyl's inequality~\cite{Hig02,Joh17}. The matrix $C$ is chosen in each box in floating point. At the mean of the corner moments and at $b=\beta$, Lemma~\ref{lem:corrector} for $u=q_h$ is a quadratic problem in $C$: for $\theta>0$ we minimise the trace of $\nu|\nabla q|^2+\theta\,\Var(X)/\gamma$ over the $18$ coordinate directions $h$, a least-squares problem of size $189$, keep the $\theta$ on a geometric grid of $48$ values from $0.05$ to $80$ that gives the smallest bound, and round $C$ to multiples of $2^{-30}$. Any choice gives a valid bound. A box is discarded when it contains no point with $a_1\ge a_2\ge|z_3|$, or when a linear functional $\ell(b)=\ReTr(c^*b)$ satisfies $\min_Q\ell>r\max_T \ell$, which separates it from $r\operatorname{conv}T$ and hence, by Lemma~\ref{lem:orbits}(iii), from $\mathcal R_r$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:cover} $2r\Lambda(r)\le0.999887$ at $r=\frac32$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The box $[0,r]^2\times[-r,r]\times[0,r]$ is cut into $8192$ boxes of side $r/8$. Of these, $841$ survive the two tests, and $581$ satisfy $2rB_Q<1$ for the right side $B_Q$ of~\eqref{eq:BQ}, with $\gamma(r)= \frac{187}{128}$. Each of the other $260$ is cut into sixteen boxes of side $r/16$; $1760$ of these survive the tests, and all satisfy $2rB_Q<1$. The $2341$ certified boxes cover $\mathcal R_r$. The largest bound is $0.999887$, on the box $[1.3125,1.5]\times[0.9375,1.125]\times[0.5625,0.75] \times[0,0.1875]$, and the median is $0.983$. Figure~\ref{fig:cover} shows the cover, and Appendix~\ref{app:cover} the error analysis. \end{proof} The same cover at a larger $r$ bounds $\Lambda(r)$ where $2r\Lambda(r)$ is no longer below one; the plaquette blocks of Section~\ref{sec:su3blocks} use that bound. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:cover2} $2r\Lambda(r)\le1.029967$ at $r=\frac{38}{25}$ and $2r\Lambda(r)\le1.027468$ at $r=\frac{77}{50}$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} As in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:cover}, with $\gamma(r)= \frac{4643}{3200}$ and the threshold $2rB_Q<1.03$: of the $8192$ boxes of side $r/8$, $784$ survive the two tests and $690$ satisfy the threshold; each of the other $94$ is cut into sixteen boxes of side $r/16$, of which $373$ survive the tests, and all satisfy it. The $1063$ certified boxes cover $\mathcal R_r$, and the largest bound is $1.029967$. At $r=\frac{77}{50}$, with $\gamma(r)=\frac{4611}{3200}$ and the threshold $2rB_Q<1.0275$: $826$ boxes of side $r/8$ survive the tests and $513$ satisfy the threshold; the other $313$ are cut into sixteen, of which $2311$ survive and $2281$ satisfy it; the other $30$ are cut into sixteen, of which $31$ survive, and all satisfy it. The $2825$ certified boxes cover $\mathcal R_r$, and the largest bound is $1.027468$. \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3}] Proposition~\ref{prop:cover} gives \[ \Lambda\bigl(\tfrac32\bigr)\le\frac{0.999887}3<0.333296 . \] For $\beta_W\le\frac34$ we have $2\beta_W\le\frac32$, and~\eqref{eq:alpha} with the monotonicity of $\Lambda$ gives \[ \alpha\le4\beta_W\Lambda\bigl(\tfrac32\bigr)<1.333183\,\beta_W\le \tfrac34\cdot1.333183<1 . \] Proposition~\ref{prop:state} applies with the Hilbert--Schmidt metric. \end{proof} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.92\textwidth]{figures/fig_cover.png} \caption{The $2341$ certified boxes at $r=\frac32$, plotted at their centres in the coordinates $(a_1,a_2)$ of the staple sum $\operatorname{diag}(a_1,a_2,x_3+iy_3)$, coloured by the certified bound on $2r\sup_hL_h$ over the box; the larger points are the boxes of side $r/8$. (a) All boxes, with height $|x_3+iy_3|$. (b) The $419$ boxes with bound above $0.99$, with height $x_3$; the largest bounds sit in the interior of $\mathcal R_r$, not at its extreme points.} \label{fig:cover} \end{figure*} \section{SU(3) with plaquette blocks}\label{sec:su3blocks} In this section $G=\SU(3)$, $\beta\ge0$, $\beta_W=9\beta$, $N\beta=\beta_W/3$, and the notation is that of Sec.~\ref{sec:su3}: $d$ is the Hilbert--Schmidt distance, $K=\operatorname{conv}\SU(3)$, $\nu_c(dU)\propto e^{\ReTr(Uc)}dU$, $\varphi_h(U)=\ReTr(Uh)$ and $\Lambda(r)$ is the modulus of~\eqref{eq:alpha}. Put $Z(c)=\int e^{\ReTr(Uc)}dU$ and $g=\log Z$ on $\C^{3\times3}$, viewed as $\R^{18}$ with the inner product $\ip xy=\ReTr(xy^*)$. The gradient of $g$ at $c$ is the conjugate mean $m(c)^*$, $m(c)=\nu_c(U)\in K$, and $\Hess g(c)(h,h)=\Var_{\nu_c}(\varphi_h)$. Since $Z(VcW)=Z(c)$ for $V,W\in\SU(3)$, the same holds for $g$. The blocks are those of Lemma~\ref{lem:plaqblocks}, which concerns the line field only and holds for every group. For a block plaquette with active links $e_1,e_2,e_3$, $\ReTr Q_p=\ReTr(y_1y_2y_3)$ with $y_i=Q_{e_i}$ or $Q_{e_i}^{-1}$, and the conditional law of the block is \begin{equation}\label{eq:blocklaw3} \mu_b(dy)\propto\exp\Bigl(\sum_i\ReTr(y_ib_i)+N\beta\ReTr(y_1y_2y_3) \Bigr)dy , \end{equation} where $b_i$ is $N\beta$ times the sum of the five staples of $y_i$ outside the block plaquette, so $b_i\in5N\beta K$ and $\|b_i\|_{\rm op}\le5N\beta$. On $\SU(3)^3$ we use $d(y,y')=\sum_i\|y_i-y'_i\|_{\rm HS}$. \subsection{The sensitivity of one block} Let $r=2\beta_W=6N\beta$. Let $\lambda_*$ and $\tau$ be a lower and an upper bound for the eigenvalues of $\Hess g$ on $rK$, $M$ an upper bound on $rK$ for $|D^3g(c)(u,v,v)|$ over unit vectors $u,v$, and $\gamma=\gamma(r)$ the gap of Lemma~\ref{lem:gap}. Put \begin{equation}\label{eq:blockconst3} \begin{gathered} w=\tfrac32(N\beta)^2(\tau-\lambda_*),\qquad s=\Lambda(r)+(e^w-1)e^w \sqrt{\tau/\gamma},\\ C=5(N\beta)^2\Bigl(\tau s+\frac{\sqrt3\,N\beta\,M\,e^w}{\gamma}\Bigr),\\ K_3=\frac{(1+N\beta\Lambda(r))\,s}{1-C},\qquad\alpha_3=10N\beta K_3, \end{gathered} \end{equation} assuming $C<1$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:onesite3} Let $a,c_0\in5N\beta K$ and \[ \kappa(dx)\propto\exp\bigl(\ReTr(xa)+g(c_0+N\beta x)\bigr)dx\quad\text{on } \SU(3). \] For every $1$-Lipschitz $f$ and every $h\in\C^{3\times3}$: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\Cov_\kappa(f,\varphi_h)\le s\|h\|_{\rm HS}$; \item if $c_0$ moves in the direction $k$ inside $5N\beta K$, then \[ \bigl|\tfrac{d}{dt}\kappa(f)\bigr|\le N\beta\bigl(\tau s+\sqrt3N\beta Me^w/\gamma\bigr)\|k\|_{\rm HS}. \] \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) The segment from $c_0$ to $c_0+N\beta x$ lies in $6N\beta K=rK$, and Taylor's formula gives \[ g(c_0+N\beta x)=g(c_0)+N\beta\ReTr(x\,m(c_0))+R(x) \] with $R(x)=\frac12(N\beta)^2\Hess g(\xi)(x,x)$. Since $\|x\|_{\rm HS}^2=3$, $R\in[\frac32(N\beta)^2\lambda_*,\frac32(N\beta)^2\tau]$ and $\operatorname{osc} R\le w$. Hence $\kappa$ is the tilt $e^R\nu/\nu(e^R)$ of $\nu=\nu_{c'}$ with $c'=a+N\beta m(c_0)\in rK$. By definition of $\Lambda$, $\Cov_\nu(f,\varphi_h) \le\Lambda(r)\|h\|$. The function $f$ is $1$-Lipschitz for the geodesic distance, which dominates $d$, so $\mathrm{sd}_\nu f\le\gamma^{-1/2}$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:gap}, and $\mathrm{sd}_\nu\varphi_h\le\sqrt\tau\|h\|$. Lemma~\ref{lem:tilt} gives (i). (ii) The derivative is $\Cov_\kappa(f,\ip{\nabla g(c_0+N\beta x)}k)$. Write $\nabla g(c_0+N\beta u)=\nabla g(c_0)+N\beta\Hess g(c_0)u+N(u)$. The linear term is $\varphi_h$ with $\|h\|\le N\beta\tau\|k\|$ and contributes at most $N\beta\tau s\|k\|$ by (i). On the segment from $c_0$ the Hessian moves by at most $N\beta M\|u\|\le\sqrt3N\beta M$, so $x\mapsto\ip{N(x)}k$ is $\sqrt3(N\beta)^2M\|k\|$-Lipschitz for $d$. The law $\kappa$ is a tilt of $\nu$ by a function of oscillation at most $w$, so its spectral gap is at least $e^{-w}\gamma$ by the Holley--Stroock lemma~\cite{HS87}, and the covariance of two Lipschitz functions under $\kappa$ is at most $e^w/\gamma$ times the product of their constants. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:blockK3} Let $C<1$. If $b,b'$ have all fields in $5N\beta K$ and differ only in $b_i$, then $W_1(\mu_b,\mu_{b'})\le K_3\|b_i-b'_i\|_{\rm HS}$ for the metric $d$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} By the cyclic symmetry of $\ReTr(y_1y_2y_3)$ we may take $i=1$. Given $y_1,y_3$, the law of $y_2$ is $\nu_c$ with $c=b_2+N\beta y_3y_1\in rK$. Changing $y_1$ by $\eta$ in $d$ moves $c$ by $N\beta\eta$ and $\nu_c$ by at most $N\beta\Lambda(r)\eta$ in $W_1$, as in~\eqref{eq:alpha}; so $F(y_1,y_3)= \E[f\mid y_1,y_3]$ is $(1+N\beta\Lambda(r))$-Lipschitz in each variable. The law of $(y_1,y_3)$ is proportional to $e^{\ReTr(y_1b_1)+\ReTr(y_3b_3)} Z(b_2+N\beta y_3y_1)$, and $Z(b_2+N\beta y_3y_1)=Z(y_3^{-1}b_2+N\beta y_1)= Z(b_2y_1^{-1}+N\beta y_3)$, so its two conditional laws have the form of Lemma~\ref{lem:onesite3}, with $c_0=y_3^{-1}b_2$ and $c_0=b_2y_1^{-1}$. Moving $y_3$ to $y'_3$ moves $y_3^{-1}b_2$ along a segment in $5N\beta K$ of length at most $\|b_2\|_{\rm op}\|y_3-y'_3\|\le5N\beta\|y_3-y'_3\|$. The coupling argument of Lemma~\ref{lem:blockK} now gives $d_1\le s\varepsilon+ Cd_3$, $d_3\le Cd_1$ and $|\mu_b(f)-\mu_{b'}(f)|\le(1+N\beta\Lambda(r))(d_1+ d_3)\le K_3\varepsilon$. \end{proof} \subsection{The constants and the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3blocks}} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:su3const} At $r=\frac32$ every eigenvalue of $\Hess g$ on $rK$ lies in $[0.056015,0.247316]$, and $|D^3g(c)(u,v,v)|\le0.182126$ for $c\in rK$ and unit vectors $u,v$. At $r=\frac{38}{25}$ the same holds with $[0.054978,0.248280]$ and $0.183546$, and at $r=\frac{77}{50}$ with $[0.053955,0.249240]$ and $0.184989$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} For $V,W\in\SU(3)$, $g(VcW)=g(c)$ and $x\mapsto VxW$ is an isometry, so the eigenvalues of $\Hess g$ and the norm of $D^3g$ are constant on the orbits, and by Lemma~\ref{lem:orbits} it suffices to bound them on $\mathcal R_r$. The derivatives of $g$ are the cumulants of $\varphi$ under $\nu_c$. Cut the box $[0,r]^2\times[-r,r]\times[0,r]$ into boxes of side $r/8$ and keep the $841$ ($784$ at $r=\frac{38}{25}$, $826$ at $r=\frac{77}{50}$) that survive the two tests of Sec.~\ref{ssec:cover}. On each box $Q$ we compute, with rigorous error bounds, the moments of $\varphi$ of degree at most three at the sixteen corners $b_i$ and at the centre $b_0$, and put $k=m(b_0)$, the mean of $\varphi$ at the centre. \emph{Upper bound.} For $b\in Q$ and every $h$, $\Var_{\nu_b}(\varphi_h)\le \nu_b[(\varphi_h-\ip kh)^2]\le e^{\varsigma/8}\max_i\nu_{b_i}[(\varphi_h- \ip kh)^2]$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:boxes}(ii). \emph{Lower bound.} Integrating the right inequality of~\eqref{eq:hoeffding} against $f\ge0$ and dividing by $Z(b)\le\sum_i\omega_iZ(b_i)$, the left one, gives $\nu_b(f)\ge e^{-\varsigma/8}\min_i\nu_{b_i}(f)$. With $f=(\varphi_h-\nu_b\varphi_h)^2$ this gives $\Var_{\nu_b}(\varphi_h)\ge e^{-\varsigma/8}\min_i\Var_{\nu_{b_i}} (\varphi_h)$. \emph{Third cumulant.} Put $\delta=m(b)-k$. The mean value theorem and the upper bound give $\|\delta\|\le\tau\rho+e$, with $\rho$ the largest distance from $b_0$ in $Q$ and $e$ the error of the computed mean. Expanding the central moment about $k$, \[ \begin{aligned} D^3g(b)(u,v,v)&=T_b(u,v,v)-\delta_u\Var(\varphi_v)\\ &\quad-2\delta_v\Cov(\varphi_u,\varphi_v)-\delta_u\delta_v^2 , \end{aligned} \] with $T_b=\nu_b[(\varphi-k)^{\otimes3}]$, $\delta_u=\ip\delta u$ and the moments under $\nu_b$. For a function $G$ of either sign, writing $G=G^+-G^-$ and applying the two bounds above to $G^\pm$ gives $|\nu_b(G)|\le(\max_i|\nu_{b_i}(G)|+\varepsilon\max_i\nu_{b_i}|G|)/(1- \varepsilon)$ with $\varepsilon=1-e^{-\varsigma/8}$. For $G=(\varphi_u-k_u) (\varphi_v-k_v)^2$ we use $|\nu_{b_i}(G)|\le\|T_{b_i}\|$, the largest singular value of the $18\times324$ unfolding of $T_{b_i}$, and $\nu_{b_i}|G|\le2\sqrt3 \,\nu_{b_i}[(\varphi_v-k_v)^2]$, since $\|U-k\|_{\rm HS}\le2\sqrt3$. The largest eigenvalues and singular values are bounded as in Sec.~\ref{ssec:cover}, and the maxima over these boxes are the numbers stated (Appendix~\ref{app:plaqblocks}). \end{proof} \begin{proof}[Proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3blocks}] Let first $\beta_W\le\frac34$, so that $r=2\beta_W\le\frac32$. Every field met in Lemmas~\ref{lem:onesite3} and~\ref{lem:blockK3} lies in $\frac32K$, so the constants of Lemma~\ref{lem:su3const} at $\frac32$, $\Lambda(\frac32)\le\frac{0.999887}3$ from Proposition~\ref{prop:cover} and $\gamma=\gamma(\frac32)=\frac{187}{128}$ apply; with these fixed constants every quantity in~\eqref{eq:blockconst3} is increasing in $\beta_W$. For $\frac34<\beta_W\le\frac{19}{25}$ the fields lie in $\frac{38}{25}K$, and the constants of Lemma~\ref{lem:su3const} at $\frac{38}{25}$, $\Lambda(\frac{38}{25})\le\frac{1.029967}{3.04}$ from Proposition~\ref{prop:cover2} and $\gamma(\frac{38}{25})=\frac{4643}{3200}$ apply in the same way; for $\frac{19}{25}<\beta_W\le\frac{77}{100}$ the same holds at $\frac{77}{50}$, with $\Lambda(\frac{77}{50})\le\frac{1.027468}{3.08}$ and $\gamma(\frac{77}{50})=\frac{4611}{3200}$. Changing an active link $j$ by $\eta$ changes one staple of each of its ten partners outside its block by a matrix of norm $\eta$, so the field $b_i$ of each such partner moves by $N\beta\eta$, and Lemma~\ref{lem:blockK3} gives $\sum_BC_{Bj}\le10N\beta K_3=\alpha_3(\beta_W)$. In ball arithmetic, at $\beta_W=\frac34$, $w\le0.017935$, $s\le0.34088$, $C\le0.043520$, $K_3\le0.38609$ and $\alpha_3\le0.96521$; at $\beta_W=0.72$, $\alpha_3\le0.91815$; at $\beta_W=0.76$, with the second set of constants, $w\le0.018609$, $s\le0.34673$, $C\le0.045770$, $K_3\le0.39454$ and $\alpha_3\le0.99950$; at $\beta_W=0.77$, with the third set, $w\le0.019298$, $s\le0.34186$, $C\le0.047232$, $K_3\le0.38953$ and $\alpha_3\le0.99978$. Proposition~\ref{prop:blockstate}, whose proof does not use the group, applies with the Hilbert--Schmidt metric. \end{proof} \begin{remark}\label{rem:su3blocks} Theorem~\ref{thm:su3} ends where $2r\Lambda(r)$ reaches one. The blocks remove the factor $\frac{12}{10}$ of the single-link sum and keep most of it after paying for the three links: at $\beta_W=\frac34$ the gap bound rises from $1.1\cdot10^{-4}$ to $0.0177$, and the block bound is the better one for $\beta_W\ge0.715$. Before the corrections for the three links their sum is $\frac{10}{12}$ of the single-link sum $2r\Lambda(r)$, so it can stay below one while $2r\Lambda(r)$ is slightly above one; Proposition~\ref{prop:cover2} certifies $2r\Lambda(r)\le1.03$ at $r=1.52$ and $\le1.0275$ at $r=1.54$, which is enough at $\beta_W=0.76$ and $0.77$, with little room. Evaluated in floating point with the constants of a scan of $\mathcal R_r$, the block sum stays below one up to $\beta_W\approx0.78$; that computation is not certified and is not used. \end{remark} \section{Where the methods stop}\label{sec:limits} \emph{$\SU(2)$.} Theorem~\ref{thm:ceiling} closes the single-link route in every forest gauge at $\beta_W=\frac13$. Blocks of several links, where the influence of a boundary link on a whole block is bounded at once, in the spirit of the Dobrushin--Shlosman criterion~\cite{DS85}, pass it: plaquette blocks reach $\beta_W=0.351$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:blocks}), and the sharper floating-point bound of Remark~\ref{rem:blockgap} stops near $0.357$. Larger blocks are the next step. \emph{Curvature.} Remark~\ref{rem:hf} locates the end of the curvature method in this gauge between $|\beta|=1/28.840002$, by the certificate of Appendix~\ref{app:certificate}, and $\frac1{26.25}$. \emph{$\SU(3)$.} The route of Sec.~\ref{sec:su3} bounds the $H^{-1}(\nu_b)$ norm of $\varphi_h-\nu_b\varphi_h$, which is at least $L_h(b)$, and needs it uniformly on $rK$. Its Galerkin values (polynomials of degree two) at matrices of $rK$ give $2r$ times the norm equal to $0.79$ at $r=1.25$, $0.89$ at $r=1.4$, $0.97$ at $r=1.5$ and $1.009$ at $r=1.55$, so the route stops at or below $\beta_W\approx0.77$ even with exact constants. With $u=s\varphi_h$, Lemma~\ref{lem:corrector} stops earlier: in floating point its largest values on $\mathcal R_r$ lie on the face $\operatorname{diag}(r,\rho,\rho)$ with $\rho$ between $0.75r$ and $0.8r$, and $2r$ times the bound is $0.9458$ at $r=1.36$, $0.9767$ at $r=1.40$ and $1.0080$ at $r=1.44$, so this corrector ends near $\beta_W\approx0.715$. With $u=q_h$ of degree two the largest values on the same face are $0.9305$ at $r=1.44$, $0.9729$ at $r=1.50$ and $1.0018$ at $r=1.54$ (Fig.~\ref{fig:face}), close to the Galerkin values. Lemma~\ref{lem:gap} therefore costs little at these couplings, and most of the distance between the floating-point value at $r=1.5$ and the certified $0.999887$ of Proposition~\ref{prop:cover} is the interpolation over boxes. Between $\beta_W=\frac34$ and $0.77$ there is room only for smaller boxes. The plaquette blocks of Theorem~\ref{thm:su3blocks} use $\Lambda(2\beta_W)$ as well, with a little more room: they reach $0.77$ with the certified cover of Proposition~\ref{prop:cover2} and near $0.78$ in floating point (Remark~\ref{rem:su3blocks}); past that one needs larger blocks, whose sensitivity does not go through the one-link modulus. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.84\textwidth]{figures/fig_face.png} \caption{The floating-point value of $2r\sup_h$ of the bound of Lemma~\ref{lem:corrector} on the face $b=\operatorname{diag}(r,\rho,\rho)$, as a function of $\rho/r$, for $r=1.44$, $1.50$ and $1.54$: dashed with the corrector $u=s\varphi_h$ for the best $s$, solid with $u=q_h$ of degree two for the best $C$. The grey plane is the Dobrushin threshold one. The first corrector is above it already at $r=1.44$; the second stays below it at $r=1.50$, where Proposition~\ref{prop:cover} certifies the bound on all of $\mathcal R_r$, and crosses it by $r=1.54$.} \label{fig:face} \end{figure*} \emph{Other groups.} For groups other than $\SU(2)$ and $\SU(3)$ only the curvature route is carried out here (Theorem~\ref{thm:groups}), and it stops where the bound $\frac{29}2$ uses up the curvature of $G$, at $N|\beta|=\frac2{29}\kappa_G$. The Dobrushin route needs a bound for the Kantorovich modulus of the one-link measure of each group, which is not attempted here. \emph{The four open problems.} Our earlier paper~\cite{BB26a} listed four problems between the strong-coupling results and the Clay problem~\cite{JW06}: (1) uniqueness and a gap at intermediate fixed coupling; (2) the crossover from strong coupling to Ba{\l}aban's weak-coupling regime; (3) the continuum limit with the Osterwalder--Schrader axioms; and (4) a gap in physical units. The present paper moves the boundary of (1): for $\SU(2)$ from $\beta_W=\frac29$ to $0.351$, for $\SU(3)$ from $\frac9{32}$ to $0.77$, with a gap at $\frac34$ of $0.0177$ in lattice units, and for every compact simple group, the exceptional groups included, past the curvature ceiling of the ungauged measure, with an explicit gap. It does not close (1); the region between these values and the scaling region, near $\beta_W\approx2.2$ for $\SU(2)$ and $\beta_W\approx6$ for $\SU(3)$, is open, and with it problem (2). Problems (3) and (4) are not solved here. Every bound proved here is uniform in lattice units, so by~\cite{BB26b} none of them can by itself produce a continuum mass gap; that requires control of the gap in physical units along the renormalisation group flow~\cite{Bal84a,BSB26}.\footnote{Every one of these approaches needs an input at physical length scales. Renormalisation group approaches to the ultraviolet behaviour of gauge and gravitational theories, of which~\cite{Bal84a,Dim13} are the rigorous ones for Yang--Mills theory, have also been proposed for the effective dimension of spacetime~\cite{SBG26} and for completions of quantum gravity~\cite{Bha22,BRS26}; they do not bear on the infrared estimates needed here.} \emph{The continuum problem.} Two general facts limit what can be imported into problems (3) and (4) above from constructions of continuum measures. Both concern a random distribution $F$ on $\R^d$, a Borel probability measure on the tempered distributions with finite moments, and the growth condition \begin{equation}\label{eq:growth} \E\,e^{F(\chi)}\le e^{C(\|\chi\|_1+\|\chi\|_2^2)}\qquad\text{for all real } \chi\in\mathcal S(\R^d), \end{equation} which is the growth condition of the regularity axiom of Glimm and Jaffe at $p=2$~\cite[Sect.~6.1, (6.1.5)]{GJ87}. The next proposition shows that it rules out every field whose two-point function is too singular at short distance. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:growth} Let $F$ satisfy~\eqref{eq:growth}, and suppose that its connected two-point function is, off the diagonal, a locally integrable function $S_2(x,y)$ with $S_2(x,y)\ge c|x-y|^{-2\Delta}\bigl(\log\frac1{|x-y|}\bigr)^{-k}$ for $0<|x-y|\le r_0$, where $c>0$, $k\ge0$ and $2\Delta>d$. Then $F$ does not exist: no random distribution has both properties. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Applying~\eqref{eq:growth} to $\chi$ and $-\chi$ and using $\cosh x\ge1+\frac{x^2}2$ gives $\E F(\chi)^2\le2(e^{C(\|\chi\|_1+\|\chi\|_2^2)}-1)$. Fix nonnegative $\varphi,\psi\in C_c^\infty(\R^d)$, not zero, with supports in a ball of radius $\frac R2$ and at distance $\delta>0$ from each other, and put $\varphi_\varepsilon(x)=\varepsilon^{-d/2}\varphi(x/\varepsilon)$, and likewise $\psi_\varepsilon$. Then $\|\varphi_\varepsilon\|_2=\|\varphi\|_2$ and $\|\varphi_\varepsilon\|_1=\varepsilon^{d/2}\|\varphi\|_1\le\|\varphi\|_1$ for $\varepsilon\le1$, so the covariance of $F(\varphi_\varepsilon)$ and $F(\psi_\varepsilon)$ is bounded uniformly in $\varepsilon$ by the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality. On the other hand the supports of $\varphi_\varepsilon$ and $\psi_\varepsilon$ are disjoint, and for $u,v$ in the supports $\varepsilon\delta\le|\varepsilon u-\varepsilon v|\le\varepsilon R$. For $\varepsilon R\le r_0$ and $\varepsilon R<1$ the lower bound for $S_2$ therefore gives \[ \begin{split} \Cov\bigl(F(\varphi_\varepsilon),F(\psi_\varepsilon)\bigr)&=\varepsilon^d\!\int\!\!\int \varphi(u)\psi(v)S_2(\varepsilon u,\varepsilon v)\,du\,dv\\ &\ge c\,R^{-2\Delta}\varepsilon^{d-2\Delta}\Bigl(\log\frac1{\varepsilon\delta}\Bigr)^{-k} \|\varphi\|_1\|\psi\|_1 , \end{split} \] which tends to infinity as $\varepsilon\to0$. \end{proof} The action density $\Tr F_{\mu\nu}F_{\mu\nu}$ has dimension $\Delta=4$ in four dimensions. A two-sided short-distance law of the form $|x-y|^{-8}$ times the fourth power of the running coupling, which is what asymptotic freedom\footnote{For $\SU(N)$ the renormalisation group gives, with $b_0=11N/(48\pi^2)$ and the invariant scale $\Lambda$, \[ g(a)^{-2}=2b_0\log\tfrac1{a\Lambda}+O\bigl(\log\log\tfrac1{a\Lambda}\bigr), \] so the inverse coupling $\beta_W=2N/g(a)^2$ grows like $\frac{11N^2}{12\pi^2}\log\frac1{a\Lambda}$ along the continuum tuning.} predicts, has $2\Delta=8>4$ and $k=2$; so that field cannot satisfy~\eqref{eq:growth}, and a proof of rotation invariance for it has to use something other than this condition. In three dimensions the free part of the action density already has $2\Delta=6>3$. Condition~\eqref{eq:growth} suits fields of dimension at most $\frac d2$, such as the field strength of the free Maxwell field, whose covariance is bounded in momentum space. Positivity, symmetry and regularity do not produce a gap by themselves. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:nogapgff} On $\R^4$ let $F$ be the centred Gaussian random distribution with covariance \[ \widehat C(p)=\int_0^1\frac{m^2}{|p|^2+m^2}\,dm . \] Then $F$ is invariant under all Euclidean motions, reflection positive, satisfies~\eqref{eq:growth} with $C=\frac12$, and its Osterwalder--Schrader Hamiltonian has no gap above the vacuum. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Since $0\le\widehat C\le1$, $\E e^{F(\chi)}=e^{\frac12\ip\chi{C\chi}}\le e^{\frac12 \|\chi\|_2^2}$, with the unitary Fourier transform. Invariance is clear. The covariance is the integral over $m\in(0,1)$, with the weight $m^2dm$, of the covariances of free fields of mass $m$, each of which is reflection positive~\cite[Sect.~6.2]{GJ87}; a positive combination of reflection positive covariances is reflection positive, and so is the Gaussian measure with such a covariance~\cite[Sect.~6.2]{GJ87}. For $\chi(t,\mathbf x)=h(t)g(\mathbf x)$ with $h\ge0$ supported in $t>0$, not zero, and $\hat g(0)\ne0$, the vector $v=F(\chi)$ is orthogonal to the vacuum, and after the Fourier transform in $\mathbf x$, \[ \begin{split} \ip v{e^{-sH}v}={}&\int_0^1m^2\,dm\int\frac{|\hat g(\mathbf k)|^2}{2\omega} e^{-\omega s}\\ &\times\Bigl(\int_0^\infty h(t)e^{-\omega t}dt\Bigr)^2\,d\mathbf k , \end{split} \] with $\omega=\sqrt{|\mathbf k|^2+m^2}$ and constants absorbed in $\hat g$. If $H$ had a gap $m_0>0$, the left side would be at most $e^{-m_0s}\|v\|^2$. For $0<\eta0$, a contradiction as $s\to\infty$. \end{proof} The Gaussian field of Proposition~\ref{prop:nogapgff} is not a gauge theory; it shows only that an infrared estimate, such as a bound $\ip{v_a}{T_a^{\lfloor t/a\rfloor}v_a}\le C_ve^{-m_*t}$ uniform in the spacing $a$ along the continuum tuning, has to be proved in addition to the axioms. The lattice bounds of this paper are of this form only with $m_*$ proportional to $1/a$, and by~\cite{BB26b} such bounds give trivial limits. The routes we know to a continuum gap therefore all stop at the same two estimates: the construction of the infinite-volume continuum measure past Ba{\l}aban's small-field analysis~\cite{Bal84a,Bal89b}, and a decay estimate in physical units at large scales. \section{The continuum step at one physical scale}\label{sec:bypass} The bounds of the preceding sections hold at fixed coupling and give a gap that is at least a fixed number in lattice units, and~\cite{BB26b} shows that no such bound can produce a continuum gap. This section replaces the single-link condition of Proposition~\ref{prop:state} by a condition on one cube of $n^4$ sites, averaged over its translates in the manner of Dobrushin and Shlosman~\cite{DS85}, and proves that the condition gives a gap of order $1/n$ in lattice units. If it holds with $n$ proportional to $1/a$, that is, in a cube of fixed physical size, the gap survives in physical units and passes to every continuum limit (Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}). The two statements that remain unproved, the cube estimate and the existence of the limit, are stated in Sec.~\ref{sec:inputs}. \subsection{Averaged cubes} For a finite set $V\subset A$ let $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q)$ be the probability measure on $G^V$ with density proportional to $\exp\bigl(N\beta\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}\ReTr Q^F_p\bigr)$ with respect to Haar measure, the links outside $V$ being those of $Q$. Its conditional law of $Q_e$, $e\in V$, given the other links of $V$ is $\gamma^F_e$. Write $d_V(Q_V,Q'_V)=\sum_{i\in V} \delta(Q_i,Q'_i)$ and, for $j\in A\setminus V$, \[ C_{V,j}=\sup\frac{W_1^{d_V}\bigl(\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q),\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q')\bigr)}{\delta(Q_j,Q'_j)}, \] the supremum over pairs that differ only at $j$; $W_1^{d_V}$ is the Kantorovich distance for $d_V$. The coefficient vanishes unless $j$ shares a plaquette with a link of $V$. Let $n\ge2$ be even and let $V$ be the set of active links $(x,\mu)$ with $x\in[0,n)^4$. The direction field has period two, so the translations by $2\Z^4$ preserve $F$, $A$ and $\gamma^F$, and the translates $V_x=V+x$, $x\in2\Z^4$, satisfy $C_{V_x,j+x}=C_{V,j}$. Every active link lies in exactly $N_n=(n/2)^4$ of them. A \emph{class} is an orbit of $2\Z^4$ on $A$, that is, a residue of the base point modulo two together with a direction; there are at most $64$ classes. For a class $c$ put \[ K_c=\sum_{j\in c\setminus V}C_{V,j}. \] \begin{definition}\label{def:cube} For $0<\alpha<1$, the condition $D(n,\alpha)$ at the coupling $\beta$ is $K_c\le\alpha N_n$ for every class $c$. \end{definition} Since $\sum_{x\in2\Z^4,\,j\notin V_x}C_{V_x,j}=\sum_{x}C_{V,j-x}[j-x\notin V] =K_{c(j)}$ for the class $c(j)$ of $j$, the condition says that the total influence of a link on the translates that do not contain it is at most the fraction $\alpha$ of the number of translates that do. Figure~\ref{fig:cubes} shows the cubes. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_cubes.png} \caption{(a) The cube $V$ of side $n=4$ and two of its translates by $2\Z^4$, drawn in three of the four dimensions. A link $j$ outside $V$ enters $K_c$ through every translate whose boundary it touches, and $D(n,\alpha)$ compares that total with the $N_n=(n/2)^4$ translates that contain $j$. (b) The cube of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}: its physical side $\ell=na$ is held fixed while the spacing is halved, so $n$ doubles at each step and the lattice gap $\log(1/\alpha)/(2n)$ is of order $a/\ell$.} \label{fig:cubes} \end{figure*} For $n=2$ it is a bound on blocks of $48$ links. Distances between links are those of their midpoints; a link of $V$ and a link sharing a plaquette with $V$ are at distance at most $\rho_n=2n$, and $c_n$ denotes the number of active links within distance $\rho_n$ of a given one. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:onescale} Let $\beta\ge0$ and suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds. Then statements \textup{(i)}--\textup{(iv)} of Proposition~\ref{prop:state} hold, \textup{(v)} holds for every $\lambda<\log(1/\alpha)/\rho_n$, and the transfer matrix of $\omega$ has spectral gap at least $\log(1/\alpha)/(2n)$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} The proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:state} uses the coefficients $C_{ee'}$ only through Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} and Corollary~\ref{cor:decay}. Lemma~\ref{lem:dscomparison} of Appendix~\ref{app:comparison} gives the same conclusions under $D(n,\alpha)$, for every $\lambda>0$ with $\alpha e^{\lambda\rho_n}<1$, with the constant $\theta D/(1-\theta)$ replaced by $D(1+c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n})/(1-\theta)$ and $\theta=\alpha e^{\lambda\rho_n}$. The measures used there are invariant under every $\gamma_{V_x}$ with $V_x$ disjoint from the exceptional set: a Gibbs measure of $\gamma^F$ and its conditional measures given the links of a finite set by Lemma~\ref{lem:dscomparison}(a), and the extended finite-volume measure of part (ii) because every plaquette that meets such a $V_x$ lies in $P(\Lambda)$. Part (vi) then follows from Proposition~\ref{prop:gapdecay} as before, with every $\lambda<\log(1/\alpha)/(2n)$. \end{proof} \subsection{The continuum limit} Let $a_k=2^{-k}a_0$ and let $\beta_k\ge0$ be couplings, typically with $\beta_k\to\infty$. Suppose that the lattice states $\omega_k$ at $\beta_k$ exist as in Proposition~\ref{prop:state}, with transfer matrices $\mathbb T_k$ on the reconstructed spaces $\mathcal H_k$ and vacua $\Omega_k$ (Appendix~\ref{app:transfer}). Let $\mathcal T$ be a complex vector space of test functions on $\R^4$ supported in $\{t>0\}$ and, for each $k$, let $f\mapsto O_k(f)$ be a linear map from $\mathcal T$ to gauge-invariant local observables supported in positive lattice times; the example to keep in mind is $O_k(f)=Z_k\sum_xa_k^4f(a_kx)\Phi(x)$ for a local gauge-invariant field $\Phi$, a renormalisation constant $Z_k$ and $\Phi(x)$ the translate of $\Phi$ to $x$. Write $\vartheta$ for the time reflection and $\tau_t$ for the time translation by $t$ lattice steps. \begin{definition}\label{def:limit} A \emph{continuum limit} of $(\omega_k,O_k)$ is a Hilbert space $\mathcal H$ with a unit vector $\Omega$, a self-adjoint operator $H\ge0$ with $H\Omega=0$, and a linear map $f\mapsto\psi(f)$ from $\mathcal T$ to $\mathcal H$ with dense range, such that for all $f,g\in\mathcal T$ and all dyadic $\tau\ge0$, \[ \begin{split} \ip{\psi(f)}{e^{-\tau H}\psi(g)}&=\lim_{k\to\infty}\omega_k\bigl(\vartheta (\overline{O_k(f)})\,\tau_{\tau/a_k}O_k(g)\bigr),\\ \ip\Omega{\psi(f)}&=\lim_{k\to\infty}\omega_k\bigl(O_k(f)\bigr), \end{split} \] the limits taken over the $k$ for which $\tau/a_k$ is an integer. It is \emph{nontrivial} if $\mathcal H\ne\C\Omega$. \end{definition} The Osterwalder--Schrader reconstruction~\cite{OS73,OS75} produces such a limit from convergent renormalised Schwinger functions that satisfy the axioms; the definition records only what the next theorem uses. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:transfer} Suppose that there are $\alpha<1$, $\ell>0$ and even $n_k$ with $n_ka_k\le\ell$ such that $D(n_k,\alpha)$ holds at $\beta_k$ for every $k$. Then every continuum limit of $(\omega_k,O_k)$ satisfies \[ \sigma(H)\subset\{0\}\cup[m_*,\infty),\qquad m_*=\frac{\log(1/\alpha)}{2\ell}, \] and $0$ is a simple eigenvalue. If the limit is nontrivial, $\sigma(H)\cap[m_*,\infty)\ne\emptyset$, so $H$ has a mass gap of at least $m_*$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} By Theorem~\ref{thm:onescale} the state $\omega_k$ exists and $\mathbb T_k$ has gap at least $\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)$ on the complement of $\Omega_k$. Let $f\in \mathcal T$, put $O=O_k(f)$ and $\varphi_k=\Psi_O-\omega_k(O)\Omega_k$. In the reconstruction of Appendix~\ref{app:transfer}, $\ip{\Psi_F}{\mathbb T_k^t\Psi_H}=\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tH)$, so $\ip{\Omega_k}{\Psi_O}=\omega_k(O)$, and $\mathbb T_k\Omega_k=\Omega_k$; hence, for integers $t\ge0$, \[ \begin{split} \ip{\varphi_k}{\mathbb T_k^t\varphi_k}&=\omega_k\bigl(\vartheta(\bar O)\,\tau_tO\bigr) -|\omega_k(O)|^2\\ &\le e^{-t\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)}\,\|\varphi_k\|^2 . \end{split} \] Take $\tau\ge0$ dyadic and $k$ large, so that $t=\tau/a_k$ is an integer; then $t/(2n_k)=\tau/(2n_ka_k)\ge\tau/(2\ell)$, and the right side is at most $e^{-m_*\tau}\|\varphi_k\|^2$. Both sides converge by Definition~\ref{def:limit}. With $\varphi=\psi(f)-\ip\Omega{\psi(f)}\Omega$ and $e^{-\tau H}\Omega=\Omega$ the limit reads \[ \ip\varphi{e^{-\tau H}\varphi}\le e^{-m_*\tau}\|\varphi\|^2 . \] The maps $f\mapsto O_k(f)$ and $f\mapsto\psi(f)$ are linear, so the vectors $\varphi$ form a linear subspace, and it is dense in $\Omega^\perp$ because the range of $\psi$ is dense. The inequality extends to $\Omega^\perp$ by continuity, and from dyadic $\tau$ to all $\tau\ge0$ by the strong continuity of $e^{-\tau H}$. For $\varphi\in\Omega^\perp$ with spectral measure $\mu_\varphi$ of $H$ this says $\int e^{-\tau E}d\mu_\varphi(E)\le e^{-m_*\tau} \mu_\varphi([0,\infty))$ for all $\tau\ge0$; if $\mu_\varphi([0,m_*-\eta])>0$ for some $\eta>0$, the left side is at least $\mu_\varphi([0,m_*-\eta]) e^{-(m_*-\eta)\tau}$, which exceeds the right side for large $\tau$. So $\mu_\varphi$ lives on $[m_*,\infty)$ for every $\varphi\in\Omega^\perp$, which gives both claims about $0$, and the spectrum on $\Omega^\perp\ne\{0\}$ lies in $[m_*,\infty)$ and is not empty. \end{proof} The proof uses $D(n_k,\alpha)$ only through the decay of the two-point functions, and the same argument accepts any decay with constants that depend on the observable. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:clustering} Let $m_0>0$ and let $\mathcal T_0$ span $\mathcal T$. Suppose that for each $f\in\mathcal T_0$ there are $C_f<\infty$, $\tau_f\ge0$ and $k_f$ such that \begin{align*} C^f_k(\tau)&=\omega_k\bigl(\vartheta(\overline{O_k(f)})\,\tau_{\tau/a_k} O_k(f)\bigr)-|\omega_k(O_k(f))|^2\\ &\le C_fe^{-m_0\tau} \end{align*} for all $k\ge k_f$ and all dyadic $\tau\ge\tau_f$ with $\tau/a_k\in\Z$. Then every continuum limit of $(\omega_k,O_k)$ satisfies $\sigma(H)\subset \{0\}\cup[m_0,\infty)$, and $0$ is a simple eigenvalue. If the limit is nontrivial, $H$ has a mass gap of at least $m_0$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} For $f\in\mathcal T$ put $\varphi(f)=\psi(f)-\ip\Omega{\psi(f)}\Omega$, which is linear in $f$. Since $e^{-\tau H}$ is self-adjoint and fixes $\Omega$, Definition~\ref{def:limit} gives $\ip{\varphi(f)}{e^{-\tau H} \varphi(f)}=\lim_kC^f_k(\tau)$. For $f\in\mathcal T_0$ let $\mu$ be the spectral measure of $H$ at $\varphi(f)$. Then $\int e^{-\tau E}d\mu(E)\le C_fe^{-m_0\tau}$ for dyadic $\tau\ge\tau_f$. If $\mu([0,m_0-\eta])>0$ for some $\eta\in(0,m_0)$, the left side is at least $\mu([0,m_0-\eta])e^{-(m_0- \eta)\tau}$, which is impossible for large $\tau$. Hence the spectral projection $E_{[0,m_0)}$ of $H$ vanishes on $\varphi(\mathcal T_0)$. By linearity it vanishes on $\varphi(\mathcal T)$, and since its kernel is closed, it vanishes on the closure of $\varphi(\mathcal T)$, which is $\Omega^\perp$ because $\psi(\mathcal T)$ is dense. So $E_{[0,m_0)}= \ip\Omega\cdot\,\Omega$, which gives both claims. \end{proof} Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} is the case $m_0=m_*$, $\tau_f=0$ and $C_f= \sup_{k\ge k_f}\|\varphi_k\|^2$, which is finite because $\|\varphi_k\|^2= C^f_k(0)$ converges. Theorem~\ref{thm:clustering} needs neither a lattice gap nor the gauge of this paper. It applies to the output of a cluster expansion of any coarse effective theory, provided the expansion bounds the correlations of a spanning set of renormalised observables in physical units. Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} bypasses the obstruction of~\cite{BB26b}: under the hypothesis the lattice gap is at least $\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)$, of order $a_k/\ell$ in lattice units, which tends to zero, and only its value in physical units is bounded below. In the language of~\cite{BB26b} the hypothesis implies the gap part (R2) of Hypothesis~R, with $m=m_*$, and the conclusion holds for every continuum limit without a separate assumption on the gap. \subsection{Smoothed observables} The observables $O_k(f)$ of Definition~\ref{def:limit} need not be local. The renormalised fields that one expects to converge are smoothed by the gradient flow of the Wilson action~\cite{Lus10}\footnote{The flow moves the gauge field along the negative gradient of the Wilson action. At positive flow time the flowed fields are smooth on the scale of the square root of the flow time, and in perturbation theory their gauge-invariant composite fields need no further renormalisation~\cite{Lus10,LW11}.}; at positive flow time their correlation functions are finite to all orders of perturbation theory once the coupling is renormalised~\cite{LW11}. Flow in all four directions mixes the two sides of the reflection plane, but the spatial flow of~\cite[Sec.~II.B]{SS23} does not: it flows the links of each time slice under the Wilson action of that slice and leaves the temporal links alone. Fix a bi-invariant Riemannian metric on $G$. For a configuration $U$ of all links of $\Z^4$ (for the states of this paper, the links of $F$ equal to $1$), let $\Phi_s(U)$, $s\in\R$, solve \[ \frac{d}{ds}U_e=-\nabla_e\!\!\sum_{p\ni e,\ p\ \mathrm{spatial}} \bigl(N-\ReTr U_p\bigr) \] for every spatial link $e$, the sum running over the four plaquettes of the time slice of $e$ that contain it, with the temporal links held fixed and $\nabla_e$ the gradient in the variable $U_e$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:spatialflow} \textup{(i)} $\Phi_s$ is defined on every configuration of the infinite lattice, $\Phi_s\circ\Phi_{s'}=\Phi_{s+s'}$, and $\Phi_s$ commutes with gauge transformations, with spatial and temporal translations and with the reflections in time. The link $\Phi_s(U)_e$ depends only on the spatial links of the time slice of $e$, and there are constants $\kappa,c$ depending only on $G$ such that, if $\Phi^{R}_s$ denotes the flow of the links of that slice within distance $R$ of $e$ with all other links held fixed, \[ \delta\bigl(\Phi_s(U)_e,\Phi^R_s(U)_e\bigr)\le D\,e^{\kappa|s|} \frac{(c|s|)^{R+1}}{(R+1)!} \] for every configuration $U$. \textup{(ii)} Let $\omega$ be a state as in Appendix~\ref{app:transfer} and $O$ a bounded gauge-invariant function of finitely many links at times in $[t_0,t_1]$, continuous in them. Then $O\circ\Phi_s$ is a bounded gauge-invariant function of the links at times in $[t_0,t_1]$ and a uniform limit of gauge-invariant local functions at those times. \textup{(iii)} Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} holds with $O_k(f)$ replaced by $O_k(f)\circ\Phi_{s_k}$ for any $s_k\in\R$, in particular for $s_k=\tau/a_k^2$ at a fixed flow time $\tau$ in physical units. \textup{(iv)} The image measure $(\Phi_s)_*\omega$ is reflection positive, and its transfer matrix is unitarily equivalent to that of $\omega$, the unitary fixing the vacuum. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) Embed $G$ in a matrix algebra. The right side of the equation is a smooth function of the links of the four plaquettes containing $e$, tangent to $G$ at $U_e$, so on the Banach space of bounded assignments of matrices to the spatial links it is a vector field that is bounded and Lipschitz on a neighbourhood of the configurations with values in $G$, with a Lipschitz constant that does not depend on the volume because every link meets finitely many others. The Picard--Lindel\"of theorem gives a unique local solution; it stays on $G$ because the field is tangent there, and since the field is bounded on $G$ the solution exists for all $s$; uniqueness gives the group law. The action of a time slice and the metric are invariant under gauge transformations, translations and the reflections, so the flow commutes with them by uniqueness. Since the equation of a spatial link involves only links of its own slice, so does the solution. For the comparison, let $d_{e'}(s)$ be the distance between the two flows at a link $e'$ of the slice. Smoothness on the compact group gives constants $\kappa_0,c_1$ with $d_{e'}(s)\le\int_0^{|s|}\bigl(\kappa_0d_{e'}+c_1\sum_{e''\sim e'}d_{e''}\bigr)$ for $e'$ within distance $R$ of $e$, where $e''\sim e'$ means that the two links share a spatial plaquette (twelve neighbours), while $d_{e'}\le D$ beyond. Iterating the integral form of this inequality, a term that reaches the links beyond distance $R$ needs at least $R+1$ steps of $\sim$, and $\sum_{k>R}x^k/k!\le e^xx^{R+1}/(R+1)!$; this gives the bound with $c=12c_1$ and $\kappa=\kappa_0+c$. (ii) The truncated flow $\Phi^R_s$ commutes with gauge transformations for the same reason as $\Phi_s$, so $O\circ\Phi^R_s$ is a gauge-invariant function of finitely many links at times in $[t_0,t_1]$. By (i) and the uniform continuity of $O$, it converges to $O\circ\Phi_s$ uniformly as $R\to\infty$. (iii) The proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} uses $O_k(f)$ only through the vectors $\Psi_{O_k(f)}$ and the identity $\ip{\Psi_F}{\mathbb T^t\Psi_H}=\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tH)$. By (ii) and the footnote in Appendix~\ref{app:transfer}, both extend to uniform limits of local functions at positive times, and $f\mapsto O_k(f)\circ\Phi_{s_k}$ is linear. (iv) By (i), $\Phi_s$ and $\Phi_{-s}$ preserve the functions of the links at positive times and commute with $\vartheta$ and $\tau_t$. Hence $(\Phi_s)_*\omega\bigl(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tH\bigr)=\omega\bigl(\vartheta(\overline{F\circ \Phi_s})\,\tau_t(H\circ\Phi_s)\bigr)$, which for $t=0$ and $H=F$ is nonnegative, and $F\mapsto F\circ\Phi_s$ induces an isometry between the reconstructed spaces that intertwines the transfer matrices and fixes the vacuum; $\Phi_{-s}$ gives its inverse. \end{proof} Part (iv) says that smoothing changes the variables and not the theory: it neither creates nor removes a gap. Its use is in the choice of the observables. With $O_k(f)$ the spatially flowed fields at a fixed physical flow time, for instance $Z_k\sum_xa_k^4f(a_kx)\bigl(\mathcal E_{\tau}(x)- \omega_k(\mathcal E_\tau(x))\bigr)$ with $\mathcal E_\tau(x)$ the flowed action density of the slice, statement (E) asks for the convergence of correlation functions that are known to be finite in perturbation theory~\cite{LW11}, and Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} applies to them. Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} below constructs their continuum limits along subsequences; their nontriviality is not proved here. \subsection{Renormalised flowed observables}\label{ssec:flowlimit} The spatially flowed fields can be renormalised by one condition at a single physical separation, and their correlation functions then have continuum limits along subsequences without further assumptions. What remains open is whether such a limit is trivial, and that question reduces to one ratio of lattice two-point functions. Fix a bounded gauge-invariant function $\Phi$ of finitely many spatial links of the slice $\{x_0=0\}$, continuous in them, a flow time $\tau>0$ in physical units, and a nonzero test function $f_0\in C_c(\R^4)$ supported in $\{t>0\}$. Put $s_k=\tau/a_k^2$, write $\Phi_x$ for the translate of $\Phi$ to $x\in\Z^4$, and let \[ A_k=\sum_{x\in\Z^4}a_k^4f_0(a_kx)\bigl(\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k} -\omega_k(\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k})\bigr), \] \[ C_k(\sigma)=\omega_k\bigl(\vartheta(\bar A_k)\,\tau_{\sigma/a_k}A_k\bigr) \] for dyadic $\sigma\ge0$ (the sum is finite, and $\sigma/a_k$ is an integer for large $k$). By reflection positivity $C_k(0)\ge0$; assume $C_k(0)>0$ and set $Z_k=C_k(0)^{-1/2}$. Let $\mathcal D$ be the set of points $y=(t,y')\in\R^4$ with dyadic coordinates (in units of $a_0$) and $t>0$, and for $y\in\mathcal D$ and $k$ with $y/a_k\in\Z^4$ let $A^y_k$ be the translate of $A_k$ by $y/a_k$. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.82\textwidth]{figures/fig_packet.png} \caption{The packet $f_0$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}, supported in the time window $[t_0,t_1]$ above the reflection plane $t=0$, its reflection $\vartheta f_0$ and its translate $\tau_\sigma f_0$ by $\sigma$ in time. The correlation $C_k(\sigma)$ pairs the reflected packet with the translated one; $C_k(0)$ is the reflected norm that renormalises the packet.} \label{fig:packet} \end{figure*} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:flowlimit} \textup{(i)} For $y,y'\in\mathcal D$ and every $k$ with $y/a_k,y'/a_k\in\Z^4$, \[ Z_k^2\,\bigl|\omega_k\bigl(\vartheta(\bar A^y_k)A^{y'}_k\bigr)\bigr|\le1 . \] \textup{(ii)} Every sequence of $k$ has a subsequence along which $K(y,y')=\lim Z_k^2\,\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar A^y_k)A^{y'}_k)$ exists for all $y,y'\in\mathcal D$ and $\rho(\sigma)=\lim C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)$ exists for all dyadic $\sigma>0$. Along it there is a probability measure $\mu$ on $[0,\infty]$ with \[ \rho(\sigma)=\int_{[0,\infty]}e^{-\sigma E}\,d\mu(E)\qquad(\sigma>0), \] the integrand being $0$ at $E=\infty$. \textup{(iii)} Along such a subsequence, let $\mathcal T$ be spanned by the translates $f_0(\cdot-y)$, $y\in\mathcal D$, and one more function $f_*\in C_c(\R^4)$ supported in $\{t>0\}$ outside their span, and let $O_k$ be the linear map with $O_k(f_0(\cdot-y))=Z_kA^y_k$ and $O_k(f_*)=1$. Then $(\omega_k,O_k)$ has a continuum limit in the sense of Definition~\ref{def:limit}, on which the dyadic spatial translations act by unitary operators commuting with $H$. \textup{(iv)} This limit is nontrivial if and only if $\mu([0,\infty))>0$, if and only if $\rho(\sigma)>0$ for one dyadic $\sigma>0$, and then $\rho(\sigma)>0$ for all of them. Consequently a nontrivial limit exists along some subsequence if and only if $\limsup_kC_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)>0$ for some dyadic $\sigma>0$. \textup{(v)} If the hypothesis of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} holds, then $\mu$ is carried by $[m_*,\infty]$ and $\rho(\sigma)\le e^{-m_*\sigma}$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} By Proposition~\ref{prop:spatialflow}(ii) each $\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k}$, and hence each $A^y_k$, is a uniform limit of gauge-invariant local functions at times $\ge1$, so the reconstruction of Appendix~\ref{app:transfer} applies to them (its footnote). Write $\Psi_k=Z_k\Psi_{A_k}$. Since $\ip{\Omega_k}{\Psi_{A_k}}=\omega_k(A_k)=0$ and $\|\Psi_k\|^2=Z_k^2C_k(0)=1$, $\Psi_k$ is a unit vector orthogonal to $\Omega_k$. The relation $\ip{\Psi_F}{\mathbb T_k^t\Psi_H}=\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tH)$ for all $F$ gives $\Psi_{\tau_tH}=\mathbb T_k^t\Psi_H$. Spatial translations commute with $\vartheta$ and with $\tau_t$ and leave $\omega_k$ invariant, so they act on the reconstructed space by unitaries $U_k(x)$ that commute with $\mathbb T_k$. Hence, for $y=(t,y')$, \[ Z_k\Psi_{A^y_k}=U_k(y'/a_k)\,\mathbb T_k^{t/a_k}\Psi_k . \] (i) The left side of the inequality is $|\ip{Z_k\Psi_{A^y_k}}{Z_k \Psi_{A^{y'}_k}}|\le1$, because $\|U_k\|=1$ and $0\le\mathbb T_k\le1$. (ii) The set $\mathcal D\times\mathcal D$ is countable and the numbers are bounded by (i), so a diagonal subsequence gives all the limits $K$; the limits $\rho(\sigma)$ are among them, since $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)= \ip{\Psi_k}{\mathbb T_k^{\sigma/a_k}\Psi_k}$ is the value of $K$ at $y=y'=(\sigma/2,0)$. Let $\nu_k$ be the spectral measure (Lemma~\ref{lem:spectralmeasure}) of $\mathbb T_k$ at $\Psi_k$, a probability measure on $[0,1]$, and $\mu_k$ its image under $\lambda\mapsto-a_k^{-1}\log\lambda\in[0,\infty]$. Then $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)=\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu_k(E)$. The space $[0,\infty]$ is compact, so a further subsequence has $\mu_k\to\mu$ weakly (Lemma~\ref{lem:helly}), and $E\mapsto e^{-\sigma E}$ is continuous on $[0,\infty]$ for $\sigma>0$. (iii) A finite combination $\sum_jc_jf_0(\cdot-y_j)$ with distinct $y_j$ that vanishes has Fourier transform $\hat f_0(p)\sum_jc_je^{-ip\cdot y_j}=0$; since $\hat f_0$ is analytic and not zero, the exponential sum vanishes on an open set and every $c_j$ is zero. So the translates are linearly independent and $O_k$ is well defined. On the space $V$ of finite sums $v=\sum_yc_y\delta_y$ over $\mathcal D$ put $B(v,w)=\sum\bar c_yc'_{y'}K(y,y')$. It is the limit of $\ip{v_k}{w_k}$ with $v_k=\sum_yc_yZ_k\Psi_{A^y_k}$, hence positive semidefinite; let $\mathcal H_0$ be the completion of $V$ modulo its null space. For dyadic $\sigma\ge0$ and dyadic spatial $x$ define $T(\sigma)\delta_y=\delta_{y+(\sigma,0)}$ and $U(x)\delta_y=\delta_{y+(0,x)}$. At level $k$ these are $\mathbb T_k^{\sigma/a_k}$ and $U_k(x/a_k)$, so in the limit $B(T(\sigma)v,w)=B(v,T(\sigma)w)$, $B(T(\sigma)v,T(\sigma)v)\le B(v,v)$, $B(v,T(\sigma)v)\ge0$, and $U(x)$ preserves $B$. Thus $T(\sigma)$ extends to commuting positive contractions on $\mathcal H_0$ with $T(\sigma)T(\sigma')=T(\sigma+\sigma')$, and $U(x)$ to unitaries commuting with them. For dyadic $\sigma>0$ the kernel of $T(\sigma)=T(\sigma/2)^2$ equals that of $T(\sigma/2)$, so all these kernels coincide; and every $\delta_y$ with $y=(t,y')$ equals $T(t/2)\delta_{(t/2,y')}$, a vector in the range of a positive operator and so orthogonal to its kernel. Hence each $T(\sigma)$ is injective on $\mathcal H_0$, and $H_0=-\log T(1)$ is a self-adjoint operator with $H_0\ge0$ and $e^{-\sigma H_0}=T(\sigma)$ for dyadic $\sigma$, by the uniqueness of positive roots. Put $\mathcal H=\C\Omega\oplus\mathcal H_0$, $H=0\oplus H_0$, $\psi(f_0(\cdot-y))=\delta_y$ and $\psi(f_*)=\Omega$. The range of $\psi$ is dense, and the identities of Definition~\ref{def:limit} hold: for two translates they are the limits defining $K$, with $\tau_{\sigma/a_k}A^{y'}_k= A^{y'+(\sigma,0)}_k$; and for $f_*$ they read $\omega_k(1)=1$ and $\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar A^y_k))=\omega_k(\tau_{\sigma/a_k}A^y_k)=0$. (iv) The limit is nontrivial exactly when $\mathcal H_0\ne0$, that is when $\|\delta_y\|^2=K(y,y)=\rho(2t)$ is positive for some $y=(t,y')$. By (ii) and Lemma~\ref{lem:laplace}(b), $\rho(\sigma)>0$ for one $\sigma>0$ if and only if $\mu([0,\infty))>0$, and then $\rho(\sigma)>0$ for every $\sigma>0$. For the last statement choose a subsequence along which $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)$ tends to its $\limsup$, and refine it by (ii). (v) Under that hypothesis the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} gives $\nu_k([0,e^{-\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)}])=1$ because $\Psi_k\perp\Omega_k$, so $\mu_k$ is carried by $[\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_ka_k),\infty]\subset[m_*,\infty]$, and so is the weak limit $\mu$. \end{proof} The measure $\mu$ is the spectral measure of the renormalised flowed field in the limit: its part on $[0,\infty)$ is what survives as a state of the continuum theory, and its atom at $\infty$ is the weight that the field puts on energies that diverge in physical units. The theorem constructs the renormalised continuum observables and their reconstruction for every tuning, and it reduces their nontriviality to the lattice inequality \[ \limsup_{k\to\infty}\frac{C_k(\sigma)}{C_k(0)}>0 \] for one physical separation $\sigma$: the flowed two-point function of the smeared packet at a fixed physical distance must not become negligible against its reflected norm $C_k(0)$. If the lattice gap stayed above some $m>0$ in lattice units, the ratio would be at most $e^{-m\sigma/a_k}$ and the limit would be trivial, so the inequality is a condition on the tuning $\beta_k\to\infty$; it is not proved here. Nor are the independence of the limit from the subsequence, Euclidean invariance, or bounds on products of more than two renormalised fields, for which (i) gives nothing because $Z_k$ may diverge (Theorem~\ref{thm:higher} reduces them to tree bounds); (E) requires all of these. The denominator $C_k(0)$ is the reflected norm of the packet smeared by $f_0$, not a coincidence limit of point fields, and the distinction matters. For the free massless scalar field in four dimensions with spatial momenta cut off at $\Lambda$, the covariance at spatial separation $0$ is $(1-(1+\Lambda t)e^{-\Lambda t})/(4\pi^2t^2)$ at time $t>0$ and $\Lambda^2/(8\pi^2)$ at coincidence, so its ratio $2(1-(1+\Lambda t)e^{-\Lambda t})/(\Lambda t)^2$ tends to zero as $\Lambda\to\infty$, although the limiting field is the nontrivial Gaussian field; for packets smeared by $f_0$ the reflected norms of that field have finite positive limits and the ratio stays positive. The criterion of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) is about the smeared packets $A_k$ only. When the ratio is bounded below, renormalising at the separation $\sigma$ instead of $0$ removes the escape to infinite energy altogether, and one slab of the transfer matrix gives a sufficient condition for the bound. Write $\mu_k$ for the measures in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:flowshift} \textup{(i)} Suppose $C_k(\sigma)\ge c\,C_k(0)$ for a dyadic $\sigma>0$, a $c>0$ and every $k$ of a sequence. Let $\mu'_k$ be the spectral measure, in energies $E=-a_k^{-1}\log\lambda$, of the unit vector $C_k(\sigma)^{-1/2}\Psi_{A'_k}$ with $A'_k=\tau_{\sigma/2a_k}A_k$. Then $\mu'_k$ is a probability measure on $[0,\infty)$, \[ \mu'_k([\Lambda,\infty))\le c^{-1}e^{-\sigma\Lambda},\qquad \int E^m\,d\mu'_k\le c^{-1}\Bigl(\frac m{e\sigma}\Bigr)^m , \] and $t\mapsto C_k(\sigma+t)/C_k(\sigma)$ is Lipschitz on $[0,\infty)$ with constant $(e\sigma c)^{-1}$. A subsequence of the $\mu'_k$ converges weakly to a probability measure on $[0,\infty)$ with the same bounds. \textup{(ii)} Suppose $\ip{\Psi_k}{(1-\mathbb T_k)\Psi_k}\le Ca_k$ for a constant $C$ and every $k$ of a sequence. Then $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)\ge e^{-2C\sigma}$ whenever $Ca_k\le\frac12$ and $\sigma/a_k$ is an integer, and $\mu_k([\Lambda,\infty])\le C(a_k+\Lambda^{-1})$ for every $\Lambda>0$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) We have $\Psi_{A'_k}=\mathbb T_k^{\sigma/2a_k}\Psi_{A_k}$, so the measure $\mu'_k$ is $e^{-\sigma E}d\mu_k(E)$ divided by its mass $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)\ge c$, and $e^{-\sigma E}$ vanishes at $E=\infty$. For $E\ge\Lambda$ we have $e^{-\sigma E}\le e^{-\sigma\Lambda}$, and $E^me^{-\sigma E}\le(m/e\sigma)^m$ for all $E\ge0$. The ratio in question is the integral of $e^{-tE}$ against $\mu'_k$, and the inequality $|e^{-tE}-e^{-sE}|\le|t-s|E$ with the moment bound for $m=1$ gives the Lipschitz bound. The tail bound makes the sequence tight on $[0,\infty)$, so Prokhorov's theorem gives the weak limit, and the bounds pass to it because $\{E>\Lambda\}$ is open and $E^m$ is a monotone limit of bounded continuous functions. (ii) Let $\nu_k$ be the spectral measure of $\mathbb T_k$ at $\Psi_k$ on $[0,1]$, a probability measure, and $n=\sigma/a_k$. By Jensen's inequality for the convex function $\lambda^n$, \[ \frac{C_k(\sigma)}{C_k(0)}=\int\lambda^nd\nu_k\ge\Bigl(\int\lambda\,d\nu_k \Bigr)^n\ge(1-Ca_k)^n\ge e^{-2Ca_kn}, \] since $\log(1-x)\ge-2x$ on $[0,\frac12]$. Moreover $Ca_k\ge\int(1-e^{-a_kE}) d\mu_k\ge(1-e^{-a_k\Lambda})\mu_k([\Lambda,\infty])$, and $1-e^{-x}\ge x/(1+x)$. \end{proof} Part (ii) asks for an upper bound on a one-slab Dirichlet form, the opposite direction to a mass gap, which bounds such forms from below. In the box of Proposition~\ref{prop:flowpositive}, with $g$ smooth, the time smearing supplies the factor $a_k$ up to one ratio: in the notation of its proof, $\mathbb T_k=A$ and $\Psi_{A_k}=\sum_nw_n\mathbb T_k^nu$ with $w_n=a_kg(a_kn)$ and $u=a_k^3F^c\psi_0$, and the identity $(1-\mathbb T_k) \Psi_{A_k}=\sum_n(w_n-w_{n-1})\mathbb T_k^nu$ gives $\ip{\Psi_k}{(1-\mathbb T_k)\Psi_k}\le a_k\|g'\|_{L^1}\|u\|/\|\Psi_{A_k}\|$, so the hypothesis of (ii) holds when the vector $u$ of a single slice stays comparable to the time-smeared packet. That comparison is not proved; Proposition~\ref{prop:sliceratio} below bounds the ratio without it. A one-slab bound of this kind also limits the mass that $D(n_k,\alpha)$ can supply. Let $e^{-m_k}$ be the norm of $\mathbb T_k$ on $\Omega_k^\perp$. If a unit vector $\varphi_k\perp\Omega_k$ has $\ip{\varphi_k}{(1-\mathbb T_k)\varphi_k}\le\kappa a_k<1$, then the spectral measure of $\mathbb T_k$ at $\varphi_k$ lives on $[0,e^{-m_k}]$, so $1-e^{-m_k}\le\kappa a_k$ and $m_k\le-\log(1-\kappa a_k)$. If in addition $D(n_k,\alpha)$ holds with $n_ka_k\le\ell$, Theorem~\ref{thm:onescale} gives $m_k\ge\log(1/\alpha) /(2n_k)\ge a_k\log(1/\alpha)/(2\ell)$, and therefore \[ \frac{\log(1/\alpha)}{2\ell}\le\frac{-\log(1-\kappa a_k)}{a_k}=\kappa+ O(a_k). \] So the physical mass $m_*$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} is at most the constant $\kappa$ of any one-slab bound. The two hypotheses are compatible because both are statements in physical units. The one-slab bound forces $m_k\to0$, so it cannot come from an expansion whose convergence gives a lattice gap bounded below in lattice units. In a periodic spatial box the assumption $C_k(0)>0$ is a theorem. Let $G=\SU(N)$ with its defining representation, and replace $\Z^4$ by $\Z\times(\Z/L_k\Z)^3$ with $L_k\ge3$ and $\omega_k$ by the infinite-time Wilson state of the box. The proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} uses only reflection positivity and the transfer matrix once the spatial translations are dropped, and parts (i)--(iv) hold in the box with $\mathcal D$ replaced by its points $(t,0)$, the time translates of $f_0$ being independent by the same Fourier argument in $t$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:flowpositive} In the box, let $f_0(t,x)=g(t)h(x)$ with $g,h\ge0$, and let $\Phi=\sum_{i0$ for some $n\ge1$ and some $x$, then $C_k(0)>0$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} L\"uscher proved that the transfer matrix is strictly positive~\cite{Lus77}; we recall the argument because the proof uses it in this form. \emph{The one-link kernel.} Write $\chi$ for the character of the defining representation and $b=\beta_W>0$. Then \[ e^{\frac bN\operatorname{Re}\chi}=\sum_{m\ge0}\frac{(b/2N)^m}{m!} (\chi+\bar\chi)^m , \] and $(\chi+\bar\chi)^m$ is the character of $(\rho\oplus\bar\rho)^{\otimes m}$. Every irreducible representation $\sigma$ occurs in one of these tensor powers: their matrix coefficients span the algebra of polynomials in the entries of $q$ and $\bar q$, which contains the constants and separates points, so it is dense in $C(G)$ by the Stone--Weierstrass theorem, while the matrix coefficients of a $\sigma$ that never occurred would be orthogonal to it by Schur orthogonality. So the coefficient of every irreducible character in $e^{\frac bN\operatorname{Re}\chi}$ is positive, and convolution with this function acts on each isotypic part of $L^2(G)$ by a positive scalar. \emph{The transfer matrix.} In the temporal gauge the transfer matrix of the box acts on the gauge-invariant part of $L^2(G^{E})$, $E$ the spatial links of one slice, as $M K M$, where $K$ is the tensor product over $E$ of the convolutions above and $M$ is multiplication by the exponential of half the spatial plaquette weight~\cite{Lus77,OSei78}. Both commute with gauge transformations, $K$ is positive and injective by the first step, and $M$ is positive and invertible, so $\ip v{MKMv}=\ip{Mv}{KMv}>0$ for $v\ne0$. Its kernel is a continuous positive function, and $K$ is compact, so its largest eigenvalue $\lambda_0$ is simple with an eigenfunction $\psi_0>0$, and with $A=MKM/\lambda_0$, a function $F$ of the slice at time $n\ge0$ has $\Psi_F=A^nF\psi_0$ in the reconstruction, $\Omega$ being $\psi_0$. \emph{Conclusion.} Let $F=\sum_xh(a_kx)\,\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k}$ and $F^c=F-\omega_k(F)$. Then $\Psi_{A_k}=a_k^4\,p(A)F^c\psi_0$ with $p(z)=\sum_{n\ge1}g(a_kn)z^n$, a polynomial with nonnegative coefficients, not all zero, so $p>0$ on $(0,1]$ and $p(A)$ is injective. The function $\sum_xh(a_kx)\Phi_x$ vanishes at the configuration with every link $1$ and is positive at one with a single nontrivial link at a site where $h(a_kx)>0$; the flow $\Phi_{s_k}$ is a bijection, so $F$ is not constant, and as $F$ is continuous and $\psi_0>0$, $F^c\psi_0\ne0$. Hence $C_k(0)=\|\Psi_{A_k}\|^2>0$. \end{proof} The proposition removes the one assumption of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} in a box; it says nothing about the ratio of part (iv), on which nontriviality depends. The ratio of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) can be compared with correlations of a single slice field. Suppose that $f_0(t,x)=g(t)h(x)$ with $g\ge0$ supported in $[t_0,t_1]$, $t_00$, and let $\sigma\ge0$ with $\sigma/a_k\in\Z$. \textup{(i)} $D_k(r)>0$ for every $r$, and \[ \frac{D_k(2a_kn_1+\sigma)}{D_k(2a_kn_0)}\le\frac{C_k(\sigma)}{C_k(0)}\le \frac{D_k(2a_kn_0+\sigma)}{D_k(2a_kn_1)} . \] \textup{(ii)} $\log D_k$ and $\log C_k$ are convex and nonincreasing on $a_k\Z_{\ge0}$. If $D_k(r')\ge c\,D_k(r)$ with $r0$, then $C_k(\sigma')\ge c^{\sigma'/\sigma}C_k(0)$ for $\sigma'\ge\sigma$. \textup{(iii)} Let $k$ run through a sequence. If $D_k(r')\ge c\,D_k(r)$ for dyadic $00$ and every $k$, then $D_k(2t_0+\sigma')\ge c^{\sigma'/\sigma}D_k(2t_1)$ for every dyadic $\sigma'\ge\sigma$ with $\sigma'>2(t_1-t_0)$ and every large $k$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} For a function $F$ of the slice at time $0$ and an integer $n\ge0$ we have $\Psi_{\tau_nF}=\mathbb T_k^n\Psi_F$, since both have inner product $\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar G)\tau_nF)$ with every $\Psi_G$. By time translation invariance of $\omega_k$, $A_k=\sum_nw_n\tau_nU_k$ with $w_n=a_kg(a_kn)\ge0$, and $w_n=0$ unless $n_0\le n\le n_1$; so $\Psi_{A_k}=\sum_nw_n\mathbb T_k^nu_k$. Let $\nu$ be the spectral measure of $\mathbb T_k$ at $u_k$, on $[0,1]$, and $W(\lambda)=\sum_nw_n\lambda^n$. Then \[ C_k(\sigma)=\int W(\lambda)^2\lambda^{\sigma/a_k}\,d\nu(\lambda),\qquad D_k(r)=\int\lambda^{r/a_k}\,d\nu(\lambda). \] (i) Since $t_0>0$, $n_0\ge1$ and $W(0)=0$; so $C_k(0)>0$ forces $\nu((0,1])>0$, and then $D_k(r)>0$. For $0\le\lambda\le1$, $\|w\|_1\lambda^{n_1}\le W(\lambda)\le\|w\|_1\lambda^{n_0}$; inserting these bounds in $C_k(\sigma)$ and $C_k(0)$ gives the two inequalities. (ii) Convexity of $j\mapsto\log\int\lambda^j\,d\rho$ for a positive measure $\rho$ on $[0,1]$ is H\"older's inequality, and the integrals decrease in $j$ because $\lambda\le1$; take $\rho=\nu$ and $\rho=W^2\nu$. If $\beta\le r'$, monotonicity gives $D_k(\beta)\ge D_k(r')\ge cD_k(r)\ge cD_k(\alpha)$. If $\beta>r'$, the difference quotients of the convex function $\log D_k$ increase in both end points, so $(\log D_k(\beta)-\log D_k(\alpha))/(\beta-\alpha)\ge (\log D_k(r')-\log D_k(r))/(r'-r)\ge\log c/(r'-r)$. The statement on $C_k$ is the same comparison of quotients on $[0,\sigma]$ and $[0,\sigma']$. (iii) For large $k$ the times $2t_0$, $2t_1$ are multiples of $a_k$, and $2a_kn_0\ge2t_0$, $2a_kn_1\le2t_1$. Since $D_k$ is nonincreasing, (i) gives \[ \frac{D_k(2t_1+\sigma)}{D_k(2t_0)}\le\frac{C_k(\sigma)}{C_k(0)}\le \frac{D_k(2t_0+\sigma)}{D_k(2t_1)} . \] The first claim is the left inequality with (ii) for $\alpha=2t_0\ge r$ and $\beta=2t_1+\sigma$. For the second, (ii) gives $C_k(\sigma')\ge c^{\sigma'/\sigma}C_k(0)$, and the right inequality at $\sigma'$ gives the claim, the two times being ordered because $\sigma'>2(t_1-t_0)$. \end{proof} So for the packet $g\otimes h$ the open input of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) follows from an inequality between two correlations of one slice field, \[ \liminf_kD_k(r')/D_k(r)>0\quad\text{for one pair }00$ in place of the gradient flow. With $\hat p^2=\sum_i(2a_k^{-1}\sin (a_kp_i/2))^2$, $\cosh(a_k\omega)=1+a_k^2\hat p^2/2$ and $\hat h_k(p)=\sum_xa_k^3h(a_kx)e^{-ia_kp\cdot x}$, \[ D_k(r)=\int_{[-\pi/a_k,\pi/a_k]^3}|\hat h_k(p)|^2e^{-2t_f\hat p^2} \frac{e^{-r\omega}}{2a_k^{-1}\sinh(a_k\omega)}\,\frac{d^3p}{(2\pi)^3} . \] On the Brillouin zone $\hat p\ge2|p|/\pi$ and $a_k^2\hat p^2/2\le6$; as $\operatorname{arccosh}(1+y)/\sqrt{2y}$ decreases on $(0,6]$, $a_k\omega\ge \kappa a_k\hat p$ with $\kappa=\operatorname{arccosh}7/\sqrt{12}>0.76$, and $a_k^{-1}\sinh(a_k\omega)\ge\omega$. Since $|\hat h_k|$ is bounded uniformly in $k$, the integrands are dominated by a multiple of $e^{-8t_f|p|^2/\pi^2}/|p|$, which is integrable on $\R^3$, and they converge pointwise to $|\hat h(p)|^2e^{-2t_f|p|^2}e^{-r|p|}/ (2|p|)$. By dominated convergence $D_k(r')/D_k(r)$ tends to the corresponding positive ratio of continuum integrals; for $h=e^{-|x|^2}$, $t_f=0.05$, $r=\frac12$ and $r'=1$ it is $0.6337$. \end{remark} \begin{remark}\label{rem:compositeslice} The slice field of Proposition~\ref{prop:sliceratio} is not linear: it is a gauge-invariant function of the spatial links of one slice. Its free analogue is the magnetic energy, and the conclusion of Remark~\ref{rem:freeslice} survives for it. Take the abelian free lattice field on $a_k\Z\times a_k\Z^3_{L_k}$ with $a_kL_k=\ell$ fixed, Feynman gauge, the lattice heat flow of the spatial links for a physical time $t_f\ge0$, and $U_k=\sum_x a_k^3\sum_{i0$ uniformly in $k$, also for $t_f=0$. The summands converge to the continuum ones, so for every $00$ converges: the condition of Proposition~\ref{prop:sliceratio} at $r>0$ is weaker than a bound on the first step. For the full energy density, which contains $F_{0i}$ and is not a function of one slice, the electric numerator depends on the time momentum, and the second time difference of $K_p$ is $-\delta_{n0}$ plus a multiple of $K_p$, a contact term: $D_k(0)\sim a_k^{-2}$ even with the flow, $D_k(a_k)/D_k(0)=0.042$, $0.023$, $0.0145$ at $a_k^{-1}=8,12,16$, while the ratios at $r>0$ again converge to the same continuum values ($0.27092$, $0.27126$, $0.27137$). The computation is \texttt{slice/composite\_free.py}. At next order the spatial flow, being nonlinear, fuses two hard modes into a soft one, and the state $\Psi_{U_k}$ acquires a component of energy about $2q$ for each $q\lesssim a_k^{-1}$. Its norm is of order $g^2$ and ultraviolet finite, dominated by $q\approx\tau^{-1/2}$, but its mean energy is not: in the free vacuum the first-step energy is $E_{\mathrm{LO}}(1+g^2(c+\frac N{3\pi^2}\log(\sqrt\tau/a_k)))$, and the logarithm has coefficient $\frac8{11}$ of $2b_0$, $b_0=11N/48\pi^2$. A first-step bound at fixed coupling therefore fails logarithmically, while the ratio at a fixed $r>0$ only loses the norm of that component, damped by $e^{-2qr}$. This is why Proposition~\ref{prop:sliceratio} is stated at $r>0$; the decomposition $\|\mathbb T_k^{n/2}u\|\ge c^{n/2}\|v\|-\|w\|$ for $u=v+w$ with a first-step bound on the soft part $v$ alone is the form a four-dimensional argument would use. \end{remark} \begin{remark}\label{rem:twodslice} The inequality also holds along the right tuning in two-dimensional $\SU(N)$ lattice gauge theory, which is interacting and nonabelian but has no propagating gluons. Take the lattice $a_k\Z\times a_k\Z_{L_k}$ with $a_kL_k=\ell$ fixed, the weight $\prod_p\exp(\frac{\beta_k}N\ReTr U_p)$ with $\beta_k=2N/(g^2a_k^2)$, and the temporal gauge. A gauge-invariant function of the links of one slice depends only on the conjugacy class of their holonomy $V$ around the circle; this includes every spatially flowed and spatially smeared slice field, since the flow is gauge covariant. Let $w_\beta$ be the probability density proportional to $e^{\frac\beta N\ReTr U}$ with respect to Haar measure and, for an irreducible representation $\lambda$ of dimension $d_\lambda$ and character $\chi_\lambda$, $\hat c_\lambda(\beta)=d_\lambda^{-1}\int\chi_\lambda w_\beta\,dU$. Between two slices put $W_x=V'_xV_x^{-1}$; the $W_x$ are independent with density $w_{\beta_k}$, which is invariant under conjugation and inversion, and \[ \begin{split} V'_1\cdots V'_{L}&=W_1\,(V_1W_2V_1^{-1})\cdots\\ &\quad\cdots(V_1\cdots V_{L-1}W_{L}(V_1\cdots V_{L-1})^{-1})\,V_1\cdots V_{L}, \end{split} \] so the new holonomy is $QV$ with $Q$ distributed as the $L_k$-fold convolution of $w_{\beta_k}$, independent of $V$. By Schur's lemma (Lemma~\ref{lem:convolution}) the transfer matrix acts on class functions by $\chi_\lambda\mapsto\hat c_\lambda(\beta_k)^{L_k}\chi_\lambda$. The coefficients are real, since $w_\beta$ is invariant under $U\mapsto\bar U$, nonnegative, since the exponential of $\frac\beta{2N}(\chi_{\mathrm F}+\bar\chi_{\mathrm F})$ is a sum of characters with nonnegative coefficients, and below $1$ for $\lambda\ne0$. For a class function $f$ with $\int f\,dU=0$ and isotypic components of norms $|\hat f_\lambda|$, the slice correlation is therefore \[ D_k(r)=\sum_{\lambda\ne0}|\hat f_\lambda|^2e^{-rE_{\lambda,k}},\qquad E_{\lambda,k}=-\frac{\ell}{a_k^2}\log\hat c_\lambda(\beta_k). \] Laplace's method\footnote{For a smooth function with a unique nondegenerate maximum, $\int e^{\beta\varphi}h$ has an expansion in powers of $\beta^{-1}$ whose coefficients are Gaussian moments at the maximum; Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsoncoeff} carries it out here.} at the unique maximum $U=1$ of $\ReTr U$, with $U=e^X$, $\ReTr e^X=N+\frac12\operatorname{Tr}X^2+O(|X|^4)$, $\operatorname{Re}\operatorname{Tr}X^3=0$, $\operatorname{Tr}\rho_\lambda(X)=0$ and $\sum_a\rho_\lambda(T_a)^2=-2C_2(\lambda)$ for an orthonormal basis of $\mathfrak{su}(N)$ in the norm $-\operatorname{Tr}X^2$, gives $\hat c_\lambda(\beta)=1-NC_2(\lambda)/\beta+O(\beta^{-2})$, with the Casimir normalised by $C_2=(N^2-1)/(2N)$ on the fundamental representation (Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsoncoeff}). Hence $E_{\lambda,k}\to g^2\ell C_2(\lambda)/2$, and since $D_k(r)\le\|f\|^2$, \[ \liminf_k\frac{D_k(r')}{D_k(r)}\ge\frac{|\hat f_\mu|^2}{\|f\|^2} e^{-r'g^2\ell C_2(\mu)/2}>0 \] for every $\mu\ne0$ with $\hat f_\mu\ne0$; for $f=\ReTr V$ the ratio is exactly $e^{-(r'-r)E_{\mathrm F,k}}\to e^{-(r'-r)g^2\ell(N^2-1)/(4N)}$. This is the exact solution of two-dimensional lattice gauge theory, whose continuum limit is the measure of~\cite{GKS89,Dri89,Lev03}, written as the inequality. In two dimensions $g^2$ has the dimension of a mass squared and there is no ultraviolet problem, so the argument has no four-dimensional analogue. Nor does the spatial flow give the inequality by itself: it damps the spectral weight at large spatial momentum and leaves the weight at zero spatial momentum unchanged. For the free lattice field of Remark~\ref{rem:freeslice} with a mass $M_k$ and the same flow, every energy is at least $m_k=a_k^{-1}\operatorname{arccosh}(1+a_k^2M_k^2/2)$, so $D_k(r')\le e^{-m_k(r'-r)}D_k(r)$, which tends to zero relative to $D_k(r)$ when $a_kM_k$ is fixed. \end{remark} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_twod.png} \caption{Two-dimensional $\SU(N)$ (Remark~\ref{rem:twodslice}). (a) The lattice $a_k\Z\times a_k\Z_{L_k}$ drawn as a cylinder: the holonomy $V$ of one slice, the holonomy $V'=QV$ of the next, and the plaquette variables $W_x$ between them. (b) The energies $E_{j,k}=-(\ell/a_k^2)\log\hat c_j(\beta_k)$ of $\SU(2)$ for $g^2=\ell=1$, with $\hat c_j(\beta)=I_{2j+1}(\beta)/I_1(\beta)$, against the lattice spacing; the dashed lines are the limits $j(j+1)/2$.} \label{fig:twod} \end{figure*} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_slice.png} \caption{The ratio $D_k(r)/D_k(\frac12)$ over the separation $r$ and the lattice spacing $a_k$. (a) Two-dimensional $\SU(2)$ with $f=\ReTr V$ and $g^2=\ell=1$, where the ratio is $e^{-(r-1/2)E_{1/2,k}}$ and converges as $a_k\to0$. (b) The term $e^{-(r-1/2)m_k}$ of the lowest energy $m_k$ of a free field with mass $\frac12$ in lattice units, which bounds the ratio from above and tends to zero at every $r>\frac12$.} \label{fig:slice} \end{figure*} A route to the slice ratio in four dimensions replaces the packet by its conditional expectations given averages of the field over blocks of increasing size and controls the error of each step. The free field shows in which norm such errors can be small. In the ordinary $L^2$ norm the first step already fails: conditioning on the averages over blocks of side two leaves a fixed fraction of the variance of an energy packet, at every lattice spacing. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:blockfree} Let $d\ge2$, let $\Lambda$ be a periodic box in $\Z^d$ with even sides, let $\mu>0$, and let $\phi$ be the Gaussian field on $\Lambda$ with density proportional to $\exp\bigl(-\frac12\sum_{x,\nu}(\nabla_\nu\phi(x))^2-\frac{\mu^2}2\sum_x \phi(x)^2\bigr)$, where $\nabla_\nu\phi(x)=\phi(x+e_\nu)-\phi(x)$. Let $\mathcal Z$ be a set of blocks $B=2z+\{0,1\}^d$, let $\mathfrak B$ be the $\sigma$-algebra generated by the averages of $\phi$ over the blocks in $\mathcal Z$, let $f\ge0$ on $\Lambda$, and let \[ F=\sum_{x\in\Lambda}f(x)\sum_{\nu=1}^d{:}(\nabla_\nu\phi(x))^2{:} , \] where ${:}X^2{:}=X^2-\E X^2$. For $B=2z+\{0,1\}^d$ put $x_B=2z$, $y_B=2z+e_1+e_2$ and \[ \alpha_B=\frac14\sum_{w\in\{x_B,y_B\}}\Bigl(d\,f(w)+\sum_{\nu=1}^df(w-e_\nu) \Bigr), \] and $\sigma^2=2/(2d+\mu^2)$. \textup{(i)} $\E\Var(F\mid\mathfrak B)\ge2\sigma^4\sum_{B\in\mathcal Z}\alpha_B^2$. \textup{(ii)} $\Var F\le2d^2\sum_xf(x)^2$. \textup{(iii)} Let $g\ge0$ be a Lipschitz function on $\R^d$ with compact support and $\int g^2>0$. For $n\ge1$ let $\Lambda_n$ contain $n\operatorname{supp}g$ in a fundamental domain, $f_n(x)=g(x/n)$, let $\mathcal Z_n$ contain every block that meets $n\operatorname{supp}g$, and let $\mu=\mu_n\to0$. Then for the packets $F_n$ of $f_n$, \[ \liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac{\E\Var(F_n\mid\mathfrak B_n)}{n^d\int g^2} \ge2^{1-d},\qquad \limsup_{n\to\infty}\frac{\Var F_n}{n^d\int g^2}\le2d^2 , \] so $\E\Var(F_n\mid\mathfrak B_n)\ge(2^{-d}d^{-2}-o(1))\Var F_n$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) No two of the sites $x_B,y_B$, $B\in\mathcal Z$, are neighbours: their coordinate sums are even, and a neighbour of a site has a coordinate sum of the other parity. Let $\mathfrak H\supseteq\mathfrak B$ be generated by $\mathfrak B$ and by $\phi(w)$ for every $w$ outside $\{x_B,y_B:B\in\mathcal Z\}$. By the law of total variance, $\Var(F\mid\mathfrak B)=\E[\Var(F\mid\mathfrak H)\mid\mathfrak B] +\Var(\E[F\mid\mathfrak H]\mid\mathfrak B)$, so $\E\Var(F\mid\mathfrak B)\ge\E\Var(F\mid\mathfrak H)$. In the exponent of the density, a site $w$ enters through $(d+\frac{\mu^2}2)\phi(w)^2$ and through $-\phi(w)\phi(w')$ for each of its $2d$ neighbours $w'$. Given $\mathfrak H$, the block average fixes $s_B=\phi(x_B)+\phi(y_B)$, and with $u_B=\phi(x_B)-\phi(y_B)$ we have $\phi(x_B)^2+\phi(y_B)^2=\frac12(s_B^2+ u_B^2)$. Since the free sites have only $\mathfrak H$-measurable neighbours, the conditional density of $(u_B)_{B\in\mathcal Z}$ is proportional to $\prod_B\exp(-\frac14(2d+\mu^2)u_B^2+c_Bu_B)$ with $\mathfrak H$-measurable $c_B$: the $u_B$ are conditionally independent Gaussians of variance $\sigma^2$. A term $(\nabla_\nu\phi(w))^2$ contains at most one free site, and if it contains $x_B$, then $\phi(x_B)=\frac12(s_B+u_B)$ shows that it is $\frac14u_B^2$ plus a term linear in $u_B$ plus an $\mathfrak H$-measurable term; the same holds for $y_B$ with $-u_B$. The terms containing $x_B$ are those with $w=x_B$ and those with $w=x_B-e_\nu$, $d$ of each kind, so \[ F=\sum_{B\in\mathcal Z}\bigl(\alpha_Bu_B^2+\beta_Bu_B\bigr)+F_0 \] with $\mathfrak H$-measurable $\beta_B$ and $F_0$. Writing $u_B=m_B+v_B$ with $m_B$ the conditional mean, $\alpha_Bu_B^2+\beta_Bu_B= \alpha_Bv_B^2+(2\alpha_Bm_B+\beta_B)v_B+\text{const}$, and for a centred Gaussian $v$ of variance $\sigma^2$, $\Var(\alpha v^2+\gamma v)=2\alpha^2 \sigma^4+\gamma^2\sigma^2$. By conditional independence, $\Var(F\mid\mathfrak H)\ge2\sigma^4\sum_B\alpha_B^2$. (ii) For centred jointly Gaussian $X,Y$, $\Cov({:}X^2{:},{:}Y^2{:})=2\Cov(X,Y)^2$. With $G_{\nu\rho}(x,y)=\E[\nabla_\nu\phi(x)\nabla_\rho\phi(y)]$, \[ \begin{split} \Var F&=2\sum_{x,y}f(x)f(y)\sum_{\nu,\rho}G_{\nu\rho}(x,y)^2\\ &\le\sum_{x,y}\bigl(f(x)^2+f(y)^2\bigr)\sum_{\nu,\rho}G_{\nu\rho}(x,y)^2 . \end{split} \] On the dual torus $\Lambda^*$, with $\hat p^2=\sum_\nu|e^{ip_\nu}-1|^2$, \[ G_{\nu\rho}(x,y)=\frac1{|\Lambda|}\sum_{p\in\Lambda^*} \frac{(e^{ip_\nu}-1)(e^{-ip_\rho}-1)}{\hat p^2+\mu^2}e^{ip\cdot(x-y)}, \] and by Parseval $\sum_yG_{\nu\rho}(x,y)^2=|\Lambda|^{-1}\sum_p|e^{ip_\nu}-1|^2 |e^{ip_\rho}-1|^2(\hat p^2+\mu^2)^{-2}\le1$, since each factor $|e^{ip_\nu}-1|^2$ is at most $\hat p^2$. The same holds for the sum over $x$, and (ii) follows. (iii) If $\operatorname{Lip}g=K$, every site entering $\alpha_B$ lies within distance $3$ of $2z$, so $|\alpha_B-d\,g(2z/n)|\le3dK/n$. Hence $\sum_{B\in\mathcal Z_n}\alpha_B^2\ge\sum_z(d\,g(2z/n)-3dK/n)_+^2$, the sum running over $z$ with $2z\in n\operatorname{supp}g$, and this is $d^2(n/2)^d\int g^2\,(1+o(1))$ as a Riemann sum on the grid $(2/n)\Z^d$. Since $\sigma^4=4/(2d+\mu_n^2)^2\to d^{-2}$, (i) gives the first bound. By (ii) and $\sum_xg(x/n)^2=n^d\int g^2(1+o(1))$, the second follows. \end{proof} For $d=4$ and the energy density, $\Var F_n$ grows like $(\ell/a)^4$ at a fixed physical size $\ell$ of the packet, and no step of conditioning on block averages removes more than a fraction $1-2^{-d}d^{-2}+o(1)$ of it. The reflected norm $C_k(0)=\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar A_k)A_k)$, which renormalises the packet in Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}, involves the covariance only between the support of $\vartheta f_0$ and that of $f_0$, at a fixed physical distance. The errors of a blocking route have therefore to be measured in that norm; Figure~\ref{fig:blocking} shows the blocks between the reflection plane and the packet. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_blocking.png} \caption{Block averages between the reflection plane $t=0$ and a packet $F$ at physical height $d$, for blocks of side $d/4$, $d/2$ and $d$. By Proposition~\ref{prop:blockfree} the first conditioning step already leaves a fixed fraction of the ordinary variance of the packet, so the errors of such steps have to be measured in the reflected norm.} \label{fig:blocking} \end{figure*} \subsection{Higher correlations}\label{ssec:higher} Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} controls two renormalised fields at a time, and part (i) of it gives nothing for more: $Z_k$ may diverge while the fields $\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k}$ stay bounded, so a bound on the norm of the renormalised packet as an operator is not available. A reflection positive process with a fixed gap and a two-point function independent of the cutoff can have divergent four-point functions at separated times (Remark~\ref{rem:markov}), so no statement about the two-point function alone can replace the following hypothesis on the truncated correlations. In this subsection $\Phi$ is real-valued, as the energy of the plaquettes is; for a complex field the conjugate field has to be adjoined and (T1) imposed on all mixed cumulants. Write $\varphi_k(x)=\Phi_x\circ\Phi_{s_k}$, $\omega^T_k$ for the truncated correlations (joint cumulants) under $\omega_k$, and for $f\in C_c(\R^4)$ \[ A_k(f)=\sum_{x\in\Z^4}a_k^4f(a_kx)\bigl(\varphi_k(x)-\omega_k(\varphi_k(x))\bigr), \] so that $A_k=A_k(f_0)$ and $\bar A_k(f)=A_k(\bar f)$. Let $w_k:\Z^4\to[0,\infty)$ be even functions with $W_k=\sum_xw_k(x)<\infty$, let $r_k>0$ be amplitude scales, and consider: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(T\arabic*)},leftmargin=*] \item \emph{Tree bounds.} For every $n\ge2$ there is $K_n$, independent of $k$, with \[ \bigl|\omega^T_k\bigl(\varphi_k(x_1);\dots;\varphi_k(x_n)\bigr)\bigr| \le K_nr_k^n\sum_{T}\prod_{\{i,j\}\in T}w_k(x_i-x_j) \] for all $x_1,\dots,x_n\in\Z^4$, the sum running over the trees $T$ on $\{1,\dots,n\}$. \item \emph{Saturation.} $C_k(0)\ge c\,r_k^2a_k^4W_k$ for a $c>0$ and every $k$. \item \emph{Physical volume.} $B_*=\sup_ka_k^4W_k<\infty$. \end{enumerate} The amplitude $r_k$ separates the size of the field from the volume over which it is correlated; Remark~\ref{rem:amplitude} shows why it is needed. For a compact $Q\subset\R^4$ let $|Q|_k=a_k^4\,\#\{x\in\Z^4:a_kx\in Q\}$; for a cube of side $L$ it is at most $(L+a_0)^4$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:treesum} Under \textup{(T1)}, for $n\ge2$ and bounded $f_1,\dots,f_n$ with compact supports, $f_1$ supported in $Q$, \[ \begin{split} &\bigl|\omega^T_k\bigl(A_k(f_1);\dots;A_k(f_n)\bigr)\bigr|\\ &\qquad\le K_nn^{n-2}r_k^n\,|Q|_k\,(a_k^4W_k)^{n-1}\prod_{j=1}^n\|f_j\|_\infty . \end{split} \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Joint cumulants of order $n\ge2$ are multilinear and do not change when constants are added to the variables, so the left side is at most $a_k^{4n}\sum_{x_1,\dots,x_n}\prod_j|f_j(a_kx_j)|$ times the absolute value of the truncated correlation, the sums being finite. Insert (T1) and fix a tree $T$. With $x_1$ fixed, sum over the other points one at a time, each time over a leaf of what remains of $T$ other than $1$; each such sum is at most $W_k$. The remaining sum over $x_1$ has at most $|Q|_ka_k^{-4}$ nonzero terms. There are $n^{n-2}$ trees. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:higher} Assume \textup{(T1)--(T3)}. \textup{(i)} For $n\ge2$, $f_j$ as in the lemma, \[ \begin{split} &\bigl|\omega^T_k\bigl(Z_kA_k(f_1);\dots;Z_kA_k(f_n)\bigr)\bigr|\\ &\qquad\le K_nn^{n-2}c^{-n/2}\,B_*^{\,n/2-1}\,|Q|_k\prod_{j=1}^n\|f_j\|_\infty , \end{split} \] and the moments $\omega_k\bigl(\prod_jZ_kA_k(f_j)\bigr)$ with all $f_j$ supported in a cube $Q$ are bounded by $M_n(Q)\prod_j\|f_j\|_\infty$, with $M_n(Q)$ independent of $k$. \textup{(ii)} Every sequence of $k$ has a subsequence along which \[ S_n(f_1,\dots,f_n)=\lim_k\omega_k\Bigl(\prod_{j=1}^nZ_kA_k(f_j)\Bigr) \] exists for all $n$ and all $f_j\in C_c(\R^4)$. Each $S_n$ is symmetric, multilinear, bounded by $M_n(Q)\prod_j\|f_j\|_\infty$ on functions supported in $Q$, hence a distribution on $(\R^4)^n$; it is invariant under all translations of $\R^4$ if the $\omega_k$ are translation invariant, and the kernel $K$ of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:flowlimit}} along the subsequence is $K(y,y')=S_2\bigl(\overline{f_0(\cdot-y)}\circ\theta,f_0(\cdot-y')\bigr)$, with $\theta$ as in \textup{(iii)}. \textup{(iii)} Put $S_0=1$, $S_1=0$, and let $\theta$ be the reflection $t\mapsto-t$ of $\R^4$. For every finite family of $c_\alpha\in\C$ and $f_{\alpha,j}\in C_c(\R^4)$ supported in $\{t>0\}$, \[ \sum_{\alpha,\beta}\bar c_\alpha c_\beta\, S\Bigl(\prod_j\overline{f_{\alpha,j}}\circ\theta\cdot\prod_jf_{\beta,j}\Bigr)\ge0, \] where $S$ of a product of $n$ test functions means $S_n$. Hence the Osterwalder--Schrader construction gives a Hilbert space $\mathcal H$ with vacuum $\Omega$ and a dense set of vectors $\Psi(P)$ indexed by polynomials $P$ in the smeared fields at positive times, with $\ip{\Psi(P)}{\Psi(P')}=S(\theta\bar P\cdot P')$; in particular the separated higher correlations of the renormalised fields are finite. The vector $\Psi(P_0)$ of the field smeared by $f_0$ is a unit vector orthogonal to $\Omega$. \textup{(iv)} Suppose the $\omega_k$ are translation invariant. Then the time translations by $t\ge0$ define on $\mathcal H$ a strongly continuous semigroup $e^{-tH}$ with $H\ge0$ self-adjoint, and the spatial translations a strongly continuous unitary group commuting with $H$. Moreover there is a dyadic $\sigma>0$ with $C_k(\sigma)\ge\frac12C_k(0)$ for all large $k$, so the limit of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:flowlimit}} is nontrivial. \textup{(v)} If $a_k^4W_k\to0$ along the subsequence, every $S_n$ is given by Wick's rule from $S_2$: the limit is the Gaussian field with covariance $S_2$. \textup{(vi)} If the $\omega_k$ are translation invariant and the hypothesis of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:transfer}} holds, then $0$ is a simple eigenvalue of $H$ and $\sigma(H)\subset\{0\}\cup[m_*,\infty)$ with $m_*=\log(1/\alpha)/(2\ell)$, and $\Omega^\perp\ne0$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} (i) By (T2), $Z_k^n=C_k(0)^{-n/2}$ is at most $(c\,r_k^2a_k^4W_k)^{-n/2}$; multiply the lemma by it, which cancels $r_k^n$, and use $(a_k^4W_k)^{n/2-1}\le B_*^{n/2-1}$ by (T3) for $n\ge2$. A moment is the sum over partitions of $\{1,\dots,n\}$ of the products of the cumulants of the blocks; blocks of size one vanish because $A_k(f)$ is centred, and each block contributes the bound just proved with $|Q|_k\le(L+a_0)^4$ for a cube of side $L$. This gives $M_n(Q)$. (ii) For each cube $Q_L=[-L,L]^4$, $L\in\mathbb N$, the continuous functions supported in $Q_L$ form a separable space under the supremum norm. Choose a countable dense set $\mathcal F$ of functions; by (i) the countably many sequences $\omega_k(\prod Z_kA_k(f_j))$, $f_j\in\mathcal F$, are bounded, and a diagonal subsequence makes all of them converge. By multilinearity, \[ \begin{split} &\Bigl|\omega_k\Bigl(\prod_jZ_kA_k(f_j)\Bigr) -\omega_k\Bigl(\prod_jZ_kA_k(g_j)\Bigr)\Bigr|\\ &\quad\le M_n(Q)\sum_i\|f_i-g_i\|_\infty \prod_{j\ne i}\max(\|f_j\|_\infty,\|g_j\|_\infty) \end{split} \] for functions supported in $Q$, so the limits exist for all $f_j\in C_c(\R^4)$ and obey the same bound. Symmetry and multilinearity pass to the limit. A multilinear form bounded in this way is separately continuous on $C^\infty_c(\R^4)$, so the Schwartz kernel theorem makes it a distribution. For dyadic $y$ and large $k$, $y/a_k\in\Z^4$ and translation invariance of $\omega_k$ and of the flow (Proposition~\ref{prop:spatialflow}(i)) give $\omega_k(\prod Z_kA_k(f_j(\cdot-y)))=\omega_k(\prod Z_kA_k(f_j))$. For a real $y$ take dyadic $y_m\to y$; the functions $f_j(\cdot-y_m)$ converge uniformly to $f_j(\cdot-y)$ with supports in one cube, so the bound above carries the invariance to $y$. The formula for $K$ follows from $A^y_k=A_k(f_0(\cdot-y))$ and the argument of (iii) with $n=2$. (iii) Let $\vartheta$ be the lattice reflection of Appendix~\ref{app:transfer} and $\theta_k$ the corresponding reflection of $a_k\Z^4$; it differs from $\theta$ by a translation of length at most $a_k$. Since $\Phi$ is real and $\vartheta$ commutes with the flow, $\vartheta(\bar A_k(f))=A_k(\bar f\circ\theta_k)$. Let $P_k=\sum_\beta c_\beta\prod_jZ_kA_k(f_{\beta,j})$ and $R_k=\sum_\alpha\bar c_\alpha\prod_jZ_kA_k(\overline{f_{\alpha,j}}\circ\theta)$, so that $\vartheta(\bar P_k)$ is $R_k$ with $\theta$ replaced by $\theta_k$. Reflection positivity gives $\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar P_k)P_k)\ge0$. By (i), applied in a cube containing all the supports and their reflections, and by multilinearity, $|\omega_k(\vartheta(\bar P_k)P_k)-\omega_k(R_kP_k)|$ is at most a constant independent of $k$ times $\max_{\alpha,j}\|f_{\alpha,j}\circ\theta_k-f_{\alpha,j}\circ\theta\|_\infty$, which tends to zero by uniform continuity, while $\omega_k(R_kP_k)$ tends to the left side of (iii) by (ii). So the limit of the nonnegative numbers is the left side of (iii). The construction of $\mathcal H$ is the usual quotient of the polynomials at positive times by the null space of this form~\cite{OS73}. By the same approximation of $\theta$ by $\theta_k$, $\|\Psi(P_0)\|^2=\lim_kZ_k^2C_k(0)=1$, and $\ip\Omega{\Psi(P_0)}=S_1(f_0)=0$. (iv) For a polynomial $P$ at positive times let $\tau_tP$ be its time translate by $t\ge0$, again at positive times. By translation invariance and $\theta\circ\tau_t=\tau_{-t}\circ\theta$, $\ip{\Psi(\tau_tP)}{\Psi(P')}= \ip{\Psi(P)}{\Psi(\tau_tP')}$, and $q_P(t)=\|\Psi(\tau_tP)\|^2= \ip{\Psi(P)}{\Psi(\tau_{2t}P)}$. If $P$ has degree at most $d$, every partition in (i) of the products in $q_P(t)$ has at most $d$ blocks, each bounded by a multiple of $|Q|_k$ for a cube $Q$ of side $O(1+t)$, so $q_P(t)\le C_P(1+t)^{4d}$. The Cauchy--Schwarz inequality gives $q_P(t)\le q_P(0)^{1/2}q_P(2t)^{1/2}$, hence by induction $q_P(t)\le q_P(0)^{1-2^{-m}}q_P(2^mt)^{2^{-m}}$ for every $m$, and letting $m\to\infty$, $q_P(t)\le q_P(0)$. So $\tau_t$ maps null vectors to null vectors and extends to a symmetric contraction $\mathsf T(t)$ of $\mathcal H$; $\mathsf T(s)\mathsf T(t)=\mathsf T(s+t)$, and $\mathsf T(t)=\mathsf T(t/2)^2\ge0$. By the bound of (ii) and uniform continuity of the translated test functions, $\|\Psi(\tau_tP)-\Psi(P)\|\to0$ as $t\to0$, so the semigroup is strongly continuous on a dense set, hence everywhere, and $\mathsf T(t)=e^{-tH}$ with $H\ge0$ self-adjoint~\cite{OS73}. Spatial translations preserve the form, have the opposite translations as inverses, commute with $\tau_t$, and are strongly continuous by the same argument. For the ratio let $f_{0,t}=f_0(\cdot-(t,0))$. For dyadic $t>0$ and large $k$, translation invariance gives $\tau_{t/a_k}A_k=A_k(f_{0,t})$, so by (iii) \[ C_k(t)-C_k(0)=\omega_k\bigl(A_k(\bar f_0\circ\theta_k)\, A_k(f_{0,t}-f_0)\bigr), \] a covariance of two centred fields. The case $n=2$ of (i) bounds $Z_k^2$ times it by $L_0\|f_{0,t}-f_0\|_\infty$ with $L_0=(K_2/c)\sup_k|Q|_k\|f_0\|_\infty$, $Q$ a cube containing the supports of $f_0\circ\theta_k$ for all $k$. By uniform continuity of $f_0$ there is a dyadic $\sigma>0$ with $L_0\|f_{0,\sigma}-f_0\|_\infty\le\frac12$; then $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)\ge\frac12$, and Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) applies. (v) For $n\ge3$ the exponent $n/2-1$ in (i) is positive, so with $(a_k^4W_k)^{n/2-1}$ in place of $B_*^{n/2-1}$ the cumulants of order $n\ge3$ of the renormalised fields tend to zero. The moments are the sums over partitions of products of cumulants, so in the limit only the partitions into pairs remain, which is Wick's rule. (vi) As in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}, $\mathbb T_k$ has gap at least $\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)$ on the complement of $\Omega_k$. For a polynomial $P$ at positive times let $v_k=\Psi_{P_k}-\omega_k(P_k)\Omega_k$ with $P_k$ its lattice version. For dyadic $t$ and large $k$, \[ \omega_k\bigl(\vartheta(\bar P_k)\tau_{t/a_k}P_k\bigr)-|\omega_k(P_k)|^2 =\ip{v_k}{\mathbb T_k^{t/a_k}v_k}\le e^{-m_*t}\|v_k\|^2 , \] and both sides are finite combinations of moments, which converge by (ii) and the approximation of $\theta$ in (iii). The limit is $\ip v{e^{-tH}v}\le e^{-m_*t}\|v\|^2$ for $v=\Psi(P)-\ip\Omega{\Psi(P)}\Omega$. These $v$ are dense in $\Omega^\perp$, so the inequality holds on $\Omega^\perp$ for all $t\ge0$, and the spectral theorem gives the spectral statement as in Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}. By (iii), $\Psi(P_0)$ is a unit vector in $\Omega^\perp$. \end{proof} Part (iv) shows that the order-two cases of (T1) and (T2) already contain the lower bound on the ratio that Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) needs; they are not harmless combinatorial assumptions, and proving them along the continuum tuning is at least as hard as that lower bound. Part (vi) passes the conditional mass gap of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} to every polynomial in the smeared fields. Neither part proves Euclidean invariance, independence of the limit from the subsequence, or the reconstruction of the field operators, for which the growth of $M_n(Q)$ in $n$ would also be needed. \begin{remark}\label{rem:amplitude} The amplitude scale cannot be dropped for a bounded field. Suppose $\operatorname{Var}\varphi_k(0)\to0$, as for the energy of the flowed plaquettes in lattice units when the flowed links approach the identity. Reflection invariance of $\omega_k$, the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality and stationarity give \[ C_k(0)\le\omega_k(|A_k|^2)\le\Bigl(a_k^4\sum_x|f_0(a_kx)|\Bigr)^2 \operatorname{Var}\varphi_k(0)\to0 . \] With $r_k=1$, (T2) then forces $a_k^4W_k\to0$, and by part (v) the limit is Gaussian. With $r_k^2$ of the order of $\operatorname{Var}\varphi_k(0)$ this is no longer forced. Choosing $r_k$ does not prove (T1) or (T2). \end{remark} \begin{remark}\label{rem:markov} Let $0<\epsilon<1$, $m>0$, let $\pi$ be the probability measure on $\{-1,0,1\}$ with weights $\epsilon/2$, $1-\epsilon$, $\epsilon/2$, and let $P_t=e^{-mt}I+(1-e^{-mt})\Pi$ on $L^2(\pi)$, where $\Pi f=\pi(f)$ is the projection onto the constants. This is a symmetric Markov semigroup with $P_t\ge0$ and gap $m$, so its stationary process is reflection positive. For $X(s)=s/\sqrt\epsilon$ we have $\pi(X)=\pi(X^3)=0$, $\pi(X^2)=1$, $\pi(X^4)=1/\epsilon$ and $P_tX=e^{-mt}X$, so the two-point function is $e^{-mt}$ for every $\epsilon$, while for $t_1\le t_2\le t_3\le t_4$ and $q_i=e^{-m(t_{i+1}-t_i)}$ the four-point function is $q_3\,\pi\bigl(XP_{t_2-t_1}(XP_{t_3-t_2}X^2)\bigr)=q_1q_3(q_2/\epsilon+1-q_2)$, with truncated part $q_1q_3(q_2/\epsilon-q_2-2q_2^2)$; both diverge as $\epsilon\to0$. By part (i), no choice of amplitude scales makes (T1)--(T3) hold for this family with constants independent of $\epsilon$. \end{remark} The hypotheses (T1)--(T3) are uniform cluster estimates for the continuum tuning $\beta_k\to\infty$, and the next proposition shows that they are estimates at a critical point: with the order-two cases alone the lattice gap is at most a fixed multiple of $a_k$, and the tree majorant carries a fixed fraction of its weight at a fixed physical distance. Let $m_k\in[0,\infty]$ be the gap of $\mathbb T_k$ on the complement of $\Omega_k$, so that $\|\mathbb T_kv\|\le e^{-m_k}\|v\|$ for $v\perp\Omega_k$, and let $t_0>0$ be the least time in the support of $f_0$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:treecritical} \textup{(i)} For every dyadic $\sigma>0$ and every large $k$, $C_k(\sigma)\le e^{-m_k\sigma/a_k}C_k(0)$. If $m_k/a_k\to\infty$, every limit of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:flowlimit}} is trivial; this is the case for $\beta_k=\beta$ fixed in the range of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:groups}}, where $m_k\ge m_G(\beta)$. \textup{(ii)} Suppose the $\omega_k$ are translation invariant and \textup{(T1)} for $n=2$ and \textup{(T2)} hold. Then $m_k\le a_k\log2/\sigma$ for every large $k$, where $\sigma$ is the dyadic number of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:higher}(iv)}, which depends only on $K_2/c$ and $f_0$. If also the hypothesis of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:transfer}} holds, then $m_*a_k\le m_k\le a_k\log2/\sigma$, and in particular $m_*\le\log2/\sigma$. \textup{(iii)} Under \textup{(T1)} for $n=2$ and \textup{(T2)}, let $Q$ be a cube containing the support of $f_0$ and $\gamma=c/(K_2\|f_0\|_\infty^2\sup_k|Q|_k)$. Then for every $k$ \[ \sum_{z\in\Z^4,\ |z_0|\ge R_k}w_k(z)\ge\gamma\,W_k,\qquad R_k=\frac{2t_0}{a_k}-1 . \] If $w_k(z)=e^{-\mu_k|z_0|}u_k(\bar z)$ with $\bar z$ the spatial part of $z$ and $u_k\ge0$ summable on $\Z^3$, then $\mu_kR_k\le\log(2/\gamma)$, so the physical time decay rate of the majorant is at most $\log(2/\gamma)/(2t_0-a_k)$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) In the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}, $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)=\ip{\Psi_k}{\mathbb T_k^{\sigma/a_k}\Psi_k}$ with $\Psi_k$ a unit vector orthogonal to $\Omega_k$. The operator $\mathbb T_k$ is self-adjoint and fixes $\Omega_k$, so it preserves the complement, and the inequality follows. If $m_k/a_k\to\infty$ then $\rho(\sigma)=0$ for every dyadic $\sigma>0$ along every subsequence, and the limit is trivial by Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv). At fixed $\beta$ in the range of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups} the gap is at least $m_G(\beta)>0$ in lattice units, and $a_k\to0$; the spatial flow does not change the transfer matrix (Proposition~\ref{prop:spatialflow}(iv)). (ii) Theorem~\ref{thm:higher}(iv) uses (T1) and (T2) only for $n=2$, since the exponent $n/2-1$ in part (i) vanishes there, and gives $C_k(\sigma)\ge\frac12C_k(0)$ for large $k$. With (i), $e^{-m_k\sigma/a_k}\ge\frac12$. Under the hypothesis of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}, the proof of that theorem gives $m_k\ge\log(1/\alpha)/(2n_k)\ge m_*a_k$. (iii) $C_k(0)=\omega_k(A_k(\bar f_0\circ\theta_k)A_k(f_0))$, a covariance of two centred fields, by the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:higher}(iv). A point $x$ in the support of the first sum has $a_kx_0\le-t_0+a_k$, and a point $y$ in the support of the second has $a_ky_0\ge t_0$, so $|x_0-y_0|\ge R_k$. By (T1) for $n=2$, \[ \begin{split} C_k(0)&\le K_2r_k^2\|f_0\|_\infty^2\,a_k^8\sum_{a_ky\in Q}\ \sum_{|x_0-y_0|\ge R_k}w_k(x-y)\\ &\le K_2r_k^2\|f_0\|_\infty^2|Q|_k\,a_k^4\sum_{|z_0|\ge R_k}w_k(z), \end{split} \] and (T2) bounds the left side below by $c\,r_k^2a_k^4W_k$. For the product form let $R'=\lceil R_k\rceil$; if $R'\le0$ there is nothing to prove, and otherwise \[ \frac{\sum_{|j|\ge R'}e^{-\mu_k|j|}}{\sum_{j\in\Z}e^{-\mu_k|j|}} =\frac{2e^{-\mu_kR'}}{1+e^{-\mu_k}}\le2e^{-\mu_kR_k}, \] while the factor $\sum_{\bar z}u_k(\bar z)$ cancels. So $2e^{-\mu_kR_k}\ge\gamma$. \end{proof} So reflection positivity and decay do not supply (T2): at fixed $\beta$ in the range of Theorem~\ref{thm:groups} the measures are reflection positive with exponential clustering, and $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)\to0$, so no choice of $w_k$, $r_k$ and constants satisfies the order-two cases of (T1) and (T2) together there. For the same reason no estimate whose constants give a lattice gap bounded below, as a convergent strong coupling expansion does~\cite{OSei78}, can give the tree bounds along the tuning: (T1) and (T2) hold, if at all, only along couplings where the lattice gap closes at least as fast as $a_k$. A mass gap in physical units, which bounds the decay of the two-point function, does not give the constants $K_n$ either. By Theorem~\ref{thm:higher}(v) the limit can be non-Gaussian only if $\liminf_ka_k^4W_k>0$; for the product majorants of part (iii) the time factor of $W_k$ is $\coth(\mu_k/2)\ge2/\mu_k$, which is of order $1/a_k$ at least, so the time direction alone is compatible with this. At a fixed physical flow time the flowed fields are smooth on the scale $\sqrt\tau$; majorants of product form for them are not proved here. The order-two cases of (T1) and (T2) say more about the reference vector than part (iv) of Theorem~\ref{thm:higher} records: for a smooth $f_0$ they bound every time difference of the packet, which makes its energy distribution tight with finite moments and gives the ratio with an explicit rate. Recall the spectral measures $\mu_k$ on $[0,\infty]$ of the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}, so that $C_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)=\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu_k(E)$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:treeenergy} Suppose the $\omega_k$ are translation invariant, \textup{(T1)} holds for $n=2$ and \textup{(T2)} holds, and $f_0$ has $m\ge1$ continuous time derivatives. Let $Q$ be a cube containing the supports of $f_0(\cdot-(s,0))$ for $0\le s\le m a_0$, and $B_m=(K_2/c)\sup_k|Q|_k\,\|\partial_t^mf_0\|_\infty^2$. \textup{(i)} $\|(1-\mathbb T_k)^m\Psi_k\|^2\le B_ma_k^{2m}$ for every $k$, where $\Psi_k=Z_k\Psi_{A_k}$. \textup{(ii)} $\int\bigl((1-e^{-a_kE})/a_k\bigr)^{2m}d\mu_k(E)\le B_m$ and $\mu_k([\Lambda,\infty])\le B_m(a_k+\Lambda^{-1})^{2m}$ for $\Lambda>0$. Every weak limit $\mu$ of the $\mu_k$ satisfies $\mu(\{\infty\})=0$ and $\int E^{2m}d\mu(E)\le B_m$. If \textup{(T1)--(T3)} hold, the unit vector $\Psi(P_0)$ of Theorem~\textup{\ref{thm:higher}(iii)--(iv)} lies in the domain of $H^m$, with $\|H^m\Psi(P_0)\|^2\le B_m$. \textup{(iii)} If $a_k\sqrt{B_1}\le\frac12$, then $C_k(\sigma)\ge e^{-2\sqrt{B_1}\sigma}C_k(0)$ for every $\sigma\in a_k\Z_{\ge0}$, and the gap $m_k$ of Proposition~\textup{\ref{prop:treecritical}} satisfies $m_k\le-\log(1-a_k\sqrt{B_1})\le2\sqrt{B_1}\,a_k$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) Let $D_kf_0=\sum_{j=0}^m(-1)^j\binom mjf_0(\cdot-(ja_k,0))$. By translation invariance $\mathbb T_k^j\Psi_{A_k}=\Psi_{\tau_jA_k}$ and $\tau_jA_k=A_k(f_0(\cdot-(ja_k,0)))$, so $(1-\mathbb T_k)^m\Psi_{A_k}=\Psi_{A_k(D_kf_0)}$, and as in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:higher}(iv) its squared norm is the covariance $\omega_k(A_k(\overline{D_kf_0}\circ\theta_k)A_k(D_kf_0))$. The function $D_kf_0$ is supported in $Q$ and is an $m$-th difference with step $a_k$, so $\|D_kf_0\|_\infty\le a_k^m\|\partial_t^mf_0\|_\infty$. Lemma~\ref{lem:treesum} with $n=2$ bounds the covariance by $K_2r_k^2|Q|_k\,a_k^4W_k\|D_kf_0\|_\infty^2$, and (T2) bounds $C_k(0)=Z_k^{-2}$ below by $c\,r_k^2a_k^4W_k$. (ii) By the spectral theorem the left side of (i) is $\int(1-e^{-a_kE})^{2m}d\mu_k$, the integrand being $1$ at $E=\infty$. For $E\ge\Lambda$, $(1-e^{-a_kE})/a_k\ge(1-e^{-a_k\Lambda})/a_k\ge \Lambda/(1+a_k\Lambda)$, because $1-e^{-x}\ge x/(1+x)$; this gives the tail bound. The set $(\Lambda,\infty]$ is open in $[0,\infty]$, so $\mu((\Lambda,\infty])\le\liminf_k\mu_k((\Lambda,\infty])\le B_m\Lambda^{-2m}$, and $\mu(\{\infty\})=0$. For a continuous $\chi$ with $0\le\chi\le1$ and support in $[0,L]$, the same inequality gives $E\le(1+a_kL)(1-e^{-a_kE})/a_k$ on that support, so $\int\chi E^{2m}d\mu=\lim_k\int\chi E^{2m}d\mu_k\le B_m$; letting $\chi$ increase to $1$ gives the moment bound. The vector $\Psi(P_0)$ has $\ip{\Psi(P_0)}{e^{-\sigma H}\Psi(P_0)}=\lim_kC_k(\sigma)/C_k(0)=\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu$ for dyadic $\sigma>0$ along the subsequence, so its spectral measure for $H$ is $\mu$. (iii) By (i) with $m=1$ and the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality, $\ip{\Psi_k}{(1-\mathbb T_k)\Psi_k}\le a_k\sqrt{B_1}$, which is the hypothesis of Proposition~\ref{prop:flowshift}(ii) with $C=\sqrt{B_1}$. Since $\Psi_k$ is a unit vector orthogonal to $\Omega_k$, the same quantity is at least $1-e^{-m_k}$. \end{proof} Part (iii) makes Proposition~\ref{prop:treecritical}(ii) explicit: the order-two tree and saturation bounds pin the lattice gap below $2\sqrt{B_1}\,a_k$, a physical mass of at most $2\sqrt{B_1}$, and give the ratio of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit}(iv) at every separation. The open input of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} is therefore implied by these two bounds for one smooth $f_0$; nothing here proves them for the Wilson action. \section{The open inputs}\label{sec:inputs} This section states the two unproved inputs of Sec.~\ref{sec:bypass}, the cube estimate and the limit, and measures the first: what can be controlled uniformly in the coupling, and what any proof of the cube estimate has to produce. \subsection{The two open statements} Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} reduces a continuum mass gap to two statements, neither of which is proved here or, to our knowledge, anywhere else. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\Alph*)},leftmargin=*] \setcounter{enumi}{3} \item \emph{The cube estimate.} There are $\alpha<1$ and $\ell>0$ such that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds with $na\le\ell$ along the continuum tuning $\beta=\beta(a)\to\infty$, uniformly in $a$. \item \emph{The limit.} The renormalised Schwinger functions converge along $a_k=2^{-k}a_0$ to Schwinger functions that satisfy the Osterwalder--Schrader axioms and are not those of the vacuum alone. \end{enumerate} (D) and (E) together give the mass gap of the continuum theory; the remaining Clay requirements, Euclidean invariance and the local structure of the limit~\cite{JW06}, belong to (E). (D) is a statement about a single cube of fixed physical size and a single coupling at each spacing; (E) is the construction problem, on which Ba{\l}aban's renormalisation group analysis~\cite{Bal84a,Bal85a,Bal89b} gives the ultraviolet part in finite volume. \begin{remark}\label{rem:cubeheuristic} The following count relates (D) to a correlation length. Suppose that the gauge-fixed field responds to a change of one link on the boundary of a cube through a Poisson kernel with decay length $\xi$ in lattice units. Then the response summed over the cube is of order $\xi$, so $K_c$ is of order $n^3\xi$ and $D(n,\alpha)$ holds once $n\gtrsim\xi/\alpha$, that is, once $\ell\gtrsim\xi a/\alpha$, a fixed multiple of the physical correlation length. The hypothesis is that the gauge-fixed links decorrelate on the scale $\xi$, and it is a statement about the gauge, not about the gauge-invariant observables: the gauge here is built on straight lines, and in gauges of axial type the gauge-fixed variables can fluctuate on all scales while gauge-invariant observables cluster. Propositions~\ref{prop:gauss} and~\ref{prop:gaussforest} carry the count out exactly for Gaussian fields, and Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} shows that the quadratic approximation of the forest gauge fluctuates in this way. Where it does, (D) fails in this gauge and has to be posed for block-averaged variables, where it becomes part of the renormalisation group problem. Sec.~\ref{ssec:constrained} carries this out in the quadratic approximation. \end{remark} The count of Remark~\ref{rem:cubeheuristic} can be carried out exactly for a Gaussian field, the quadratic approximation of the gauge-fixed theory at weak coupling, and shows what (D) asks of the gauge-fixed variables. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:gauss} Let $d\ge1$, $b>0$, $t\ge0$, let $n\ge2$ be even and $V=[0,n)^d\cap\Z^d$. Given $\eta\in\R^{\Z^d\setminus V}$, let $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ be the Gaussian law on $\R^V$ with density proportional to \[ \exp\Bigl(-\frac b2\Bigl[\sum_{\{x,y\}\cap V\ne\emptyset}(\phi_x-\phi_y)^2 +t\sum_{x\in V}\phi_x^2\Bigr]\Bigr), \] the first sum over nearest-neighbour pairs, with $\phi=\eta$ outside $V$. Define $C_{V,j}$, the classes $c$ (residues modulo two) and $K_c$ as above, with $d_V(\phi,\phi')=\sum_{x\in V}|\phi_x-\phi'_x|$ and $\delta(\eta_j,\eta'_j) =|\eta_j-\eta'_j|$, and put $N_n=(n/2)^d$. Then $K_c=\alpha_n(t)N_n$ for every class $c$, where \[ \alpha_n(t)=1-\frac t{n^d}\,\mathbf 1^{\mathsf T}(t+L_n)^{-1}\mathbf 1 \] and $L_n$ is the Dirichlet Laplacian of $V$. In particular: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item for $t=0$, $K_c=N_n$ for every $n$ and every $b$, so $D(n,\alpha)$ fails for every $\alpha<1$; \item for $t>0$, $1-\alpha_n(t)\ge(5/6)^d\,tn^2/(tn^2+10d)$; for $d=4$, $t=m^2a^2$ and $\ell/2\le na\le\ell$ this gives $D(n,\alpha)$ with $\alpha=1-(5/6)^4(m\ell)^2/((m\ell)^2+160)$, uniformly in $a$. \end{enumerate} \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Let $A=t+L_n$ and $G=A^{-1}$, and let $B$ be the matrix with $B_{xj}=1$ when $x\in V$ and $j\notin V$ are neighbours. The law $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ has covariance $b^{-1}G$ and mean $GB\eta$. The matrix $A$ has nonpositive off-diagonal entries and is positive definite, so $G\ge0$ entrywise. Changing $\eta_j$ by $\Delta$ translates the law by $\Delta\,GB_j$, where $B_j$ is the column of $j$. The coupling by translation gives $W_1^{d_V}\le|\Delta| \sum_x(GB_j)_x$, and the $1$-Lipschitz function $\sum_x\phi_x$ gives the reverse inequality, so $C_{V,j}=\mathbf1^{\mathsf T}GB_j$. Since $B\mathbf1=L_n\mathbf1$ (both count the exterior neighbours of each site), \[ \sum_{j\notin V}C_{V,j}=\mathbf1^{\mathsf T}GL_n\mathbf1 =\mathbf1^{\mathsf T}\mathbf1-t\,\mathbf1^{\mathsf T}G\mathbf1 =n^d\alpha_n(t). \] The reflection $x_i\mapsto n-1-x_i$ preserves $V$ and the coefficients and, as $n$ is even, exchanges the two residues of the coordinate $x_i$; so the $2^d$ class sums are equal, and each is $n^d\alpha_n(t)/2^d=\alpha_n(t)N_n$. This proves the formula and (i). For (ii) let $v(i)=(i+1)(n-i)$ for $0\le i0$, let $n$ be even and $V$ the cube of Definition~\ref{def:cube}. For real functions $\varphi$ on the links of $\Z^4$ that vanish on $F$, let $(d\varphi)_p$ be the sum of $\varphi$ around the plaquette $p$ with the signs of its orientation. Given $\eta\in\R^{A\setminus V}$, let $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ be the law on $\R^V$ with density proportional to \[ \exp\Bigl(-\frac b2\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(d\varphi)_p^2\Bigr), \] with $\varphi=\eta$ on $A\setminus V$ and $\varphi=0$ on $F$, and define $C_{V,j}$ and $K_c$ as above with $d_V(\varphi,\varphi')=\sum_{i\in V} |\varphi_i-\varphi'_i|$ and $\delta(\eta_j,\eta'_j)=|\eta_j-\eta'_j|$. Then \[ \sum_cK_c\ge|V|=48N_n , \] so $K_c\ge N_n$ for some class $c$, and $D(n,\alpha)$ fails for every $\alpha<1$, at every $n$ and every $b$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} \emph{The laws.} The quadratic form $\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(d\varphi)_p^2$ with $\varphi=0$ outside $V$ vanishes only at $\varphi=0$: the argument of Corollary~\ref{cor:cubefails}, written additively, gives a function $h$ on the sites with $\varphi_{(x,\mu)}=h(x)-h(x+e_\mu)$, constant outside the box and along the lines of $F$, hence constant. So $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ is a Gaussian law whose covariance does not depend on $\eta$ and whose mean is $\sum_j\eta_ju_j$ for some vectors $u_j\in\R^V$. Two exteriors that differ in finitely many links give translates of one law by $t=\sum_j(\eta'_j-\eta_j)u_j$; the coupling by translation and the $1$-Lipschitz function $\sum_i\operatorname{sign}(t_i)\varphi_i$ show that their distance is $\|t\|_1$. In particular $C_{V,j}=\|u_j\|_1$, and \[ W_1^{d_V}\bigl(\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta),\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta')\bigr)\le \sum_jC_{V,j}\,|\eta'_j-\eta_j| . \] \emph{Lines.} By Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(i) the lines of $F$ are straight, disjoint and cover the sites, and the two ends of an active link $(x,\mu)$ lie on different lines, since the line through $x$ has direction $\sigma(x)\ne\mu$. For a line $\ell$ let $h_\ell$ be the indicator of its sites and $(dh_\ell)_{(x,\mu)}=h_\ell(x)-h_\ell(x+e_\mu)$. Then $dh_\ell$ vanishes on $F$ and around every plaquette, so the density is invariant under $\varphi\mapsto\varphi+dh_\ell$, and $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid dh_\ell)$ is $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid0)$ translated by the restriction of $dh_\ell$ to $V$. Hence \[ \sum_{i\in V}|(dh_\ell)_i|\le\sum_{j\in A\setminus V}C_{V,j}\,|(dh_\ell)_j| . \] Here $|(dh_\ell)_e|=1$ when exactly one end of $e$ lies on $\ell$ and $0$ otherwise, so $\sum_\ell|(dh_\ell)_e|=2$ for every active link $e$, the sum running over the finitely many lines that meet a link entering the inequality. Summing over these lines gives $2|V|\le2\sum_jC_{V,j}= 2\sum_cK_c$. \end{proof} The proof uses only that gauge transformations constant on the lines of $F$ move the whole cube while changing few boundary links, which is the behaviour of gauges of axial type anticipated in Remark~\ref{rem:cubeheuristic}. The class sums themselves, computed exactly for $n\le8$, lie between $1.57$ and $11.24$ times $N_n$ and increase with $n$. Below the correlation length the theory is weakly coupled, and the quadratic approximation is its leading order there. A proof of (D) along the tuning therefore has to show that the nonperturbative regime reduces the cube coefficients of the forest gauge below $N_n$, or (D) has to be posed for other variables. The lines of $F$ are not what makes the argument work. A constant field, corrected by a periodic gauge transformation so that it vanishes on the fixed links, costs no action and changes every exterior link by a bounded amount, and this happens in every gauge fixed on an invariant forest. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:gaussevery} Let $b>0$ and let $F$ be a set of links of $\Z^4$, invariant under the translations by $2\Z^4$, that contains no closed path and whose trees are infinite and contain every site. Let $A$ be the set of the other links, $V$ the set of links $(x,\mu)\in A$ with $x\in[0,n)^4$, $n\ge2$ even, and define the classes, $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$, $C_{V,j}$ and $K_c$ as in Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} with this $F$. Then there are numbers $a_c\ge0$, not all zero, with \[ \sum_ca_cK_c\ge N_n\sum_ca_c , \] so $K_c\ge N_n$ for some class $c$, and $D(n,\alpha)$ fails for every $\alpha<1$, at every $n$ and every $b$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} \emph{The laws.} Let $\varphi$ vanish outside $V$ and on $F$, with $(d\varphi)_p=0$ for every plaquette $p$ that meets $V$. The other plaquettes contain no link of $V$, so $d\varphi=0$ on every plaquette, and $\varphi=dh$ for a function $h$ on the sites. Since $\varphi$ vanishes outside a box and the complement of a box is connected, $h$ is constant there, and we take that constant to be $0$. As $\varphi$ vanishes on $F$, $h$ is constant on every tree of $F$; each tree is infinite and meets the complement of the box, so $h=0$ and $\varphi=0$. Hence, as in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest}, $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ is a nondegenerate Gaussian law with mean $\sum_j\eta_ju_j$, where only the links $j$ that share a plaquette with $V$ contribute, and $C_{V,j}=\|u_j\|_1$. \emph{A flat field.} For $c\in\R^4$ and a function $h$ on $\Z^4$ of period two in each coordinate put $\psi_{(x,\mu)}=c_\mu+h(x)-h(x+e_\mu)$. Then $d\psi=0$ on every plaquette and $\psi$ is invariant under $2\Z^4$; if $\psi=0$, adding $\psi$ at $(x,\mu)$ and $(x+e_\mu,\mu)$ gives $2c_\mu=0$, and then $h$ is constant. These fields form a space of dimension $16-1+4=19$. Let $f$ be the number of orbits of $2\Z^4$ in $F$. The box $[0,2m)^4$ has $16m^4$ sites, and the links of $F$ with both ends in it form a forest, so there are at most $16m^4-1$ of them, while each orbit contributes at least $(m-1)^4$; letting $m\to\infty$ gives $f\le16$. Vanishing on $F$ is therefore at most $16$ linear conditions, and some $\psi\ne0$ of this form vanishes on $F$. It is nonzero on some link of $A$. Put $a_c=|\psi_j|$ for $j\in c$. \emph{The inequality.} Let $\eta$ be the restriction of $\psi$ to $A\setminus V$. The field equal to $\psi$ on $V$ and to $\eta$ outside gives the quadratic form its least value $0$, so by nondegeneracy the mean of $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ is the restriction of $\psi$ to $V$, and $\psi_i=\sum_j\psi_j(u_j)_i$ for $i\in V$. Hence \[ \sum_{i\in V}|\psi_i|\le\sum_{j\in A\setminus V}C_{V,j}|\psi_j|=\sum_ca_cK_c . \] A class consists of the active links with a given direction and a given residue of the base point modulo two, so it meets $V$ in $N_n$ links, and the left side is $N_n\sum_ca_c>0$. So $K_c\ge N_n$ for some class with $a_c>0$. \end{proof} For the direction field of Table~\ref{tab:sigma} the flat fields vanishing on $F$ form a space of dimension $7$, and for the axial field $\sigma=0$ one of dimension $10$. The proposition is weaker than Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} for the forest gauge, which bounds the sum over all classes, and it says nothing about two kinds of condition. A mass gives the constant fields an action, which is why Proposition~\ref{prop:gauss} distinguishes $t>0$ from $t=0$. The constrained condition $D_{\rm c}$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube} holds the block averages fixed, and a constant field changes them. Within the quadratic approximation no gauge fixed on an invariant forest gives (D); the loss has to come from the Wilson action beyond its quadratic part, or (D) has to be posed for variables, such as the block averages, that a constant field moves. \begin{remark}\label{rem:routes} Five other routes stop at (D) or (E), or earlier. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item \emph{Disjoint blocks.} The block criterion of Lemma~\ref{lem:blockcomparison} with a partition into cubes of side $n$ requires, for a link on a face, that its influence on the neighbouring cube be less than one. In the count of Remark~\ref{rem:cubeheuristic} that influence is of order $\xi$, which grows like $1/a$. Averaging over the $N_n$ translates divides it by the number of translates on whose boundary the link lies, a factor of order $1/n$, and this is why (D) is stated for averaged cubes. \item \emph{Rescaling a fixed lattice gap.} Any bound uniform in lattice units, such as those of Theorems~\ref{thm:su2}--\ref{thm:su3blocks}, gives trivial continuum two-point functions~\cite{BB26b}; rescaling it produces no gap. \item \emph{Assuming the gap.} Hypothesis~R of~\cite{BB26b} assumes the gap in physical units together with the limit. Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} replaces the gap part by the cube estimate (D), which concerns one box and one coupling at each spacing. \item \emph{Computation.} At a fixed coupling and a fixed small $n$, $D(n,\alpha)$ is a finite set of Kantorovich bounds and could in principle be certified as in Propositions~\ref{prop:cover} and~\ref{prop:cover2}; for $n=2$ and $\SU(2)$ the block already has $48$ links and $144$ real variables. (D) asks for it at infinitely many couplings with $n\to\infty$, which no finite computation covers. \item \emph{Axioms alone.} Proposition~\ref{prop:nogapgff} shows that positivity, invariance and regularity do not force a gap, and Proposition~\ref{prop:growth} shows that the growth route to rotation invariance is closed for the action density. The infrared input therefore has to be an estimate such as (D). \end{enumerate} \end{remark} \subsection{Estimates uniform in the coupling}\label{ssec:uniform} Some local quantities of the Wilson measure can be controlled uniformly in $\beta_W$, the volume and the boundary condition, by integrating by parts in a single link. Such estimates hold along every tuning, but they concern local fields in lattice units, and the three results below show how far they are from the open inputs: the force has bounded moments but its centred form is a null vector of the reflected form, the plaquette has fluctuations of order $\beta_W^{-2}$ but this is a single-site variance, and bare links over a fixed physical distance become independent Haar variables. Let $G=\SU(N)$, write $b=\beta_W$, so that the Wilson weight is $e^{bS}$ with $S=\sum_pN^{-1}\ReTr Q_p$, and give $\g$ the metric $\ip TR=-\Tr(TR)$. For a link $e$ let $S_e$ be the sum of the six plaquette terms containing $e$, $X_T$ the derivative along $U_e\mapsto e^{uT}U_e$ at $u=0$, $\nabla_e$ and $\Delta_e$ the gradient and Laplacian in $U_e$, $q=N^2-1$, $c_N=(N^2-1)/N$, and \[ E_e=b|\nabla_eS_e|^2,\qquad W_e=E_e-c_NS_e=b|\nabla_eS_e|^2+\Delta_eS_e . \] Below, $\omega$ is a Wilson Gibbs state at $b>0$: a finite-volume measure in which $e$ is not fixed by the boundary condition, or an infinite-volume state whose conditional law of $U_e$ given the other links is proportional to $e^{bS_e}dU_e$ with $dU_e$ the Haar measure. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:force} \textup{(i)} For every unit $T\in\g$, $t\in\R$ and $0\le\eta2^{-19}n^{-2}$. By symmetry the conditional covariance of $x$ is diagonal in $u$ and $u^\perp$, with eigenvalues $\Var X$ and $\E(1-X^2)/3$; on $I$, $1-X^2=T(2-T)\ge\frac3{8n}$, so $\E(1-X^2)/3\ge\frac1{1792n}\ge2^{-19}n^{-2}$. Hence the conditional variance of $x\cdot v$ is at least $2^{-19}(1+6b)^{-2}$, and so is the variance, by the law of total variance. For the mean, integrating $\frac d{dX}\bigl(e^{rX}(1-X^2)^{3/2}\bigr)$ over $[-1,1]$ gives $3\E X=r\E(1-X^2)\le r(1-(\E X)^2)$, whence $\E X\le(\sqrt{9+4r^2}-3)/(2r)\le2r/(2r+3)$ for $r>0$, and $\E[1-x\cdot v]\ge1-\E X\ge3/(2r+3)\ge1/(4b+1)$. \end{proof} For the blocking statement let $G=\SU(2)$, $B\ge4$ an integer and, for a coarse edge $(x,\mu)$, $V_{(x,\mu)}=\prod_{r=0}^{B-1}U_{(Bx+r\hat\mu,\mu)}$ the ordered product of the fine links along it. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:blocking} For every Wilson Gibbs state $\omega$ of $\SU(2)$ at $b>0$ and every set $\mathcal E$ of $K$ coarse edges, \[ \begin{split} \bigl\|\mathrm{Law}_\omega\bigl((V_e)_{e\in\mathcal E}\bigr)-m^{\otimes K}\bigr\|_{\mathrm{TV}} &\le\frac K2e^{3b}\Bigl(\frac{4b}{4b+1}\Bigr)^{B-3}\\ &\le\frac K2\exp\Bigl(3b-\frac{B-3}{4b+1}\Bigr), \end{split} \] where $m$ is the Haar measure. If $F$ is a function of the $V_e$ of a set of coarse edges at positive times, $|F|\le1$, and $\epsilon$ is this bound for those edges and their reflections, then $0\le\omega(\vartheta(\bar F^c)F^c)\le6\epsilon$ with $F^c=F-\omega(F)$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Select on each coarse edge the fine links with $1\le r\le B-2$. No plaquette contains two selected links: collinear links do not share a plaquette, parallel coarse edges are $B$ apart, and a plaquette containing a selected link of $(x,\mu)$ has its links in direction $\nu\ne\mu$ at $\mu$-offsets $r,r+1\in [1,B-1]$ from $Bx$, while coarse edges in direction $\nu$ lie at offsets in $B\Z$. Given the other links, the selected ones are therefore independent, each with density $e^{r_i\,x\cdot u_i}/Z(r_i)$, $0\le r_i\le6b$. Convolution with such a density acts on the representation of spin $l\ge1$ by $D^{(l)}(u_i)$ times $I_{l+1}(r_i)/I_1(r_i)$, whose absolute value is at most $I_2(r_i)/I_1(r_i)$ because $I_\nu(r)$ decreases in $\nu\ge0$, and $I_2(r_i)/I_1(r_i)=\E X\le4b/(4b+1)$ by the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:plaqvar}, so it contracts the mean-zero part of $L^2$ by that factor. The density is at most $e^{6b}$ because $Z\ge1$ by Jensen's inequality, so its distance to $1$ in $L^2$ is at most $e^{3b}$. The conditional law of $V_e$ is that of a product of $B-2$ such independent variables between two fixed ones, so its total variation distance to $m$ is at most $\frac12e^{3b}(4b/(4b+1))^{B-3}$, and the coarse edges are conditionally independent. Total variation distance from a product is at most the sum over the factors, and averaging over the conditioning does not increase it. For the last statement, under $m^{\otimes K}$ the covariance vanishes because $F$ and its reflection depend on disjoint edges; replacing $\omega$ by $m^{\otimes K}$ changes $\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)F)$ by at most $2\epsilon$ and $|\omega(F)|^2$ by at most $4\epsilon$. \end{proof} With $B=\ell/a_k$ for a fixed physical length $\ell$ and $b_k=O(\log(1/a_k))$ the bound tends to zero: the bare coarse links of a fixed coarse graph become independent Haar variables, their reflected form has rank one, and a renormalisation $Z_k$ that keeps the reflected norm of $Z_kF^c$ at least $c>0$ must grow at least like $(c/6\epsilon)^{1/2}$. The renormalised flowed fields of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} are not bounded functions of bare coarse links, and none of the three propositions bears on the slice ratio, the tree bounds or (D). \subsection{What the cube estimate requires}\label{ssec:cubeneeds} This subsection proves seven facts about $D(n,\alpha)$. It holds at small coupling for every even $n$ above an explicit size (Proposition~\ref{prop:cubesmall}), and it survives small perturbations of the action (Proposition~\ref{prop:cubeopen}), although gauge-invariant perturbations still need strong coupling at the scale of the cube (Proposition~\ref{prop:smallfield}). It forces the gauge-fixed variables of a cube with trivial exterior to stay a fixed distance from the identity on average (Theorem~\ref{thm:cubeneeds}, and Proposition~\ref{prop:tetra} for $\SU(2)$), so that for every fixed $n$ it fails once $\beta$ is large (Corollary~\ref{cor:cubefails}). And it cannot be obtained from bounds on the conditional law of a single line of links that are uniform in the configuration around the line (Proposition~\ref{prop:slowline}). For the compact abelian theory with the Villain action it fails at every size once $\beta$ is large (Proposition~\ref{prop:coulomb}). In Sec.~\ref{ssec:constrained} the estimate is posed for block averages, where its quadratic approximation holds along the tuning. None of these decides (D) along the continuum tuning, where $n$ grows while $\beta$ grows.\footnote{The four statements answer the question of which parts of (D) can be settled with the methods of this paper. The first places (D) in the range where the single-link method already works, the second and third show what any proof of (D) at weak coupling has to produce, and the fourth excludes the most direct one-dimensional route. } For a finite $V\subset A$ and $j\in A\setminus V$ let $b(V,j)$ be the number of links of $V$ that share a plaquette with $j$, and write $k\sim i$ when two active links share a plaquette. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:cubesingle} Suppose that $C_{ee'}\le c_0$ for all active $e,e'$, with $12c_0<1$. Then $C_{V,j}\le c_0\,b(V,j)/(1-12c_0)$ for every finite $V\subset A$ and every $j\in A\setminus V$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Fix $Q,Q'$ that differ only at $j$, put $d=\delta(Q_j,Q'_j)$, $\mu=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q)$ and $\nu=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q')$. The couplings of $\mu$ and $\nu$ form a weakly compact set on which $\pi\mapsto\int d_V\,d\pi$ is continuous, so one of them, $\pi$, minimises it; let $\rho_i=\int\delta(X_i,Y_i)\,d\pi$. Fix $i\in V$. Under $\mu$ the conditional law of $X_i$ given the other links of $V$ is $\gamma^F_i(\cdot\mid X)$, and likewise for $\nu$. Replace $(X_i,Y_i)$ by a pair drawn from an optimal coupling of $\gamma^F_i(\cdot\mid X)$ and $\gamma^F_i(\cdot\mid Y)$, chosen measurably~\cite[Cor.~5.22]{Vil09}, and keep the other coordinates. The new coupling still has marginals $\mu$ and $\nu$, and changing the links in which $X$ and $Y$ differ one at a time gives \[ W_1\bigl(\gamma^F_i(\cdot\mid X),\gamma^F_i(\cdot\mid Y)\bigr)\le \sum_{k\in V,\,k\ne i}C_{ik}\,\delta(X_k,Y_k)+C_{ij}\,d . \] Minimality of $\pi$ therefore gives $\rho_i\le c_0\sum_{k\in V,\,k\sim i}\rho_k+c_0[i\sim j]\,d$. Sum over $i\in V$: every $\rho_k$ occurs at most twelve times by Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(iv), so $(1-12c_0)\sum_i\rho_i\le c_0\,b(V,j)\,d$. Since $W_1^{d_V}(\mu,\nu)\le\sum_i\rho_i$, dividing by $d$ proves the lemma. \end{proof} \begin{proposition}\label{prop:cubesmall} Let $n=2m$ and let $V$ be the cube of Definition~\ref{def:cube}. For every class $c$, \[ \sum_{j\in c\setminus V}b(V,j)\le10m^3-2m^2 , \] with equality for three classes. Consequently, if $C_{ee'}\le c_0$ for all $e,e'$ with $12c_0<1$, then $D(n,\alpha)$ holds for every $\alpha\in(0,1)$ with \[ \alpha\ge\hat\alpha_n=\frac{c_0}{1-12c_0}\Bigl(\frac{20}n-\frac8{n^2}\Bigr). \] For $\SU(2)$ and $|\beta_W|<\frac13$ this reads $\hat\alpha_n= \frac{|\beta_W|}{1-3|\beta_W|}\bigl(\frac5n-\frac2{n^2}\bigr)$, which is below one for every even $n>5|\beta_W|/(1-3|\beta_W|)$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Let $j=(y,\mu)$ lie in the class $c$, with $y\equiv r$ modulo two. A link of $V$ that shares a plaquette with $j$ has base point $y+d$ with $d\in\{-1,0,1\}^4$ and at most two nonzero coordinates, and the twelve offsets $d$ depend only on $c$. For a fixed offset we count the $y\equiv r$ with $y+d\in[0,n)^4$ and $y\notin[0,n)^4$. In the coordinate $l$ there are $m$ values of $y_l\equiv r_l$ with $y_l+d_l\in[0,n)$, and one of them lies outside $[0,n)$ exactly when $d_l=1$ and $r_l=1$ (the value $y_l=-1$) or $d_l=-1$ and $r_l=0$ (the value $y_l=n$). If $q$ is the number of such coordinates, the count is $m^4-m^{4-q}(m-1)^q$, that is $0$, $m^3$ or $2m^3-m^2$ for $q=0,1,2$. Summing over the twelve offsets, the class sum is $a_cm^3-b_cm^2$, where $b_c$ is the number of offsets with $q=2$ and $a_c$ is the number with $q=1$ plus twice $b_c$. Reading the offsets from Table~\ref{tab:sigma}, the pairs $(a_c,b_c)$ over the $48$ classes are $(2,0)$, $(7,0)$, $(7,1)$, $(9,1)$, $(9,2)$ and $(10,2)$ three times each and $(3,0)$, $(4,0)$, $(5,0)$, $(6,0)$ and $(8,1)$ six times each. In every case $a_c\le10$ and $8-a_c+b_c\ge0$, so \[ \begin{split} (10m^3-2m^2)-(a_cm^3-b_cm^2)&=m^2\bigl((10-a_c)m+b_c-2\bigr)\\ &\ge m^2(8-a_c+b_c)\ge0, \end{split} \] with equality for the three classes with $(a_c,b_c)=(10,2)$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:cubesingle}, $K_c\le c_0(10m^3-2m^2)/(1-12c_0)$, and $N_n=m^4$ gives $K_c/N_n\le\hat\alpha_n$. For $\SU(2)$ the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} gives $c_0=|\beta|=|\beta_W|/4$. \end{proof} At $\beta_W=\frac3{10}$ and $n=16$, for instance, $\hat\alpha_{16}= \frac{117}{128}$, and Theorem~\ref{thm:onescale} gives the gap $\log\frac{128}{117}/32$, much weaker than Theorem~\ref{thm:su2}. The proposition shows that the cube condition is not empty; it does not extend the range, because the absorption $12c_0<1$ is the single-link condition itself. The cube condition is also stable under small changes of the action, which is what a block renormalisation would need at its last scale, where the effective action is no longer of Wilson form. Let $r\ge0$ and $\varepsilon\ge0$, and let $(w_X)$ be real functions on $G^A$ indexed by finite sets $X\subset A$ of diameter at most $r$, with $w_X$ depending only on the links of $X$, such that the family is invariant under the translations by $2\Z^4$, every active link lies in at most $M$ of the sets $X$, every $X$ has at most $s$ links, and \[ |w_X(Q)-w_X(Q')|\le\varepsilon\sum_{i\in X}\delta(Q_i,Q'_i) \] for all $Q,Q'$. Let $\gamma^W_V(\cdot\mid Q)$ be the probability measure with density proportional to $\exp\sum_{X\cap V\ne\emptyset}w_X$ with respect to $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q)$, and define $C^W_{V,j}$, $K^W_c$ and the condition $D^W(n,\alpha)$ as in Definition~\ref{def:cube}, with $\gamma^W_V$ in place of $\gamma_V$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:cubeopen} Let $n$ be even and suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds at $\beta$. Then $D^W(n,\alpha')$ holds with \[ \alpha'=\alpha\,e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)+96\,s\,\Omega,\qquad \Omega=48\,M\,D\,N_n\,\varepsilon . \] In particular $\alpha'<1$ for all $\varepsilon$ below an explicit $\varepsilon_0(n,\alpha,M,s)>0$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The cube has $|V|=48N_n$ links, so $d_V$ has diameter $\Delta_V=48N_nD$. For fixed exterior links put $u=\sum_{X\cap V\ne\emptyset}w_X$ as a function on $G^V$. Each link of $V$ lies in at most $M$ sets $X$, so $u$ is $M\varepsilon$-Lipschitz for $d_V$ and its oscillation is at most $M\varepsilon\Delta_V=\Omega$; we normalise $u$ so that $\sup u=0$, which does not change the tilted measures, and put $h=e^u$, so that $e^{-\Omega}\le h\le1$ and $h$ is $M\varepsilon$-Lipschitz. \emph{A common tilt.} Let $\mu,\nu$ be probability measures on $G^V$ and $\mu_h=h\mu/\mu(h)$, $\nu_h=h\nu/\nu(h)$. Let $f$ be $1$-Lipschitz for $d_V$; subtracting a constant we may take $|f|\le\Delta_V$. Then $fh$ is $(1+\Delta_VM\varepsilon)$-Lipschitz, $|\nu(fh)|\le\Delta_V\nu(h)$, $|\mu(h)-\nu(h)|\le M\varepsilon W_1^{d_V}(\mu,\nu)$ and $\mu(h)\ge e^{-\Omega}$, so \[ \begin{split} \mu_h(f)-\nu_h(f)&=\frac{\mu(fh)-\nu(fh)}{\mu(h)}+\nu(fh)\, \frac{\nu(h)-\mu(h)}{\mu(h)\nu(h)}\\ &\le e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)\,W_1^{d_V}(\mu,\nu), \end{split} \] since $\Delta_VM\varepsilon=\Omega$. By Kantorovich duality $W_1^{d_V}(\mu_h,\nu_h)\le e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)W_1^{d_V}(\mu,\nu)$. \emph{Two tilts.} If $u'$ is another weight with $|u-u'|\le\eta$, the density of $\nu_{h'}$ with respect to $\nu_h$ lies in $[e^{-2\eta},e^{2\eta}]$, so the total variation distance of the two is at most $1-e^{-2\eta}\le 2\eta$, and $W_1^{d_V}(\nu_h,\nu_{h'})\le2\eta\Delta_V$. \emph{The coefficients.} Let $Q,Q'$ differ only at $j\notin V$, with $\delta=\delta(Q_j,Q'_j)$, and let $u,u'$ be the weights for the two exteriors. They differ only through the sets $X$ that contain $j$ and meet $V$; if there are $m_j$ of them, $|u-u'|\le m_j\varepsilon\delta$. With $\mu=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q)$ and $\nu=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q')$, the triangle inequality and the two steps give \[ C^W_{V,j}\le e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)\,C_{V,j}+2\Delta_V\,m_j\,\varepsilon . \] The pairs $(X,j)$ with $j\in X\setminus V$ and $X\cap V\ne\emptyset$ number at most $s$ times the number of sets meeting $V$, hence at most $sM|V|$. Summing over $j\in c\setminus V$, \[ \begin{split} K^W_c&\le e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)\,\alpha N_n+2\Delta_VsM|V|\varepsilon\\ &=\bigl(\alpha e^{\Omega}(1+2\Omega)+96\,s\,\Omega\bigr)N_n . \end{split} \] The family is invariant under $2\Z^4$, so the coefficients are, and this is $D^W(n,\alpha')$. \end{proof} The admissible perturbation is of order $1/N_n=(2/n)^4$, so the proposition is useful in a box of a fixed number of lattice spacings, which is how a renormalisation argument would use it: after enough block steps that the cube of physical size $\ell$ has become a cube of fixed side, the effective action has to lie within $\varepsilon_0$ of an action that satisfies the condition there. Whether the effective actions along the tuning do so is not decided here, and that is where the problem lies: at the scale where the blocked theory is strongly coupled enough for a condition of this kind, the running coupling is of order one, which is outside the range of the existing ultraviolet analysis. The proposition shows only that the condition itself is not the obstacle. The next theorem uses the configuration in which every link outside $V$ is the identity. Write $\gamma^1_V=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid1)$ and \[ \varepsilon_V(\beta)=\frac1{|V|}\sum_{i\in V}\int\delta(1,Q_i)\, d\gamma^1_V(Q) \] for the mean distance of the gauge-fixed variables of the cube from the identity. Recall that $\delta$ is bi-invariant of diameter $D$. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:cubeneeds} Let $n$ be even, $V$ the cube of Definition~\ref{def:cube}, and suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds at $\beta$. Then \[ \varepsilon_V(\beta)\ge\frac{(1-\alpha)\,D}3 . \] \end{theorem} \begin{proof} \emph{A flat configuration.} By Lemma~\ref{lem:structure}(i) and the period two of $\sigma$, the sixteen residues modulo two fall into eight pairs $\{r,r+e_{\sigma(r)}\}$, the residues met by one line of $F$. The eight residues $0010$, $0011$, $0100$, $0110$, $1001$, $1011$, $1100$, $1101$ form four of these pairs. Choose $z,w\in G$ with $\delta(z,w)=D$, put $g(x)=w$ if $x$ is congruent to one of those eight residues and $g(x)=z$ otherwise, and let $Q^g_{(x,\mu)}=g(x)g(x+e_\mu)^{-1}$ for every link of $\Z^4$. Then $g$ is constant on every line of $F$, so $Q^g$ equals $1$ on $F$, every plaquette variable of $Q^g$ is $1$, and $Q^g$ has period two. By bi-invariance $\delta(1,Q^g_{(x,\mu)})=\delta(g(x+e_\mu),g(x))$, which is $D$ when $x$ and $x+e_\mu$ receive different values and $0$ otherwise; from Table~\ref{tab:sigma} the first case occurs for exactly $32$ of the $48$ classes. Let $\delta_c$ be the common value of $\delta(1,Q^g_e)$ for $e$ in the class $c$, so that $\sum_c\delta_c=32D$. \emph{Gauge covariance.} Let $\Phi(Q)_{(x,\mu)}=g(x)Q_{(x,\mu)}g(x+e_\mu)^{-1}$ on $G^V$. The gauge transformation by $g$ maps the configuration equal to $Q_V$ on $V$ and to $1$ elsewhere to the one equal to $\Phi(Q_V)$ on $V$ and to $Q^g$ elsewhere; it leaves every plaquette trace unchanged and every link of $F$ equal to $1$, and $\Phi$ preserves Haar measure. Hence $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g)=\Phi_*\gamma^1_V$. \emph{Upper bound.} Only the finitely many links outside $V$ that share a plaquette with $V$ enter $\gamma_V$. Changing them one at a time from $1$ to $Q^g$ and applying the definition of $C_{V,j}$ at each step, \[ \begin{split} W_1^{d_V}\bigl(\gamma^1_V,\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g)\bigr)&\le\sum_{j\in A\setminus V}C_{V,j}\,\delta(1,Q^g_j)=\sum_c\delta_cK_c\\ &\le\alpha N_n\sum_c\delta_c=32\,\alpha DN_n . \end{split} \] \emph{Lower bound.} The function $f(Q)=-\sum_{i\in V}\delta(Q_i,Q^g_i)$ is $1$-Lipschitz for $d_V$. By gauge covariance and bi-invariance, $\int f\,d\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g)=-\int\sum_i\delta(Q_i,1)\,d\gamma^1_V=-|V| \varepsilon_V$, and by the triangle inequality $\int f\,d\gamma^1_V\le -\sum_i\delta(1,Q^g_i)+|V|\varepsilon_V$. Every class has $N_n$ links in $V$, so $\sum_i\delta(1,Q^g_i)=32DN_n$ and \[ W_1^{d_V}\bigl(\gamma^1_V,\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g)\bigr)\ge32DN_n-2|V| \varepsilon_V . \] With $|V|=48N_n$ the two bounds give $96N_n\varepsilon_V\ge32(1-\alpha)DN_n$. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:cubefails} For every even $n$ and every $\alpha<1$ there is $\beta_0(n,\alpha)$ such that $D(n,\alpha)$ fails at every $\beta\ge\beta_0(n,\alpha)$. In particular, if $D(n_k,\alpha)$ holds at couplings $\beta_k\to\infty$, then $n_k\to\infty$. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} For $\beta>0$, $\gamma^1_V$ has density proportional to $e^{-N\beta S}$ with respect to Haar measure, where $S=\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(N-\ReTr Q^F_p)$ is continuous and nonnegative on $G^V$ and vanishes exactly when $Q^F_p=1$ for every plaquette $p$ that meets $V$. We show that this forces $Q_V=1$. The other plaquettes have all their links equal to $1$, so every plaquette variable is $1$; since the plaquettes of $\Z^4$ fill every closed lattice path, there is a function $h$ on the sites with $Q_{(x,\mu)}=h(x)h(x+e_\mu)^{-1}$ on every link, and $h$ takes equal values at the two ends of every link on which $Q=1$. Every link with base point outside $[0,n)^4$ is such a link. From a site with a coordinate at least $n$ one can move in every positive direction along links of this kind, and from a site with a negative coordinate $x_\nu$ one can move in the positive directions other than $\nu$ until another coordinate reaches $n$; so $h$ is constant on the sites outside the box. Every line of $F$ leaves the box, and $h$ is constant along it, so $h$ is constant and $Q_V=1$. Let $U$ be a neighbourhood of $1$ in $G^V$, $s=\min_{G^V\setminus U}S>0$, and $U'\subset U$ a neighbourhood of $1$ on which $S0$. Let $n$ be even, $V$ the cube of Definition~\ref{def:cube}, and suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds at $\beta$. Then \[ \frac1{|V|}\sum_{i\in V}\Bigl|\int\Tr\rho(Q_i)\,d\gamma^1_V\Bigr|\le \alpha\,d, \] \[ \frac1{|V|}\sum_{i\in V}\int\delta(1,Q_i)^2\,d\gamma^1_V\ge(1-\alpha) \int_G\delta(1,q)^2\,dq , \] where $dq$ is Haar measure, and $\varepsilon_V(\beta)\ge(1-\alpha)D/2$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} \emph{Four elements.} Let $\varphi\colon\SU(2)\to G$ be the homomorphism of the $\SU(2)$ subgroup of a root, and $z_1,\dots,z_4$ the tetrahedral quaternions of Proposition~\ref{prop:tetra}. For $k\ne l$ the quaternion $z_kz_l^{-1}$ has real part $\langle z_k,z_l\rangle=-\frac13$; unit quaternions with equal real parts are conjugate in $\SU(2)$, so the twelve elements $\varphi(z_kz_l^{-1})$ are conjugate in $G$, and by bi-invariance $\delta(\varphi(z_k),\varphi(z_l))=d_*$ for all $k\ne l$, with one number $d_*$. If $d_*=0$, then $\varphi(z_kz_l^{-1})$ lies in $\ker\rho$, a proper normal subgroup of the simple group $G$ and therefore central; it then commutes with $\varphi(\SU(2))$, so it is central there, and $z_kz_l^{-1}$ lies in $\{\pm1\}\ker\varphi\subset\{\pm1\}$, which its real part $-\frac13$ excludes. So $d_*>0$. \emph{The two bounds.} Put $g(x)=\varphi(z_k)$ when the residue of $x$ lies in $X_k$. The proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:tetra} applies word for word: $Q^g$ equals $1$ on $F$ and on every plaquette, $\delta(1,Q^g_e)=d_*$ on every active link, and $W_1^{d_V}(\gamma^1_V,\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g))\le \alpha d_*|V|$. Simultaneous conjugation of the links of $V$ preserves $\gamma^1_V$, so the mean $\int\rho(Q_i)\,d\gamma^1_V$ commutes with $\rho(G)$, and by Schur's lemma it is $c_iI$ with $c_i=d^{-1}\int\Tr\rho(Q_i) \,d\gamma^1_V$. Its mean under $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid Q^g)$ is $c_i\rho(Q^g_i)$. With matrices $W_i$ of Hilbert--Schmidt norm $\kappa^{-1/2}$ chosen so that $\operatorname{Re}\Tr(W_i^*c_i(\rho(Q^g_i)-I))=|c_i|\,\delta(1,Q^g_i)$, the function $f(Q)=\sum_i\operatorname{Re}\Tr(W_i^*\rho(Q_i))$ is $1$-Lipschitz for $d_V$, and Kantorovich duality gives $W_1^{d_V}\ge d_*\sum_i|c_i|$. Hence $\sum_i|c_i|\le\alpha|V|$, the first inequality. \emph{Comparison with Haar measure.} Since $\kappa\,\delta(1,q)^2=2d-2 \operatorname{Re}\Tr\rho(q)$ and $\int_G\Tr\rho(q)\,dq=0$ for a nontrivial irreducible $\rho$, $\int_G\delta(1,q)^2dq=2d/\kappa$, while $\int\delta(1, Q_i)^2d\gamma^1_V=2d(1-\operatorname{Re}c_i)/\kappa\ge2d(1-|c_i|)/\kappa$. Averaging gives the second inequality. Finally $\kappa D^2\le4d$, because $\|\rho(p)-\rho(q)\|_{\mathrm{HS}}\le2\sqrt d$, so $\delta\ge\delta^2/D$ gives $\varepsilon_V\ge2d(1-\alpha)/(\kappa D)\ge(1-\alpha)D/2$. \end{proof} For $\SU(N)$ with the Hilbert--Schmidt distance this improves the constant $\frac13$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:cubeneeds} to $\frac12$, and for $\SU(3)$, where $D^2=9$ and the Haar mean of $\delta^2$ is $6$, to $\frac23$: in a cube with the identity outside, $D(n,\alpha)$ leaves the gauge-fixed links at least the fraction $1-\alpha$ of the disorder of independent Haar-distributed links. The size $\beta_0(n,\alpha)$ in Corollary~\ref{cor:cubefails} comes from a compactness argument. For $\SU(2)$ it can be made explicit, and then reads as a lower bound on the side of any cube that satisfies the condition. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:cubesize} Let $G=\SU(2)$ with the chordal metric, so that $D=2$, let $b=\beta_W\ge\frac19$, let $n\ge2$ be even and put $L(b)=1+\log24+\frac32\log(9b)$. Then \[ \frac1{|V|}\sum_{e\in V}\int\delta(1,Q_e)^2\,d\gamma^1_V\le \frac{n^2(n+2)(2n+1)\,L(b)}b , \] so $\varepsilon_V(\beta)^2$ is at most the same quantity. Consequently, if $D(n,\alpha)$ holds at $b$, then \[ n^4\ge\frac{2(1-\alpha)\,b}{5\,L(b)} . \] \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Put $m=n/2$. Under $\gamma^1_V$ every link outside $V$ equals $1$: the links of $F$ always, the others by the choice of exterior. A plaquette that does not meet $V$ therefore has plaquette variable $1$. \emph{Links as loops.} Let $e=(x,\mu)\in V$, $y=x+e_\mu$, $\sigma=\sigma(x)$ and $\tau=\sigma(y)$. The directions $\sigma,\tau,\mu$ are distinct: $\sigma\ne\mu$ because $e$ is active; $\tau\ne\mu$ because otherwise the line of $F$ through $y$ would contain $x$, and the lines of $F$ are disjoint; and $\tau\ne\sigma$ by Table~\ref{tab:sigma}, in which $\sigma(x+e_\mu)\ne\sigma(x)$ whenever $\mu\ne\sigma(x)$. Since $0\le x_\sigma\beta_0$ the condition $D(n,\alpha)$ fails for every even $n\ge2$ and every $\alpha<1$. In particular, for couplings $\beta_k\to\infty$ and any even $n_k$, the hypothesis of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} fails for this theory. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Lemma~\ref{lem:gaugefix}, Proposition~\ref{prop:state}(i)--(iii) and (v), Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison}, Corollary~\ref{cor:decay} and Lemma~\ref{lem:dscomparison} use the Wilson weight only as a positive continuous class function of the plaquette variable, with one exception: the Doeblin bound in Lemma~\ref{lem:dscomparison}(a), which for the Villain weight reads that each single-link density is at least $(\min\varphi_\beta/\max\varphi_\beta)^6>0$ times its maximum. Suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds. As in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:onescale}, the limit $\omega(O)=\lim W_\Lambda(O)$ of the measures of boxes with free boundary conditions then exists along every sequence of boxes exhausting $\Z^4$, and for gauge-invariant local $O,O'$ with $O$ Lipschitz in each link, \[ |\Cov_\omega(O,O')|\le\|O'\|_\infty L_O\, \frac{D(1+c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n})}{1-\theta}\,|S_{O'}|\, e^{-\lambda\dist(O,O')} \] for every $\lambda>0$ with $\theta=\alpha e^{\lambda\rho_n}<1$, where $L_O$ is a Lipschitz constant of $O$ and $S_{O'}$ the support of $O'$. Put $\Psi_p=\varphi_\beta'(\theta_p)/\varphi_\beta(\theta_p)$; up to the factor $-\mathbf i$ this is the lattice field strength of Fr\"ohlich and Spencer~\cite[Sect.~2]{FS82} for the Villain action. It is real, odd and smooth in $\theta_p$, so it is gauge invariant, local and Lipschitz in each of its four links, with constants that do not depend on $p$, and $\omega(\Psi_p)=0$ by the symmetry $\theta\mapsto-\theta$. The bound above gives $\sum_{p'}|\omega(\Psi_p\Psi_{p'})|<\infty$, the sum over the plaquettes $p'$ parallel to $p$. The state of~\cite{FS82} is the limit of the same free-boundary measures over boxes, which is $\omega$. Fr\"ohlich and Spencer prove, for $\beta$ larger than some $\beta_0$, that the Fourier transform of the two-plaquette function of the field strength is discontinuous at zero momentum, so that this sum is infinite~\cite[Sect.~2]{FS82}; see also~\cite{Gut80}. This contradiction proves the first statement, and the second follows because $\beta_k>\beta_0$ for all large $k$. \end{proof} At large $\beta$ the plaquette variables of the abelian theory are Gaussian to leading order, as are those of $\SU(N)$, and every property of the action used in this paper (compactness, locality, positivity and smoothness of the weight, reflection positivity, the forest gauge) is shared by the two theories. A proof of (D) along the continuum tuning therefore has to use the non-abelian structure of $G$; Proposition~\ref{prop:coulomb} holds at every cube size, so letting the side grow with $\beta$, which Corollary~\ref{cor:cubefails} already requires, does not remove the need. Fr\"ohlich and Spencer indicate how their result extends to the Wilson action without giving the details~\cite[Sect.~2]{FS82}, so the proposition is stated for the Villain action only. \begin{remark}\label{rem:fluxloop} The proof loses the area of a disc, of order $n^2$, in passing from plaquettes to links, and on loops that loss is of the right order. On the periodic lattice $(\Z/L\Z)^4$ with $L$ even and coordinates $0\le x_j0$. For every Gibbs specification of the gauge-fixed theory, every active link $e$ and every configuration of the other links, the conditional law of $Q_e$ satisfies \[ \int\delta(1,Q_e)\,d\mu_e\ge\frac1{9\max(6b,1)^{1/2}} . \] In particular $\varepsilon_V(\beta)\ge\frac19\max(6b,1)^{-1/2}$ for every $n$; at every fixed $n$, $\varepsilon_V(\beta)$ lies between constant multiples of $b^{-1/2}$ and $(L(b)/b)^{1/2}$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Write $\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle$ for the Euclidean product of quaternions, so that $\ReTr q=2\langle q,1\rangle$. The six plaquettes that contain $e$ contribute $\exp(b\langle Q_e,W_p\rangle)$ to the conditional density, with $|W_p|=1$; so $\mu_e$ has density $e^{\langle u,v\rangle}/Z(|v|)$ with respect to normalised Haar measure, for some $v$ with $a=|v|\le6b$. Put $a'=\max(a,1)$ and $\eta=a'^{-1/2}\le1$. On the geodesic ball of radius $\eta$ about $v/|v|$ the exponent is at least $a(1-\eta^2/2)\ge a-\frac12$, and that ball has measure greater than $\eta^3/24$ (proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:slowline}); hence $Z(a)\ge e^{a-1/2}\eta^3/24$ and the density is at most $24e^{1/2}a'^{3/2}$ (for $a<1$ directly, since $Z\ge1$ by Jensen's inequality). A chordal ball of radius $r$ is a geodesic ball of radius $\theta$ with $2\sin(\theta/2)=r$, so $\theta\le\pi r/2$, and its measure is $(\theta-\sin\theta\cos\theta)/\pi\le2\theta^3/(3\pi)\le\pi^2r^3/12$. With $r=\frac29a'^{-1/2}$, \[ \mu_e\bigl(\delta(1,Q_e)0$ is even under the reflection $x_4\mapsto-x_4$, which commutes with $K_b$. \emph{A barrier.} Let $E=\frac12\sum_{k=0}^9|v_{k+1}-v_k|^2$ and suppose that $(q_0)_4\ge0\ge(q_{10})_4$ and $E\le\frac1{1280}$. Put $\Delta= (20E)^{1/2}\le\frac18$ and $w=v_0$; by Cauchy--Schwarz $|w-v_k|\le\Delta$ for all $k$, and $0\le w_4\le\Delta$ because the $r_k$ have no fourth coordinate. From $|v_k+r_k|=1$, $\bigl||w+r_k|^2-1\bigr|\le\Delta(2+\Delta)=:\eta$ for $0\le k\le5$. The pairs $r_k=\pm ae_l$ give $|w_l|\le\eta/(2a)=\eta$ for $l=1,2,3$ and $|w|^2\ge\frac34-\eta$, so $\frac34\le3\eta^2+\Delta^2+\eta\le 3(\frac{17}{64})^2+\frac1{64}+\frac{17}{64}=\frac{2019}{4096}$, a contradiction. Hence $K_b(x,y)\le e^{-b/1280}$ whenever $x_4\ge0\ge y_4$. \emph{The top eigenvalue.} Let $\epsilon=b^{-1/2}$. The geodesic ball of radius $\epsilon\le1$ in $S^3$ has normalised measure $\frac2\pi\int_0^\epsilon \sin^2\theta\,d\theta\ge\frac{8\epsilon^3}{3\pi^3}>\frac{\epsilon^3}{24}$. If each $q_k$ lies in the ball of radius $\epsilon$ about $r_k+ce_4$, then $|v_k-ce_4|\le\epsilon$ and $E\le20\epsilon^2$, so the integrand is at least $e^{-20}$. Testing $K_b$ on the normalised indicator of the ball about $r_0+ce_4$ gives $\Lambda_b\ge e^{-20}(\epsilon^3/24)^{10}=e^{-20}24^{-10} b^{-15}$. \emph{The gap.} Let $\phi(x)=\operatorname{sign}(x_4)\psi_b(x)$, a unit vector orthogonal to $\psi_b$. Then \[ \begin{split} \Lambda_b-\ip\phi{K_b\phi}&=4\int_{x_4>0>y_4}\psi_b(x)K_b(x,y)\psi_b(y)\,dx\,dy\\ &\le e^{-b/1280}, \end{split} \] because $\int_{x_4>0}\psi_b\le\frac12$ by Cauchy--Schwarz. By the variational principle $\Lambda_{b,1}\ge\ip\phi{K_b\phi}$, and dividing by the lower bound on $\Lambda_b$ proves the estimate; the gap is positive because $\Lambda_b$ is simple. \end{proof} The exterior of Proposition~\ref{prop:slowline} is legal at every coupling, so a bound on the conditional law of single lines that is uniform in the exterior cannot be better than $e^{-b/1280}$ up to powers of $b$, and an argument of this kind cannot give (D) along the tuning. A proof of (D) has to use what such a bound discards: the joint resampling of the transverse links inside the cube, which the averaged coefficients $C_{V,j}$ retain, or the smallness of the probability of such exteriors under the Wilson measure. \section{Block averages}\label{sec:blocks} Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} locates the failure of (D) in the quadratic approximation: gauge transformations constant on the lines of $F$ move the whole cube and change few links outside it. By Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussevery} every gauge fixed on an invariant forest fails in the same way, through the constant fields. This section takes up the programme of the report~\cite{Loc26} of the third author, which keeps the cube condition but changes the gauge and conditions the cube on block averages of the field, as in Ba{\l}aban's renormalisation group~\cite{Bal84a,Bal85a}. The natural block averages of the line field leave one class of lines invisible and fail at every size (Proposition~\ref{prop:invisible}). In a gauge whose fixed links are trees inside blocks of side two, the averages over whole blocks remove every zero mode, the constrained quadratic form has a gap that does not depend on the volume (Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap}), and the constrained cube condition holds at every coupling once the cube is large (Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}). Integrating out one scale bounds the cube coefficients by the constrained ones plus those of the averages (Corollary~\ref{cor:compose}), and the averages carry the coarse quadratic form at every scale up to a factor between $1$ and $256$, through forms that are local uniformly in the scale (Proposition~\ref{prop:effective} and Theorems~\ref{thm:effectiveupper} and~\ref{thm:effectivelocal}), and the constrained cube condition holds at every scale with one cube side (Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedscales}). For the group-valued links themselves, the straight paths between block roots satisfy a coercivity bound for all fields but do not compose, a continuous covariant map cannot treat the transverse positions alike, and a cut-off of Ba{\l}aban's averaging operation is coercive for all fields and agrees with the block averages to first order (Sec.~\ref{ssec:pathblocks}). It composes across all scales on fields of small curvature for every compact group (Sec.~\ref{ssec:scales}), and under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure the fields that are not small form clusters of vanishing physical size (Sec.~\ref{ssec:largefields}). \subsection{Block-constrained cubes}\label{ssec:constrained} In this subsection everything concerns the quadratic approximation: real fields $\varphi$ on links, $(d\varphi)_p$ the signed sum around the plaquette $p$, and $(dh)_{(x,\mu)}=h(x)-h(x+e_\mu)$ for a function $h$ on sites. \begin{proposition}[\cite{Loc26}]\label{prop:invisible} In the setting of Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest}, condition the cube in addition on any family of the face averages \[ V^{\mathrm{face}}_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=\frac18\sum_{x}\bigl(\varphi_{(x,\mu)} +\varphi_{(x+e_\mu,\mu)}\bigr), \] where $x$ runs over the eight sites of the block $2y+\{0,1\}^4$ with $x_\mu=2y_\mu$. Then $\sum_{c\in C_I}K_c\ge12N_n$ for the twelve classes \[ \begin{split} C_I=\{&(0111,\mu),(1111,\mu),(0111+e_\mu,\mu),(1111+e_\mu,\mu)\\ &:\mu=1,2,3\}, \end{split} \] written as residue of the base and direction. Hence $K_c\ge N_n$ for some class, and the constrained condition fails for every $\alpha<1$, at every even $n$ and every $b$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} By Table~\ref{tab:sigma}, $\sigma(0111)=\sigma(1111)=0$, so the lines of $F$ through the sites with $x_1,x_2,x_3$ odd have direction $0$; call them invisible. Let $\ell$ be one of them and $h_\ell$ its indicator. The sum of $dh_\ell$ along a path of length two from $x$ is $h_\ell(x)-h_\ell(x+2e_\mu)$. For $\mu\ne0$ both end points have even $\mu$-coordinate and are off $\ell$; for $\mu=0$ they have the same transverse coordinates and are both on $\ell$ or both off it. So $dh_\ell$ changes no face average, and the translation argument of Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} applies to the constrained laws: $\sum_{i\in V}|(dh_\ell)_i|\le\sum_{j\notin V}C_{V,j}|(dh_\ell)_j|$. An active link $e=(x,\mu)$ has $|(dh_\ell)_e|=1$ for at most one invisible $\ell$, since its two ends lie on different lines and both cannot be invisible (for $\mu\ne0$ they differ in the coordinate $\mu$, and for $\mu=0$ the link would lie in $F$). It has one such $\ell$ exactly when its base or its end has residue $0111$ or $1111$, which by Table~\ref{tab:sigma} are the classes of $C_I$: the six classes with base residue $0111$ or $1111$ and direction $\mu\ne0$, and the six with base residue $r+e_\mu$, $r\in\{0111, 1111\}$, whose directions $\mu$ differ from $\sigma(r+e_\mu)$ (for instance $\sigma(0011)=3\ne1$). Summing over the invisible lines gives $12N_n\le \sum_{c\in C_I}K_c$. \end{proof} \begin{definition}\label{def:blockgauge} The blocks are $B(y)=2y+\{0,1\}^4$, $y\in\Z^4$, and $o=x\bmod2$ is the offset of a site. A link $(x,\mu)$ is a \emph{tree link} if $o_\mu=0$ and $o_\nu=0$ for every $\nu>\mu$, and \emph{active} otherwise; fields vanish on tree links. For a coarse link $(y,\mu)$ the \emph{block average} is \[ V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=\frac1{16}\sum_{x\in B(y)}\bigl(\varphi_{(x,\mu)}+ \varphi_{(x+e_\mu,\mu)}\bigr), \] the mean of $\varphi$ summed along the sixteen paths of length two in the direction $\mu$ that start in $B(y)$. \end{definition} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:blocktree} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item The fifteen tree links of a block form a spanning tree of its sixteen sites. Each block carries $49$ active links: the $17$ active links inside it, with $o_\mu=0$, and the $32$ links with $o_\mu=1$, which join $B(y)$ to $B(y+e_\mu)$. \item If $dh$ vanishes on the tree links, $h$ is constant on every block, and $V_{y,\mu}(\varphi+dh)=V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)+h_{B(y)}-h_{B(y+e_\mu)}$. \item With $S^\mu_y=\sum_{x\in B(y),\,o_\mu=0}\varphi_{(x,\mu)}$, \[ V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=\frac18\sum_{x\in B(y),\,o_\mu=1}\varphi_{(x,\mu)} +\frac1{16}\bigl(S^\mu_y+S^\mu_{y+e_\mu}\bigr). \] \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) A tree link of direction $\mu$ has $o_\mu=0$ and stays in its block; there are $2^\mu$ of them for each $\mu$, fifteen in all. From any site, the tree links of direction $3$ lead to $o_3=0$, then those of direction $2$ to $o_2=0$, and so on to the corner, so the tree links connect the sixteen sites, and fifteen edges connecting sixteen vertices form a tree. Of the $64$ links with base in the block, the $32$ with $o_\mu=0$ stay inside it. (ii) $h$ is constant along the edges of a spanning tree. The path of length two from $x\in B(y)$ ends at $x+2e_\mu\in B(y+e_\mu)$, and the sum of $dh$ along it is $h(x)-h(x+2e_\mu)$. (iii) The path from $x$ consists of $(x,\mu)$ and $(x+e_\mu,\mu)$; a link with $o_\mu=1$ is the second link of one path and the first of another, and the links of $S^\mu_{y+e_\mu}$ are the second links of the paths that start with $o_\mu=1$. \end{proof} By (ii) the residual gauge freedom is the coarse gauge group, which acts on the block averages as on the links of the coarse lattice. Let $W$ be a set of blocks and let $\Phi_W$ be the space of finitely supported real $\varphi$ on the active links with base in $\bigcup W$, with $V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=0$ for every $y\in W$ and every $\mu$. Write $Q(\varphi)=\sum_p(d\varphi)_p^2$ over all plaquettes, $\varphi$ being zero off its support. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:blockgap} For every set of blocks $W$ and every $\varphi\in\Phi_W$, \[ \sum_e\varphi_e^2\le52\,Q(\varphi). \] \end{theorem} \begin{proof} \emph{Inside a block.} Let $e=(x,\mu)$ be an active link with $o_\mu=0$, and let $\nu_1>\dots>\nu_k$ be the directions above $\mu$ in which $o$ equals one; $1\le k\le3$. Put $x_0=x$ and $x_i=x_{i-1}-e_{\nu_i}$. The plaquette $p_i$ at $x_i$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu_i\}$ has the links $(x_i,\mu)$, $(x_{i-1},\mu)$ and the tree links $(x_i,\nu_i)$, $(x_i+e_\mu,\nu_i)$, whose offsets vanish in $\nu_i$ and above it; and $(x_k,\mu)$ is a tree link. Hence $\varphi_e=\pm (d\varphi)_{p_1}\pm\dots\pm(d\varphi)_{p_k}$ and $\varphi_e^2\le k\sum_i (d\varphi)_{p_i}^2$. The plaquette at $x'$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ is used only by the links $(x'+e_\nu+\sum_{\rho\in R}e_\rho,\mu)$ with $R\subset\{\nu+1, \dots,3\}$, each with $k=c+1+|R|$, where $c$ is the number of ones of the offset of $x'$ strictly between $\mu$ and $\nu$. Its total weight $2^{3-\nu}(c+1)+(3-\nu)2^{2-\nu}$ is at most $8$, the value at $\mu=0$, $\nu=1$. So the sum $I$ of $\varphi_e^2$ over the active links inside the blocks is at most $8Q_{\rm in}$, where $Q_{\rm in}$ is the sum over the plaquettes inside a block. \emph{Between blocks.} Fix $y\in W$ and $\mu$, and label the eight links $(x,\mu)$, $x\in B(y)$, $o_\mu=1$, by the transverse offset $a\in\{0,1\}^3$. If $a$ and $a'$ differ in the coordinate $\nu$, with $o_\nu=0$ at $a$, the plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ contains these two links, $(x,\nu)$ in $B(y)$ and $(x+e_\mu,\nu)$ in $B(y+e_\mu)$, the last two inside their blocks. So $\varphi_a-\varphi_{a'}=\pm(d\varphi)_p\pm\psi\pm\psi'$ with $\psi,\psi'$ inside blocks, and these twelve face plaquettes correspond to the twelve edges of the cube $\{0,1\}^3$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:blocktree}(iii) and $V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=0$, the mean of the $\varphi_a$ is $m=-(S^\mu_y+ S^\mu_{y+e_\mu})/16$, so $8m^2\le\frac12$ times the sum of the squares of the sixteen links of $S^\mu_y$ and $S^\mu_{y+e_\mu}$. The Laplacian of the graph $\{0,1\}^3$ has smallest nonzero eigenvalue $2$, so \[ \begin{split} \sum_a\varphi_a^2&=8m^2+\sum_a(\varphi_a-m)^2\\ &\le8m^2+\frac32\sum_{\rm edges}\bigl((d\varphi)_p^2+\psi^2+\psi'^2\bigr). \end{split} \] Summed over $y\in W$ and $\mu$, a link $(z,\nu)$ inside a block occurs as $\psi$ or $\psi'$ once for each $\mu\ne\nu$ (as $\psi$ if $o_\mu=1$, as $\psi'$ of the face of the block below if $o_\mu=0$) and in two of the sums $S^\nu$, so it receives weight at most $3\cdot\frac32+2\cdot\frac12= \frac{11}2$. The face plaquettes are distinct and lie in no block, so the links between blocks contribute at most $\frac32Q_{\rm face}+\frac{11}2I$, and \[ \sum_e\varphi_e^2\le\frac{13}2I+\frac32Q_{\rm face}\le52\,Q_{\rm in}+ \frac32Q_{\rm face}\le52\,Q(\varphi).\qedhere \] \end{proof} The constant $52$ is not sharp. A certificate of one of us (T.~Romanov) lowers it to within one part in a thousand of the bulk value. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:blockgapsharp} For every set of blocks $W$ and every $\varphi\in\Phi_W$, \[ \sum_e\varphi_e^2\le\frac{5000}{537}\,Q(\varphi)=9.31098\ldots\,Q(\varphi). \] The same holds on every periodic lattice of even side. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Let $c=\frac{537}{5000}$, and let $S(y)=B(y)\cup B(y+e_0)\cup\dots\cup B(y+e_3)$, whose active links number $5\cdot49=245$. The certificate consists of $196$ rational numbers $l_{\mu,b}$, $\mu=0,\dots,3$, indexed by the $49$ active links $b$ of a block, and a rational symmetric matrix $G$ of size $245$ on the active links of $S(0)$. With $L_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=\sum_bl_{\mu,b}\varphi_{(y,b)}$, where $(y,b)$ is the link $b$ of $B(y)$, and $G_y$ the translate of $G$ to $S(y)$, these satisfy the identity of quadratic forms in finitely supported $\varphi$ \begin{equation}\label{eq:blockgapcert} Q(\varphi)-c\sum_e\varphi_e^2-\sum_{y,\mu}V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)L_{y,\mu} (\varphi)=\sum_yG_y(\varphi|_{S(y)}), \end{equation} and $G$ is positive definite. Both sides of~\eqref{eq:blockgapcert} are invariant under translations by $2\Z^4$, so the identity amounts to finitely many equalities of coefficients, one for each pair of active links of $B(0)$ and of a block near it. Now take $\varphi\in\Phi_W$. If $y\in W$ then $V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=0$; if $y\notin W$ then $\varphi$ vanishes on the links with base in $B(y)$, so $L_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=0$. Every term of the middle sum vanishes, and $Q(\varphi)-c\sum_e\varphi_e^2\ge0$. On a periodic lattice of even side, both sides of~\eqref{eq:blockgapcert} are the periodisations of the same forms, so the identity and the argument hold there. \end{proof} The certificate was found by semidefinite programming and rounded to rationals: the $l_{\mu,b}$ have denominators dividing $2^{24}$ and the entries of $G$ the denominator $2^{30}\cdot5^5$. The coefficient identity of~\eqref{eq:blockgapcert} and the positivity of all $245$ leading principal minors of the integer matrix $2^{30}5^5G$ are checked in exact arithmetic. The check is done by the program of T.~Romanov and independently by our program in the archive, which rebuilds the four forms from Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge} alone. With $W$ the set of all blocks the best constant is the inverse of the Bloch value $0.1074878$ quoted below, that is $9.3034$, so $\frac{5000}{537}$ is within $0.09$ per cent of it; the semidefinite optimum for this window and this class of multipliers is $c^*=0.107488$. These floating-point values are not used. The theorems below are stated with $52$, which is proved by hand. Where they use only Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap}, they hold with $52$ replaced by $\frac{5000}{537}$. With $W$ all blocks the bound extends to $\ell^2$, so the block-constrained quadratic form on $\Z^4$ has a spectral gap at least $\frac1{52}$; it removes in particular the four flat connections that are zero modes of the unconstrained form. In the Bloch decomposition the exact gap is $0.10748776948684\dots$, attained at the momentum $(0,\pi,\pi,\pi)$, a floating-point value computed in~\cite{Loc26} and reproduced in the archive; the theorem does not use it. The cube conditions now take the following form. Let $n$ be even, $V$ the active links with base in $[0,n)^4$, $W$ its blocks, and for an exterior $\eta$ and values $v=(v_{y,\mu})_{y\in W}$ let $\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta,v)$ be the law on $\R^V$ with density proportional to $\exp(-\frac b2\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(d\varphi)_p^2)$ on the affine set $\{V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=v_{y,\mu}\}$, with $\varphi=\eta$ off $V$. Define $C^{\rm c}_{V,j}$, $K^{\rm c}_c$ and $D_{\rm c}(n,\alpha)$ as $C_{V,j}$, $K_c$ and $D(n,\alpha)$, with $v$ held fixed and the $49$ classes of active links modulo two. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:saddle} Let $H\ge0$ be symmetric on $\R^m$ with $\|H\|\le h$, let $B:\R^m\to\R^k$ with $BB^\top\ge\beta>0$ and $\langle x,Hx\rangle\ge a|x|^2$ on $\ker B$, and $s>0$. Then $K=\bigl(\begin{smallmatrix}H&sB^\top\\sB&0\end{smallmatrix} \bigr)$ is invertible, and the solution of $K(x,y)=(f,g)$ has $|x|\le(|f|+h|x_1|)/a+|x_1|$ with $|x_1|\le|g|/(s\sqrt\beta)$, and $|y|\le (|f|+h|x|)/(s\sqrt\beta)$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Put $x_1=B^\top(BB^\top)^{-1}g/s$, so $sBx_1=g$ and $|x_1|\le|g|/(s\sqrt \beta)$. On $\ker B$ the compression of $H$ is at least $a$, so there is a unique $x_0\in\ker B$ with $Hx_0-f+Hx_1\perp\ker B$, and $a|x_0|\le|f|+h |x_1|$. Then $f-H(x_0+x_1)$ lies in $(\ker B)^\perp=\operatorname{ran}B^\top$, and $y=(BB^\top)^{-1}B(f-Hx)/s$ solves $sB^\top y=f-Hx$. For $f=g=0$ the construction gives zero, so $K$ is injective. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}[Combes--Thomas~\cite{CT73}]\label{lem:combes} Let $K$ be an invertible symmetric matrix indexed by a finite set $X$, with $\|K^{-1}\|\le M_0$ and $\sum_b|K_{ab}|\le S$ for every $a$, and let $d:X\to\R$ satisfy $|d(a)-d(b)|\le1$ whenever $K_{ab}\ne0$. If $(e^\lambda-1) SM_0\le\frac12$, then $\|e^{\lambda d}K^{-1}e^{-\lambda d}\|\le2M_0$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} $e^{\lambda d}Ke^{-\lambda d}=K+E$ with $|E_{ab}|\le(e^\lambda-1)|K_{ab}|$, so $\|E\|\le(e^\lambda-1)S$ by the Schur test, $\|K^{-1}E\|\le\frac12$, and $(K+E)^{-1}=(1+K^{-1}E)^{-1}K^{-1}$ has norm at most $2M_0$. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:constrainedcube} For every $b>0$, every even $n$ and every exterior link $j$: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta,v)$ is a Gaussian law whose covariance depends on neither $\eta$ nor $v$ and whose mean is affine in $(\eta,v)$, and $C^{\rm c}_{V,j}=\|u_j\|_1$, where $u_j\in\R^V$ is the change of the mean when $\eta_j$ increases by one; $u_j$ does not depend on $b$; \item $\sum_{e\in V}e^{2\lambda_0d(e)}u_j(e)^2\le3500^2$ and $\|u_j\|_1\le 10^{14}$, where $\lambda_0=2.4\cdot10^{-5}$ and $d(e)$ is the $\ell^\infty$ distance between the midpoints of $e$ and $j$; \item $D_{\rm c}(n,\alpha)$ holds for every $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and every even $n\ge2\cdot10^{15}/\alpha$, at every $b>0$. \end{enumerate} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} (i) Let $H$ be the matrix of $\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(d\varphi)_p^2$ on $\R^V$ and $B$ that of the averages $V_{y,\mu}$, $y\in W$, restricted to $V$. By Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap} with this $W$, $H\ge\frac1{52}$ on $\ker B$, so the density is that of a non-degenerate Gaussian on the affine set, its covariance is $b^{-1}$ times the inverse of $H$ on $\ker B$, and its mean $m$ minimises the quadratic form on the affine set. The mean is affine in $(\eta,v)$, and two exteriors that differ at $j$ give translates by $u_j$, which minimises $Q(u+\delta_j)$ subject to $B u=g$, $g$ being minus the coefficients of $j$ in the averages. The translation argument of Proposition~\ref{prop:gaussforest} gives $C^{\rm c}_{V,j}=\|u_j\|_1$. (ii) The pair $(u_j,y)$, with $y$ the Lagrange multipliers, solves $K(u_j,y)=(f,sg)$ with $K$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:saddle}, $s=96$ and $f= -\sum_{p\ni j}(d\delta_j)_p\,d_p|_V$, where $d_p|_V$ is the row of the plaquette $p$ restricted to $V$. Each link lies in six plaquettes of four links, so the row sums of $|H|$ are at most $24$ and $h\le24$; $|f|\le 6\sqrt3$; and $|g|\le\frac1{16}$, since an exterior link enters at most one average of $W$, with weight $\frac1{16}$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:blocktree}(iii) each average has squared norm at least $8\cdot\frac1{64}=\frac18$, two averages share links only if they are $(y,\mu)$ and $(y\pm e_\mu,\mu)$, and then their inner product is at most $8\cdot\frac1{256}=\frac1{32}$; so $BB^\top \ge\frac1{16}$ by Gershgorin's theorem. With $a=\frac1{52}$, Lemma~\ref{lem:saddle} gives $\|K^{-1}\|\le M_0=105$. The rows of $K$ have absolute sums at most $S=\max(24+\frac{96}8,96\cdot2)=192$, because an average has eight coefficients $\frac18$ and sixteen of $\frac1{16}$ and a link enters averages with total weight at most $\frac18$. Index the rows of $B$ by the centre $2y+\frac12(1,1,1,1)+e_\mu$ of the two blocks of the average and put $d$ equal to the $\ell^\infty$ distance to the midpoint of $j$. Links of one plaquette, and an average and its links, are within distance one, so Lemma~\ref{lem:combes} applies with $\lambda=\log(1+ 1/40320)>\lambda_0$, and \[ \sum_ee^{2\lambda d(e)}u_j(e)^2\le\bigl(2M_0e^\lambda(|f|+s|g|)\bigr)^2 \le3500^2, \] since $f$ and $g$ live at distance at most one from $j$. At most $4(64k^3+16k)$ links have their base at $\ell^\infty$ distance $k\ge1$ from the base of $j$, and their midpoints are at distance at least $k-1$, so Cauchy--Schwarz gives \[ \|u_j\|_1^2\le3500^2\cdot4e^{2\lambda}\Bigl(1+\sum_{k\ge1}(64k^3+16k) e^{-2\lambda k}\Bigr)\le(10^{14})^2 . \] (iii) $C^{\rm c}_{V_x,j}=0$ unless $j$ shares a plaquette with $V_x$ or enters an average of $V_x$, which forces the base $z$ of $j$ into $x+[-1,n+1]^4$, while $z\notin x+[0,n)^4$ when $j\notin V_x$. For each coordinate at most $\frac n2+2$ even $x_i$ satisfy the first condition and exactly $\frac n2$ the second, so \[ K^{\rm c}_c\le\Bigl(\Bigl(\frac n2+2\Bigr)^4-\Bigl(\frac n2\Bigr)^4\Bigr) 10^{14}\le\frac{17}n\,10^{14}N_n \] for $n\ge10^4$, which is at most $\alpha N_n$ when $n\ge2\cdot10^{15}/\alpha$. \end{proof} The constants are crude. The computations of~\cite{Loc26} give $C^{\rm c}_{V,j}\le12.48$ at $n=4$, and an exact face expansion $K^{\rm c}_c/N_n= a_c/n+O(n^{-2})$ with $\max_ca_c=61.18$, so that $D_{\rm c}(n,0.95)$ first holds at $n=64$; they are floating-point values, reproduced in the archive for $n\le4$, and the theorem does not use them. The coefficients are large because the constrained responses obey no maximum principle: an exterior link changes the curvature of up to six plaquettes, and keeping the curvature small moves a dozen links inside the cube with alternating signs. Re-weighting the classes does not help much: if $\sum_{j\in c\setminus V} \sum_{c'}w_{c'}C^{c'}_{V,j}\le\alpha N_nw_c$ for positive weights $w$, where $C^{c'}_{V,j}$ is the part of $\|u_j\|_1$ on the links of the class $c'$, then $\alpha N_n$ is at least the spectral radius of the non-negative matrix of these sums, hence at least $\min_cK^{\rm c}_c$, by the Collatz--Wielandt inequality~\cite{Loc26}. The block averages can be integrated out one scale at a time. For a field $v$ on the coarse links put $Q_1(v)=\sum_P(dv)_P^2$ over the plaquettes $P$ of the coarse lattice, and write $V(\varphi)=(V_{y,\mu}(\varphi))_{y,\mu}$. The averages of averages are formed in the same way on the coarse lattice, and $V^{(k)}$, $Q_k$ denote the $k$-fold averages and the plaquette form of the lattice of spacing $2^k$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:effective} Let $\varphi$ be a finitely supported field on $\Z^4$ that vanishes on the tree links. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item For the coarse plaquette $P$ at $y$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$, $16\,(dV(\varphi))_P$ is the sum over $x\in B(y)$ of the curvatures of the squares of side two spanned by $x$, $x+2e_\mu$, $x+2e_\nu$, and every plaquette of $\Z^4$ lies in exactly four of these squares. Hence $Q_1(V( \varphi))\le Q(\varphi)$, and $Q_k(V^{(k)}(\varphi))\le Q(\varphi)$ for every $k\ge1$. \item For every finitely supported $v$ on the coarse links, the field $\varphi^*(v)$ equal to $v_{y,\mu}$ on the eight links $(x,\mu)$, $x\in B(y)$, $o_\mu=1$, and to zero on the other links, vanishes on the tree links, has $V(\varphi^*(v))=v$ and $Q(\varphi^*(v))=4\,Q_1(v)$. \item The effective form $S_1(v)=\inf\{Q(\varphi):V(\varphi)=v\}$ satisfies $Q_1\le S_1\le4\,Q_1$, and $S_k(w)=\inf\{Q(\varphi):V^{(k)}(\varphi)=w\} \ge Q_k(w)$ for every $k$, the infima over finitely supported fields that vanish on the tree links. \item For every $k$, every set $W$ of blocks of the lattice of spacing $2^k$ and every $w$ in the space $\Phi_W$ of that lattice, $\sum_ew_e^2\le 52\,S_k(w)$. \end{enumerate} \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) The path of length two from $x\in B(y)$ in the direction $\mu$ ends at $x+2e_\mu\in B(y+e_\mu)$, at the same offset, and so on around the square; so the four averages of $(dV)_P$ pair the sixteen paths into sixteen closed squares, and the sum of $\varphi$ around a square is the sum of the curvatures of its four plaquettes. A plaquette at $z$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ lies in the square from $x$ exactly when $z-x\in\{0,1\}e_\mu+ \{0,1\}e_\nu$, which gives four points $x$, each in one block. By Cauchy--Schwarz, $(dV)_P^2\le\frac1{16}\sum_x\ell_x^2\le\frac14\sum_x\sum_{p \subset\square_x}(d\varphi)_p^2$, where $\ell_x$ is the curvature of the square from $x$; summing over $P$ gives $Q_1(V(\varphi))\le Q(\varphi)$. The argument uses neither the tree links nor the spacing, so it applies on every lattice, and induction gives the bound for $V^{(k)}$. (ii) The tree links have $o_\mu=0$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:blocktree}(iii) the average of $\varphi^*$ is $\frac18\cdot8v_{y,\mu}$. A plaquette inside a block has only links with $o_\mu=0$ in its direction $\mu$, and so vanishes. A plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ with $o_\mu=1$, $o_\nu=0$ has the two links $(x,\mu)$, $(x+e_\nu,\mu)$ of the same block, both equal to $v_{y,\mu}$, and two links with offset zero in the direction $\nu$; its curvature vanishes, and so does that of the plaquettes with $o_\mu=0$, $o_\nu=1$. If $o_\mu=o_\nu=1$, its four links carry $v_{y,\mu}$, $v_{y+e_\mu,\nu}$, $v_{y+e_\nu,\mu}$, $v_{y,\nu}$, so its curvature is $(dv)_P$, and there are four such plaquettes for each $P$. (iii) The lower bound is (i) and the upper bound is (ii); for $S_k$ apply (i) to the $k$-fold averages. (iv) Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap} holds on every lattice, so $\sum_ew_e^2\le 52\,Q_k(w)\le52\,S_k(w)$ by (iii). \end{proof} In the Bloch decomposition the eigenvalues of $S_1$ relative to $Q_1$ fill $[1,4]$: they tend to one as the momentum tends to zero and equal four at $(\pi,\pi,0,0)$, a floating-point computation reproduced in the archive. So at this order the averages carry the coarse quadratic form with no loss at long wavelengths; the coupling does not run here, and its running is the order-$g^2$ effect of Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(c). Part (iv) is a gap for the averages at every scale, with the constant of Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap}; it does not give the localisation of Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}(ii) for $S_k$, since $S_k$ is not a nearest-neighbour form. The effective forms are equivalent to the coarse plaquette forms uniformly in the scale. Write $L=2^k$ and $B_k(y)=Ly+\{0,\dots,L-1\}^4$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:straightpaths} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item For every $k\ge1$, every coarse link $(y,\mu)$ and every field $\varphi$, \[ V^{(k)}_{y,\mu}(\varphi)=\frac1{L^4}\sum_{x\in B_k(y)}\sum_{t=0}^{L-1} \varphi_{(x+te_\mu,\mu)} . \] \item For a function $h$ on sites, $V^{(k)}_{y,\mu}(dh)=\bar h(y)-\bar h(y+e_\mu)$, where $\bar h(y)$ is the mean of $h$ over $B_k(y)$. \item $S_k(w)$ equals the infimum of $Q(\varphi)$ over all finitely supported fields with $V^{(k)}(\varphi)=w$, whether or not they vanish on the tree links. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) For $k=1$ this is the definition. If it holds for $k$, then $V^{(k)}_{y',\mu}+V^{(k)}_{y'+e_\mu,\mu}$ is $L^{-4}$ times the sum over $x\in B_k(y')$ of the sums of $\varphi$ along the straight paths of length $2L$ from $x$, because $B_k(y'+e_\mu)=B_k(y')+Le_\mu$. The blocks $B_k(y')$, $y'\in2y+\{0,1\}^4$, tile $B_{k+1}(y)$, and averaging over $y'$ with weight $\frac1{16}$ gives (i) for $k+1$. (ii) The sum of $dh$ along the path of length $L$ from $x$ is $h(x)-h(x+Le_\mu)$; average over $x\in B_k(y)$. (iii) Let $\varphi$ be finitely supported. On each block $B(y')$ of side two the tree links form a spanning tree (Lemma~\ref{lem:blocktree}(i)), so there is $h_0$ on $B(y')$ with $(dh_0)_e=-\varphi_e$ on its tree links, unique up to a constant, which we take to be zero where $\varphi$ vanishes on the tree links of $B(y')$. Each $B_k(y)$ is a union of blocks of side two, since $k\ge1$; adding a constant to $h_0$ on one of them makes the mean over $B_k(y)$ vanish, and this changes $h_0$ on finitely many blocks. The resulting $h$ is finitely supported, $\varphi+dh$ vanishes on the tree links, $Q(\varphi+dh)=Q(\varphi)$, and $V^{(k)}(dh)=0$ by (ii). \end{proof} The extension uses the lowest-order Whitney forms of the coarse cubical complex whose vertices are the centres \[ c_z=Lz+\tfrac{L-1}2(1,1,1,1),\qquad z\in\Z^4, \] of the blocks $B_k(z)$, rather than the coarse sites. Let $\lambda(t)=\max (0,1-|t|)$, let $\chi^\mu_z$ be the indicator of $\{\xi\in\R^4:c_{z,\mu}\le \xi_\mu0$, $\Gamma=\mathrm{diag}(\gamma_\mu)$ and $0\ne E\in\C^4$, and for $P=\{\lambda,\rho\}$, $\lambda<\rho$, let $c_P$ be the row vector with $c_Pv=E_\lambda v_\rho-E_\rho v_\lambda$. Then \[ \Gamma-\frac{\Gamma EE^*\Gamma}{E^*\Gamma E} =\frac1{E^*\Gamma E}\sum_P\gamma_\lambda\gamma_\rho\,c_P^*c_P . \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Both sides are Hermitian. The diagonal entry $(\mu,\mu)$ of the right side is $\sum_{\lambda\ne\mu}\gamma_\mu\gamma_\lambda|E_\lambda|^2/E^*\Gamma E$, which is $\gamma_\mu-\gamma_\mu^2|E_\mu|^2/E^*\Gamma E$; the entry $(\mu,\nu)$, $\mu\ne\nu$, comes only from $P=\{\mu,\nu\}$, where $c_P$ has $-E_\nu$ in place $\mu$ and $E_\mu$ in place $\nu$, and equals $-\gamma_\mu\gamma_\nu\bar E_\mu E_\nu/E^*\Gamma E$. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:effectivelocal} Let $k\ge1$ and $L=2^k$. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item The functions $K_P$ are real-analytic, even, $2\pi$-periodic and positive on $\R^4$, $K_P(0)=1$, and for every finitely supported field $w$ on the coarse links \[ S_k(w)=\sum_P\int_{[-\pi,\pi]^4}K_P(\theta)\,|\hat F_P(\theta)|^2\, \frac{d\theta}{(2\pi)^4}. \] \item There are $\eta>0$ and $C<\infty$, independent of $k$, such that every $K_P$ extends analytically to $\{|\mathrm{Im}\,\theta_\nu|\le\eta\}$ and is bounded there by $C$. \item Hence $S_k(w)=\sum_P\sum_{y,y'}\mathcal K_P(y-y')F_P(y)F_P(y')$ with real kernels $\mathcal K_P(y)=(2\pi)^{-4}\int K_P(\theta)e^{i\theta\cdot y}\, d\theta$ that satisfy $|\mathcal K_P(y)|\le Ce^{-\eta|y|_1}$ for every $k$. \end{enumerate} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} \emph{Step 1: the form in Fourier variables.} Let $c_\mu(q)=L\Psi(q) D_L(q_\mu)$. Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(i) and the Poisson summation formula give, for every square-summable field $\varphi$, \[ \widehat{V^{(k)}(\varphi)}_\mu(\theta)=L^{-4}\sum_nc_\mu(\theta^{(n)})\, \hat\varphi_\mu(\theta^{(n)}), \] with $\hat\varphi(q)=\sum_xe^{-iq\cdot x}\varphi_x$. Write $x_n=\hat\varphi( \theta^{(n)})\in\C^4$ and $e_n=(e^{i\theta^{(n)}_\mu}-1)_\mu$, so that $|e_n|^2=\varepsilon(\theta^{(n)})=:\varepsilon_n$. By the Lagrange identity the plaquette form at the momentum $\theta^{(n)}$ is $\varepsilon_n|x_n|^2- |e_n^*x_n|^2$, and the Plancherel formula gives \[ Q(\varphi)=\int_{[-\pi,\pi]^4}L^{-4}\sum_n\bigl(\varepsilon_n|x_n|^2- |e_n^*x_n|^2\bigr)\frac{d\theta}{(2\pi)^4}. \] Since $LD_L(t)(e^{it}-1)=e^{iLt}-1$ and $e^{iL\theta^{(n)}_\mu}= e^{i\theta_\mu}$, the averages map the gauge direction at every alias to the coarse gauge direction: $c_\mu(\theta^{(n)})(e_n)_\mu=\Psi(\theta^{(n)}) E_\mu(\theta)$. For $|t|\le\pi/L$ we have $|D_L(t)|=|\sin(Lt/2)|/ (L|\sin(t/2)|)\ge2/\pi$, so $\Psi(\theta^{(0)})\ne0$ for real $\theta$. \emph{Step 2: the minimum at one momentum.} Fix real $\theta\notin2\pi \Z^4$; then $E=E(\theta)\ne0$ and every $\varepsilon_n>0$. Let $z\in\C^4$. Minimising $L^{-4}\sum_n\varepsilon_n|y_n|^2$ under $L^{-4}\sum_nc_\mu( \theta^{(n)})(y_n)_\mu=z_\mu$ separates in $\mu$, and the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality gives the minimum $\sum_\mu|z_\mu|^2/a_\mu$, attained at $(y_n)_\mu=z_\mu\overline{c_\mu(\theta^{(n)})}/(\varepsilon_na_\mu)$, where \[ a_\mu=L^{-4}\sum_n\frac{|c_\mu(\theta^{(n)})|^2}{\varepsilon_n} =\frac{\tilde a_\mu}{\hat\varepsilon}. \] If $x$ satisfies the constraint with right side $\hat w(\theta)$, write $x_n= x_n^T+\beta_ne_n$ with $e_n^*x_n^T=0$. Then $L^{-4}\sum_n(\varepsilon_n |x_n|^2-|e_n^*x_n|^2)=L^{-4}\sum_n\varepsilon_n|x^T_n|^2$, and by Step 1 the vectors $x^T_n$ satisfy the constraint with right side $\hat w(\theta)+tE$ for some $t\in\C$. Hence the plaquette form at $\theta$ is at least \[ \min_{t\in\C}\sum_\mu\frac{|\hat w_\mu+tE_\mu|^2}{a_\mu} =\hat w^*\Bigl(\Gamma-\frac{\Gamma EE^*\Gamma}{E^*\Gamma E}\Bigr)\hat w \] with $\Gamma=\mathrm{diag}(a_\mu^{-1})$. Conversely, take $t$ optimal, $y$ optimal for $z=\hat w+tE$, and replace $y_0$ by $y_0-\beta e_0$ with $\beta=L^4t/\Psi(\theta^{(0)})$: the constraint becomes $\hat w(\theta)$ and the plaquette form does not increase, since $e_0$ is a gauge direction. By Lemma~\ref{lem:planes} the minimum is \[ \sum_P\frac{\gamma_\lambda\gamma_\rho}{E^*\Gamma E}|c_P\hat w|^2,\qquad \frac{\gamma_\lambda\gamma_\rho}{E^*\Gamma E}=\frac{\prod_{\sigma\notin P} a_\sigma}{\sum_\sigma|E_\sigma|^2\prod_{\tau\ne\sigma}a_\tau}. \] We multiply numerator and denominator by $\hat\varepsilon^3$ and expand $\tilde a_\tau=A_\tau+\hat\varepsilon r_\tau$. The terms without $r$ add up to $\Psi_0^3\prod_\tau D_{0,\tau}\sum_\sigma|E_\sigma|^2/D_{0,\sigma}$, and $|E_\sigma|^2=L^2D_{0,\sigma}|e^{i\theta^{(0)}_\sigma}-1|^2$ by the identity of Step 1, so they equal $\hat\varepsilon\,\Psi_0^3\prod_\tau D_{0,\tau}$; every other term carries a factor $\hat\varepsilon$. So the denominator is $\hat\varepsilon Y$, the numerator $\hat\varepsilon\prod_{ \sigma\notin P}\tilde a_\sigma$, and the quotient is $K_P(\theta)$. Since $|c_P\hat w|=|\hat F_P|$, the minimum at $\theta$ is $\sum_PK_P(\theta)|\hat F_P( \theta)|^2$. \emph{Step 3: integration.} Integrating the lower bound over $\theta$ gives $Q(\varphi)\ge\sum_P\int K_P|\hat F_P|^2$ for every square-summable $\varphi$ with $V^{(k)}(\varphi)=w$. The minimisers of Step 2 are bounded by a constant times $|\hat w(\theta)|$: for $n\ne0$ because $\varepsilon_n\ge 4/L^2$ and $a_\mu\ge A_\mu/\hat\varepsilon$; for $n=0$ because $|c_\mu(\theta^{(0)})|/(\varepsilon_0a_\mu)\le L^3/A_\mu$; and $|t||E|\le |\hat w|(\max\gamma/\min\gamma)^{1/2}$ by the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality for the inner product $\Gamma$, while $|e_0|\le|\theta|/L\le\frac\pi2|E|/L$. Here $A_\mu\ge(2/\pi)^{10}$, and $\gamma_\mu/\gamma_\nu=\tilde a_\nu/ \tilde a_\mu$ is bounded because the $\tilde a$ are continuous and at least $A$. So the minimisers define a square-summable field $\varphi^*$ with $V^{(k)}(\varphi^*)=w$ and $Q(\varphi^*)=\sum_P\int K_P|\hat F_P|^2$. Since $V^{(k)}$ and $Q$ are bounded on square-summable fields, truncating $\varphi^*$ and correcting with $\psi_R$ as in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:effectiveupper} gives finitely supported fields with the same averages and plaquette forms tending to $Q(\varphi^*)$, and Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(iii) gives (i) for $S_k$. The functions are even since $|D_L|^2$ and $\varepsilon$ are, and positive since $\tilde a_\sigma\ge A_\sigma>0$ and $Y\ge\Psi_0^3\prod_\tau D_{0,\tau}\ge (2/\pi)^{32}$ on $\R^4$, all other terms of~\eqref{eq:Yk} being non-negative there. At $\theta=0$, $\Psi_0=D_{0,\tau}=1$ and $\hat\varepsilon=0$, so $K_P(0)=1$. \emph{Step 4: the strip.} Let $|\mathrm{Im}\,\theta_\nu|\le\frac12$, and for $n$ let $s=L\theta^{(n)}$, so $|\mathrm{Re}\,s_\nu|\le\pi L$ and $|\mathrm{Im}\,s_\nu|\le\frac12$. For $q=x+iy$ with $|x|\le\pi$, $|e^{iq}-1|^2=(e^{-y}-1)^2+2e^{-y}(1-\cos x)\ge e^{-|y|}\frac4{\pi^2}x^2$, so \[ |D_L(q)|\le\min\Bigl(e^{1/2},\frac{c_1}{|\mathrm{Re}\,Lq|}\Bigr) \] for $|\mathrm{Im}\,q|\le1/(2L)$, where $c_1=(e^{1/2}+1)e^{1/4}\frac\pi2<5.35$, and the same holds for $D_L^\sharp$. Also $\mathrm{Re}(2-2\cos q)\ge(2-2\cos x)-2(\cosh y-1)$, so $\mathrm{Re}\,L^2\varepsilon(\theta^{(n)})\ge\frac4{\pi^2}|\mathrm{Re}\, s|^2-1.2$. For $n\ne0$ some $|\mathrm{Re}\,s_\nu|\ge\pi$, and then $|L^2\varepsilon(\theta^{(n)})|\ge0.28\,|\mathrm{Re}\,s|^2$. Writing $s=\theta+2\pi m$ with $m\in\Z^4\setminus\{0\}$, $|\mathrm{Re}\,s_\nu|\ge \pi|m_\nu|$, and \[ |r_\sigma|\le\frac{c_1^{10}}{0.28\,\pi^2}\sum_{m}\prod_\nu f(m_\nu)=\frac{c_1^{10}}{0.28\,\pi^2}\Bigl(\frac43\Bigr)^4 <2.2\cdot10^7, \] with $f(0)=1$ and $f(j)=1/(\pi j)^2$. The $r_\sigma$ are finite sums of functions analytic on the strip, since no $\varepsilon(\theta^{(n)})$, $n\ne0$, vanishes there. Further $|A_\sigma|\le e^5$, $|\hat\varepsilon| \le4(\pi^2+\frac14)e^{1/2}<70$ and $|E_\sigma E_\sigma^\sharp|\le (e^{1/2}+1)^2<7.1$, so on the strip $|Y|\le M=10^{28}$ and $|\tilde a_\sigma|\le1.6\cdot10^9$, uniformly in $k$. By the Cauchy estimate on discs of radius $\frac14$ in each variable, $|\partial_\nu Y|\le4M$ where $|\mathrm{Im}\,\theta|\le\frac14$, so $|Y(\theta)-Y(\mathrm{Re}\,\theta)|\le 16\eta M\le\frac12(2/\pi)^{32}$ for $|\mathrm{Im}\,\theta_\nu|\le\eta= 10^{-36}$. There $|Y|\ge\frac12(2/\pi)^{32}$, $K_P=\prod_{\sigma\notin P} \tilde a_\sigma/Y$ is analytic, and $|K_P|\le C=10^{26}$, which is (ii). Moving the contour of each $\theta_\nu$ to $\mathrm{Im}\,\theta_\nu= \pm\eta$, according to the sign of $y_\nu$, gives (iii); the kernels are real because $K_P$ is real and even. \end{proof} The proof makes $\eta$ explicit but very small. In floating point the kernels decrease much faster: $\max|\mathcal K_P(y)|$ over $|y|_1=d$ falls by factors $0.17$, $0.24$ and $0.26$ per unit of $d$ for $k=1,2,3$, the largest value of $K_P$ on $\R^4$ is $4.4$, $8.7$ and $11.3$, and its smallest value is $1$, attained at $\theta=0$ (Fig.~\ref{fig:locality}); these computations are reproduced in the archive. Each $K_P$ is a Riemann sum in $n$ of a function of $\theta+2\pi n$, so the kernels have a limit as $k\to\infty$; the theorem does not use it. Uniform decay of the propagators of the averaging operations of lattice gauge theories is the subject of Ba{\l}aban's work~\cite{Bal84a}; here the hard constraint and the Feynman gauge make the effective form itself explicit. Together with Theorem~\ref{thm:effectiveupper}, the effective forms of the quadratic approximation are equivalent to the coarse plaquette forms and local, with constants independent of the scale. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{figures/fig_locality.png} \caption{The effective forms of Theorem~\ref{thm:effectivelocal}. (a)~The multiplier $K_P$ for the plane $P=\{1,2\}$ at $k=3$, as a function of $(\theta_3,\theta_4)$ with $\theta_1=\theta_2=0$; it equals $1$ at $\theta=0$ and stays bounded. (b)~The largest value of the kernel $|\mathcal K_P(y)|$ on $|y|_1=d$ for $k=1,2,3$, in logarithmic scale: the decay per coarse spacing hardly changes with $k$.}\label{fig:locality} \end{figure*} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:mixture} Let $(X,d_X)$ and $(Y,d_Y)$ be Polish spaces, $\rho,\rho'$ Borel probability measures on $Y$, and $\kappa,\kappa'$ probability kernels from $Y$ to $X$, all with finite first moments. If $W_1(\kappa(\cdot\mid v),\kappa'(\cdot\mid v))\le\varepsilon$ and $W_1(\kappa'(\cdot\mid v),\kappa'(\cdot\mid v'))\le d_Y(v,v')$ for all $v,v'$, then the mixtures $\pi=\int\kappa(\cdot\mid v)\, \rho(dv)$ and $\pi'=\int\kappa'(\cdot\mid v)\,\rho'(dv)$ satisfy \[ W_1(\pi,\pi')\le\varepsilon+W_1^{d_Y}(\rho,\rho'). \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Let $F$ be $1$-Lipschitz on $X$ and $\kappa F(v)=\int F\,d\kappa(\cdot\mid v)$. Then $\int F\,d\pi-\int F\,d\pi'=\int(\kappa F-\kappa'F)\,d\rho+\bigl( \int\kappa'F\,d\rho-\int\kappa'F\,d\rho'\bigr)$. The first term is at most $\varepsilon$. The function $\kappa'F$ is $1$-Lipschitz for $d_Y$, so the second is at most $W_1^{d_Y}(\rho,\rho')$. The Kantorovich--Rubinstein duality gives the claim. \end{proof} A law $\gamma$ on $\R^V$ \emph{decomposes along the averages} if $\gamma(\cdot\mid\eta)=\int\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta,v)\,\rho_V(dv\mid \eta)$, with $\rho_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$ the law of $(V_{y,\mu})_{y\in W}$. Every law with density proportional to $\exp(-\frac b2\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset} (d\varphi)_p^2)\,g(V(\varphi))$, on a set cut out by conditions on the averages, decomposes in this way, because Lebesgue measure disintegrates along the fibres of a surjective linear map into multiples of Lebesgue measure on the fibres. Here $g$ can carry any action of the averages, in particular a coarse gauge fixing and a coarse effective action, which is the form a law takes after the fine scale has been integrated out. \begin{corollary}\label{cor:compose} Let $r_w\in\R^V$ minimise $\sum_{p\cap V\ne\emptyset}(d\varphi)_p^2$, with zero exterior, subject to $V_{y',\mu'}(r_w)=\delta_{w,(y',\mu')}$ for all $(y',\mu')$, $y'\in W$; put $L_w=\|r_w\|_1$ and $d_L(v,v')=\sum_wL_w |v_w-v'_w|$. For every law that decomposes along the averages, \[ C_{V,j}\le C^{\rm c}_{V,j}+C^\rho_{V,j},\qquad C^\rho_{V,j}=\sup\frac{W_1^{ d_L}(\rho_V(\cdot\mid\eta),\rho_V(\cdot\mid\eta'))}{|\eta_j-\eta'_j|}, \] the supremum over exteriors that differ only at $j$, and $L_w\le4\cdot 10^{14}$. Hence $K_c\le K^{\rm c}_c+K^\rho_c$ with $K^\rho_c=\sum_{j\in c\setminus V}C^\rho_{V,j}$, and if $K^\rho_c\le\frac\alpha2N_n$ for every class and $n\ge4\cdot10^{15}/\alpha$, then $D(n,\alpha)$ holds for the law, with the $49$ classes of active links. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} Apply Lemma~\ref{lem:mixture} with $\kappa=\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta, \cdot)$, $\kappa'=\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta',\cdot)$, $\rho=\rho_V(\cdot \mid\eta)$, $\rho'=\rho_V(\cdot\mid\eta')$. The first condition holds with $\varepsilon=C^{\rm c}_{V,j}|\eta_j-\eta'_j|$. By Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}(i) the laws $\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid \eta',v)$ and $\gamma^{\rm c}_V(\cdot\mid\eta',v')$ are translates by $\sum_w(v'_w-v_w)r_w$, so their distance is at most $d_L(v,v')$. For the bound on $L_w$, the pair $(r_w,y)$ solves $K(r_w,y)=(0,s\,e_w)$ with $K$ as in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}. Measure $d$ from the centre of the row $w$; Lemma~\ref{lem:combes} gives $\sum_ee^{2\lambda d(e)} r_w(e)^2\le(2M_0s)^2=20160^2$. With $z_0=2y+e_\mu$ for $w=(y,\mu)$, a link whose base is at distance $k$ from $z_0$ has its midpoint at distance at least $k-1$ from the centre, and the count in that proof gives $L_w^2\le 20160^2\cdot4e^{2\lambda}\bigl(1+\sum_{k\ge1}(64k^3+16k)e^{-2\lambda k}\bigr) \le(4\cdot10^{14})^2$. Summing over the translates as in Definition~\ref{def:cube} gives $K_c\le K^{\rm c}_c+K^\rho_c$, and Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}(iii) with $\alpha/2$ in place of $\alpha$ gives $K^{\rm c}_c\le\frac\alpha2N_n$. \end{proof} The responses are much smaller than the bound: in floating point, $\max_wL_w$ is $23.8$, $44.1$ and $50.9$ for the block $(m,m,m,m)$, $m=\lfloor n/4\rfloor$, of the cubes $n=4$, $6$, $8$. Since Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube} controls the first term at every coupling, the corollary reduces $D(n,\alpha)$ for a law that decomposes along the averages to the cube condition $K^\rho_c$ for its averages, a problem of the same form one scale up, in the metric $d_L$. Iterating it needs Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube} and the corollary with $S_k$ in place of the plaquette form, which Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedscales} below gives with constants independent of $k$, and ends in a cube condition for the coarsest averages, which is where a gap has to come from: the quadratic approximation describes a massless field and has none. The corollary is one step of the composition of Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(a), not its conclusion. On the lattice of spacing $2^k$ the blocks, the tree links, the active links and the averages are those of Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge}, and after $k$ steps the averages of the quadratic approximation carry the form $S_k$. Let $(S_{ab})$ be its matrix, $S_k(w)=\sum_{a,b}S_{ab}w_aw_b$ for finitely supported $w$, and $d(a,b)$ the $\ell^\infty$ distance between the midpoints of the links $a$ and $b$. Each link lies in six plaquettes of four links, and the midpoints of the links of the plaquettes at $y$ and $y'$ are at distance at most $|y-y'|_1+1$, so Theorem~\ref{thm:effectivelocal}(iii) gives, for every non-decreasing $\phi\ge0$, \begin{equation}\label{eq:Srows} \sum_b|S_{ab}|\,\phi(d(a,b))\le24C\sum_{z\in\Z^4}e^{-\eta|z|_1}\phi(|z|_1+1), \end{equation} with $C$ and $\eta$ of that theorem. In particular $\sum_bS_{ab}\eta_b$ converges for every bounded field $\eta$. For $n$, $V$, $W$ as before, a bounded exterior $\eta$ and values $v$, let $\gamma^{{\rm c},k}_V(\cdot\mid \eta,v)$ be the law on $\R^V$ with density proportional to \[ \exp\Bigl(-\frac b2\Bigl(\sum_{a,b\in V}S_{ab}w_aw_b+2\sum_{a\in V,\,b\notin V}S_{ab}w_a\eta_b\Bigr)\Bigr) \] on the affine set $\{V_{y,\mu}(w)=v_{y,\mu},\ y\in W\}$, the conditional law of the Gaussian with the form $bS_k$ given the exterior and the averages. Define $C^{{\rm c},k}_{V,j}$, $K^{{\rm c},k}_c$, $D^k_{\rm c}(n,\alpha)$, $r^{(k)}_w$ and $L^{(k)}_w$ as in Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube} and Corollary~\ref{cor:compose}, with $S_k$ in place of the plaquette form; for $k=0$ they are the former ones. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:combeslong} Let $K$ be an invertible symmetric matrix indexed by a finite set $X$, with $\|K^{-1}\|\le M_0$, and let $d:X\to\R$ and $\lambda>0$. If $\sum_b|K_{ab}| (e^{\lambda|d(a)-d(b)|}-1)\le\frac1{2M_0}$ for every $a$, then $\|e^{\lambda d}K^{-1}e^{-\lambda d}\|\le2M_0$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} $e^{\lambda d}Ke^{-\lambda d}=K+E$ with $|E_{ab}|\le|K_{ab}|(e^{\lambda|d(a)- d(b)|}-1)$, a symmetric bound, so $\|E\|\le\frac1{2M_0}$ by the Schur test, and the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:combes} applies. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:constrainedscales} Let $\lambda_1=10^{-215}$. For every $k\ge1$, every $b>0$, every even $n$ and every exterior link $j$: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\gamma^{{\rm c},k}_V(\cdot\mid\eta,v)$ is a Gaussian law whose covariance depends on neither $\eta$ nor $v$ and whose mean is affine in $(\eta,v)$, and $C^{{\rm c},k}_{V,j}=\|u_j\|_1$, where $u_j\in\R^V$ minimises $S_k(u+\delta_j)$ subject to $Bu=g$, with $B$ and $g$ as in Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}; \item $\sum_{e\in V}e^{2\lambda_1d(e)}u_j(e)^2\le10^{350}$ and $\|u_j\|_1\le 10^{607}e^{-\lambda_1r_j/2}$, where $d(e)=d(e,j)$ and $r_j=\min_{e\in V}d(e)$; and $L^{(k)}_w\le10^{438}$ for every $w$; \item $D^k_{\rm c}(n,\alpha)$ holds for every $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and every even $n\ge10^{827}/\alpha$; \item Corollary~\ref{cor:compose} holds on the lattice of spacing $2^k$, with $S_k$ in place of the plaquette form, $L^{(k)}_w\le10^{438}$ and $n\ge2\cdot10^{827}/\alpha$. \end{enumerate} None of these constants depends on $k$ or on $b$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} (i) Let $H=(S_{ab})_{a,b\in V}$. A vector $w\in\ker B$, extended by zero, lies in the space $\Phi_W$ of the lattice of spacing $2^k$, so Proposition~\ref{prop:effective}(iv) gives $\langle w,Hw\rangle=S_k(w)\ge \frac1{52}|w|^2$ on $\ker B$. The proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}(i) applies, the exterior entering through the linear term $\sum_{b\notin V}S_{ab}\eta_b$; changing $\eta_j$ by one translates the mean by the minimiser of $\langle u,Hu\rangle+2\sum_{a\in V} u_aS_{aj}=S_k(u+\delta_j)-S_k(\delta_j)$ subject to $Bu=g$. (ii) The pair $(u_j,y)$ solves $K(u_j,y)=(f,sg)$ with $K$ built from $H$ and $B$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:saddle} and $f=-(S_{aj})_{a\in V}$. Since $Q_k(w)\le 24|w|^2$, Theorem~\ref{thm:effectiveupper} gives $\|H\|\le h=6144$; take $s=4h=24576$. The bounds of Lemma~\ref{lem:saddle} for $(h,s)$ are at most those for $(24,96)$, because $|x_1|$ and $|f|/s$ decrease while $h|x_1|$ and $h/s$ do not change, so $\|K^{-1}\|\le M_0=105$ as in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}. Index the rows of $B$ by centres as there. For $\phi(r)=e^{\lambda r}-1\le\lambda re^{\lambda r}$ and $\lambda\le\eta/2$, \eqref{eq:Srows} bounds the row sums of Lemma~\ref{lem:combeslong} over $H$ by \begin{multline*} 24C\lambda e^\lambda\sum_z(|z|_1+1)e^{-\eta|z|_1/2}\\ \le24C\lambda e^\lambda\Bigl(1+16\cdot24\,e^{\eta/2}\Bigl(\frac2\eta \Bigr)^5\Bigr), \end{multline*} since at most $8r^3$ points have $|z|_1=r\ge1$ and $\sum_{r\ge1}r^pe^{-xr}\le e^xp!/x^{p+1}$. The entries of $sB^\top$ add at most $\frac s8(e^\lambda-1)$ and a row of $sB$ gives $2s(e^\lambda-1)$. At $\lambda=\lambda_1$ the sums are below $3\cdot10^{-4}<\frac1{2M_0}$, so Lemma~\ref{lem:combeslong} gives $\|e^{\lambda_1d}K^{-1}e^{-\lambda_1d}\|\le 210$. By~\eqref{eq:Srows}, $\|e^{\lambda_1d}f\|\le24Ce^{\lambda_1}\sum_z e^{-(\eta-\lambda_1)|z|_1}=24Ce^{\lambda_1}\coth^4\frac{\eta-\lambda_1}2< 4\cdot10^{172}$, and $\|e^{\lambda_1d}sg\|\le e^{\lambda_1}s/16$, which gives the first bound. The links with base at $\ell^\infty$ distance $m$ from the base of $j$ number at most $4(64m^3+16m)$, with midpoints at distance at least $m-1$, so \[ Z(x)=\sum_ee^{-xd(e)}\le4e^x\Bigl(1+\frac{384e^x}{x^4}+\frac{16e^x}{x^2} \Bigr), \] and $Z(\lambda_1)<10^{864}$. As $d\ge r_j$ on $V$, the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality gives $\|u_j\|_1^2\le 10^{350}e^{-\lambda_1r_j}Z(\lambda_1)$. Finally $(r^{(k)}_w,y)$ solves $K(r^{(k)}_w,y)=(0,se_w)$; measuring $d$ from the centre of the row $w$, we get $\sum_ee^{2\lambda_1d(e)}r^{(k)}_w(e)^2\le(210s)^2$ and $L^{(k)}_w\le210s\, Z(2\lambda_1)^{1/2}<10^{438}$. (iii) The exterior links of a class have their bases at $\ell^\infty$ distance $m\ge1$ from $[0,n-1]^4$; at most $4((n+2m)^4-(n+2m-2)^4)\le128(n^3+8m^3)$ of them have distance $m$, and for them $r_j\ge m-1$. With $q=\lambda_1/2$, (ii) gives \[ K^{{\rm c},k}_c\le10^{607}\cdot128\,e^{2q}\Bigl(\frac{n^3}q+\frac{48}{q^4} \Bigr), \] which is at most $\alpha N_n=\alpha(n/2)^4$ when $n\ge10^{827}/\alpha$. (iv) The proof of Corollary~\ref{cor:compose} uses the plaquette form only through Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube}, the translation property of (i) and the bound on $L_w$, which (i)--(iii) provide. \end{proof} The constants are poor because the strip of Theorem~\ref{thm:effectivelocal} has width $10^{-36}$; they are checked in exact arithmetic in the archive. What the theorem adds is that none of them depends on the scale: the constrained cube condition holds with one cube side at every scale, and the weights $L^{(k)}_w$ of the metrics $d_L$ are bounded uniformly. It does not compose the scales. The cube condition $K^\rho_c$ that Corollary~\ref{cor:compose} leaves at scale $k$ concerns the law of the averages given the fine exterior, in the metric $d_L$, and it has to be turned into the cube condition of the law one scale up; that step and the cube condition for the coarsest averages are open, and in the quadratic approximation the coarsest averages carry a massless Gaussian, so a gap has to come from beyond it. \begin{remark}\label{rem:constrainedopen} Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedcube} is the weak-coupling half of the constrained route at leading order, and Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer} cannot use it as it stands. Four steps remain, each an open problem. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item \emph{Composition.} $D_{\rm c}$ holds the block averages fixed. A gap in physical units needs a theorem that combines the constrained conditions at all scales with a cube condition for the coarsest averages, in the place of Theorem~\ref{thm:transfer}. Corollary~\ref{cor:compose} is one step of it, Proposition~\ref{prop:effective}(iv) gives the gap at every scale, and Theorem~\ref{thm:effectiveupper} the equivalence of $S_k$ and $Q_k$ uniformly in $k$, Theorem~\ref{thm:effectivelocal} the locality of $S_k$ uniformly in $k$, and Theorem~\ref{thm:constrainedscales} the constrained cube condition and the bounds on the weights $L_w$ at every scale with constants independent of $k$. Turning the cube condition for the averages into that of the law one scale up, and a cube condition for the coarsest averages, are open. \item \emph{Beyond the quadratic approximation.} For the Wilson measure the block averages are products of group elements along paths, their level sets are curved, and the Bakry--\'Emery tensor of Sec.~\ref{sec:curvature} is negative at large fields; Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap} controls only the small fields, and the large fields have to be split off as in Ba{\l}aban's analysis~\cite{Bal89b}. For the straight paths between block roots the group-valued estimate holds for all fields (Theorem~\ref{thm:pathcoercive}), but that map does not compose across scales (Proposition~\ref{prop:thinpath}), and for every compact connected group no continuous covariant map treats the transverse positions of a block alike (Proposition~\ref{prop:nomean}). The cut-off average of Theorem~\ref{thm:cutoff} is coercive for all fields and agrees with the averages to first order, with constants for one step; on torus-valued fields of small curvature it composes (Theorem~\ref{thm:torusscales}), and for every compact group it composes on fields whose curvature is small at every scale with a small sum (Theorem~\ref{thm:smallscales}); under the Wilson measure the remaining large fields form microscopic clusters (Corollary~\ref{cor:defectclusters}), but the conditional estimate needed near them is open. Away from them, on the fibres of the cut-off average, the Hessian of the action along the fibre is at least $\lambda(\frac1{26}- c_G\kappa)$ at every background with plaquettes at most $\kappa$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:smallfibre}), and on a convex chart of the fibre the constrained law satisfies a Brascamp--Lieb inequality for large $\lambda$ (Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}), and on a product chart its covariances decay exponentially (Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}), and the mass off that chart is small on most fibres of the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure (Theorem~\ref{thm:offchart}) and on every fibre through a field with small plaquettes (Corollary~\ref{cor:calmfibres}), and on every fibre the law concentrates near the least action of its regular fields (Proposition~\ref{prop:everyfibre}); the remaining small-field steps are listed in Remark~\ref{rem:chartdecayopen}. \item \emph{Second order.} Let $b_0=11N/(48\pi^2)$ for $\SU(N)$, $t=2b_0\log2$, and let $g_m^{-2}=g_*^{-2}+tm$ be the one-loop coupling $m$ steps above a matching scale. Comparison with integrals gives $\sum_{m\le M}g_m^2= t^{-1}\log M+O(1)$ and $\sum_mg_m^4\le\pi^2/(6t^2)$~\cite{Loc26}. A loss $1+cg_m^2$ per step therefore compounds to a power of $M$, and a step from one scale to the next has to be exact at order $g^2$, with that term absorbed into the running coupling and the normalisation of the field, and remainders of order $g^4$. \item \emph{Crossover and existence.} The passage from weak coupling to the strong-coupling range of Sec.~\ref{sec:su2}--\ref{sec:su3blocks} and the existence of the limit, (E), are untouched. \end{enumerate} The renormalisation group needed for (a) and (b) is the ultraviolet half of (E), so the constrained route places both residues on one construction. \end{remark} \subsection{Path blocks for the group-valued links}\label{ssec:pathblocks} Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(b) asks for estimates on the actual group-valued links. They can be proved for a coarser block map, the straight path between block roots, and this map exhibits the second half of the difficulty: it does not compose across scales. A topological argument shows why no continuous map that treats the transverse positions alike can take its place. Let $G\subset\U(r)$ be a compact matrix group, $\delta(A,B)=\lVert A-B \rVert_{\rm HS}$, which is invariant under left and right multiplication, and work on the periodic lattice of side $2L$ with the block tree of Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge}, all fifteen tree links of each block equal to $I$. Write $\mathcal B$ for the number of blocks. The \emph{path map} is \[ V^{\rm p}_{y,\mu}(U)=U_{2y+e_\mu,\mu}, \] the product along the straight path from $2y$ to $2y+2e_\mu$, whose first link is a tree link; it transforms as a link under the gauge transformations at the block roots. Fixing $V^{\rm p}=v$ fixes four of the $49$ active links of each block, so the fibre is $G^{45\mathcal B}$, and the Wilson law in the tree gauge restricts to it with product Haar measure as reference, since the tree gauge has unit Jacobian. The \emph{reconstruction} $R(v)$ puts $R_{2y+o,\mu}=v_{y,\mu}$ if $o_\mu=1$ and $R_{2y+o,\mu}=I$ otherwise. For $U$ in the fibre of $v$ put \[ D_v(U)^2=\sum_e\delta(U_e,R_e(v))^2,\qquad Q(U)=\sum_p\delta(U_p,I)^2, \] the first sum having zero terms on the tree and path links, and let $Q_1(v)=\sum_P\delta(v_P,I)^2$ on the coarse lattice. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:anchorcube} For vectors $z_a$ of a real Hilbert space indexed by $a\in\{0,1\}^3$, with $z_0=0$, \[ \sum_a\lVert z_a\rVert^2\le\frac{3+\sqrt7}2\sum_{\{a,a'\}}\lVert z_a- z_{a'}\rVert^2\le3\sum_{\{a,a'\}}\lVert z_a-z_{a'}\rVert^2, \] the sums on the right over the twelve edges of the cube. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} It suffices to treat real numbers. The right side is $\ip z{L_0z}$, where $L_0$ is the Laplacian of the cube with the vertex $0$ deleted, and the claim is that its least eigenvalue is $3-\sqrt7$. The permutations of the coordinates commute with $L_0$. On the functions $f_k$ of the level $k= |a|$, $L_0$ acts by $f_1\mapsto3f_1-2f_2$, $f_2\mapsto3f_2-2f_1-f_3$, $f_3\mapsto3f_3-3f_2$, whose characteristic polynomial in $t=3-\lambda$ is $t^3-7t$; the eigenvalues are $3$ and $3\pm\sqrt7$. On the functions of levels one and two whose sum over each level vanishes, indexed by the coordinate that is one at level one and zero at level two, $L_0$ acts by the matrix $\bigl(\begin{smallmatrix}3&1\\1&3\end{smallmatrix}\bigr)$, with eigenvalues $2$ and $4$; at level three these functions vanish. The two spaces have dimensions $3$ and $4$ and span $\R^7$. Finally $1/(3-\sqrt7)= (3+\sqrt7)/2<3$.\footnote{The constant $(3+\sqrt7)/2$ is attained by a function of the level $|a|$ alone, so it is the best constant in the lemma.} \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:pathcoercive} For every $G\subset\U(r)$, every $L\ge1$, every $v$ and every $U$ in the fibre of $v$, \[ D_v(U)^2\le224\,Q(U). \] \end{theorem} \begin{proof} Let $I_0$ be the sum of $\delta(U_e,I)^2$ over the active links inside the blocks and $J_0$ the sum of $\delta(U_e,v_{y,\mu})^2$ over the links that leave $B(y)$ in the direction $\mu$, so $D_v^2=I_0+J_0$. For an active link inside a block, the chain of plaquettes in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap} applies to group elements: each plaquette of the chain has its two transverse links on the tree, so the holonomy is the product of two consecutive links of the chain, and invariance of $\delta$ with the triangle inequality gives $\delta(U_e,I)^2\le k\sum_i\delta(U_{p_i} ,I)^2$ with $k\le3$. The loads are those of that proof, so $I_0\le8Q_{\rm in}$. Fix $y,\mu$ and label the eight links leaving $B(y)$ by the transverse offset $a\in\{0,1\}^3$; the link $a=0$ is the path link and equals $v_{y,\mu}$. For a transverse edge $\{a,a'\}$ the face plaquette has holonomy $U_a\psi'U_{a'}^{-1}\psi^{-1}$ with $\psi,\psi'$ links inside the two blocks, so $\delta(U_a,U_{a'})\le\delta(U_p,I)+\delta(\psi,I)+ \delta(\psi',I)$. Lemma~\ref{lem:anchorcube} with $z_a=U_a-v_{y,\mu}$ in the real Hilbert--Schmidt space and Cauchy--Schwarz bound the eight terms by $9$ times the sum of the three squares over the twelve edges. Each face plaquette occurs once, and each link inside a block occurs once for each of the three directions other than its own, as in the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap}. Hence $J_0\le9Q_{\rm face}+27I_0$ and $D_v^2\le28I_0+9Q_{\rm face}\le224\,Q$. \end{proof} The bound holds for all fields, with no small-field condition and no logarithmic chart; Theorem~\ref{thm:blockgap} is its linearisation for the averages, with the better constant $52$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:pathenergy} $Q_1(V^{\rm p}(U))\le4Q(U)$, $Q(R(v))=4Q_1(v)$ and $Q(U)\le8Q_1(v)+ 48D_v(U)^2$ for $U$ in the fibre of $v$; if $Q_1(v)=0$, then $Q(U)\le 24D_v(U)^2$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The holonomy of a coarse plaquette is that of the square of side two at $2y$, a product of four conjugated fine plaquette holonomies, so $\delta(v_P,I)\le\sum_{p\subset P}\delta(U_p,I)$; these squares tile each coordinate plane, which gives the first bound. In $R(v)$ only the plaquettes with offset one in both directions carry holonomy, equal to that of the coarse plaquette, four for each $P$. For any plaquette, telescoping gives $\delta(U_p,R_p)\le\sum_{e\in p}\delta(U_e,R_e)$, so $\delta(U_p,I)^2\le2\delta(R_p,I)^2+8\sum_{e\in p}\delta(U_e,R_e)^2$, and each link lies in six plaquettes. If $Q_1(v)=0$, every $R_p$ is $I$ and the factor $2$ is not needed. \end{proof} Let $m=45\mathcal B$, let the action be $\lambda Q$ with $\lambda\ge0$ (for $\SU(N)$, $\lambda=\beta/(2N)$ up to a constant), and put \[ z_G(t)=\int_Ge^{-t\delta(g,I)^2}dg,\qquad Z_\lambda(v)=\int_{G^m} e^{-\lambda Q(U)}dU, \] with normalised Haar measures, the integral over the fibre of $v$. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:pathZ} For every $v$, \[ e^{-8\lambda Q_1(v)}z_G(48\lambda)^m\le Z_\lambda(v)\le e^{-\lambda Q_1(v)/8}z_G(\lambda/448)^m, \] and if $Q_1(v)=0$, then $z_G(24\lambda)^m\le Z_\lambda(v)\le z_G(\lambda/ 224)^m$. Let $A_\lambda=z_G(\lambda/448)/z_G(24\lambda)$. Under the conditional law at such a $v$, \[ \E\,e^{\lambda D_v^2/448}\le A_\lambda^m,\qquad \E\,\delta(U_e,I)^2\le \frac{20160}\lambda\log A_\lambda \] for each link $e$ when $v\equiv I$, and $A_\lambda\to10752^{q/2}$ as $\lambda\to\infty$ if $G$ has dimension $q\ge1$. \end{theorem} \begin{proof} By Theorem~\ref{thm:pathcoercive} and Proposition~\ref{prop:pathenergy}, $Q\ge\frac12(D_v^2/224+Q_1/4)$ and $Q\le8Q_1+48D_v^2$. Each term of $D_v^2$ involves one free link, and right multiplication by $R_e(v)^{-1}$ preserves Haar measure, so $\int e^{-tD_v^2}dU=z_G(t)^m$; this gives the two bounds, and the flat case is the same with $Q\le24D_v^2$. Next, $-\lambda Q+\lambda D_v^2/448\le-\lambda D_v^2/448$, and integration with the lower bound gives the exponential moment; Jensen's inequality gives $\E D_v^2\le(448m/\lambda)\log A_\lambda$. When $v\equiv I$ the law is invariant under translation by blocks, so the $\mathcal B$ links of each of the $45$ classes have equal expectations, and $448\cdot45=20160$. Finally, in exponential coordinates $\delta(e^X,I)^2=\lVert X\rVert^2+ O(\lVert X\rVert^4)$ and the Haar density is smooth and positive at $0$, while $\delta(\cdot,I)$ is bounded below away from $I$; so $z_G(t)\sim c_G t^{-q/2}$, and the ratio at $\lambda/448$ and $24\lambda$ tends to $(24\cdot448)^{q/2}$. \end{proof} So the fluctuations of the free links around a flat path field are of order $\lambda^{-1/2}$ uniformly in the volume, for the group variables themselves. The path map cannot be iterated, however, and this is where it differs from the averages. Write $V^{{\rm p},k}$ for the $k$-fold path map, the straight path of length $s=2^k$, and $Q_k$ for the plaquette energy of the lattice of spacing $s$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:thinpath} On the periodic lattice of side $3s$, $s=2^k$, there are $\SU(2)$ fields in the tree gauge with \[ \frac{Q(U)}{Q_k(V^{{\rm p},k}(U))}=s\sin^2\frac\pi{2s}\le\frac{\pi^2}{4s}. \] For the averages, by contrast, $Q_k(V^{(k)}(\varphi))\le Q(\varphi)$ for every $k$ in the quadratic approximation (Proposition~\ref{prop:effective}(i)). \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Let $T=\operatorname{diag}(i\pi/2,-i\pi/2)$. Put the $s/2$ links in the direction $0$ at $(j,0,0,0)$, $j$ odd, $j0$. For $\U(r)$ one may take $\rho_G=1$. For $\SU(N)$ one may take $\rho_G=\min\{1,5/\sqrt N\}$: by Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound} the trace of $\log g$ has modulus at most $\sqrt N\,\pi\rho_G/3<2\pi$, and it lies in $2\pi i\Z$. Some restriction is needed: on the circle $\{\operatorname{diag} (z,z^7)\}\subset\U(2)$ the point $z=e^{2\pi i/7}$ has $\delta(g,I)<1$ but $\log g\notin\mathfrak g$.} Let $\phi(t)=\min\{1,\max\{0,2-2t\}\}$, which equals $1$ on $[0,\frac12]$ and $0$ on $[1,\infty)$, put \[ \chi_{y,\mu}(U)=\phi\Bigl(\rho_G^{-1}\max_{x\in B(y)}\delta(P_x,P_{2y}) \Bigr), \] and define the \emph{cut-off average} \begin{equation}\label{eq:cutoff} V^\sharp_{y,\mu}(U)=P_{2y}\exp\Bigl(\frac{\chi_{y,\mu}(U)}{16}\sum_{x\in B(y)}\log\bigl(P_{2y}^{-1}P_x\bigr)\Bigr), \end{equation} the exponential factor being $I$ when $\chi_{y,\mu}(U)=0$ (Fig.~\ref{fig:cutoff}). When every path is close to the straight one it is the average of the sixteen paths taken in the chart at $P_{2y}$; when some path is far from it, it is the path map. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_cutoff.png} \caption{(a) A block $B(y)$ of side two and the next block in the direction $\mu$, drawn in three of the four dimensions. Green dashed: the tree links, equal to $I$. Blue: the paths $P_x$ of length two from the sites of $B(y)$, each joining $2y$ to $2y+2e_\mu$ through the trees; black: the straight path $P_{2y}$, the coarse link of the path map. The cut-off average is the mean of the sixteen paths in the chart at $P_{2y}$ while every path is close to it. (b) For $\SU(2)$ and one link $e^{\theta X}$, $X=\operatorname{diag}(i,-i)$, the angle of $V^\sharp$ when the link lies on the straight path (black) or at another transverse position (blue), with $\rho_G=1$. Both equal $\theta/8$, the block average, while $\chi=1$; past the cut-off they are the path map, $\theta$ and $0$, so the slice windings are $1$ and $0$.} \label{fig:cutoff} \end{figure*} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:cutoff} For every compact $G\subset\U(r)$ the cut-off average is continuous, covariant and normalised, and the following hold, with $c=\pi/3$. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item If $\delta(P_x,P_{2y})\le\rho_G/2$ for every $x\in B(y)$, then $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}(U)=P_{2y}\exp\bigl(\frac1{16}\sum_x\log(P_{2y}^{-1}P_x) \bigr)$. For $\varphi$ with values in $\mathfrak g$, vanishing on the tree links, \[ V^\sharp_{y,\mu}(e^{t\varphi})=I+t\,V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)+O(t^2), \] with $V_{y,\mu}$ the block average of Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge}. \item For every field $U$ in the tree gauge, \begin{align*} \sum_{y,\mu}\sum_{x\in B(y)}\delta(P_x,P_{2y})^2&\le896\,Q(U),\\ \sum_{y,\mu}\delta\bigl(V^\sharp_{y,\mu}(U),V^{\rm p}_{y,\mu}(U)\bigr)^2 &\le56c^2\,Q(U),\\ \sum_e\delta\bigl(U_e,R_e(V^\sharp(U))\bigr)^2&\le(448+896c^2)\,Q(U),\\ Q_1\bigl(V^\sharp(U)\bigr)&\le(8+2688c^2)\,Q(U), \end{align*} and $448+896c^2<1431$, $8+2688c^2<2956$. \item In the setting of Proposition~\ref{prop:nomean} with $s=2$, $W_t$ is the identity at the position of the straight path and $0$ at the seven others. \item If $U$ equals $I$ except on one link from $B(y)$ to $B(y+e_\mu)$, where it equals $g$ with $\delta(g,I)\le\rho_G/2$, then $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}(U)= \exp(\frac18\log g)$, at each of the eight transverse positions of the link; the path map gives $g$ at one position and $I$ at the seven others. \end{enumerate} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} Write $P=P_{2y}$, $v_x=P^{-1}P_x$ and $m=\max_x\delta(v_x,I)=\max_x\delta(P_x ,P)$. Where $m<\rho_G$, every $\log v_x$ lies in $\mathfrak g$, depends continuously on $U$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound}, which keeps the eigenvalues of $v_x$ away from $-1$, and the exponent of~\eqref{eq:cutoff} lies in $\mathfrak g$, so $V^\sharp\in G$. Where $m\ge\rho_G$, $V^\sharp=P$. As $m$ increases to $\rho_G$ the exponent has norm at most $\chi c\rho_G\to0$, so $V^\sharp$ is continuous. Let $h$ be a gauge transformation equal to $h_1$ on $B(y)$ and to $h_2$ on $B(y+e_\mu)$. The middle point $x+e_\mu$ of each path lies in one of the two blocks, so $P_x\mapsto h_1P_xh_2^{-1}$ and $v_x\mapsto h_2v_xh_2^{-1}$; $\delta$ is invariant and $\log$ is equivariant under unitary conjugation, so $\chi$ is unchanged and $V^\sharp\mapsto h_1 V^\sharp h_2^{-1}$. At $U=I$ every $v_x$ is $I$, so $V^\sharp(I)=I$. (i) The first statement is $\chi=1$. If $U=e^{t\varphi}$ with $\varphi=0$ on the tree, then $P=I+t\varphi_{2y+e_\mu,\mu}+O(t^2)$ and $\log v_x=t(\varphi_{x,\mu}+\varphi_{x+e_\mu,\mu}-\varphi_{2y+e_\mu,\mu})+ O(t^2)$, and for small $t$ the condition of the first statement holds. The mean over the sixteen $x$ is $t(V_{y,\mu}(\varphi)-\varphi_{2y+e_\mu,\mu}) +O(t^2)$, since $\varphi_{2y,\mu}=0$, and multiplying by $P$ gives the claim. (ii) In the tree gauge $P=v_{y,\mu}:=V^{\rm p}_{y,\mu}(U)$. If $o_\mu=0$, then $U_{x+e_\mu,\mu}$ is the link leaving $B(y)$ at the transverse offset of $x$, and invariance of $\delta$ with the triangle inequality gives $\delta(P_x,P)\le\delta(U_{x,\mu},I)+\delta(U_{x+e_\mu,\mu},v_{y,\mu})$; if $o_\mu=1$, the roles of the two links are exchanged. Each link leaving a block in the direction $\mu$ occurs for two sites $x$ of that block, and each link in the direction $\mu$ with $o_\mu=0$ occurs once for the block containing it and once for the block before it. With $(a+b)^2\le2a^2+2b^2$ and the notation of the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:pathcoercive}, the sum is at most $2(2I_0+2J_0)=4D_v^2\le896Q$. Next, if $\chi>0$, Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound} and the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality give \begin{align*} \delta(V^\sharp,P)&\le\Bigl\lVert\frac\chi{16}\sum_x\log v_x\Bigr\rVert\le \frac c{16}\sum_x\delta(v_x,I)\\ &\le\frac c4\Bigl(\sum_x\delta(P_x,P)^2\Bigr)^{1/2}, \end{align*} and the second bound follows from the first, $896c^2/16=56c^2$. The reconstruction $R(V^\sharp)$ agrees with $R(v)$ on the links with $o_\mu=0$, and on the eight links with $o_\mu=1$ of each block and direction $\delta(U_e,V^\sharp)^2\le2\delta(U_e,v)^2+2\delta(V^\sharp,v)^2$; so the third sum is at most $2D_v^2+16\cdot56c^2Q\le(448+896c^2)Q$. Finally, write $V^\sharp=vM$. Removing the four factors $M$ from the holonomy of a coarse plaquette one at a time changes $\delta(\cdot,I)$ by at most $\delta(M,I)$ each time, so $\delta(V^\sharp_P,I)^2\le2\delta(v_P,I)^2+8\sum_{\ell\in P} \delta(M_\ell,I)^2$. Each coarse link lies in six coarse plaquettes, so $Q_1(V^\sharp)\le2Q_1(v)+48\cdot56c^2Q$, and $Q_1(v)\le4Q$ by Proposition~\ref{prop:pathenergy}. The numerical bounds use $c^2<1.0967$. (iii) For $s=2$ the slice $T$ consists of the eight links leaving $B(y)$, and the links inside the blocks are $I$, so $P_x=u_{a}$ for the transverse offset $a$ of $x$, two sites for each $a$. Let $t$ be a position other than the straight path and $u_{t'}=I$ for $t'\ne t$. Then $P=I$, two of the $v_x$ equal $u_t$ and the others $I$, so $F(u)=\exp(\frac18\chi\log u_t)$ with $\chi=\phi(\delta(u_t,I)/\rho_G)$. On $S$ the maps $u_t\mapsto\exp(\frac\lambda8\chi\log u_t)$, $0\le\lambda\le1$, are continuous by the argument above and take values in $S$, since $\log u_t$ commutes with $S$ and the centraliser of a maximal torus in $\mathfrak g$ is its Lie algebra; they join $F$ to the constant $I$, so $W_t=0$. By Proposition~\ref{prop:nomean} the $W_t$ add up to the identity, which is therefore the matrix at the straight path. (iv) At the straight path, $P_x=g$ for the two sites with transverse offset $0$ and $P_x=I$ for the others, so $V^\sharp=g\exp(-\frac{14}{16}\log g)= \exp(\frac18\log g)$; at another position, $P=I$ and two of the $P_x$ equal $g$, so $V^\sharp=\exp(\frac2{16}\log g)$. \end{proof} The small-field part of~\eqref{eq:cutoff} is Ba{\l}aban's averaging operation~\cite{Bal85a}; the cut-off extends it to all fields with the bounds of (ii). The theorem shows how far Proposition~\ref{prop:nomean} reaches. The cut-off average is continuous, covariant and coercive for every field, and it agrees with the block averages to first order. Its slice windings are those of the path map, as the proposition demands of any such map, but the departure from the transverse symmetry happens only where some path differs from the straight one by more than $\rho_G/2$. Below that the field of a single link enters with the weight $\frac18$ of the averages, whichever position it occupies. What the theorem does not give is composition. The constants of (ii) are those of one step, and iterating them gives a factor that grows exponentially in the number of steps; on its large-field branch the map is the path map, for which Proposition~\ref{prop:thinpath} rules out any bound uniform in that number. Whether the $k$-fold cut-off average obeys $Q_k(V^{\sharp,k}(U))\le C\,Q(U)$ and the corresponding coercivity bound with $C$ independent of $k$ is open for general fields; it is the form in which Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(b) remains. Section~\ref{ssec:scales} proves it, with $C=1.001$, for fields with values in a maximal torus whose curvature stays small at every scale, and with $C=e^{12060\sigma}$ for fields of any compact group whose curvatures at the successive scales are small with sum $\sigma$. \subsection{Composition across scales}\label{ssec:scales} This subsection proves that the cut-off average composes across all scales on fields with values in a maximal torus whose curvature stays small, which includes the thin paths that defeat the path map, and then that it composes for every compact group on fields whose curvature is small, with a summable loss over the scales. \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{figures/fig_scales.png} \caption{(a) In the torus, the coarse plaquette of the cut-off average is the mean of the fluxes $F_{2y+o}$ of the sixteen fine squares of side two at the offsets $o$ (four of them drawn), whatever the gauge of the coarse links (Lemma~\ref{lem:torusstep}). (b) For the thin-path fields of Proposition~\ref{prop:thinpath}, the coarse energy after $k$ steps: $24$ for the path map, at most $18\pi^2/s^2$ for the cut-off average (Corollary~\ref{cor:thinscales}); the fine energy is about $6\pi^2/s$.} \label{fig:scales} \end{figure*} Let $S$ be a maximal torus of $G\subset\U(r)$ and $\mathfrak s$ its Lie algebra. The exponential maps $\mathfrak s$ onto $S$, and its kernel $\Lambda$ consists of diagonalisable matrices with eigenvalues in $2\pi i\Z$, so every nonzero element of $\Lambda$ has norm at least $2\pi$. For an $S$-valued field with $\delta(U_p,I)\le\rho_G$ on every plaquette put $\Theta_p=\log U_p$; it lies in $\mathfrak g$, commutes with $S$, and so lies in $\mathfrak s$. For a fine site $x$ and a coordinate plane $\{\mu,\nu \}$ let $\square_x$ be the square of side two at $x$ in that plane and $F_x=\sum_{p\subset\square_x}\Theta_p$, the sum of its four plaquettes, oriented as the square. Put \[ \eta_G=\rho_G/12. \] The $k$-fold cut-off average is defined by putting the coarse field back into the tree gauge, by an $S$-valued gauge transformation, before each step. The tree gauge fixes such a transformation up to one that is constant on blocks, under which $V^\sharp$ is covariant, so the coarse plaquette holonomies $U^{(j)}_P$ of the $j$-th iterate $U^{(j)}$ are well defined; we write $\Theta^{(j)}_P=\log U^{(j)}_P$ when $\delta(U^{(j)}_P,I)\le\rho_G$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:torusstep} Let $U$ be an $S$-valued field in the tree gauge with $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert \le\eta_G$ for every plaquette. Then $\chi_{y,\mu}(U)=1$ for every coarse link, and the coarse plaquette $P$ at $y$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ has \[ V^\sharp(U)_P=\exp\bar F_P,\qquad\bar F_P=\frac1{16}\sum_{o\in\{0,1\}^4} F_{2y+o}, \] with $\lVert\bar F_P\rVert\le4\max_p\lVert\Theta_p\rVert$, so that $\log V^\sharp(U)_P=\bar F_P$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Let $\eta=\max_p\lVert\Theta_p\rVert$. Fix $(y,\mu)$ and $x=2y+o$. The tree path $\tau$ from $2y$ to $x$ sets the coordinates of $o$ one at a time in increasing order, so it has at most four edges, at most three of them transverse to $\mu$. In the tree gauge its links are $I$, so $P_{2y}^{-1}P_x$ is the holonomy of the loop $\tau$, then the straight path from $x$ to $x+2e_\mu$, then $\tau+2e_\mu$ backwards, then the straight path from $2y+2e_\mu$ back to $2y$. This loop is the boundary of the surface swept by the transverse edges of $\tau$ along two steps in the direction $\mu$: at most six distinct plaquettes, each with coefficient $\pm1$. The group is abelian, so $P_{2y}^{-1}P_x=\exp d_x$ with $d_x$ the signed sum of their $\Theta_p$, and $\lVert d_x\rVert\le6\eta\le\rho_G/2$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound}, $\delta(P_x,P_{2y})\le\rho_G/2$, so $\chi=1$, and since the eigenvalues of $d_x$ have modulus at most $\frac12$, $\log(P_{2y}^{-1}P_x)=d_x$. Hence $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}=\exp(X_{y,\mu}+\bar d_{y,\mu})$, where $X_{y,\mu}\in\mathfrak s$ is any logarithm of $P_{2y}$ and $\bar d_{y,\mu}$ is the mean of the $d_x$. Let the sides of $P$ be the coarse links $\ell$ with signs $\epsilon_\ell$, and write $d_{o,\ell}$ for the $d_x$ of the side $\ell$ at the offset $o$. For each $o$ the four straight paths of length two at the offset $o$ of the four sides bound the square $\square_{2y+o}$, so \[ Y_o=\sum_\ell\epsilon_\ell\bigl(X_\ell+d_{o,\ell}\bigr)-F_{2y+o}\in \Lambda . \] Since $d_{0,\ell}=0$, $\lVert Y_o-Y_0\rVert\le4\cdot6\eta+8\eta=32\eta\le \frac83<2\pi$, so $Y_o=Y_0$ for every $o$. Averaging over $o$ gives $\sum_\ell\epsilon_\ell(X_\ell+\bar d_\ell)=\bar F_P+Y_0$, and $\exp Y_0=I$. Finally $\lVert\bar F_P\rVert\le\max_o\lVert F_{2y+o}\rVert\le4\eta<\pi/3$, so $\bar F_P$ is the principal logarithm. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:torusscales} Let $U$ be an $S$-valued field in the tree gauge on the periodic lattice of side divisible by $2^k$, with $\delta(U_p,I)\le\rho_G$ on every plaquette, and put $\eta_0=\max_p\lVert\Theta_p\rVert$, $A=\sum_p\lVert\Theta_p\rVert$. Suppose that \begin{equation}\label{eq:torushyp} \max_P\lVert\Theta^{(j)}_P\rVert\le\eta_G\quad\text{for }0\le j0$ there. So there is $c_3\ge1$ depending only on $G$, computed in Proposition~\ref{prop:explicitconstants}, such that there the $m$-th derivative of $c_k$ in $X$ is at most $c_3\prod_{i\le m}N_{y,\mu}(Y^i)$ on $Y^1,\dots,Y^m$ for $m=1,2, 3$, and the first two derivatives of $\log j$ are at most $c_3$ in norm. By Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes}(i) the background $U$ lies in this set. Let $B=Dc(0)$, a map from $\g^{A_W}$ to $\g^K$, $K$ the set of pairs $k$, so that $T_U=\ker B$ and $N_U=B^*\g^K$, and $\mathcal G=BB^*$. By the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:smallfibre}(iii), $\mathcal G\ge\frac1{17}$ and $\lVert\mathcal G^{-1}\rVert\le17$ in the norms $\max_k\lVert z_k\rVert$ and, $\mathcal G$ being symmetric, $\sum_k\lVert z_k\rVert$; each $B_k$ has norm at most $0.44$ on the $24$ links of $V_{y,\mu}$, and every link lies in at most two of these sets. Hence $\lVert B\rVert\le0.63$, $\lVert BX\rVert_\infty\le2.2\lVert X\rVert_\infty$, $\lVert B^*z\rVert_\infty\le 0.88\max_k\lVert z_k\rVert$ and $\lVert B^*z\rVert_1\le10.6\sum_k\lVert z_k\rVert$, where $\lVert X\rVert_1=\sum_e\lVert X_e\rVert$. (i) Write $c(X)=BX+R(X)$. For $\lVert X\rVert_\infty,\lVert\hat X\rVert _\infty\le2s$, Taylor's formula gives $\lVert R_k(X)\rVert\le\frac{c_3}2 N_{y,\mu}(X)^2\le12c_3\lVert X\rVert_\infty^2$ and $\lVert R_k(X)-R_k(\hat X)\rVert\le48c_3s\lVert X-\hat X\rVert_\infty$. For $\eta\in K_s$ the equation $c(\eta+B^*z)=0$ reads $z=\Theta(z)=-\mathcal G^{-1}R(\eta+B^*z)$, and on $\max_k\lVert z_k\rVert\le s$ the map $\Theta$ has values of norm at most $17\cdot12c_3\cdot4s^2=816c_3s^2\le s$ and Lipschitz constant at most $17\cdot48\cdot0.88\,c_3s\le720c_3s\le\frac12$. So it has a unique fixed point $z(\eta)$, smooth in $\eta$ by the implicit function theorem, and $h=B^*z$ has $\lVert h\rVert_\infty\le0.88\cdot816c_3s^2\le s/2$. Since $h(\eta)\perp T_U$, $\eta$ is the orthogonal projection of $\eta+h(\eta)$, so $\Phi$ is injective; its differential $1+Dh$ is injective, and $\dim T _U=\dim F$. If $Ue^X\in F$ with $\lVert X\rVert_\infty\le s/40$, then $X= \eta+B^*z$ with $z=\mathcal G^{-1}BX$, $\max_k\lVert z_k\rVert\le17\cdot2.2 \,s/400$, \[ \Omega_r=\{\eta\in T_U:\lVert\eta_e\rVert\le r\text{ for every }e\in L'\}. \] Give every link the position of its midpoint and every pair $k$ that of $d_k$, and let $d(a,b)$ be the $\ell^\infty$ distance between the positions on the periodic lattice. The links that enter $V_{y,\mu}$ have midpoints within distance $1$ of that of $d_k$. Let $\nabla'$ be the gradient in the coordinates $(\eta_e)_{e\in L'}$, and, for a block matrix $M=(M_{ab})$ whose indices are links or pairs and whose blocks are maps between copies of $\g$, and for $\beta\ge0$, let \[ \lVert M\rVert_\beta=\max\Bigl(\sup_a\sum_be^{\beta d(a,b)}\lVert M_{ab} \rVert,\ \sup_b\sum_ae^{\beta d(a,b)}\lVert M_{ab}\rVert\Bigr). \] At most two indices share a position, so the sum \[ N(\beta)=\sup_a\sum_be^{-\beta d(a,b)} \] is finite for $\beta>0$ and depends only on $\beta$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:kernels} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item The operator norm satisfies $\lVert M\rVert\le\lVert M\rVert_\beta$, and $\lVert M_1M_2\rVert_\beta\le\lVert M_1\rVert_\beta\lVert M_2 \rVert_\beta$ and $\lVert M^*\rVert_\beta=\lVert M\rVert_\beta$. \item If $|\varphi(a)-\varphi(b)|\le d(a,b)$ for all $a,b$ and $0\le\alpha \le\beta$, then $\lVert e^{\alpha\varphi}Me^{-\alpha\varphi}-M\rVert\le \frac\alpha\beta\lVert M\rVert_\beta$. \item If $M$ is invertible, $\lVert M^{-1}\rVert\le M_0$ and $\lVert M\rVert _\beta\le M_1$, then $\lVert M^{-1}\rVert_\gamma\le2M_0N(\gamma)$ with $\gamma=\beta/(4M_0M_1)$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) is the Schur test and the triangle inequality for $d$. (ii) The blocks of the difference are $(e^{\alpha(\varphi(a)-\varphi(b))}-1)M_{ab}$, and $|e^{\alpha(\varphi(a)-\varphi(b))}-1|\le e^{\alpha d(a,b)}-1\le\frac \alpha\beta e^{\beta d(a,b)}$ by convexity of $\alpha\mapsto e^{\alpha d}$; apply (i) with $\beta=0$. (iii) Let $\alpha=2\gamma\le\beta$, since $M_0M_1 \ge\lVert M^{-1}\rVert\lVert M\rVert\ge1$. By (ii), $e^{\alpha\varphi}M e^{-\alpha\varphi}=M+E$ with $\lVert M^{-1}E\rVert\le\frac12$, so $\lVert e^{\alpha\varphi}M^{-1}e^{-\alpha\varphi}\rVert\le2M_0$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:combes}. With $\varphi=d(\cdot,b)$ the block $(a,b)$ gives $e^{2\gamma d(a,b)}\lVert(M^{-1})_{ab}\rVert\le2M_0$ for all $a,b$, and summing $e^{\gamma d(a,b)}\lVert(M^{-1})_{ab}\rVert\le2M_0e^{-\gamma d(a,b)}$ over $b$ or over $a$ gives the claim. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:chartdecay} Assume the hypotheses of Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}\textup{(iv)}, with $c_6\ge1$, as we may, and let $r=s/32$. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item The coordinates $(\eta_e)_{e\in L'}$ identify $T_U$ with $\g^{L'}$, Lebesgue measure on $T_U$ being a constant multiple of that on $\g^{L'}$; $\Omega_{r'}$ is a product of balls in them, and $K_{r'}\subset\Omega_{r'} \subset K_{15.1r'}$ for every $r'>0$. \item There are $\alpha_G>0$ and $c_9$ depending only on $G$ with the following property. Let $\mu$ be the constrained law conditioned on $\Phi(\Omega_r)$, written as a law on $\Omega_r$. For every $\varphi:L'\to \R$ with $|\varphi(e)-\varphi(e')|\le d(e,e')$, every $0\le\alpha\le \alpha_G$ and all smooth $F,G$ on $T_U$, \[ \lvert\operatorname{Cov}_\mu(F,G)\rvert\le\frac{120}\lambda\,\bigl\lVert e^{-\alpha\varphi}\nabla'F\bigr\rVert_{L^2(\mu)}\bigl\lVert e^{\alpha \varphi}\nabla'G\bigr\rVert_{L^2(\mu)}. \] \item If $X_1,X_2\subset A_W$, $\tilde F,\tilde G$ are smooth functions of the links in $X_1$ and in $X_2$ whose left-invariant gradients have norm at most $1$ in each link, $F=\tilde F\circ\Phi$ and $G=\tilde G\circ\Phi$, then \[ \lvert\operatorname{Cov}_\mu(F,G)\rvert\le\frac{c_9}\lambda\,\lvert X_1 \rvert\,\lvert X_2\rvert\,e^{-\alpha_Gd(X_1,X_2)}. \] \end{enumerate} The constants do not depend on $L$, $W$, $U$, $\lambda$, $s$ or $\kappa$. \end{theorem} So the covariances of local observables of the field under the constrained law, conditioned on the chart, decay exponentially at a rate that depends only on $G$, with amplitude $O(1/\lambda)$; for $\SU(2)$ and the Wilson action the amplitude is $O(1/\beta)$. \begin{proof} All constants called $C$ depend only on $G$. \emph{The section.} By Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes}(iv), $B_k=\tilde B_k+R_k$ with $\lVert R_k\rVert\le260\kappa$, and the block of $\tilde B_k$ at $d_k$ is $\frac18$ times an isometry of $\g$, so $\lVert B_{k,d_k}^{-1}\rVert\le (\frac18-260\kappa)^{-1}\le8.01$. For $\xi\in\g^{L'}$ let $(S\xi)_e=\xi_e$ for $e\in L'$ and $(S\xi)_{d_k}=-B_{k,d_k}^{-1}\sum_{e\ne d_k}B_{k,e}\xi_e$. Since $d_k$ enters only $V_k$, $BS=0$; $S$ is injective, and $\dim T_U= \lvert L'\rvert\dim G$ because $F$ has codimension $4\lvert W\rvert\dim G$, so $S$ is an isomorphism onto $T_U$ whose inverse is the restriction to $L'$. The other coefficients of $\tilde B_k$ add up to $\frac78+1=\frac{15}8$, so $\lVert(S\xi)_{d_k}\rVert\le8.01(\frac{15}8+\sqrt{24}\cdot260\kappa)\max _e\lVert\xi_e\rVert\le15.1\max_e\lVert\xi_e\rVert$. This proves (i), and $S$ has blocks of norm at most $1.1$ that vanish beyond distance $1$. Write $\mathrm{Box}_{r'}$ for the product of balls $S^{-1}\Omega_{r'}$. Since $15.1\cdot2r0$ and $c_8\ge1$ depending only on $G$, the Hessian being the block matrix of second derivatives in the coordinates $\xi_e$. The maps $B$, $A$, $S$, the second derivative of $Q(Ue^X)$ in $X$ and that of $\sum_e\log j(X_e)$ have blocks bounded by $C$ (the last two by compactness, as $c_3$) that vanish beyond distance $2$, so their norms $\lVert\cdot\rVert_1$ are at most $C$. By the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}, $\lVert(AB^*)^{-1}\rVert\le34$ and $\lVert(AA^*)^{-1}\rVert\le25$, and $\lVert(\bar P^*\bar P)^{-1}\rVert \le1$. Applying Lemma~\ref{lem:kernels}(iii) to $AB^*$ and $AA^*$, then (i) to $P$, $\bar P$ and $\bar P^*\bar P$, then (iii) to $\bar P^*\bar P$, gives $\beta_0\in(0,1]$ such that $(AB^*)^{-1}$, $(AA^*)^{-1}$, $P$, $\bar P$, $\bar P^*\bar P$ and $(\bar P^*\bar P)^{-1}$ have norm $\lVert\cdot\rVert _{\beta_0}$ at most $C$ on $\mathrm{Box}_{2r}$. Let $\gamma=\beta_0/2$, and for links $e,e'$ and $v,v'\in\g$ write $v,v'$ also for the vectors of $\g^{L'}$ supported at $e$, $e'$. Call a block matrix $M$, depending linearly on $v$, \emph{concentrated at $e$} if $\lVert M_{ab}\rVert\le C \lvert v\rvert e^{-\gamma(d(a,e)+d(b,e))}$, and, depending bilinearly on $(v,v')$, \emph{concentrated at $(e,e')$} if $\lVert M_{ab}\rVert\le C \lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert e^{-\gamma(d(a,e)+d(a,e')+d(b,e)+d(b,e'))}$; a vector is concentrated if it is so as a column. If $\lVert Y\rVert_{\beta _0}\le C$, then $YM$ and $MY$ are concentrated where $M$ is, because $e^{-\gamma(d(c,e)+d(c,e'))}\le e^{\beta_0d(a,c)}e^{-\gamma(d(a,e)+d(a, e'))}$. For $M$ concentrated at $e$ and $M'$ at $e'$, using $d(a,e)+d(a,e')\ge d(e,e')$ in both indices, \[ \lvert\Tr(MM')\rvert\le C\lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert N(\gamma/2)^2 e^{-\gamma d(e,e')}, \] and if $M$ is concentrated at $(e,e')$, then \[ \lvert\Tr M\rvert\le C\lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert N(\gamma)e^{-\gamma d(e,e')}. \] Now $x_v=\partial_vX=\bar Pv$ has $\lVert(x_v)_a\rVert\le Ce^{-\beta_0 d(a,e)}\lvert v\rvert$, so it is concentrated at $e$. The vector $D^2c(X)[x_v,x_{v'}]$ has components at most $c_3N_k(x_v)N_k(x_{v'})\le C\lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert e^{-\beta_0(d(k,e)+d(k,e'))}$, so $x_{vv'}= \partial_v\partial_{v'}X=-B^*(AB^*)^{-1}D^2c(X)[x_v,x_{v'}]$ is concentrated at $(e,e')$. In the same way $A_v=\partial_vA=D^2c(X)[x_v,\cdot\,]$ is concentrated at $e$, $A_{vv'}=D^3c(X)[x_v,x_{v'},\cdot\,]+D^2c(X)[x_{vv'}, \cdot\,]$ is concentrated at $(e,e')$, $\partial_vP=-B^*(AB^*)^{-1}A_vP$ is concentrated at $e$, and $\partial_v\partial_{v'}P$ is a sum of products of operators bounded in $\lVert\cdot\rVert_{\beta_0}$ with either one factor concentrated at $(e,e')$ or one factor concentrated at $e$ and one at $e'$. The same holds for the derivatives of $\mathcal G_1=AA^*$ and $\mathcal G_2 =\bar P^*\bar P$. Then \[ \begin{split} \partial_v\partial_{v'}\bar H={}&\lambda\bigl(D^2Q[x_v,x_{v'}]+DQ[x_{vv'}] \bigr)-\sum_e\partial_v\partial_{v'}\log j(X_e)\\ &+\sum_{i=1,2}\pm\tfrac12\bigl(\Tr(\mathcal G_i^{-1}\partial_v\partial _{v'}\mathcal G_i)\\ &\qquad-\Tr(\mathcal G_i^{-1}\partial_v\mathcal G_i\,\mathcal G_i^{-1} \partial_{v'}\mathcal G_i)\bigr), \end{split} \] where $D^2Q$ and $DQ$ are the derivatives of $Q(Ue^X)$ in $X$. By the bounds above every term is at most \[ C(\lambda+1)\lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert e^{-\gamma d(e,e')/2}; \] for instance \[ \lvert D^2Q[x_v,x_{v'}]\rvert\le C\sum_ae^{-\beta_0(d(a,e)+d(a,e')-2)} \lvert v\rvert\lvert v'\rvert. \] Hence, using $\lambda\ge60c_6\ge60$, every block of the Hessian of $\bar H$ satisfies \[ \lVert(\operatorname{Hess}\bar H)_{ee'}\rVert\le C\lambda e^{-\beta_0 d(e,e')/4}, \] and $\lVert\operatorname{Hess}\bar H\rVert_\beta\le c_8\lambda$ with $\beta =\beta_0/8$. \emph{Approximation.} Let $\rho$ be smooth on $[0,\infty)$ with $0\le\rho' \le1$, $\rho(t)=t$ for $t\le\frac32r$, $\rho\le\frac74r$ and $\rho$ constant on $[2r,\infty)$, and let $\tau(\xi)_e=\rho(\lVert\xi_e\rVert)\xi_e/\lVert\xi_e\rVert$, which maps $\g^{L'}$ into $\mathrm{Box}_{7r/4}$. Let $v$ be smooth and convex on $[0,\infty)$, zero on $[0,r]$, with $00$ and bounded derivatives of order at least two, and $F,G$ smooth with bounded derivatives, the Helffer--Sj\"ostrand representation~\cite{HS94} reads $\operatorname{Cov}_{\mu_n}(F,G)=\langle\nabla F,\mathcal A^{-1}\nabla G \rangle_{L^2(\mu_n)}$ with $\mathcal A=\mathcal L_n\otimes1+\operatorname{Hess} H_n$ acting on $L^2(\mu_n;\g^{L'})$. With $w=e^{\alpha\varphi}$, constant in $\xi$, $\mathcal A_w=w\mathcal Aw^{-1}=\mathcal L_n\otimes1+w\operatorname {Hess}H_nw^{-1}$, and $\operatorname{Re}\langle u,\mathcal A_wu\rangle\ge \frac m2\lVert u\rVert^2$ because $\mathcal L_n\ge0$; the adjoint satisfies the same bound, so $\lVert\mathcal A_w^{-1}\rVert\le\frac2m=\frac{120} \lambda$. Since $\mathcal A^{-1}=w^{-1}\mathcal A_w^{-1}w$, \[ \begin{split} \lvert\operatorname{Cov}_{\mu_n}(F,G)\rvert&=\bigl\lvert\langle w^{-1}\nabla F,\mathcal A_w^{-1}w\nabla G\rangle\bigr\rvert\\ &\le\frac{120}\lambda\lVert w^{-1}\nabla F\rVert_{L^2(\mu_n)}\lVert w\nabla G\rVert_{L^2(\mu_n)}. \end{split} \] As $n\to\infty$, $e^{-H_n}$ decreases to $e^{-\bar H}\mathbf 1_{\mathrm{Box} _r}$ off the boundary of $\mathrm{Box}_r$, since $\tau$ is the identity there and $V>0$ off it, so $\mu_n\to\mu$ in total variation. For $F,G$ smooth on $T_U$, apply the bound to $(F\circ S)\chi$ and $(G\circ S)\chi$ with $\chi$ smooth, compactly supported and equal to $1$ near $\mathrm{Box} _r$, and let $n\to\infty$; this proves (ii). (iii) The left-invariant derivative of $U_ae^{X_a}$ along $\delta X_a$ is $\Psi(\operatorname{ad}_{X_a})\delta X_a$, of norm at most $2\lVert\delta X_a\rVert$, so $\lVert\partial_{\xi_f}F\rVert\le2\sum_{a\in X_1}\lVert\bar P_{af}\rVert$, and similarly for $G$. Take $\varphi=d(\cdot,X_2)$ and $\alpha =\alpha_G\le\beta_0$. Then $e^{-\alpha d(f,X_2)}\le e^{\beta_0d(a,f)}e^{- \alpha d(a,X_2)}$, so $\lvert e^{-\alpha\varphi}\nabla'F\rvert\le2\lvert X_1\rvert\lVert\bar P\rVert_{\beta_0}e^{-\alpha d(X_1,X_2)}$, and $e^{\alpha d(f,X_2)}\le e^{\beta_0d(b,f)}$ for $b\in X_2$ gives $\lvert e^{\alpha \varphi}\nabla'G\rvert\le2\lvert X_2\rvert\lVert\bar P\rVert_{\beta_0}$. Insert these in (ii); with $C$ a bound for $\lVert\bar P\rVert_{\beta_0}$ on $\mathrm{Box}_{2r}$, $c_9=480C^2$. \end{proof} The rate $\alpha_G$ and the amplitude $c_9$ can be computed, and they turn out not to depend on $G$. The proof above passes through the norms $\lVert\cdot\rVert_\beta$, whose Schur sums bring in the large factors $N(\beta)$; the computation below replaces them by weighted operator norms, in which inverses and products cost nothing beyond their operator norms. For a block matrix $M$ indexed by links and pairs and for $\vartheta\ge0$ let \[ \lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta)}=\sup_\varphi\bigl\lVert e^{\vartheta\varphi} Me^{-\vartheta\varphi}\bigr\rVert, \] the supremum over all $\varphi$ with $|\varphi(a)-\varphi(b)|\le d(a,b)$ for all indices $a,b$, the factors $e^{\pm\vartheta\varphi}$ acting as scalars on each block. For such $\varphi$ write $w=e^{\vartheta\varphi}$ and $M^w=wMw^{-1}$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:weightednorms} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item For $\vartheta\le\vartheta'$, $\lVert M\rVert\le\lVert M\rVert_{( \vartheta)}\le\lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta')}$; moreover $\lVert M_1M_2\rVert _{(\vartheta)}\le\lVert M_1\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\lVert M_2\rVert_{(\vartheta)}$, $\lVert M^*\rVert_{(\vartheta)}=\lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta)}$, and $\lVert M_{ab}\rVert\le\lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta)}e^{-\vartheta d(a,b)}$. If the blocks of $M$ vanish beyond distance $R$, then $\lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta)} \le e^{\vartheta R}(R_MC_M)^{1/2}$, where $R_M$ and $C_M$ are the largest row and column sums of the norms of the blocks. \item If $M$ is Hermitian and $0\le\vartheta\le\vartheta'$, then $\lVert \operatorname{Re}M^w-M\rVert\le2(\vartheta/\vartheta')^2\lVert M\rVert _{(\vartheta')}$ for every $\varphi$, where $\operatorname{Re}T=\frac12(T+ T^*)$. \item If $\operatorname{Re}M^w\ge c>0$ for every $\varphi$, then $\lVert M^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le1/c$. If $\lVert M^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)} \lVert E\rVert_{(\vartheta)}<1$, then $\lVert(M+E)^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)} \le\lVert M^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)}/(1-\lVert M^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)} \lVert E\rVert_{(\vartheta)})$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) Take $\varphi=0$ for the first inequality and replace $\varphi$ by $\vartheta\varphi/\vartheta'$ for the second. Products and adjoints follow from $(M_1M_2)^w=M_1^wM_2^w$ and $(M^*)^w=(M^{w'})^*$ with $w'=e^{-\vartheta \varphi}$. With $\varphi=d(\cdot,b)$ the block $(a,b)$ of $M^w$ is $e^{ \vartheta d(a,b)}M_{ab}$, of norm at most $\lVert M^w\rVert$. The last bound is the Schur test, since the blocks of $M^w$ are $e^{\vartheta(\varphi(a)- \varphi(b))}M_{ab}$. (ii) Let $f(z)=e^{z\varphi}Me^{-z\varphi}$, an entire function of $z\in\C$ with values in matrices. For $z=x+iy$, $f(z)=e^{iy\varphi}f(x)e^{-iy\varphi}$ with $e^{iy\varphi}$ unitary, so $\lVert f(z)\rVert\le K=\lVert M\rVert_{( \vartheta')}$ for $|x|\le\vartheta'$. Since $M$ is Hermitian, $f(x)^*=f(-x)$ for real $x$, so $\operatorname{Re}M^w-M=g(\vartheta)$ with $g(z)=\frac12(f(z) +f(-z))-f(0)$. The function $g$ is even, vanishes at $0$ and is bounded by $2K$ on $|z|<\vartheta'$; so $g(z)/z^2$ is holomorphic there, and the maximum principle on the circles $|z|=\rho<\vartheta'$, applied to $\ell(g(z))/z^2$ for every linear functional $\ell$ of norm one, gives $\lVert g(z)\rVert \le2K|z|^2/\vartheta'^2$. (iii) If $\operatorname{Re}T\ge c$, then $\lVert Tu\rVert\lVert u\rVert\ge \operatorname{Re}\langle u,Tu\rangle\ge c\lVert u\rVert^2$, so $\lVert T^{-1} \rVert\le1/c$; apply this to $T=M^w$, whose inverse is $(M^{-1})^w$. The second statement is the Neumann series for $(M^w+E^w)^{-1}$. \end{proof} \begin{proposition}\label{prop:explicitdecay} Let $G\subset\U(r)$ be compact. Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay} holds with \[ \alpha_G=2.5\cdot10^{-4},\qquad c_9=1.2\cdot10^4, \] and in~\textup{(iii)} the factor $\lvert X_1\rvert\lvert X_2\rvert$ may be replaced by $(\lvert X_1\rvert\lvert X_2\rvert)^{1/2}$. \end{proposition} So the covariances of local observables under the constrained law on the chart decay at least like $e^{-d/4000}$, with amplitude $1.2\cdot10^4/ \lambda$, for every compact group; for $\SU(2)$ and the Wilson action the amplitude is $4.8\cdot10^4/\beta$. \begin{proof} Throughout, $\xi\in\mathrm{Box}_{2r}$, $X=S\xi+h(S\xi)$, and the notation is that of the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}. The hypothesis $4\cdot10^5c_3(\kappa+s)\le\frac1{195}$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}(iv) gives $c_3s\le1.29\cdot10^{-8}$ and $c_3\kappa'\le7.7\cdot10^{-8}$ for $\kappa'=\kappa+6s$, and $\kappa\le10^{-8}$. Every $\varphi$ below is defined on all indices; a function on $L'$ with the Lipschitz property extends to all indices with the same property, by $\varphi(a)=\min_{e\in L'} (\varphi(e)+d(a,e))$. \emph{Local operators.} The row $k$ of $B$ has blocks of norm at most $\frac 18+260\kappa$, with sum at most $2+24\cdot260\kappa$, by Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes}(iv) and the coefficients of $V_{y,\mu}$, eight of them $\frac18$ and sixteen $\frac1{16}$; every link lies in at most two rows, and the blocks vanish beyond distance $1$. So $b=\lVert B\rVert_{(\vartheta)} \le e^\vartheta(\frac12+10^{-4})^{1/2}$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:weightednorms}(i). The row $k$ of $A-B$ has norm at most $c_3N_{y,\mu}(X)\le7.35c_3s= \varepsilon_A$, since $\lVert X\rVert_\infty\le\frac32s$, so $\lVert A-B \rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le\sqrt{48}\,e^\vartheta\varepsilon_A$. The row $d_k$ of $S$ is $s_k\xi=-B_{k,d_k}^{-1}\sum_{e\ne d_k}B_{k,e}\xi_e$, of norm $\sigma \le(\frac{\sqrt{11}}8+260\kappa)/(\frac18-260\kappa)\le3.32$, the squares of the other coefficients adding up to $\frac{11}{64}$; the other rows of $S$ are those of the identity. If $D_k$ is the diagonal matrix with entries $e^{\vartheta(\varphi(d_k)-\varphi(e))}$ on the links $e$ of $V_{y,\mu}$, then the row $d_k$ of $S^w$ is $s_kD_k$, and every link of $L'$ lies in at most two of these sets, so \[ \bar s=\lVert S\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le(1+2\sigma^2e^{2\vartheta})^{1/2}. \] Finally $Q(Ue^X)=\sum_p\lVert U_p-I\rVert^2=\sum_p(2r-2\ReTr U_p)$. By Duhamel's formula the derivative of $U_ee^{X_e}$ in $X_e$ is an average of $U_ee^{\theta X_e}Ye^{(1-\theta)X_e}$, and its second derivative an average, of total weight one, of products with $Y$ and $Z$ inserted between unitary factors. With $\lvert\Tr(V_1YV_2ZV_3)\rvert\le\lVert Y\rVert\lVert Z\rVert$ for unitary $V_i$ this gives \[ \bigl\lvert D^2Q_p[Y,Z]\bigr\rvert\le2\sum_{e\in p}\lVert Y_e\rVert\sum_{e \in p}\lVert Z_e\rVert, \] and, since $\ReTr(VY)=\ReTr((V-I)Y)$ for skew-Hermitian $Y$ and a conjugate $V$ of $U_p$, $\lvert DQ_p[Y]\rvert\le2\kappa'\sum_{e\in p}\lVert Y_e\rVert$. A link lies in six plaquettes, so $\lVert D^2Q\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le48 e^\vartheta$ and $\lvert DQ[Y]\rvert\le12\kappa'\lVert Y\rVert_1$. \emph{Inverses.} The diagonal blocks of $\mathcal G=BB^*$ have norm at most $\frac3{16}+227\kappa$, each row has two other nonzero blocks, of norm at most $\frac1{32}+227\kappa$, at distance $2$, and $\mathcal G\ge\frac1{16}- 700\kappa$, by the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:smallfibre}(iii). The blocks of $\operatorname{Re}\mathcal G^w$ are $\cosh(\vartheta(\varphi(k)-\varphi(l))) \mathcal G_{kl}$, so $\operatorname{Re}\mathcal G^w\ge\frac1{16}-700\kappa-( \cosh2\vartheta-1)(\frac1{16}+454\kappa)$, and Lemma~\ref{lem:weightednorms}(iii) bounds $g_0=\lVert\mathcal G^{-1}\rVert _{(\vartheta)}$ by the inverse of the right-hand side. With $E=(A-B)B^*$, the same lemma gives \[ \begin{split} \lVert(AB^*)^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)}&\le\frac{g_0}{1-g_0\lVert E\rVert _{(\vartheta)}}=h_0,\\ \lVert(AA^*)^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)}&\le\frac{g_0}{1-g_0(2\lVert E\rVert _{(\vartheta)}+\lVert A-B\rVert_{(\vartheta)}^2)}=g_1, \end{split} \] since $AB^*=\mathcal G+E$ and $AA^*=\mathcal G+E+E^*+(A-B)(A-B)^*$. Let $Y=B^*(AB^*)^{-1}$, so $y=\lVert Y\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le bh_0$. Since $BS=0$, $\bar P=PS=S-Y(A-B)S$, so $\bar p=\lVert\bar P\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le\bar s(1+ y\lVert A-B\rVert_{(\vartheta)})$; and $M=Y(A-B)S$ takes values in $N_U$, orthogonal to the values of $S$, so $\bar P^*\bar P=S^*S+M^*M$. Here $S^*S=1+ \sum_ks_k^*s_k$, and $(s_k^*s_k)^w=v^*u$ with $u=s_kD_k$, $v=s_kD_k^{-1}$, so $\operatorname{Re}(s_k^*s_k)^w=\frac14((u+v)^*(u+v)-(u-v)^*(u-v))\ge-\sigma^2 \sinh^2\vartheta\,J_k$, $J_k$ the projection on the links of $V_{y,\mu}$; and $\operatorname{Re}(M^*M)^w\ge-2(\vartheta/\vartheta'')^2\lVert M\rVert_{( \vartheta'')}^2$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:weightednorms}(ii), for $\vartheta\le \vartheta''$. Hence \[ g_2=\lVert(\bar P^*\bar P)^{-1}\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le\Bigl(1-2\sigma^2\sinh ^2\vartheta-2\frac{\vartheta^2}{\vartheta''^2}\lVert M\rVert_{(\vartheta'')} ^2\Bigr)^{-1}. \] For the $\ell^1$ norms, $\lVert\mathcal G^{-1}\rVert\le17$ in the norm $\sum_k\lVert z_k\rVert$ and $E$ has column sums at most $2(2+10^{-4}) \varepsilon_A$, so $(AB^*)^{-1}$ has norm $h_1\le17.001$ there, and $\lVert B^*z\rVert_1\le(2+10^{-4})\sum_k\lVert z_k\rVert$. \emph{The Hessian.} Let $u,u'\in\g^{L'}$, $p=wu$ and $q=w^{-1}u'$. Since $\langle u,(\operatorname{Hess}\bar H)^wu'\rangle=\partial_p\partial_q\bar H$, it suffices to bound $\lvert\partial_p\partial_q\bar H\rvert$ by $K\lvert u\rvert\lvert u'\rvert$ for every $\varphi$. Write $x_p=\bar Pp=w\tilde x$ and $x_q=w^{-1}\tilde y$, with $\lvert\tilde x\rvert\le\bar p\lvert u\rvert$ and $\lvert\tilde y\rvert\le\bar p\lvert u'\rvert$. The links of $V_{y,\mu}$ lie within distance $1$ of the position of $k$, so the weights of $x_p$ and $x_q$ on them differ from $e^{\pm\vartheta\varphi(k)}$ by factors at most $e^\vartheta$, and \[ \sum_kN_{y,\mu}(x_p)N_{y,\mu}(x_q)\le2e^{2\vartheta}\lvert\tilde x\rvert \lvert\tilde y\rvert, \] every link lying in at most two of these sets. In the same way $A_p=\partial _pA=D^2c(X)[x_p,\cdot\,]$ equals $w\check A_p$ and $A_q=w^{-1}\check A_q$, where $\check A_p$ and $\check A_q$ have rows of rank at most $\dim G$, so their Hilbert--Schmidt norms satisfy \[ \lVert\check A_p\rVert_2\lVert\check A_q\rVert_2\le2\dim G\,c_3^2e^{2 \vartheta}\bar p^2\lvert u\rvert\lvert u'\rvert, \] and conjugating them by $w$ multiplies these norms by at most $e^\vartheta$. The second derivative $x_{pq}=-YD^2c(X)[x_p,x_q]$ has $\lVert x_{pq}\rVert_1 \le c_3x_1\lvert u\rvert\lvert u'\rvert$ with $x_1=2(2+10^{-4})h_1e^{2 \vartheta}\bar p^2$, and $A_{pq}=D^3c(X)[x_p,x_q,\cdot\,]+D^2c(X)[x_{pq}, \cdot\,]$ has trace norm $\bar a\le2\dim G\,c_3^2(e^{2\vartheta}\bar p^2+x_1) \lvert u\rvert\lvert u'\rvert$, the weights cancelling in both. The four parts of $\bar H$ are bounded as follows. First, $\partial_p \partial_q\lambda Q=\lambda(\langle\tilde x,(D^2Q)^w\tilde y\rangle+DQ[x_{pq} ])$, at most $\lambda(48e^\vartheta\bar p^2+12c_3\kappa'x_1)\lvert u\rvert \lvert u'\rvert$. Second, the Hessian of $\sum_e\log j(X_e)$ in $X$ is block diagonal and commutes with $w$, so its part is at most $c_3(\bar p^2+c_3x_1) \lvert u\rvert\lvert u'\rvert$. Third, for $\mathcal G_1=AA^*$, \[ \begin{split} \partial_p\partial_q\log\det\mathcal G_1={}&\Tr(\mathcal G_1^{-1}\partial_p \partial_q\mathcal G_1)\\ &-\Tr(\mathcal G_1^{-1}\partial_p\mathcal G_1\,\mathcal G_1^{-1}\partial_q \mathcal G_1), \end{split} \] with $\partial_p\mathcal G_1=A_pA^*+AA_p^*$ and $\partial_p\partial_q\mathcal G_1=A_{pq}A^*+A_pA_q^*+A_qA_p^*+AA_{pq}^*$. Each term is the trace of a product in which $w$ and $w^{-1}$ occur once each, next to $\check A_p$ and $\check A_q$, or not at all, next to $A_{pq}$. A cyclic permutation writes it as $\Tr(wFw^{-1}F')$, or $\Tr(w^{-1}Fw\,F')$, and $\lvert\Tr(wFw^{-1}F')\rvert \le\lVert wFw^{-1}\rVert_2\lVert F'\rVert_2$ or $\lVert wFw^{-1}\rVert\lVert F'\rVert_1$. With $a=\lVert A\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le b+\lVert A-B\rVert_{( \vartheta)}$ this gives \[ \begin{split} \tfrac12\lvert\partial_p\partial_q\log\det\mathcal G_1\rvert\le{}&g_1a\bar a \\ &+(g_1+2g_1^2a^2)e^{2\vartheta}\lVert\check A_p\rVert_2\lVert\check A_q\rVert _2. \end{split} \] Fourth, $\partial_p\bar P=-YA_p\bar P$ and $\partial_p\partial_q\bar P=-YA_{pq} \bar P+YA_qYA_p\bar P+YA_pYA_q\bar P$, and the same counting for $\mathcal G _2=\bar P^*\bar P$ gives \[ \begin{split} \tfrac12\lvert\partial_p\partial_q\log\det\mathcal G_2\rvert\le{}&g_2\bar p^2 y\bar a+(3g_2\bar p^2y^2\\ &+2g_2^2\bar p^4y^2)e^{2\vartheta}\lVert\check A_p\rVert_2\lVert\check A_q \rVert_2. \end{split} \] So \[ \lVert\operatorname{Hess}\bar H\rVert_{(\vartheta)}\le K=\lambda k_1+\dim G\,c_3^2k_0, \] where $k_1=48e^\vartheta\bar p^2+12c_3\kappa'x_1$ and $k_0$ collects the other three parts, divided by $\dim G\,c_3^2\lvert u\rvert \lvert u'\rvert$, which is possible as $c_3\ge1$. At $\vartheta=\vartheta'= 0.197$, with $\vartheta''=0.6$, these give $b\le0.862$, $g_0,h_0,g_1\le 17.37$, $y\le14.96$, $\bar s,\bar p\le5.80$, $g_2\le7.41$, $k_1\le1966$ and $k_0\le4.16\cdot10^9$; and since $\lambda\ge60c_6=4.086\cdot10^7\dim G\,c_3 ^2$ by Proposition~\ref{prop:explicitconstants}, $K\le2068\lambda$. \emph{Decay.} In the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}, replace the bound on $e^{\alpha\varphi}\operatorname{Hess}H_ne^{-\alpha\varphi}- \operatorname{Hess}H_n$ by the following. Since $D\tau$ and $\Delta_n$ are block diagonal and symmetric and commute with $w=e^{\alpha\varphi}$, Lemma~\ref{lem:weightednorms}(ii) with $\vartheta=\alpha$ gives \[ \bigl\lVert\operatorname{Re}(\operatorname{Hess}H_n)^w-\operatorname{Hess}H _n\bigr\rVert\le2\frac{\alpha^2}{\vartheta'^2}K\le\frac\lambda{120}=\frac m2 \] for $\alpha\le\vartheta'(240\cdot2068)^{-1/2}$, which holds for $\alpha\le 2.5\cdot10^{-4}$. Then $\operatorname{Re}\langle u,\mathcal A_wu\rangle\ge \frac m2\lVert u\rVert^2$ as before, and (ii) follows. For (iii), $\nabla'F =\bar P^*g$ with $g$ supported on $X_1$ and $\lvert g_a\rvert\le2$, so with $\varphi=d(\cdot,X_2)$, \[ \lvert e^{-\alpha\varphi}\nabla'F\rvert=\lvert(\bar P^*)^{w^{-1}}e^{-\alpha \varphi}g\rvert\le2\bar p_\alpha\lvert X_1\rvert^{1/2}e^{-\alpha d(X_1,X_2)}, \] where $\bar p_\alpha=\lVert\bar P\rVert_{(\alpha)}\le4.8$ at $\alpha=2.5\cdot 10^{-4}$, and $\lvert e^{\alpha\varphi}\nabla'G\rvert\le2\bar p_\alpha\lvert X_2\rvert^{1/2}$. Insert these in (ii): $c_9=480\bar p_\alpha^2\le1.2\cdot 10^4$. \end{proof} The chart misses only points of the fibre at which some plaquette near $W$ is not small, and under the Wilson measure such points carry little mass on most fibres. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:offchart} \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item Assume the hypotheses of Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay} and $s\ge1.24 \cdot10^5\kappa$. Every $U'\in F$ with $\delta(U'_p,I)\le\kappa$ for every plaquette $p$ with a vertex in a block of $W^+$ lies in $\Phi(\Omega_r)$. Hence the constrained law gives the complement of $\Phi(\Omega_r)$ at most the mass of the points of $F$ at which such a plaquette exceeds $\kappa$. \item Let $G=\SU(2)$, let the side $2L$ be a power of two, let $\mu$ be the Wilson measure in the tree gauge at $\beta_W\ge1$, so that $\lambda=\beta _W/4$, and let $E$ be the set of fields with $\delta(U_p,I)\le\kappa$ for every plaquette with a vertex in a block of $W^+$. For $\mu$-almost every $U$ let $\mu_U$ be the constrained law on the fibre $F(U)$ through $U$. Then \[ \E_\mu\bigl[\mu_U(E^c)\bigr]=\mu(E^c)\le10^4\lvert W\rvert\,q_\kappa(\beta _W), \] with $q_\kappa$ as in Theorem~\ref{thm:defects}. If $\kappa$, $s$ and $\lambda$ satisfy the hypotheses of \textup{(i)} and $0<\varepsilon<1$, the fields $U\in E$ with $\mu_U(F(U)\setminus\Phi_U(\Omega_r))\le \varepsilon$, where $\Phi_U$ is the chart at $U$, have probability at least $1-(1+\varepsilon^{-1})10^4\lvert W\rvert q_\kappa(\beta_W)$. \item At every such $U$, for $X_1,X_2\subset A_W$ and $\tilde F,\tilde G$ as in Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}\textup{(iii)}, \[ \lvert\Cov_{\mu_U}(\tilde F,\tilde G)\rvert\le\Bigl(\frac{4c_9}{\beta_W} e^{-\alpha_Gd(X_1,X_2)}+30\varepsilon\Bigr)\lvert X_1\rvert\,\lvert X_2 \rvert . \] \end{enumerate} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} (i) The fields $U$ and $U'$ satisfy the hypothesis of Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes} and agree off $A_W$, in particular on the tree links. An active link $e$ with base in a block $B(y)$, $y\in W$, either lies inside $B(y)$ or leaves it in a direction $\mu$. In the first case part (i) of the lemma, at $U$ and at $U'$, gives $\delta(U_e,U'_e)\le6\kappa$. In the second, let $v$ and $v'$ be the path links of $V_{y,\mu}$ at $U$ and at $U'$. Part (iv), at both fields, writes the common cut-off average as $v e^M=v'e^{M'}$ with $\lVert M\rVert,\lVert M'\rVert\le8\pi\kappa$, so by bi-invariance and Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound} \[ \delta(v,v')=\delta\bigl(e^Me^{-M'},I\bigr)\le\lVert M\rVert+\lVert M' \rVert\le16\pi\kappa<50.3\kappa, \] and part (i) gives $\delta(U_e,U'_e)\le\delta(U_e,v)+\delta(v,v')+\delta( v',U'_e)\le92.3\kappa$. Let $X_e=\log(U_e^{-1}U'_e)$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound}, $\lVert X_e\rVert\le\frac\pi3\,92.3\kappa<96.7 \kappa\le s/1280$ for every $e\in A_W$. Theorem~\ref{thm:fibrechart}(i) with $s/32$ in place of $s$, whose chart is the restriction of $\Phi$ by the uniqueness of the fixed point in its proof, puts $U'=Ue^X$ in $\Phi(K _{s/32})$, and $K_{s/32}\subset\Omega_r$ by Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}(i). (ii) The tree links span every block, so for every field there is exactly one gauge transformation, equal to $I$ at the corner of every block, that makes the tree links equal to $I$. Given the tree links, it multiplies each active link on both sides by elements that do not depend on that link, which preserves Haar measure, and $S$ is gauge invariant; so in the tree gauge the active links have density proportional to $e^{-\beta_WS}$ with respect to product Haar measure. Since $\beta_WS=\frac{\beta_W}4\sum_p \delta(U_p,I)^2$, conditionally on the links off $A_W$ the links of $A_W$ have density proportional to $e^{-\lambda Q}$, and conditioning further on the averages gives the constrained law. So $\mu_U$ is a version of the conditional law of $\mu$ given the links off $A_W$ and the averages, and the identity is the tower property of conditional expectation. If $U\notin E$, some plaquette with a vertex in a block $B(y')$, $y'\in W^+$, is bad for $\rho=\kappa$. Its corner $z$ differs from that vertex by an element of $\{0,1\}^4$, so $z$ lies in a block at $\ell^\infty$ distance at most two from $W$, and the plaquette lies in the unit cube $\mathcal C_z$. There are at most $5^4\lvert W\rvert$ such blocks, with $16$ sites each, and $E$ is gauge invariant, so Theorem~\ref{thm:defects} with $\lvert A\rvert=1$ gives $\mu(E^c)\le10^4\lvert W\rvert q_\kappa(\beta_W)$. For $U\in E$, part (i) gives $\mu_U(F(U)\setminus\Phi_U(\Omega_r))\le\mu_U(E^c)$, so the exceptional fields lie in $E^c\cup\{\mu_U(E^c)>\varepsilon\}$, which by Markov's inequality has probability at most $\mu(E^c)(1+\varepsilon^{-1})$. (iii) Let $A=\Phi_U(\Omega_r)$, $m=\mu_U$, $m_A=m(\,\cdot\mid A)$ and $\epsilon'=m(A^c)\le\varepsilon$. By Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}(iii) with $\lambda=\beta_W/4$, $\lvert\Cov_{m_A}(\tilde F,\tilde G)\rvert\le\frac{4c _9}{\beta_W}\lvert X_1\rvert\lvert X_2\rvert e^{-\alpha_Gd(X_1,X_2)}$. The group $\SU(2)$ has diameter $\sqrt2\pi$, and $\tilde F$ has gradient at most $1$ in each link, so after subtracting a constant, which changes no covariance, $\lVert\tilde F\rVert_\infty\le\frac{\sqrt2\pi}2\lvert X_1 \rvert\le2.23\lvert X_1\rvert$, and likewise for $\tilde G$. Writing $m=(1-\epsilon')m_A+\epsilon'm_{A^c}$ gives $\lvert m(fg)-m_A(fg)\rvert\le 2\epsilon'\lVert f\rVert_\infty\lVert g\rVert_\infty$ and $\lvert m(f)-m_A(f) \rvert\le2\epsilon'\lVert f\rVert_\infty$ for bounded $f,g$, so \[ \lvert\Cov_m(f,g)-\Cov_{m_A}(f,g)\rvert\le6\epsilon'\lVert f\rVert_\infty \lVert g\rVert_\infty, \] and $6\cdot2.23^2<30$. \end{proof} So on a fixed set of blocks the constrained law of the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure decorrelates, coarea factor and curvature of the fibre included, on every fibre outside a set of fibres whose probability tends to zero as $\beta_W\to\infty$. The bound grows linearly in $\lvert W\rvert$, which is harmless for the fixed cubes of the cube condition, but the thresholds are far from the one-loop range: with the constants of Proposition~\ref{prop:explicitconstants} the hypotheses force $\kappa+s\le 6.0\cdot10^{-13}$ and $s\ge1.24\cdot10^5\kappa$, so $\kappa<4.9\cdot 10^{-18}$, and $q_\kappa(\beta_W)<1$ needs $\beta_W\kappa^2>96(\log\beta_W+ C_0)$, so $\beta_W$ exceeds $3.8\cdot10^{38}$ (Fig.~\ref{fig:offchart}). \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{figures/fig_offchart.png} \caption{Theorem~\ref{thm:offchart}. (a)~A fibre $F$ of the cut-off average, drawn as a surface: the product chart $\Phi(\Omega_r)$ around the background $U$ (green) contains every point of $F$ whose plaquettes near $W$ are at most $\kappa$ (inside the blue curve), and the rest of $F$ meets only points with a large plaquette (red). (b)~The least $\beta_W$ at which the bound $10^4\lvert W\rvert q_\kappa(\beta_W)$ is at most $\frac12$, for the $81$ blocks of a cube of side three; it grows like $\kappa^{-2}\log(1/ \kappa)$, and at the largest $\kappa$ the hypotheses allow it is about $4.0\cdot10^{38}$.} \label{fig:offchart} \end{figure*} The mass off the chart can also be bounded on a single fibre, by a Peierls argument inside the fibre. Two properties of the cut-off average make this possible: along a fixed set of links it is a submersion with a constant that does not depend on the field, and its law under Haar measure on those links has a bounded density. Fix $y\in W$ and a direction $\mu$. Write the offsets of the sites of $B(y)$ in the three directions other than $\mu$ as $a\in\{0,1\}^3$, and let $x_a$ and $x'_a$ be the sites of offset $a$ with $o_\mu=0$ and $o_\mu=1$. Let $\ell_a=(x'_a,\mu)$, which joins $B(y)$ to $B(y+e_\mu)$, and let $u_a=(x_a, \mu)$ and $w_a=(x'_a+e_\mu,\mu)$, which lie inside $B(y)$ and $B(y+e_\mu)$. The links $u_0$ and $w_0$ are tree links and $\ell_0=d_k$ is the path link, so in the tree gauge \[ P_{2y}=\ell_0,\qquad P_{x_a}=u_a\ell_a,\qquad P_{x'_a}=\ell_aw_a, \] and $v_x=P_{2y}^{-1}P_x$ equals $I$ at the two sites of offset $0$. The path of $V^\sharp_{y',\nu}$ from a site $x$ consists of the link $(x,\nu)$ and the next link $(x+e_\nu,\nu)$, so $\ell_a$, whose base has $o_\mu=1$, enters only the paths from $x_a$ and $x'_a$ of the pair $(y,\mu)$. We call $\ell_0, \dots,\ell_7$ the \emph{private links} of $(y,\mu)$. The $32$ links with $o_\mu=1$ of $B(y)$ are the private links of the four pairs $(y,\mu)$; the other $17$ active links of $B(y)$ lie inside it. Let \[ \alpha=2\arcsin\frac1{2\sqrt2}=0.7227\ldots,\qquad\Lambda=\frac\alpha {\sin\alpha}=1.0926\ldots, \] so that $1-\frac78\Lambda>0.0439$. Two facts about $\operatorname{ad}X$ for $X\in\g$, which is skew-adjoint for the Hilbert--Schmidt product, will be used throughout. If the eigenvalues $i\psi$ of $\operatorname{ad}X$ satisfy $|\psi|<2\alpha$, then \begin{gather*} \log\bigl(e^{tZ}e^X\bigr)=X+tL_XZ+O(t^2),\\ L_X=\frac{\operatorname{ad}X}{e^{\operatorname{ad}X}-1},\qquad\lVert L_X \rVert\le\Lambda, \end{gather*} since the eigenvalues of $L_X$ have modulus $\frac{|\psi|/2}{\sin(|\psi|/2 )}$, which increases with $|\psi|$. For every $Y\in\g$, \begin{gather*} \frac d{dt}e^{Y+tZ}\Big|_{t=0}e^{-Y}=E_YZ,\\ E_Y=\frac{e^{\operatorname{ad}Y}-1}{\operatorname{ad}Y},\qquad\lVert E_Y \rVert\le1, \end{gather*} because $|e^{i\psi}-1|\le|\psi|$; in particular $d(e^A,e^B)\le\lVert A-B \rVert$ for the Riemannian distance $d$ of the bi-invariant metric, along the curve $e^{A+t(B-A)}$. If $\delta(v,I)<1$ and $e^{i\theta_j}$, $|\theta _j|\le\pi$, are the eigenvalues of $v$, then $\sum_j4\sin^2(\theta_j/2)<1$; each $|\theta_j|$ is less than $\frac\pi3$, where $\sin^2(t/2)$ is convex, so $|\theta_j|+|\theta_k|<2\alpha$ for all $j,k$, and $X=\log v$ satisfies the hypothesis on $\operatorname{ad}X$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:privatesubmersion} Let $\sigma_0=(1-\frac78\Lambda)/\sqrt2>0.031$. At every field at which $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}$ is differentiable, its derivative $J:\g^8\to\g$ with respect to its eight private links, right trivialised, satisfies $JJ^*\ge \sigma_0^2$. The fields at which it is not differentiable form a null set for Haar measure. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Write $m=\max_x\delta(v_x,I)$ and $\chi=\phi(m/\rho_G)$, so that $V^\sharp= P_{2y}e^{\chi N}$ with $N=\frac1{16}\sum_x\log v_x$. Where $m>\rho_G$, the cut-off vanishes near the field, $V^\sharp=\ell_0$, and the derivative along $\ell_0$ is the identity. Suppose $m<\rho_G$, and that the maximum is attained at one path $x_*$, after identifying identical path functions, and $m\ne\rho_G/2$. Copies that coincide because $u_a,w_a$ are tree links are counted together. Other ties lie in finitely many proper real-analytic subsets, a null set. The variation below fixes both copies of an identical pair, since then $u_b=w_b=I$ and $A-1=0$. Then every $\delta(v_x,I)$ is less than $1$, the logarithms are defined, $\chi$ is differentiable, and every variation that fixes $v_{x_*}$ to first order fixes $\chi$ to first order. The site $x_*$ has offset $b\ne0$. Fix $\zeta\in\g$ and put $\eta=\operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0)\zeta$. Move $\ell_0 \mapsto e^{t\eta}\ell_0$, and, if $x_*=x'_b$, $\ell_b\mapsto e^{t\eta}\ell_b$, or, if $x_*=x_b$, $\ell_b\mapsto e^{t\xi}\ell_b$ with $\xi=\operatorname{Ad} (u_b^{-1})\eta$, so that $u_b\ell_b\mapsto e^{t\eta}u_b\ell_b$. In both cases $P_{2y}$ and $P_{x_*}$ are multiplied on the left by $e^{t\eta}$, so $v_{x_*}$ and $\chi$ are fixed to first order. The other site $\bar x$ of offset $b$ has $P_{\bar x}\mapsto e^{t\operatorname{Ad}(u_b^{\pm1})\eta} P_{\bar x}$, and the paths from the remaining twelve sites with $v_x\ne I$ do not move. With the isometry $A=\operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0^{-1}u_b^{\pm1} \ell_0)$, \[ v_{\bar x}\mapsto e^{t(A-1)\zeta}v_{\bar x}+O(t^2),\qquad v_x\mapsto e^{-t \zeta}v_x+O(t^2) \] for the twelve others, so $N$ moves by $t\,\delta N$ with $16\,\delta N=L_{X _{\bar x}}(A-1)\zeta-\sum_xL_{X_x}\zeta$, twelve terms, and $\lVert\delta N \rVert\le\frac{14}{16}\Lambda\lVert\zeta\rVert$. Since $\chi$ is fixed, \[ \frac d{dt}V^\sharp\,(V^\sharp)^{-1}=\eta+\operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0)E_{\chi N}(\chi\,\delta N)=\operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0)\,T\zeta, \] with $\lVert T\zeta-\zeta\rVert\le\frac78\Lambda\lVert\zeta\rVert$, as $\chi\le1$. The variation is $K\zeta$ for a linear map $K:\g\to\g^8$ with two nonzero components of norm $\lVert\zeta\rVert$, so $\lVert K\rVert=\sqrt2$ and $JK=\operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0)T$. For a unit vector $e\in\g$, \[ \lVert J^*e\rVert\ge\frac{\lVert K^*J^*e\rVert}{\sqrt2}=\frac{\lVert T^* \operatorname{Ad}(\ell_0)^*e\rVert}{\sqrt2}\ge\frac{1-\frac78\Lambda} {\sqrt2}=\sigma_0, \] since the least singular value of $T$ is at least $1-\frac78\Lambda$. At the other points of differentiability the same bound follows by continuity: the cut-off has finitely many smooth branch formulas, at such a point the formulas of the adjacent full-dimensional branches agree with its differential, and the lower bound on the singular value is preserved under limits. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:coareabound} Let $C=(V^\sharp_{y,\mu})_{y\in W,\,\mu}$, as a function of the links of $A_W$, the other links being fixed. Wherever $C$ is differentiable, \[ \det\bigl(DC\,DC^*\bigr)^{-1/2}\le\sigma_0^{-4|W|\dim G}<33^{4|W|\dim G}. \] \end{corollary} \begin{proof} The private links of distinct pairs are distinct, and each enters only the average of its pair, so the columns of $DC$ that belong to private links form a block diagonal matrix with the blocks of Lemma~\ref{lem:privatesubmersion}. Hence $DC\,DC^*\ge\bigoplus_kJ_kJ_k^* \ge\sigma_0^2$. \end{proof} The coarea factor of the constrained law is therefore bounded on the whole fibre by a constant per block, for every value of the cut-off and however far the links inside the blocks are from $I$. The volume of the fibre is bounded through the law of the averages. From here on $G=\SU(2)$, which with the metric $\lVert X\rVert^2=\Tr(X^*X)$ is the round sphere of radius $\sqrt2$, $\rho_G=1$, and $h$ is normalised Haar measure. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:averagedensity} Let $G=\SU(2)$, fix every link other than the private links of $(y,\mu)$, and let these eight links be independent and Haar distributed. Then the law of $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}$ has a density with respect to $h$ that is at most \[ M=1+2\Bigl(1-\frac78\Lambda\Bigr)^{-3}<2.4\cdot10^4 \] at every point, in the version given by the formula~\eqref{eq:densityformula} of the proof. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Let $g=\ell_0$, and let $m_1$ and $m_2$ be the largest values of $\delta(v_{x_a},I)$ and of $\delta(v_{x'_a},I)$. Up to the null set $m=1$, split $G^8$ into the three regions \begin{gather*} R_0=\{m>1\},\\ R_1=\{m_1\ge m_2,\ m_1<1\},\qquad R_2=\{m_2>m_1,\ m_2<1\}; \end{gather*} ties between the two families, including two path functions that coincide identically, belong to $R_1$. On $R_0$, $\chi=0$ and $V^\sharp=g$. On $R_1$ use the coordinates $(g,h_1,\dots,h_7)$ with $h_a=v_{x_a}=g^{-1}u_a \ell_a$. For fixed $g$ the map $\ell_a\mapsto h_a$ is a left translation, so these coordinates carry product Haar measure, and \[ v_{x'_a}=g^{-1}\ell_aw_a=g^{-1}u_a^{-1}g\,h_aw_a . \] Fix $h$ and put $m_h=\max_a\delta(h_a,I)<1$. The set $S_h$ of $g$ with $(g,h) \in R_1$ is the measurable set where $\delta(v_{x'_a},I)\le m_h$ for every $a$; on it $m=m_h$, so $\chi=\phi(m_h)$ does not depend on $g$, and $V^\sharp=g\,e^{\chi N(g)}$ with $N(g)=\frac1{16}\sum_a(\log h_a+\log v_{x'_a})$. The set $\{\delta(v,I)<1\}$ is the ball of angular radius $\alpha$ about $I$ on the sphere, which is geodesically convex, and on it $\lVert\log v-\log v'\rVert \le\Lambda\,d(v,v')$. By bi-invariance $d(g^{-1}u^{-1}g,g'^{-1}u^{-1}g')\le 2d(g,g')$, so for $g,g'\in S_h$ \[ \lVert N(g)-N(g')\rVert\le\frac7{16}\,2\Lambda\,d(g,g')=\frac78\Lambda\, d(g,g'). \] If $V^\sharp(g)=V^\sharp(g')=c$, then $g=c\,e^{-\chi N(g)}$ and $g'=c\, e^{-\chi N(g')}$, so $d(g,g')\le\frac78\Lambda\,d(g,g')$ and $g=g'$: the map $g\mapsto V^\sharp(g)$ is injective on $S_h$. Its derivative is computed as in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:privatesubmersion}: with $\eta=\operatorname {Ad}(g)\zeta$ the sites $x'_a$ move by $e^{t(A_a-1)\zeta}$, $A_a= \operatorname{Ad}(g^{-1}u_a^{-1}g)$, the sites $x_a$ do not move, and the right trivialised derivative is $\operatorname{Ad}(g)T$ with $\lVert T-1 \rVert\le\frac7{16}\,2\Lambda=\frac78\Lambda$, so its determinant is at least $(1-\frac78\Lambda)^3$ in modulus. On $R_2$ the coordinates $(g,h'_1, \dots,h'_7)$ with $h'_a=v_{x'_a}=g^{-1}\ell_aw_a$ and $v_{x_a}=g^{-1}u_ag \,h'_aw_a^{-1}$ give the same conclusions. For fixed $h$, the smooth formula with $\chi=\phi(m_h)$ fixed extends to a neighbourhood of each point of $S_h$, where no logarithm meets $-I$; its restriction to the measurable set $S_h$ is injective and has the Jacobian bounds above. The change of variables formula for measurable restrictions therefore applies, even if part of the boundary of $S_h$ has positive measure, and likewise on $R_2$. The law of $V^\sharp$ has the density \begin{multline}\label{eq:densityformula} \rho(c)=h^{\otimes7}\bigl(\{\ell:(c,\ell)\in R_0\}\bigr)\\ +\sum_{i=1,2}\int\sum_{g\in S^{(i)}_h,\ V^\sharp=c}\frac{dh^{\otimes7}} {\lvert\det DV^\sharp(g)\rvert}, \end{multline} the inner sum having at most one term, and $\rho(c)\le1+2(1-\frac78\Lambda )^{-3}$. Finally $1-\frac78\Lambda=0.04391\ldots$ and $M=23621\ldots$. \end{proof} The four averages of a block depend on disjoint sets of private links, and on the links inside the blocks, which are private to none. So, given the links inside the blocks of $W$, the averages $V^\sharp_k$ are independent, and the formula~\eqref{eq:densityformula} for each pair defines, for every value $c$ of $C$, a measure $\nu_c$ on the fibre $F_c=C^{-1}(c)$: in the coordinates of the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:averagedensity}, chosen for each pair according to its region, it is the product Haar measure of the links inside the blocks and of the seven coordinates other than $g$, divided by the product of the determinants $\lvert\det DV^\sharp_k(g)\rvert$. Then $h=\int\nu_c\,dh(c)$ on $G^{A_W}$, so $\nu_c$ is a version of the conditional law, and \begin{equation}\label{eq:fibrevolume} \nu_c(F_c)\le M^{4|W|}\qquad\text{for every }c. \end{equation} Where $C$ is differentiable, \[ \nu_c=\operatorname{vol}(G)^{-45|W|}\det\bigl(DC\,DC^*\bigr)^{-1/2}\, d\mathcal H . \] Indeed, if $C(z,g)=c$ is solved for $g$ by $g=\psi(z)$, then $DC=\partial_g C\,(-D\psi,\,1)$, so \[ \det\bigl(DC\,DC^*\bigr)^{1/2}=\lvert\det\partial_gC\rvert\det\bigl(1+ D\psi^*D\psi\bigr)^{1/2}, \] and the second factor is the Jacobian of the graph of $\psi$. So $\nu_c$ is the coarea version on the charts of Theorems~\ref{thm:fibrechart} and~\ref{thm:chartdecay}, where $C$ is smooth, and we use it on the whole fibre. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:calmfibre} Let $G=\SU(2)$, $\lambda>0$ and $0K$ mass at most \[ \varepsilon_W(K,\lambda)=\Bigl(\frac{3\cdot10^8\,n_P^{3/2}}{K^3}\Bigr) ^{45|W|}e^{-3\lambda K^2/4}. \] \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Let $c=C(U)$, let $B$ be the set in question, and let $Q_W$ be the sum of $\delta(U'_p,I)^2$ over the $n_P$ plaquettes that contain a link of $A_W$; on $F$ it differs from $Q$ by a constant, so $\mu_U=e^{-\lambda Q_W}\nu_c/ \nu_c(e^{-\lambda Q_W})$. A plaquette that contains no link of $A_W$ has $U'_p=U_p$ for $U'\in F$, so on $B$ the large plaquette is one of the $n_P$ and $Q_W>K^2$. By~\eqref{eq:fibrevolume}, \[ \int_Be^{-\lambda Q_W}\,d\nu_c\le M^{4|W|}e^{-\lambda K^2}. \] For the denominator we solve the constraints for the path links. Let $L'=A_W\setminus\{d_k\}$, $\rho=K/(188\sqrt{n_P})$ and $R=44\rho$, and let $D$ be the set of $z\in G^{L'}$ with $d(z_e,U_e)\le\rho$ for every $e\in L'$. The field $U$ satisfies the hypothesis of Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes}, as $\kappa\le K/4$, and part (i) of the lemma gives $\delta(U_e,I)\le3\kappa$ for the links inside the blocks and $\delta(U_e,U_{d_k})\le21\kappa$ for the private links of $k$, so $\delta(v_x,I)\le24\kappa$ and, by Lemma~\ref{lem:logbound}, $d(v_x,I)\le8\pi\kappa$ at every site of every pair. Fix $z\in D$ and a pair $k$, and let $\ell$ range over the ball $B_k$ of radius $R$ about $U_{d_k}$. Each $v_x$ is $\ell^{-1}$ times a product of at most two links of $L'$ and fixed links, so at the field with links $z$ and $\ell$ it lies within $R+2\rho$ of its value at $U$, and within $8\pi\kappa +46\rho<0.01$ of $I$. Hence the cut-off equals $1$ near this field and $V^\sharp_k=\ell\,e^{N_k(\ell)}$, with $N_k$ depending on $z$ and $\ell$. Each $v_x$ is moved by $d(\ell,\ell')$ when $\ell$ is replaced by $\ell'$, so the map $\Psi(\ell)=c_k\,e^{-N_k(\ell)}$ satisfies $d(\Psi(\ell),\Psi(\ell'))\le \frac78\Lambda\,d(\ell,\ell')$. At $U$ the path link solves $U_{d_k}=c_ke^{-N_k}$, and the sites move by at most $R+2\rho$ between $U$ and the field with links $z$ and $\ell$, so \[ d\bigl(\Psi(\ell),U_{d_k}\bigr)\le\frac78\Lambda\,(R+2\rho)<0.9561\cdot46 \rho0$ and $0Q_W(U)+t\}\bigr)\le\varepsilon'_W(t, \lambda),\\ \varepsilon'_W(t,\lambda)=\Bigl(\frac{5.2\cdot10^{10}\,n_P^3}{t^3}\Bigr) ^{45|W|}e^{-3\lambda t/4}. \end{gather*} In particular $\mu_F(\{Q_W>q(F)+t\})\le\varepsilon'_W(t,\lambda)$ on every fibre. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The numerator is bounded by~\eqref{eq:fibrevolume} as in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:calmfibre}, by $M^{4|W|}e^{-\lambda(Q_W(U)+t)}$. For the denominator take $\rho=t/(1076\,n_P)\le10^{-3}$, $R=44\rho$, and $D$ and $B_k$ as in that proof. At the field with links $z\in D$ on $L'$ and $\ell\in B_k$ on $d_k$, each $v_x$ of the pair $k$ lies within $R+2\rho=46\rho<0.043$ of its value at $U$, and $\delta\le d$, so $\delta(v_x,I)<\frac14+0.043< \frac12$. Hence the cut-off equals $1$ near this field, the logarithms are $\Lambda$-Lipschitz along the moves, and the contraction argument of that proof gives the injective map $\Gamma:D\to F$, near whose image $C$ is smooth with $\lvert\det\partial_gC\rvert\le1.957^{3\cdot4|W|}$. So \[ \nu_c\bigl(\Gamma(D)\bigr)\ge1.957^{-12|W|}\Bigl(\frac{\rho^3}{14}\Bigr) ^{45|W|}. \] On $\Gamma(D)$ each of the $n_P$ plaquettes moves by at most $47\rho$, and $\delta(U_p,I)\le2\sqrt2$, so \begin{multline*} \delta(U'_p,I)^2\le\delta(U_p,I)^2+94\cdot2\sqrt2\,\rho+47^2\rho^2\\ <\delta(U_p,I)^2+269\rho, \end{multline*} and $Q_W\le Q_W(U)+269n_P\rho=Q_W(U)+\frac t4$ there. Dividing as before, \begin{multline*} \mu_F(\{Q_W>Q_W(U)+t\})\\ \le\bigl(M^41.957^{12}\bigr)^{|W|}\Bigl(\frac{14\cdot1076^3n_P^3}{t^3} \Bigr)^{45|W|}e^{-3\lambda t/4}, \end{multline*} and $2.93\cdot14\cdot1076^3<5.2\cdot10^{10}$. For the last statement apply this to regular fields with $Q_W(U)$ decreasing to $q(F)$ and use the continuity of $\varepsilon'_W$ in $t$. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:everyfibre} Let $G=\SU(2)$, $\lambda>0$ and $0K^2\ge Q_W(U)+\frac{15}{16}K^2$. Apply Proposition~\ref{prop:everyfibre} with $t=\frac{15}{16}K^2\le1$. \end{proof} The field of Proposition~\ref{prop:calmfibre} is regular, since its sites lie within $24\kappa$ of $I$, so Corollary~\ref{cor:everyfibre} contains that proposition up to the constants and drops its hypothesis on the plaquettes made of fixed links and on the links inside the blocks. It reaches every fibre whose boundary links carry large plaquettes, provided the sites of the averages can be made small there together with the plaquettes that move. Proposition~\ref{prop:everyfibre} holds on every fibre with no hypothesis at all, but its reference value $q(F)$ need not be small. Where it is of order one, as it can be when the averages are far from what the boundary links suggest, the constrained law sits within $t$ of $q(F)$ but away from the charts of Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay}, which are built at fields with all plaquettes near $W$ small. The proposition also does not compare regular with irregular fields, at which some site is far from $I$. Different fibres with the same links off $A_W$ are compared through the law of the averages. Call the links off $A_W$ the \emph{exterior} $E$, write $h$ for product Haar measure on $G^{A_W}$, and let \[ \pi_E=\frac{e^{-\lambda Q_W}h}{h(e^{-\lambda Q_W})} \] on $G^{A_W}$. Under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure in the tree gauge, $\pi_E$ with $\lambda=\beta_W/4$ is the conditional law of the links of $A_W$ given the exterior. Since $h=\int\nu_c\,dh(c)$, \[ \pi_E=\int\mu_{F_c}\,\frac{\nu_c(e^{-\lambda Q_W})}{h(e^{-\lambda Q_W})} \,dh(c), \] so $\mu_{F_c}$ is the conditional law of $\pi_E$ given $C=c$, and the law of the fibre through a field drawn from $\pi_E$ is the law of $C$ under $\pi_E$. Let $Q_*(E)$ be the least value of $Q_W$ on $G^{A_W}$, which is attained since $G^{A_W}$ is compact. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:fibrecompare} Let $G=\SU(2)$, $\lambda>0$ and $0Q_*(E)+t\}\bigr)\le\varepsilon''_W(t,\lambda),\\ \varepsilon''_W(t,\lambda)=\Bigl(\frac{1.05\cdot10^7\,n_P^3}{t^3}\Bigr) ^{49|W|}e^{-3\lambda t/4}. \end{gather*} In particular the law of the averages under $\pi_E$ gives the fibres $F$ with $\inf_FQ_W>Q_*(E)+t$ mass at most $\varepsilon''_W(t,\lambda)$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Since $h$ is a probability measure, \[ \int_{\{Q_W>Q_*+t\}}e^{-\lambda Q_W}\,dh\le e^{-\lambda(Q_*+t)}. \] For the normalisation let $U_*$ be a field with $Q_W(U_*)=Q_*$, let $\rho=t/(90.6\,n_P)$, and let $D$ be the set of fields with $d(U_e,U_{*,e})\le\rho$ for each of the $49|W|$ links of $A_W$, the $45|W|$ links of $L'$ and the $4|W|$ path links. Then $h(D)=h(B_\rho) ^{49|W|}\ge(\rho^3/14)^{49|W|}$. Each plaquette contains at most four links of $A_W$, so on $D$ it moves by at most $4\rho$, and as $\delta\le d$ and $\delta(U_p,I)\le2\sqrt2$, \begin{multline*} \delta(U_p,I)^2\le\delta(U_{*,p},I)^2+16\sqrt2\,\rho+16\rho^2\\ <\delta(U_{*,p},I)^2+22.63\rho, \end{multline*} because each link of $A_W$ lies in six plaquettes, so $n_P\ge74$ and $\rho< 1.5\cdot10^{-4}$. Hence $Q_W\le Q_*+22.63\,n_P\rhoQ_*+t\}\bigr)\le\Bigl(\frac{14\cdot90.6^3n_P^3}{t^3}\Bigr) ^{49|W|}e^{-3\lambda t/4}, \] with $14\cdot90.6^3<1.05\cdot10^7$. A field $U$ with $Q_W(U)\le Q_*+t$ lies in its own fibre, so $\inf_{F(U)}Q_W\le Q_*+t$, which gives the last statement. \end{proof} Call a field that agrees with $E$ off $A_W$ a \emph{completion} of $E$. \begin{corollary}\label{cor:calmexterior} Let $G=\SU(2)$, $\lambda>0$, $0 Q_*+\kappa^2/2\}$, and Proposition~\ref{prop:fibrecompare} with $t= \kappa^2/2\le1$ applies. (ii) A field $U\in\mathcal E$ satisfies the hypothesis of Lemma~\ref{lem:smallframes}, which places every site of every pair within $24\kappa<\frac14$ of $I$, as in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:calmfibre}; so $U$ is regular and $q(F(U))\le Q_W(U) <\kappa^2$. Hence a fibre with $q(F)\ge\kappa^2$ contains no field of $\mathcal E$, and the law of the averages gives these fibres at most the mass $\pi_E(\mathcal E^c)$. (iii) The fibre $F(U)$ contains the field $U$, whose plaquettes with a vertex in a block of $W^+$ are at most $\kappa=K/(4\sqrt {n_P})$, which is the hypothesis of Proposition~\ref{prop:calmfibre}; Corollary~\ref{cor:calmfibres} applies at $U$. \end{proof} So on every exterior whose plaquettes near $W$ can all be made small by the links of $A_W$, the fibres where $q(F)$ is of order one, and more generally the fibres that contain no field with small plaquettes near $W$, carry total mass at most $\varepsilon''_W(\kappa^2/2,\lambda)$ in the law of the averages, and every other fibre has the chart decay of Corollary~\ref{cor:calmfibres}. This is a bound for every such exterior, not a mean over exteriors as in Theorem~\ref{thm:offchart}(ii). If $\lambda\kappa^2\ge196|W|\ln(8.4\cdot10^7n_P^3/\kappa^6)$, then $\varepsilon''_W(\kappa^2/2,\lambda)\le e^{-\lambda\kappa^2/8}$; with $n_P\le384|W|$ and $K=4.8\cdot10^{-18}$ this holds under the Wilson measure for $\beta_W\ge6.4\cdot10^{43}|W|^2(1+\ln|W|)$. The fibres where $q(F)$ is of order one remain possible in two places: on an exterior with no completion whose plaquettes near $W$ are small, and as values of $c$ of small mass on an exterior with one. \begin{remark}\label{rem:chartdecayopen} Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay} is the decay that Remark~\ref{rem:fibrechartopen}(b) asks for, on the chart $\Phi(\Omega_r)$ with $r=s/32$, which contains $\Phi(K_{s/32})$ and so every $Ue^X\in F$ with $\lVert X\rVert_\infty\le s/1280$. Its constants are explicit by Propositions~\ref{prop:explicitconstants} and~\ref{prop:explicitdecay}: the rate $\alpha_G=2.5\cdot10^{-4}$ is the same for every group and lies far below the decay seen in the computation described at the end of this remark. What remains open for the small fields: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item the mass of the constrained law outside $\Phi(\Omega_r)$ on the fibres that contain no field whose plaquettes near $W$ are small: Corollary~\ref{cor:calmfibres} bounds it on every fibre that contains one, Corollary~\ref{cor:calmexterior} shows that on every exterior with a completion whose plaquettes near $W$ are small these fibres, among them those where $q(F)$ is of order one, have mass at most $\varepsilon''_W$ in the law of the averages, and Theorem~\ref{thm:offchart} bounds them in mean over all exteriors; the constrained cube condition of Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(a) takes a supremum over boundary conditions, which include these fibres of small mass and the exteriors with no such completion, and on them no chart of Theorem~\ref{thm:chartdecay} is available; by Proposition~\ref{prop:calmrare} these are the typical case on cubes of fixed physical size along the tuning; \item the passage from the decay of the constrained law on one fibre, at a fixed background, to the constrained cube condition of Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(a), whose supremum runs over boundary conditions that include large fields. \end{enumerate} On the periodic lattice of side twelve, for $\SU(2)$ backgrounds as in the check of Theorem~\ref{thm:smallfibre} and $W$ a row of five blocks, the section $S$ has row sums at most $14$, the blocks of $\bar P$ beyond the range of $S$ decay by a factor about $0.4$ per unit of distance, and the blocks of the chart Hessian of $Q$ fall from $15$ at distance zero to $10^{-8}$ at distance nine, a floating-point computation reproduced in the archive. \end{remark} \subsection{Large fields under the Wilson measure}\label{ssec:largefields} Theorem~\ref{thm:smallscales} needs every plaquette to be small. This subsection shows that, under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure, the plaquettes that are not small form clusters of microscopic size, and that the cut-off average departs from the average only next to them. It also shows that such plaquettes are present along the one-loop tuning, so the composition has to pass through them. Let $\Lambda_L=(\Z/L\Z)^4$ with $L=2^m\ge4$, and let $\mu_L$ be the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure on $\Lambda_L$, with density proportional to $e^{-\beta_W S(U)}$ with respect to product Haar measure, where \[ S(U)=\sum_ps_p,\qquad s_p=1-\tfrac12\Tr U_p=\tfrac14\,\delta(U_p,I)^2 . \] This is the Wilson measure of Sec.~\ref{sec:state} on the torus, without gauge fixing; it has $4L^4$ links and $6L^4$ plaquettes. For $0<\rho\le1$ call a plaquette \emph{bad} if $\delta(U_p,I)>\rho$. The closed unit cube $\mathcal C_x=x+[0,1]^4$ contains $24$ plaquettes. Let $B_x$ be the event that one of them is bad. A plaquette lies in exactly four unit cubes, one for each choice of the two transverse coordinates of the cube's corner. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:wilsonZ} Let $Z_L$ be the normalising constant of $\mu_L$ and $C_0=\frac12+\frac23 \log(24\pi^3)$. For $\beta_W\ge1$, \[ -\log Z_L\le6L^4(\log\beta_W+C_0),\qquad \E_{\mu_L}S\le6L^4\,\frac{\log\beta_W+C_0}{\beta_W}. \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Write $U=\cos\theta\,I+\sin\theta\,J$ with $0\le\theta\le\pi$ and $J^2=-I$. The angle $\theta$ of $g^{-1}h$ is a bi-invariant distance, and under Haar measure $\theta$ has density $\frac2\pi\sin^2\theta$. Put $r=(4\sqrt{ \beta_W})^{-1}$. If every link has angle at most $r$, every plaquette has angle at most $4r\le1$ and $s_p\le(4r)^2/2=1/(2\beta_W)$, so $S\le3L^4$. Each link angle is at most $r$ with probability \[ \frac2\pi\int_0^r\sin^2t\,dt\ge\frac{8r^3}{3\pi^3}=\frac1{24\pi^3 \beta_W^{3/2}}, \] by $\sin t\ge2t/\pi$. Hence $Z_L\ge e^{-3L^4}(24\pi^3\beta_W^{3/2})^{-4L^4}$, which is the first bound. The function $F(b)=-\log Z_L$ at the coupling $b$ is concave with $F(0)=0$ and $F'(b)=\E S$, so $bF'(b)\le F(b)$, which is the second. \end{proof} \begin{theorem}\label{thm:defects} For $\beta_W\ge1$, $0<\rho\le1$ and every set $A$ of unit cubes, \begin{gather*} \mu_L\Bigl(\,\bigcap_{x\in A}B_x\Bigr)\le q^{|A|},\\ q=q_\rho(\beta_W)=\min\bigl\{1,\exp\bigl(6(\log\beta_W+C_0)-\beta_W \rho^2/16\bigr)\bigr\}. \end{gather*} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} The measure $\mu_L$ is reflection positive in every hyperplane through sites~\cite{OSei78}: the plaquettes are either in the hyperplane or on one side of it, so conditionally on the links in the hyperplane the weight factors into two mirror images, and reflection preserves Haar measure and $\Tr U_p$. On a torus of side $2^m$ this gives the chessboard estimate for functions of the links of closed unit cubes~\cite{FILS78}, \cite[Section 5.3]{Bis09}: \[ \mu_L\Bigl(\,\bigcap_{x\in A}B_x\Bigr)\le\mu_L\Bigl(\,\bigcap_{x\in \Lambda_L}B_x\Bigr)^{|A|/L^4}, \] since the reflection of $B_x$ into another cube is the event $B_y$ of that cube. If every cube is bad, there are at least $L^4/4$ bad plaquettes, so $S\ge\rho^2L^4/16$ and the event has unnormalised weight at most $e^{-\beta_W\rho^2L^4/16}$. Dividing by $Z_L$ and using Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsonZ} gives the bound. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:defectclusters} Join two unit cubes when their corners are at $\ell^\infty$ distance one on the torus. For an integer $r\ge1$, \[ \mu_L\{\text{some connected set of $r$ bad cubes}\}\le L^4(6400\,q)^r . \] Hence, on a torus of fixed physical side $La$, if $a\to0$ along $L=2^m$ and $\beta_W(a)\to\infty$, the physical diameters of all connected clusters of bad cubes tend to $0$ in probability, for every fixed $\rho$. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} A connected set of $r$ cubes containing a given cube is recovered from a walk of length $2(r-1)$ around a spanning tree, and each cube has $80$ neighbours, so there are at most $80^{2(r-1)}\le6400^r$ such sets. Apply Theorem~\ref{thm:defects} and sum over the $L^4$ roots. A cluster of physical diameter at least $R$ contains a connected set of $\lceil R/a \rceil$ cubes, and once $6400\,q\le\frac12$ the bound is at most $(La/a)^4 2^{-R/a}\to0$. \end{proof} The bad cubes control where the cut-off average differs from the average. For a coarse link $(y,\mu)$ let $\mathcal Z_{y,\mu}$ be the $24$ unit cubes with corners $2y+te_\mu+w$, $t\in\{0,1,2\}$, $w\in\{0,1\}^4$, $w_\mu=0$ (Fig.~\ref{fig:largefields}). \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{figures/fig_largefields.png} \caption{Large fields under the $\SU(2)$ Wilson measure. (a)~A plane section of the lattice: bad unit cubes (red) form clusters, and the cut-off average can differ from the path average only on coarse links (orange) whose $24$ cubes $\mathcal Z_{y,\mu}$ meet a bad cube (Corollary~\ref{cor:activelinks}). (b)~The frustrated exterior of a link $e$: the staple of $p_0$ is $I$ and the other five staples are $-I$, so $U_e$ is driven to $-I$ and $p_0$ is bad. (c)~The weight $q_\rho(\beta_W)$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:defects} for three values of $\rho$; below the dashed line the cluster bound of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectclusters} is summable.} \label{fig:largefields} \end{figure*} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:activelinks} Let $\rho=\frac1{12}$. If no cube of $\mathcal Z_{y,\mu}$ is bad, then $\chi_{y,\mu}(U)=1$ in the tree gauge, and $V^\sharp_{y,\mu}$ is the average of the sixteen paths in the chart at $P_{2y}$. A bad cube lies in $\mathcal Z_{y,\mu}$ for at most eight coarse links, so the expected fraction of coarse links with $\chi<1$ is at most $4.5\cdot10^5\,(\log \beta_W+C_0)/\beta_W$. Along the limits of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectclusters}, with probability tending to one these links lie within physical distance $2a$ of clusters of bad cubes of physical diameter less than any fixed $R>0$. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} As in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:smallstep}, $P_{2y}^{-1}P_x$ is a product of at most six conjugates of plaquette holonomies or their inverses. These plaquettes lie in planes $\{\mu,\alpha\}$ with corners $2y+te_\mu+w$ as above, and a plaquette lies in the unit cube at its corner. So $\delta(P_x,P_{2y})\le6\rho=\frac12$, and $\chi=1$. A cube with corner $z$ lies in $\mathcal Z_{y,\mu}$ only if $z_\mu-2y_\mu\in\{0,1,2\}$ and $z_\alpha-2y_\alpha\in\{0,1\}$ for $\alpha\ne\mu$, which leaves at most two coarse links in each direction. There are $L^4/4$ coarse links, the number of bad cubes is at most four times the number of bad plaquettes, and a bad plaquette has $s_p>\rho^2/4$, so by Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsonZ} the expected fraction is at most $4\cdot8\cdot4 \cdot24\cdot144\,(\log\beta_W+C_0)/\beta_W$. The last assertion is Corollary~\ref{cor:defectclusters}. \end{proof} Small plaquettes everywhere, which Theorem~\ref{thm:smallscales} assumes, are nevertheless improbable along the one-loop tuning. For $\SU(2)$, $\beta_W=4g^{-2}$, and the one-loop coupling of Remark~\ref{rem:constrainedopen}(c) at spacing $a=1/L$ gives $\beta_W=8b_0 \log L+O(1)=\frac{11}{3\pi^2}\log L+O(1)$. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:manydefects} Let $0<\rho\le1$, $v_*=\frac2\pi\int_{\arccos(3/4)}^{\pi/3}\sin^2t\,dt$ and $p=v_*e^{-3\beta_W}$. Conditionally on all other links, a plaquette through a link $e$ is bad with probability at least $p$. Hence \[ \mu_L\{\text{no plaquette is bad}\}\le e^{-\lfloor L/3\rfloor^4p}, \] which tends to $0$ when $\beta_W\le B\log L+O(1)$ with $B<4/3$, in particular along the one-loop tuning. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Identify $\SU(2)$ with the unit quaternions. Conditionally on the other links, $U_e$ has density proportional to $e^{\kappa\,h\cdot u}$ with $0\le\kappa\le6\beta_W$ and $|h|=1$, the six staples contributing at most $\beta_W$ each. The plaquette holonomy is $U_e$ or its inverse multiplied by a fixed element, so it has a density of the same form. Writing the density as a superposition of indicators of caps centred at $h$, the probability of a cap about $I$ is largest when $h=I$, and for $h=I$ it increases with $\kappa$, because its derivative is the covariance of an increasing function of $\Tr U$ with $\frac12\Tr U$. So the probability of being bad is at least that of the angle exceeding $\arccos(1-\rho^2/4)\le \arccos(3/4)$ under the density proportional to $e^{6\beta_W\cos t}\sin^2t$, which is at least $p$: bound the numerator from below on $[\arccos(3/4), \pi/3]$, where $\cos t\ge\frac12$, and the denominator by $e^{6\beta_W} \pi/2$. Let $M=\lfloor L/3\rfloor$. Choose the links in direction $0$ at the sites $3z$, $z\in\{0,\dots,M-1\}^4$, and their plaquettes in the plane $\{0,1 \}$. No chosen plaquette contains another chosen link. Removing one chosen link at a time therefore bounds the probability that all chosen plaquettes are good by $(1-p)^{M^4}$. With $\beta_W=B\log L+O(1)$ the exponent is of order $L^{4-3B}$. \end{proof} The composition of Theorem~\ref{thm:smallscales} is local, so it continues across the scales away from the defects, and the defects spread by at most three spacings of the current scale at each step. For a coarse plaquette $P$ at $y$ let $\mathcal B_P$ be the fine box $2y+[0,4]^4$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:localstep} Let $U$ be a $G$-valued field in the tree gauge and $P$ a coarse plaquette. If every plaquette $p$ in $\mathcal B_P$ has $\delta(U_p,I)\le\rho_G$ and $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert\le\eta\le\rho_G/1000$, then $\chi=1$ on the four sides of $P$, $\delta(V^\sharp(U)_P,I)\le0.03\,\rho_G$, the inequalities \eqref{eq:smallstep} hold for $P$, and $\lVert\log V^\sharp(U)_P\rVert\le 4(1+647\eta)\eta$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} For the plaquette $P$ the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:smallstep} uses only the plaquettes of the surfaces $\mathcal U_\ell$ of the four sides $\ell$ of $P$ and those of the sixteen squares $\square_{2y+o}$. A plaquette of $\mathcal U_\ell$, $\ell=(y_i,\mu_i)$, has its corner $x$ at $x_{\mu_i}-2(y_i)_{\mu_i} \in\{0,1,2\}$ and $x_\alpha-2(y_i)_\alpha\in\{0,1\}$ for $\alpha\ne\mu_i$, with $y_i\in\{y,y+e_\mu,y+e_\nu\}$; a plaquette of $\square_{2y+o}$ has $x-2y\in\{0,1,2\}^4$. So $x-2y\in\{0,1,2,3\}^4$ in every case, and the plaquette lies in $\mathcal B_P$. The bounds on $\chi$, on $\delta(V^\sharp_P, I)$, the inequalities~\eqref{eq:smallstep} and the bound $\lVert\bar F_P \rVert+3.2\,r_P^2\le4(1+647\eta)\eta$ in that proof use only the norms of these plaquettes. \end{proof} Let $a$ be the fine spacing and $a_j=2^ja$. Given $\eta_0>0$ put $\eta_{j+1}= 4(1+647\eta_j)\eta_j$. Let $\mathfrak B_0$ be the set of fine plaquettes with $\delta(U_p,I)>\rho_G$ or $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert>\eta_0$, and let $\mathfrak B_{j+1}$ be the set of plaquettes $P$ of the lattice of spacing $a_{j+1}$ whose box $\mathcal B_P$ contains a plaquette of $\mathfrak B_j$. Let $E^\circ_j$ and $A^\circ_j$ be the sum of squares and the sum of $\lVert \Theta^{(j)}_P\rVert$ over the plaquettes $P\notin\mathfrak B_j$ of the $j$-th iterate. \begin{theorem}\label{thm:defectscales} Let $G\subset\U(r)$ be compact and $U$ a $G$-valued field on the periodic lattice of side divisible by $2^k$, and suppose that $\eta_j\le\rho_G/1000$ for $j10^{-4}$, so $2^{k_*}>\frac12\cdot10^{-2}(1.01\rho)^{-1/2}$, and $\rho^{-1/2}=96^{-1/4}(\beta_W/(\log\beta_W+C_1))^{1/4}$ with $96^{1/4} <3.14$. The rest is Theorem~\ref{thm:defectscales} with $\eta_0=1.01\rho$, whose hypothesis holds by part (iv), and $\mathfrak B_0$ contained in the bad cubes; the bound $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert\le1.01\,\delta(U_p,I)$ applies since $\rho\le\frac1{10}$. For the limits take $r=\lceil8\log_2L\rceil$, so that $L^42^{-r}\le L^{-4}$ and $ra\to0$ for a torus of fixed physical side $La$. The defects then lie in sets of physical diameter at most $ra+6a_{k_*}$, and $a_{k_*}\le10^{-2}(1.01\rho)^{-1/2}a\to0$. \end{proof} The scale $a_{k_*}$ is of the order $(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}a$, the order of the cube side that the condition (D) needs by Proposition~\ref{prop:cubesizeN}. So the cut-off average carries the field through the defects of the Wilson measure, without spreading them, up to the scale at which (D) can first hold, but not beyond: past $a_{k_*}$ the bound $\eta_j\le1.023\cdot4^j\eta_0$ no longer keeps the curvature small. Along the one-loop tuning $\beta_W$ grows like $\log L$, so $k_*$ grows like $\frac14\log_2\log L$, a vanishing fraction of the $\log_2L$ scales. The joint bound of Theorem~\ref{thm:defects} is not a conditional one, and (D) needs a supremum over boundary conditions. The two differ genuinely. Fix a link $e$ and a plaquette $p_0$ through it. Put all links on the six staples of $e$ at $I$, except the middle links of the five staples other than that of $p_0$, which are $-I$. Then the conditional density of $U_e$ is proportional to $e^{-2\beta_W\Tr U_e}$, and $p_0$, whose holonomy is $U_e^{\pm1}$, is bad with conditional probability tending to $1$ as $\beta_W\to\infty$, for every $\rho<2 \sqrt2$. Nearby exteriors behave the same way. So the clusters of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectclusters} are small in probability, but the boundary response of a cube to a frustrated exterior is not small, and the composition beyond the scale $a_{k_*}$ of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectscales} and the conditional estimate in (D) remain open. For exteriors that are calm on the boundary of a box and lie in a maximal torus, the conditional estimate does hold. Let $R=[0,l]^4$, $l\ge2$, be a box of $\Lambda_L$ with $l0$ then satisfy $d\alpha^0=\theta$ by closedness, by induction on $t_3$. Each value is a signed sum of at most $l$, respectively $2l$, angles, so $|\alpha^0|\le2l\rho_s$. For $k=1$ put $\alpha=\alpha^0$, so $M_1=\max|\alpha|\le2l\rho_s$. For $k\ge2$, $\alpha$ is already defined on the links of $\Gamma_k$, with $|\alpha|\le M_{k-1}$, and $\omega=\alpha-\alpha^0$ is closed there. Hence $\omega=d\lambda$ for a function $\lambda$ on the vertices of $\Gamma_k$, and $|\lambda(x)-\lambda(y)|\le\lVert\omega\rVert_\infty d_\Gamma(x,y)$, where $d_\Gamma$ is the path metric of $\Gamma_k$. We claim $d_\Gamma\le3d_1$, where $d_1$ is the $\ell^1$ metric of the facet. If $x$ and $y$ lie in one face of $\Gamma_k$, that face contains an $\ell^1$ geodesic between them. If they lie in adjacent faces $\{t_i=s\}$ and $\{t_j=s'\}$, the path through the point with $t_i=s$, $t_j=s'$ and third coordinate that of $x$ has length $d_1(x,y)$. If they lie in opposite faces $\{t_i=0\}$ and $\{t_i=l\}$, then $d_1(x,y)\ge l$. In that case $\Gamma_k$ contains a face adjacent to both, and the path from $x$ to that face, across it and on to $y$ has length at most $d_1(x,y)+2l\le3d_1(x,y)$. So $\lambda$ is $3\lVert\omega\rVert_\infty$-Lipschitz for $d_1$ on $\Gamma_k$. The function \[ \tilde\lambda(x)=\min_y\bigl(\lambda(y)+3\lVert\omega\rVert_\infty d_1(x,y) \bigr) \] extends it to the vertices of the facet with the same constant~\cite{McS34}. Put $\alpha=\alpha^0+d\tilde\lambda$ on the links of the facet. It agrees with the earlier values on $\Gamma_k$, satisfies $d\alpha=\theta$ on the facet, and has \[ |\alpha|\le2l\rho_s+3(M_{k-1}+2l\rho_s). \] So $M_k\le3M_{k-1}+8l\rho_s$, which gives $M_8\le13118\,l\rho_s$. \emph{Extension.} Let $c$ be the centre of $R$, $R_0=l/2$, $r(x)=|x-c|_\infty$ and $\varphi(x)=c+R_0(x-c)/r(x)$, the radial projection of $R\setminus\{c\}$ onto $\partial R$. Let $\hat\alpha$ and $\hat\theta=d\hat\alpha$ be the lowest-order Whitney forms of $\alpha$ and $\theta$ on the unit cubes of $\partial R$~\cite{Whi57}. On a unit cube with coordinates $t_1,t_2,t_3$, $\hat\alpha=\sum_ia_i\,dt_i$, where $a_i$ is the multilinear interpolation of the values of $\alpha$ on the four links in direction $t_i$; similarly $\hat\theta=\sum_{i\rho^2/4$, and $\sum_{P^\circ}s_p\ge\rho^2\varepsilon l^4 /16$. Hence the unnormalised weight of $E_\varepsilon$ is at most $\exp( -\beta_W\rho^2\varepsilon l^4/16)$. For the normalisation let $\bar U$ be the inner links of the hypothesis, $t=(4\sqrt{\beta_W})^{-1}$, and consider the inner links $U_e=\bar U_eh_e$ with $\angle h_e\le t$. The angle of $g^{-1}h$ is a bi-invariant distance, so every inner plaquette has $\angle U_p\le\kappa+4t$ and \[ s_p\le\tfrac12(\kappa+4t)^2\le\kappa^2+16t^2=\kappa^2+\beta_W^{-1} . \] Each $h_e$ has probability at least $8t^3/(3\pi^3)=(24\pi^3\beta_W^{3/2} )^{-1}$, as in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsonZ}. There are $n_P\le6l^2 (l+1)^2$ inner plaquettes and $n_L\le4l(l+1)^3$ inner links, so \[ Z_\eta\ge\exp\bigl(-n_P(\beta_W\kappa^2+1)\bigr)\bigl(24\pi^3\beta_W^{3/2} \bigr)^{-n_L}. \] Since $C_0=\frac12+\frac23\log(24\pi^3)$, $n_P+n_L\log(24\pi^3\beta_W^{3/2} )\le6(l+1)^4(\log\beta_W+C_0+\frac12)$, which gives the bound. For the last assertion, a boundary plaquette has $\delta(U_p,I)\le\sqrt2\,\angle U_p\le \sqrt2\,\rho_s\le\rho$, so it is not bad, and Lemma~\ref{lem:boxextension} or Lemma~\ref{lem:nonabelianfilling} gives the inner links. \end{proof} So in a box whose boundary is calm at a level $\rho_s$ small compared with $\rho\sqrt\varepsilon/C$ and $T$-valued, or small compared with $\rho\sqrt\varepsilon/K$ and $\SU(2)$-valued with $l^2\rho_s\le \varepsilon_0$, the fraction of bad cubes exceeds $\varepsilon$ only with probability exponentially small in the volume once $\beta_W\rho^2\varepsilon$ is large compared with $\log \beta_W$, uniformly over such exteriors and over $l$. The estimate is conditional, unlike Theorem~\ref{thm:defects}. \begin{remark}\label{rem:boxnonabelian} The exteriors with boundary links in $T$ form a null set for $\mu_L$. Lemma~\ref{lem:nonabelianfilling} removes the torus at the price of the smallness $l^2\rho_s\le\varepsilon_0$. In the continuum the corresponding condition is that of Uhlenbeck's theorem~\cite{Uhl82}, which gives a Coulomb gauge on a ball when the curvature is small in $L^{n/2}$; on $3$-dimensional pieces of $\partial R$ of side comparable to $l$ and for curvature of size $\rho_s$ this norm is of order $l^2\rho_s$. The lemma replaces the Coulomb gauge by the gluing of the facet gauges. With $\rho_s$ of the order of the level $\rho(\beta_W)$ of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectscales}, $\rho_s=c_0(\log\beta_W/\beta_W)^{1/2}$, it applies for \[ l\le(\varepsilon_0/c_0)^{1/2}\,(\beta_W/\log\beta_W)^{1/4}, \] the scale $a_{k_*}$ of Corollary~\ref{cor:defectscales} up to a constant factor. Along the tuning $\beta_W\sim b\log(1/a)$ the physical side $al$ then tends to $0$, so the lemma does not reach cubes of a fixed physical size; this is a limitation of the argument, not a proof that such fillings fail. Moreover Proposition~\ref{prop:conddensity} bounds the fraction of bad cubes under one exterior and does not compare the laws under two exteriors, so it gives no contraction coefficient. \end{remark} The calm boundary is needed only for the small-curvature filling. If the boundary layer is paid for instead of filled, every condition on the exterior disappears, at the price of a surface term that is small against the volume on large boxes. \begin{proposition}\label{prop:anyexterior} Let $\beta_W\ge1$, $0<\rho\le1$ and $0<\varepsilon\le1$ with $\varepsilon l\ge16$. For every boundary field $\eta$, \[ -\log\nu_\eta(E_\varepsilon)\ge l^4\Bigl(\frac{\beta_W\rho^2\varepsilon}{32} -6\log\beta_W-C_1-\frac{48\beta_W}{l}\Bigr), \] with $C_1=3+4\log(24\pi^3)<31$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} A unit cube $x+[0,1]^4$ with $x\in\{1,\dots,l-2\}^4$ does not meet $\partial R$, so all its plaquettes are inner; the other $l^4-(l-2)^4\le8l^3 \le\varepsilon l^4/2$ unit cubes meet it. On $E_\varepsilon$ at least $\varepsilon l^4/2$ cubes of the first kind contain a bad plaquette, which is inner, and a plaquette lies in at most four unit cubes. So at least $\varepsilon l^4/8$ inner plaquettes are bad, $\sum_{P^\circ}s_p\ge\rho^2 \varepsilon l^4/32$, and the unnormalised weight of $E_\varepsilon$ is at most $\exp(-\beta_W\rho^2\varepsilon l^4/32)$. For the normalisation take inner links $U_e=h_e$ with $\angle h_e\le t=(4 \sqrt{\beta_W})^{-1}$. An inner plaquette whose four links are inner has $\angle U_p\le4t$ and $s_p\le(2\beta_W)^{-1}$. An inner plaquette spans two directions and has its other two coordinates in $\{1,\dots,l-1\}$; it contains a boundary link exactly when its cell in the plane of the two spanned directions meets the boundary of $[0,l]^2$, which happens for $4(l-1)$ of the $l^2$ cells. So $24(l-1)^3\le24l^3$ inner plaquettes contain a boundary link, and on them $s_p\le2$. There are $n_P=6l^2(l-1)^2\le6l^4$ inner plaquettes and $n_L=4l(l-1)^3\le4l^4$ inner links, so, as in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:conddensity}, \[ Z_\eta\ge\exp\bigl(-48\beta_Wl^3-3l^4\bigr)\bigl(24\pi^3\beta_W^{3/2} \bigr)^{-4l^4}. \] Dividing gives the bound, and $24\pi^30$, on cubes of fixed physical side $r$ the fraction of unit cubes that contain a plaquette with $\delta(U_p,I)>\beta_W^{-1/4}$ is at most $\beta_W^{-1/4}$ with conditional probability tending to one, uniformly over all exteriors. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} Here $\varepsilon l\ge6144\beta_W^{1/2}\ge16$ and $\rho\le1$. The first term of Proposition~\ref{prop:anyexterior} is $\beta_W^{1/4}/32$, and $48\beta_W /l\le\beta_W^{1/4}/128$. For $x=\log\beta_W\ge44$ we have $6x+31\le e^{x/4} /128$: at $x=44$ the left side is $295$ and the right side exceeds $467$, and $x/4-\log(6x+31)$ increases for $x\ge44$. So $6\log\beta_W+C_1\le\beta_W ^{1/4}/128$ and the bracket is at least $\beta_W^{1/4}(\frac1{32}-\frac1{128} -\frac1{128})=\beta_W^{1/4}/64$. Along the tuning, $\beta_W\to\infty$ and $l/\beta_W^{3/4}\to\infty$, so the hypotheses hold for small $a$. \end{proof} Like Proposition~\ref{prop:conddensity}, Corollary~\ref{cor:anyexterior} bounds the bad cubes under one exterior and does not compare the laws under two, so it gives no contraction coefficient. The bad cubes are rare on cubes of fixed physical size for every exterior, and the conditional estimate in (D) remains open. The same count locates the windows on which the fibre estimates of Sec.~\ref{ssec:smallfibres} apply. Let the side of the torus be even, let $B(y)=2y+\{0,1\}^4$ be the blocks of Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge}, and let $l$ be even, so that $R$ is a union of blocks. \begin{corollary}\label{cor:localcalm} Let $G=\SU(2)$, $\beta_W\ge1$, let $W_0$ be a set of $m$ blocks, $010^{24}|W|^2$. \end{enumerate} \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) As in the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:manydefects}, the holonomy of $p_0$ has a conditional density proportional to $e^{\kappa'h\cdot u}$ with $0\le\kappa'\le6\beta_W$ and $|h|=1$, and the probability of a cap about $I$ is largest at $h=I$, $\kappa'=6\beta_W$. Since $\delta(u,I)=2\sqrt2\sin( \angle u/2)$ and $\sin x\ge2x/\pi$ on $[0,\frac\pi2]$, the event forces $\angle U_{p_0}\le\theta=\pi\rho'/(2\sqrt2)$. With $\cos t-1\ge-t^2/2$ and $\sin t\ge2t/\pi$ on $[0,\frac\pi2]$, \begin{multline*} \int_0^\pi e^{6\beta_W(\cos t-1)}\sin^2t\,dt\\ \ge\frac4{\pi^2}\int_0^{\pi/2}e^{-3\beta_Wt^2}t^2\,dt\ge\frac{4\cdot0.44} {\pi^2(3\beta_W)^{3/2}}, \end{multline*} because the integral of $e^{-s^2}s^2$ over $[0,\pi\sqrt3/2]$ exceeds $0.44$. The integral of $e^{6\beta_W(\cos t-1)}\sin^2t$ over $[0,\theta]$ is at most $\theta^3/3$, so the ratio is at most $9.72(\beta_W\theta^2)^{3/2}$, and $(\pi/(2\sqrt2))^3<1.371$. (ii) Take $y'\in W^+\setminus W$ and a plaquette $p_0$ inside $B(y')$. Its links have their base in $B(y')$, so none lies in $A_W$, and every completion of the exterior agrees with the field on $p_0$. A completion as in Corollary~\ref{cor:calmexterior} therefore needs $\delta(U_{p_0},I)\le \kappa/(2\sqrt{n_P})=K/(8n_P)$. This event is gauge invariant, so its probability is the same without gauge fixing, and by (i) it is at most $14(\beta_WK^2/(64n_P^2))^{3/2}$. Each link of $A_W$ lies in six plaquettes and a plaquette contains at most four of them, so $n_P\ge73.5|W|$, and $14\cdot10^{-24}/(512\cdot73.5^3)<7\cdot10^{-32}$. Finally, $\varepsilon''_W(\kappa^2/2,\lambda)<1$ means $\frac38\lambda\kappa^2>49|W| \ln(3.45\cdot10^{11}n_P^6/K^6)$, and with $\lambda=\beta_W/4$, $\kappa^2= K^2/(16n_P)$, $n_P\ge73.5|W|$ and $K\le10^{-8}$ the logarithm exceeds $162.8$, so $\beta_W>512\cdot49\cdot73.5\cdot162.8\cdot10^{16}|W|^2/3>10^{24}|W|^2$. \end{proof} Along the tuning $\beta_W\sim b\log(1/a)$, a cube of fixed physical side $r$ has $|W|=(r/2a)^4$ blocks, so both bounds of (ii) fail for small $a$: on such a cube the exterior has no calm completion with probability tending to one, and the fibre estimates of Sec.~\ref{ssec:smallfibres} are vacuous there. Their entropy factors are powers of $|W|$, so they are estimates for windows of bounded size, which Corollary~\ref{cor:localcalm} places at almost every position under every exterior. The exteriors with no calm completion and the rare fibres of Corollary~\ref{cor:calmexterior} are thus the typical case at the physical scale and not an exceptional one. The cube condition (D) needs estimates on the whole cube that are uniform in $|W|$, with the windows that are not calm split off as in Ba{\l}aban's analysis~\cite{Bal89b}, and that remains open. \subsection{Conditioning on a fixed large-field set}\label{ssec:fixedset} The estimates of Sec.~\ref{ssec:largefields} are statements about the Wilson measure on the torus. The cube condition (D) takes a supremum over exteriors, and three facts about conditional laws hold under every exterior; the setting is that of a Gibbs field whose potential is itself random, the uniqueness theory of which goes back to Bassalygo and Dobrushin~\cite{BD86}. The first bounds the excess of the action over its minimum in a box, with no reflection positivity and no torus. The second says that restricting a single-link law to a fixed set, however irregular, leaves its Kantorovich response to the neighbouring links bounded by a constant times $\beta_W$. The third turns the one-point rarity of a bad set into closeness of any two Gibbs measures, at order of that rarity, and shows at the same time why one-point rarity gives closeness and not decay. \begin{lemma}[excess action]\label{lem:excess} Let $G=\SU(2)$, let $\Lambda$ be a set of $N$ links of $\Z^4$ and fix the links outside $\Lambda$. Let $P_\Lambda$ be the plaquettes that contain a link of $\Lambda$, $S_\Lambda=\sum_{p\in P_\Lambda}s_p$, and $S_{\min}$ the minimum of $S_\Lambda$ over the links of $\Lambda$. For every $E>0$, under the Wilson measure conditioned on the links outside $\Lambda$, \[ \Pr\bigl(S_\Lambda\ge S_{\min}+E\bigr)\le\Bigl(\frac{3\pi^3}{8r^3}\Bigr)^N e^{-\beta_WE/2}, \] where $r=\min\{E/(6\pi N),\pi/2\}$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The plaquettes that contain no link of $\Lambda$ do not depend on the links of $\Lambda$, so the conditional law has density $Z^{-1}e^{-\beta_W S_\Lambda}$ with respect to the product of Haar measures on $\Lambda$. The unnormalised mass of the event is at most $e^{-\beta_W(S_{\min}+E)}$. For the lower bound on $Z$, let $U^*$ be a minimiser, which exists by compactness. If a link of a plaquette $p$ moves by geodesic distance $t$, the angle $\delta(U_p,I)\in[0,\pi]$ moves by at most $t$, by bi-invariance, so $s_p=\frac14\delta(U_p,I)^2$ moves by at most $\frac14\,t\cdot2\pi= \frac\pi2t$. Each link lies in six plaquettes. If every link of $\Lambda$ lies within distance $r$ of its value in $U^*$, then $S_\Lambda\le S_{\min} +6\cdot\frac\pi2rN\le S_{\min}+E/2$. The Haar measure of a geodesic ball of radius $r\le\pi/2$ is $\frac2\pi\int_0^r\sin^2t\,dt\ge8r^3/(3\pi^3)$, by $\sin t\ge2t/\pi$. Hence $Z\ge(8r^3/3\pi^3)^Ne^{-\beta_W(S_{\min}+E/2)}$, and the quotient of the two bounds is the claim. \end{proof} The constant depends on $N$ and $E$ alone, so excess action is rare under every exterior, at a cost that is exponential in $N$. The minimum itself is a function of the exterior, and the lemma says nothing about the size of its plaquettes: it controls the fluctuation of the field about the configuration the exterior forces, not that configuration. \begin{lemma}[restriction to a fixed set]\label{lem:fixedset} Let $G=\SU(2)$, let $e$ be a link and let $h\ge0$ be an integrable function on $G$ with $\int h\,dU>0$ that does not depend on the other links. For a configuration $\sigma$ of the other links let $\gamma^h_e(\cdot\mid\sigma)$ be the law on $G$ with density proportional to $e^{-\beta_WS}h$. If $\sigma$ and $\sigma'$ differ only at a link $e'\ne e$, then \[ W_1\bigl(\gamma^h_e(\cdot\mid\sigma),\gamma^h_e(\cdot\mid\sigma')\bigr)\le \frac{\pi^2}8\,\beta_W\,\delta(\sigma_{e'},\sigma'_{e'}), \] and the two laws coincide unless $e$ and $e'$ lie in a common plaquette. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Only the plaquettes containing $e$ enter the law, and two distinct links of $\Z^4$ lie in at most one common plaquette $p_0$; if there is none the laws are equal. Otherwise move $\sigma_{e'}$ along a unit-speed geodesic $U(t)$, $0\le t\le T=\delta(\sigma_{e'},\sigma'_{e'})$, and let $\gamma_t$ be the corresponding law. The function $t\mapsto s_{p_0}$ has $|\frac d{dt} s_{p_0}|\le\frac\pi2$ as in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:excess}, and the derivative $\dot s_{p_0}$ is a function of $U_e$ with oscillation at most $\pi$. For a $1$-Lipschitz $f$ on $G$, which has oscillation at most the diameter $\pi$, $\frac d{dt}\gamma_t(f)=-\beta_W\Cov_{\gamma_t}(f,\dot s_{p_0})$ because $h$ does not depend on $t$, and $|\Cov(f,\dot s_{p_0})| \le\sqrt{\Var f\,\Var\dot s_{p_0}}\le\frac\pi2\cdot\frac\pi4$. Integrating over $t$ and taking the supremum over $f$ gives the bound. \end{proof} When $h$ is the indicator of a set $C$ the lemma says that conditioning a link to lie in $C$ costs nothing in its response, however small or irregular $C$ is, as long as $C$ is fixed. The responses that are not bounded are those to a set that moves with the neighbours, such as the intersection of balls centred at them; this is the difference between conditioning on a fixed set of bad links and conditioning on a plaquette being large. \begin{proposition}[one-point rarity]\label{prop:onepoint} Let $\mathcal A$ be a set of links, $D$ the diameter of $G$, and $\gamma_e$, $e\in\mathcal A$, single-link kernels with \[ W_1\bigl(\gamma_e(\cdot\mid\sigma),\gamma_e(\cdot\mid\sigma')\bigr)\le \sum_{e'}c_{ee'}(\sigma,\sigma')\,\delta(\sigma_{e'},\sigma'_{e'}) \] for all $\sigma,\sigma'$. Let $\sigma\mapsto B(\sigma)\subset\mathcal A$ be measurable, and suppose there are constants $a_{ee'},A_{ee'}\ge0$ with $c_{ee'}(\sigma,\sigma')\le a_{ee'}$ whenever $e\notin B(\sigma)\cup B(\sigma')$, $c_{ee'}\le A_{ee'}$ always, $\sup_e\sum_{e'}a_{ee'}\le\theta<1$ and $\sup_e\sum_{e'}A_{ee'}\le\bar A$. If $\mu_1,\mu_2$ are invariant under every $\gamma_e$ and $\mu_i(e\in B)\le q$ for every $e$ and $i=1,2$, there is a coupling of $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$ with \[ \sup_{e\in\mathcal A}\E\,\delta(\sigma_e,\sigma'_e)\le\frac{2\bar ADq} {1-\theta}. \] In particular $|\mu_1(F)-\mu_2(F)|\le L_F|S_F|\,2\bar ADq/(1-\theta)$ for every $F$ with support $S_F$ that is $L_F$-Lipschitz in each link. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} Fix $b_0\in\mathcal A$, $\lambda>0$, and let $w_b=e^{-\lambda|b-b_0|}$, which is summable. As in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} the functional $\Psi(\pi)=\sum_bw_b\E_\pi\delta(\sigma_b,\sigma'_b)$ has a minimiser $\pi^*$ among the couplings, and replacing the pair at one link $e$ by a sample of an optimal coupling of $\gamma_e(\cdot\mid\sigma)$ and $\gamma_e(\cdot\mid\sigma')$ gives a coupling again. Only the term at $e$ changes, so minimality gives, with $\varrho(e)=\E_{\pi^*}\delta(\sigma_e, \sigma'_e)$, \[ \varrho(e)\le\E_{\pi^*}\sum_{e'}c_{ee'}(\sigma,\sigma')\,\delta(\sigma_{e'}, \sigma'_{e'}) \] for every $e$, with no weight left. On the event that $e$ is good in both configurations the coefficients are at most $a_{ee'}$; on its complement, whose probability is at most $\mu_1(e\in B)+\mu_2(e\in B)\le2q$, they are at most $A_{ee'}$ and every distance is at most $D$. Hence $\varrho(e)\le \theta\sup\varrho+2\bar ADq$, and $\sup\varrho\le D$ is finite, which gives the bound. The last statement follows by writing $F(\sigma)-F(\sigma')$ as a telescopic sum over the links of $S_F$. \end{proof} The proposition is approximate uniqueness: all Gibbs measures of the specification lie within $2\bar ADq/(1-\theta)$ of each other, link by link. It is not decay. Its proof sees the bad set only through the one-point probabilities $q$, and the term $2\bar ADq$ does not shrink with the distance from the region where $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$ are allowed to differ. The bound $D$ on the distance at a bad link is not what causes this: replacing it by H\"older's inequality gives $\varrho\le\theta\varrho +\bar A(qD)^{1/p}\varrho^{1/p'}$, a recursion with the positive fixed point $\varrho^*$ of order $\bar A^pqD/(1-\theta)^p$. To obtain decay the bad set has to be held fixed while the comparison runs, as in the disagreement percolation of van den Berg and Maes~\cite{vdBM94}, where the two configurations are coupled link by link and the disagreement has to percolate through the bad set; the price is that the laws conditioned on that set, not the Wilson measure, then have to satisfy the fibre estimates of Sec.~\ref{ssec:smallfibres}. \subsection{Rarity of coarse defects}\label{ssec:coarse} Theorem~\ref{thm:defects} makes a large plaquette rare at the lattice scale. The cube condition (D) concerns a cube of fixed physical side, which along the tuning spans $m\sim\beta_W/b$ scales, and it needs the analogue of that rarity for the curvature of the block averages at every one of them. This subsection isolates the two sides of that question. On the energy side, the coarse curvature of a field is bounded by its action uniformly in the scale, for linear fields and for group-valued fields in a torus. On the entropy side, the chessboard estimate applies to coarse events, and it is the normalisation of Lemma~\ref{lem:wilsonZ}, not the energy, that makes it useless beyond $O(\log\beta_W)$ scales. A right translation of the Haar measures gives rarity at every scale and under every exterior, with a rate governed by the second variation of the action along a fixed direction; for the abelian theory that second variation is the energy of the direction, while for $\SU(2)$ it grows like $4^k$ at scale $k$, and the growth is produced by the gauge orbit of the vacuum. Throughout, $\Lambda_L$ is the torus of side $L=2^m$, the scale $k$ satisfies $2^{k+2}\le L$, and the lattice of spacing $2^k$ is the torus $\Lambda_{L'}$ with $L'=L/2^k\ge4$. For a real field $\varphi$ on the links, $d\varphi$ is its curvature, $d^{\mathsf T}$ the adjoint of $d$, and $\Delta=d^{\mathsf T}d+dd^{\mathsf T}$, which acts on each component of a field as the lattice Laplacian $(\Delta f)(x)=8f(x)-\sum_{\pm\nu}f(x\pm e_\nu)$. The Green function $G_{L'}$ of $\Lambda_{L'}$ is the function of mean zero with $\Delta G_{L'}=\delta_0-L'^{-4}$; it is invariant under the permutations and sign changes of the coordinates, and applied to each component it inverts $\Delta$ on fields whose components have mean zero. It commutes with $d$, $d^{\mathsf T}$ and the translations. \begin{lemma}[energy of a coarse defect]\label{lem:coarseenergy} Let $P$ be a plaquette of the lattice of spacing $2^k$ and $J_{k,P}$ the field with $(d_kV^{(k)}(\varphi))_P=\ip{\varphi}{J_{k,P}}$ for every field $\varphi$ on $\Lambda_L$, given by Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(i). Then $d^{\mathsf T}J_{k,P}=0$, every field $\varphi$ satisfies \[ (d_kV^{(k)}(\varphi))_P^2\le\gamma_k\,Q(\varphi), \] where \[ \gamma_k=\ip{J_{k,P}}{G_LJ_{k,P}}=\sup_\varphi\frac{(d_kV^{(k)}( \varphi))_P^2}{Q(\varphi)}, \] and $\frac1{432}\le\gamma_k\le\frac12$ for every $k$. In particular $Q(\varphi)\ge2r^2$ whenever $|(d_kV^{(k)}(\varphi))_P|\ge r$, at every scale. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(ii) shows that $V^{(k)}(dh)$ is the gradient of $\bar h$ on the coarse lattice for every function $h$ on sites, so $\ip{dh}{J}=0$, the curvature of a gradient vanishing, and $d^{\mathsf T}J=0$; $J$ is supported on the links of directions $\mu$, $\nu$ of the plane of $P$, and its component in each direction has mean zero, the two sides of $P$ entering with opposite signs. Put $u=G_LJ$. Then $\Delta u=J$, $d^{\mathsf T}u=G_Ld^{\mathsf T}J=0$, and for every field $\varphi$ \begin{multline*} \ip{\varphi}{J}=\ip{\varphi}{\Delta u}=\ip{d\varphi}{du}+\ip{d^{\mathsf T} \varphi}{d^{\mathsf T}u}\\ =\ip{d\varphi}{du}\le\sqrt{Q(\varphi)Q(u)}, \end{multline*} with $Q(u)=\ip{u}{d^{\mathsf T}du}=\ip{u}{\Delta u}=\ip{u}{J}=\gamma_k$, and equality at $\varphi=u$. This proves the inequality and the characterisation of $\gamma_k$ as a supremum. For the upper bound, Proposition~\ref{prop:effective}(i) gives $Q_k(V^{(k)}(\varphi))\le Q(\varphi)$ for every field, its proof being a local identity, so $\gamma_k$ is at most the supremum of $(d_kw)_P^2/Q_k(w)$ over the fields $w$ of $\Lambda_{L'}$. The argument of the first paragraph on $\Lambda_{L'}$, with $j=d_k^{\mathsf T}e_P$ the field equal to $\pm1$ on the four sides of $P$, identifies that supremum with $\ip{j}{G_{L'}j}$. The two sides of $P$ in the direction $\mu$ are the links $(y,\mu)$ and $(y+e_\nu,\mu)$ with opposite signs, so \begin{multline*} \ip{j}{G_{L'}j}=4G_{L'}(0)-2G_{L'}(e_\nu)-2G_{L'}(e_\mu)\\ =4\bigl(G_{L'}(0)-G_{L'}(e_1)\bigr)=\tfrac12\bigl(1-L'^{-4}\bigr), \end{multline*} by $(\Delta G_{L'})(0)=8G_{L'}(0)-8G_{L'}(e_1)=1-L'^{-4}$ and the symmetry of $G_{L'}$. For the lower bound take $P$ at $y=0$ in the plane $\{1,2\}$, write $L_k=2^k$, and let $f$ be the function on $\Z/L\Z$ with $f(s)=s/L_k$ for $0\le s\le L_k$, $f(s)=1$ for $L_k\le s\le2L_k$, $f(s)=1-(s-2L_k)/L_k$ for $2L_k\le s\le3L_k$ and $f=0$ elsewhere; let $g$ be the indicator of $[0,2L_k)$; and let $h(s)=(1-\dist(s,[0,L_k))/L_k)_+$. Put $\varphi_{(x,2)} =L_k^{-1}f(x_1)g(x_2)h(x_3)h(x_4)$ and $\varphi=0$ on the other links; all supports fit in the torus since $4L_k\le L$. By Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(i), $V^{(k)}_{y,2}(\varphi)=L_k^{-4}\sum_{x \in B_k(y)}\sum_{t={Stealth[length=2mm]}] \fill[blue!18] (0,0) rectangle (7,4); \fill[blue!18] (0,4) rectangle (7,8); \fill[red!18,opacity=0.7] (0,0) rectangle (4,7); \fill[red!18,opacity=0.7] (4,0) rectangle (8,7); \draw[very thick] (0,0) rectangle (4,4); \node at (2,2) {$P$}; \draw[->,thick] (0.3,-0.9) -- (6.7,-0.9); \node[below] at (3.5,-0.9) {\footnotesize $+$, side $(y,1)$}; \draw[<-,thick] (0.3,8.9) -- (6.7,8.9); \node[above] at (3.5,8.9) {\footnotesize $-$, side $(y+e_2,1)$}; \draw[<-,thick] (-0.9,0.3) -- (-0.9,6.7); \node[left,rotate=90,anchor=south] at (-1.0,3.5) {\footnotesize $-$, side $(y,2)$}; \draw[->,thick] (8.9,0.3) -- (8.9,6.7); \node[right,rotate=-90,anchor=south] at (9.0,3.5) {\footnotesize $+$, side $(y+e_1,2)$}; \draw[gray,dashed] (0,0) grid[step=4] (8,8); \end{tikzpicture} \hspace{1em} \begin{tikzpicture}[scale=0.42,>={Stealth[length=2mm]}] \draw[->] (-0.5,0) -- (7.5,0) node[right] {\footnotesize $s$}; \draw[->] (0,-0.5) -- (0,4.8) node[above] {\footnotesize $c(s)$}; \draw[thick,blue!60!black] (0,1) -- (3,4) -- (6,1); \foreach \s/\c in {0/1,1/2,2/3,3/4,4/3,5/2,6/1} \fill[blue!60!black] (\s,\c) circle (3pt); \draw[dotted] (3,0) -- (3,4) node[pos=0,below] {\footnotesize $L_k-1$}; \draw[dotted] (6,0) -- (6,1) node[pos=0,below] {\footnotesize $2L_k-2$}; \draw[dotted] (0,4) -- (3,4) node[pos=0,left] {\footnotesize $L_k$}; \end{tikzpicture} \caption{The smeared current loop $J_{k,P}$ of Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy} in the plane of $P$, drawn for $L_k=4$. Left: each side of the coarse plaquette $P$ (thick square) contributes a current of its own direction on the links of a slab of transverse size $L_k^3$ and length $2L_k-1$ (blue for the direction $1$, red for the direction $2$), with the signs of the four sides; the slabs of opposite sides are disjoint and the two directions are carried by different links. Right: the longitudinal profile $L_k^4J=\pm c(s)$ on a slab, the tent $c(s)=\min\{s+1,L_k,2L_k-1-s\}$, which counts the straight paths of Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(i) through the link at position $s$. The current is divergence free and its energy $\gamma_k=\ip{J_{k,P}}{G_LJ_{k,P}}$ lies in $[\frac1{432},\frac12]$ at every scale.} \label{fig:smearedloop} \end{figure} \begin{proposition}[energy of a coarse defect, torus-valued fields] \label{prop:torusenergy} Let $U$ be an $S$-valued field in the tree gauge on $\Lambda_L$, as in Theorem~\ref{thm:torusscales}, and let $P$ be a plaquette of the lattice of spacing $2^k$ with $\delta(V^{\sharp,k}(U)_P,I)\ge r$. Then \[ Q(U)\ge\min\Bigl\{\frac{r^2}{1.001},\frac1{144.2}\Bigr\}\ge\frac{r^2} {1154}. \] \end{proposition} \begin{proof} If some plaquette has $\delta(U_p,I)>1=\rho_G$ then $Q(U)>1\ge r^2/8$, since $r\le\operatorname{diam}\SU(2)=2\sqrt2$. Otherwise every $\Theta_p$ is defined, and for $\Theta_p=\theta_pJ_p$ with $J_p^2=-I$ one has $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert^2=2\theta_p^2$ and $\delta(U_p,I)^2=8\sin^2(\theta_p /2)$, so $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert^2\le1.001\,\delta(U_p,I)^2$ when $\theta_p \le1/(12\sqrt2)$, that is when $\lVert\Theta_p\rVert\le\eta_G=\frac1{12}$. Let $j_*$ be the least $j\le k$ with $\max_P\lVert\Theta^{(j)}_P\rVert> \eta_G$, if there is one. If there is none, \eqref{eq:torushyp} holds for every $j1/(12\sqrt2)$ and $Q(U)\ge8\sin^2(\theta_p/2) \ge1/144.1$. If $1\le j_*\le k$, \eqref{eq:torushyp} holds for $j0$, uniformly in the fixed links, \[ \mu(D_rS\ge x)\le e^{-\beta_Wx^2/(2K_r)},\qquad\mu(D_rS\le-x)\le e^{-\beta_Wx^2/(2K_r)}. \] \end{enumerate} \end{theorem} \begin{proof} (i) Order the links of a plaquette $p$ as traversed, so that $U_p=g_1^{ \epsilon_1}\cdots g_4^{\epsilon_4}$ with $\epsilon_i=\pm1$. Since $ge^{tr} =e^{t\operatorname{Ad}(g)r}g$ and $(ge^{tr})^{-1}=e^{-tr}g^{-1}$, moving the exponentials to the left gives $U_p(t)=e^{t\tilde a_1}\cdots e^{t\tilde a_4}U_p$ with $\tilde a_i=\pm\operatorname{Ad}(h_i)r_{e_i}$ for unitary $h_i$, so $\|\tilde a_i\|_{\rm op}=\rho_{e_i}$, and $\tilde a_i=0$ if $e_i\notin\Lambda$. Then \[ \partial_t^2\Tr U_p(t)\big|_{t=0}=\Tr\Bigl[\Bigl(\sum_i\tilde a_i^2+2\sum_{ i0$; take $t=x/K_r$. The lower tail is the upper tail for $-r$. Nothing depends on the fixed links. \end{proof} The map $U\mapsto Ue^{-tr}$ is the group version of a translation of the Gaussian field; its Jacobian is one, and no smallness of the field enters. The observable $D_rS$ is the component of the force along $r$: at a plaquette, $\partial_ts_p=-\frac1N\ReTr\bigl((\sum_i\tilde a_i)U_p\bigr)$, the covariant derivative of $r$ in the background $U$ paired with the sine part of $U_p$. For the abelian theory the second variation is the energy of the direction, and the theorem gives the rarity of coarse defects at every scale. \begin{corollary}[abelian theory]\label{cor:abeliancoarse} Let $G=\U(1)$, let $\mu_L$ be its Wilson measure on $\Lambda_L$, $U_e=e^{i\theta_e}$, $\theta_p=(d\theta)_p$ the angle of $U_p$ in $(-\pi,\pi]$, and let $a=G_LJ_{k,P}$ be the minimiser of Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy}. For every $k$, every plaquette $P$ of the lattice of spacing $2^k$ and every $x>0$, \[ \mu_L\Bigl(\sum_p\sin\theta_p\,(da)_p\ge x\Bigr)\le e^{-\beta_Wx^2}. \] Here $\sum_p\theta_p(da)_p=(d_kV^{(k)}(\theta))_P$ for every choice of link angles $\theta_e$ with $(d\theta)_p\equiv\theta_p$ modulo $2\pi$, up to $2\pi\sum_pn_p(da)_p$ with the integers $n_p=((d\theta)_p-\theta_p)/2\pi$. Under a fixed exterior of a box, the same bound holds with $a$ replaced by its restriction $\tilde a$ to the inner links and $x^2$ replaced by $x^2/(2Q(\tilde a))$. \end{corollary} \begin{proof} By Theorem~\ref{thm:haartilt}(i) with $r_e=ia_e$, $K_r\le Q(a)=\gamma_k\le \frac12$, and $D_rS=\sum_p\sin\theta_p(da)_p$ since $s_p(t)=1-\cos(\theta_p +t(da)_p)$. Part (iii) gives the bound. For the identity, $\sum_p(d\theta)_p(da)_p=\ip{\theta}{d^{\mathsf T}da}=\ip{\theta}{\Delta a} =\ip{\theta}{J_{k,P}}$ because $d^{\mathsf T}a=0$. In a box the tilt acts on the inner links only, and $K_r\le Q(\tilde a)$. \end{proof} For the abelian theory this is the statement that a smeared coarse flux of size $x$ costs $\beta_Wx^2$ at every scale, uniformly in the exterior; the four-dimensional abelian theory has no running coupling, and the bound is consistent with its known behaviour at weak coupling~\cite{Gut80,FS82}. For $\SU(2)$ the same tilt is available, but its second variation grows with the scale. \begin{proposition}[the gauge orbit of the vacuum]\label{prop:tiltgrowth} Let $G=\SU(2)$ on $\Lambda_L$, $T\in\g$ with $\|T\|_{\rm op}=1$, $a=G_LJ_{ k,P}$ for a plaquette $P$ of the lattice of spacing $2^k$, and $r_e=a_eT$. Then \[ \Bigl(\sqrt{2\|a\|^2-\gamma_k}-\sqrt{\gamma_k}\Bigr)_+^2\le K_r\le24\|a\|^2 \] and \[ \|a\|^2\ge\frac{\gamma_k^2}{\|J_{k,P}\|^2}\ge\frac{4^k}{1492992}, \] with $\gamma_k=\ip{J_{k,P}}{G_LJ_{k,P}}$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy}; in particular $K_r\ge4^k/(3\cdot10^6)$ for $k\ge11$. The lower bound is attained, up to the stated loss, at a pure gauge field, where $Q(U)=0$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} The upper bound is Theorem~\ref{thm:haartilt}(i). For the lower bound let $U$ be the pure gauge field $U_e=h_xh_{x+e}^{-1}$ of a function $h$ on sites with values in $\SU(2)$. The action is invariant under gauge transformations and $U_ee^{tr_e}=h_x\exp(t\operatorname{Ad}(h_{x+e}^{-1}) r_e)h_{x+e}^{-1}$, so $S(Ue^{tr})=S(e^{tr'})$ with $r'_e=\operatorname{Ad} (h_{x+e}^{-1})r_e$. At the identity field, $U_p(t)=\exp(tX_p+O(t^2))$ with $X_p=(dr')_p$ the signed sum of the $r'_e$ around $p$, and $s_p=1-\cos\| X_p(t)\|_{\rm op}$, so $\partial_t^2s_p|_{t=0}=\|(dr')_p\|_{\rm op}^2$ and $K_r\ge\sum_p\|(dr')_p\|_{\rm op}^2$. Take $h_x=R^{x_2}$ with $R=i\sigma_1$ and $T=i\sigma_3$, which is well defined on the torus since $R^4=I$ and $4\mid L$, and satisfies $\operatorname{Ad}(R)T=-T$. Then $r'_e=\epsilon_e a_eT$ with $\epsilon_{(x,\mu)}=(-1)^{x_2}$ for $\mu\ne2$ and $\epsilon_{(x, 2)}=(-1)^{x_2+1}$, and $K_r\ge Q(\epsilon a)$. Since $J_{k,P}$ has components only in the directions $1$, $2$ of the plane of $P$ and $G_L$ acts on each component, $a_3=a_4=0$; the reflection exchanging the coordinates $1$ and $2$ carries the component $a_1$ to $-a_2$, so $\|a_1\|^2 =\|a_2\|^2=\frac12\|a\|^2$. On the plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\{1,2\}$ the signs give \begin{multline*} (d(\epsilon a))_p=(-1)^{x_2}\bigl[(a_{(x,1)}+a_{(x+e_2,1)})-(a_{(x+e_1,2)} -a_{(x,2)})\bigr]\\ =(-1)^{x_2}\bigl[\sigma_x-v_x\bigr], \end{multline*} so that $Q(\epsilon a)\ge\|\sigma-v\|^2\ge(\|\sigma\|-\|v\|)_+^2$, with $\|\sigma\|^2=4\|a_1\|^2-\|\nabla_2a_1\|^2$ and $\|v\|^2=\|\nabla_1a_2\|^2$, where $\nabla_\nu$ is the forward difference in the direction $\nu$. All directional differences together give $\sum_{\mu,\nu}\|\nabla_\nu a_\mu\|^2 =\ip{a}{\Delta a}=\ip{G_LJ}{J}=\gamma_k$, so $\|\sigma\|^2\ge2\|a\|^2- \gamma_k$ and $\|v\|^2\le\gamma_k$, which is the lower bound. Finally $\gamma_k=\ip{J}{a}\le\|J\|\|a\|$, and by Lemma~\ref{lem:straightpaths}(i) each of the four sides of $P$ contributes $L_k^3$ rows of $2L_k-1$ links with coefficients $L_k^{-4}c(s)$, $c\le L_k$, so $\|J\|^2\le4L_k^{-8}L_k^3 (2L_k-1)L_k^2\le8\cdot4^{-k}$; with $\gamma_k\ge\frac1{432}$ this gives $\|a\|^2\ge4^k/(8\cdot432^2)$. For $k\ge11$ that is at least $2$, so $2\|a\|^2-\gamma_k\ge7\gamma_k$ and $K_r\ge(1-7^{-1/2})^2\cdot\frac78\cdot 2\|a\|^2\ge0.67\|a\|^2\ge4^k/(3\cdot10^6)$. \end{proof} So for $\SU(2)$ the tilt of Theorem~\ref{thm:haartilt} proves the rarity of the force component $D_rS$ at the rate $\beta_Wx^2/(2K_r)$, which is of order $\beta_Wx^2/4^k$ at scale $k$, and not more: the supremum in $K_r$ is reached on the gauge orbit of the vacuum, where the field has no action and no curvature, because a fixed direction $r$ is not gauge covariant and its covariant derivative in a pure gauge background is as large as $r$ itself. The natural repair is to transport the direction with the field, $r_e\mapsto\operatorname{Ad}(h(U))r_e$. When the transport runs along a forest, the translation still preserves the Haar measures; but the residual gauge freedom of the forest then realises the field of the proof on the links between the trees, and the constant is reached at zero action in that gauge as well. \begin{proposition}[covariant tilt on a forest]\label{prop:foresttilt} Let $G=\SU(2)$, let $F$ be a set of links of $\Lambda_L$ without cycles, with one root chosen in every component, and for a site $y$ let $h_y(U)$ be the ordered product of the link variables along the path in $F$ from the root of its component to $y$, with $h_y=I$ at the roots. For $r=(r_e)$ with $r_e\in\g$ and $r_e=0$ on $F$ put \[ \Phi_t(U)_e=U_e\exp\bigl(t\operatorname{Ad}(h_y(U)^{-1})r_e\bigr),\quad y\ \text{the end point of }e, \] and $\Phi_t(U)_f=U_f$ for $f\in F$; let $D^F_rS(U)=\partial_tS(\Phi_tU) |_{t=0}$ and \[ K^F_r=\sup\bigl\{\partial_t^2S(\tilde Ue^{tr})\big|_{t=0}:\ \tilde U_f=I \text{ for all }f\in F\bigr\}. \] \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\Phi_t$ preserves the product of the Haar measures for every $t$. \item $\E_\mu e^{\beta_WtD^F_rS}\le e^{\beta_Wt^2K^F_r/2}$ for every $t\in\R$, and $\mu(\pm D^F_rS\ge x)\le e^{-\beta_Wx^2/(2K^F_r)}$ for every $x>0$. $D^F_rS$ is invariant under the gauge transformations that are trivial at the roots. \item Let $F$ be one of the sixteen translates $F_o$ of the forest of Definition~\ref{def:blockgauge}, with blocks $2y+o+\{0,1\}^4$, let $a=G_LJ_{k,P}$ and $T$ be as in Proposition~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, and let $r_e=a_eT$ on the links outside $F$. Then \[ K^F_r\ge2\sum_{e\notin F}a_e^2, \] and the bound is reached on pure gauge fields, where $Q(U)=0$. For at least one $o$ the right side is at least $\frac{29}{16}\|a\|^2\ge \frac{29}{16}\cdot\frac{4^k}{1492992}$. \end{enumerate} \end{proposition} \begin{proof} (i) Let $\Gamma(U)=(U_F,\tilde U)$ with $\tilde U_e=h_x(U)U_eh_y(U)^{-1}$ for $e=(x,y)\notin F$. Given the variables on $F$, the map $U_e\mapsto \tilde U_e$ is a left and a right translation by elements that depend only on $U_F$, so $\Gamma$ is a bijection of the configuration space that preserves the product of the Haar measures; this is the change of variables of Lemma~\ref{lem:gaugefix}. Let $R_t$ multiply every coordinate $\tilde U_e$, $e\notin F$, on the right by $e^{tr_e}$ and leave $U_F$ alone. Then \[ (\Gamma^{-1}R_t\Gamma U)_e=h_x^{-1}\bigl(h_xU_eh_y^{-1}e^{tr_e}\bigr)h_y =U_e\exp\bigl(t\operatorname{Ad}(h_y^{-1})r_e\bigr), \] so $\Phi_t=\Gamma^{-1}R_t\Gamma$ is a composition of three maps that preserve the measure. (ii) Since the action is gauge invariant, $S(\Phi_tU)=S(\tilde Ue^{tr})$, and $\tilde Ue^{tr}$ again has trivial links on $F$. Taylor's formula along $s\mapsto\Phi_{-s}U$ with the Lagrange remainder gives $S(\Phi_{-t} U)-S(U)\le-tD^F_rS(U)+\frac{t^2}2K^F_r$, and $\int e^{-\beta_WS\circ\Phi_ {-t}}\,dU=Z$ by (i); the rest is the proof of Theorem~\ref{thm:haartilt} (ii), (iii). Under a gauge transformation $g$ the transports change to $g_oh_yg_y^{-1}$, with $o$ the root of the component of $y$, so $\tilde U$ is conjugated by the root values and $D^F_rS$ is unchanged when they are trivial. (iii) The tree links of $F_o$ join sites of one block, so a pure gauge field $U=I^g$, $U_e=g_xg_{x+e}^{-1}$, with $g$ constant on the blocks has trivial links on $F_o$, lies in the set of the supremum and has $Q(U)=0$. By the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, $\partial_t^2S(Ue^{tr} )|_{t=0}=\sum_p\|(dr')_p\|_{\rm op}^2$ with $r'_e=\operatorname{Ad}(g_{x+e} ^{-1})r_e$, the end point of $e$ taken. Since $a_3=a_4=0$, a plaquette $p$ at $x$ in a plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ with $\mu\in\{1,2\}$ and $\nu\in\{3,4\}$ has at most two tilted sides, $e=(x,\mu)$ with end point $x+e_\mu$ and $e'=(x+e_\nu,\mu)$ with end point $x+e_\mu+e_\nu$, and \[ \|(dr')_p\|_{\rm op}^2=a_e^2+a_{e'}^2-2a_ea_{e'}\ip{\operatorname{Ad}(g_{x +e_\mu}^{-1})T}{\operatorname{Ad}(g_{x+e_\mu+e_\nu}^{-1})T}, \] with the inner product of $\g$ in which $\|T\|=1$ and $a_e=0$ on $F_o$. When $(x-o)_\nu$ is odd the two end points lie in different blocks. Take the block values $g_B$ independent with Haar law. The adjoint representation of $\SU(2)$ is irreducible of dimension three, so $\E\operatorname{Ad}(g_B)=0$, and the expectation of the inner product vanishes. Every link $e=(x,\mu)\notin F_o$ with $\mu\in\{1,2\}$ is, for each $\nu\in\{3,4\}$, a side of exactly one such plaquette, at $x$ if $(x-o)_\nu$ is odd and at $x-e_\nu$ otherwise. Dropping the other plaquettes, whose terms are nonnegative, \[ \E_g\,\partial_t^2S(I^ge^{tr})\big|_{t=0}\ge\sum_{\nu\in\{3,4\}}\sum_{e \notin F_o}a_e^2=2\sum_{e\notin F_o}a_e^2, \] and the supremum over the section is at least the expectation. A link $(x,\mu)$ lies in $F_o$ for one of the sixteen offsets $o$ when $\mu=1$ and for two of them when $\mu=2$. Averaging over $o$ and using $\|a_1\|^2=\|a_2\|^2=\frac12\|a\|^2$ from the proof of Proposition~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, \[ \frac1{16}\sum_o\sum_{e\notin F_o}a_e^2=\frac{15}{16}\|a_1\|^2+\frac{14}{16} \|a_2\|^2=\frac{29}{32}\|a\|^2, \] so one offset reaches $\frac{29}{32}\|a\|^2$; the last bound is the lower bound for $\|a\|^2$ of that proposition. \end{proof} \begin{figure}[t] \centering \resizebox{0.92\columnwidth}{!}{% \begin{tikzpicture}[x=1cm,y=1cm,>={Stealth[length=1.8mm]}] \foreach \bx/\nm in {0/{B},3.6/{B'}} { \draw[fill=blue!6,rounded corners=2pt] (\bx,0) rectangle (\bx+2,2); \foreach \p in {(\bx+0.4,0.4),(\bx+1.6,0.4),(\bx+0.4,1.6),(\bx+1.6,1.6)} \fill \p circle (1.6pt); \draw[very thick,blue!60!black] (\bx+0.4,0.4) -- (\bx+1.6,0.4) -- (\bx+1.6,1.6) (\bx+1.6,0.4) -- (\bx+0.4,1.6); \node[above] at (\bx+1,2.05) {\footnotesize $g_{\nm}$}; } \draw[very thick,red!70!black,->] (1.6,0.4) -- (4.0,0.4) node[pos=0.5,below] {\footnotesize $e$, weight $a_e$}; \draw[very thick,red!70!black,->] (1.6,1.6) -- (4.0,1.6) node[pos=0.5,above] {\footnotesize $e'$, weight $a_{e'}$}; \draw[->,thick,orange!80!black] (4.0,0.4) -- (6.2,-0.3) node[right] {\footnotesize $a_e\operatorname{Ad}(g_{B'}^{-1})T$}; \draw[->,thick,orange!80!black] (4.0,1.6) -- (6.2,2.3) node[right] {\footnotesize $a_{e'}\operatorname{Ad}(g_{B'}^{-1})T$}; \node[align=center] at (3.1,-1.0) {\footnotesize tree links (blue) are trivial in the section; the residual gauge\\[-2pt]\footnotesize group turns the tilt direction by one $\SU(2)$ element per block}; \end{tikzpicture}} \caption{The covariant tilt on the block forest (Proposition~\ref{prop:foresttilt}). Transporting the direction along the trees keeps the Haar measures, but the section still contains every pure gauge field that is constant on the blocks. On a plaquette whose tilted sides $e$, $e'$ end in different blocks the transported directions are turned by independent elements, and the average of $\|(dr')_p\|^2$ over them is $a_e^2+a_{e'}^2$ instead of the $(a_e-a_{e'})^2$ of the abelian energy.} \label{fig:foresttilt} \end{figure} Proposition~\ref{prop:foresttilt} and Figure~\ref{fig:foresttilt} show where the obstruction sits. The Haar translation survives gauge covariance along a forest, and for the block forest the constant it produces is at least $\frac{29}{16}\|a\|^2$, reached by fields with no action and no curvature at all; the chessboard estimate and the covariant tilt are therefore lost on the same fields, the gauge orbit of the vacuum, for different reasons. A bound of the form \[ \partial_t^2S(\tilde Ue^{tr})\le Q(r)+\mathcal R(\tilde U,r), \] with $\mathcal R$ supported on the large-field region, is false for every forest section, since the left side exceeds $Q(r)$ by a fixed multiple of $\|a\|^2$ at $\tilde U=I^g$, where the large-field region is empty. A section that is smooth on the orbits, such as the Landau gauge, has no such pure gauge fields, but its Jacobian is a Faddeev--Popov determinant and not one, and part (ii) does not apply to it as it stands.\footnote{The Wilson measure satisfies no curvature-dimension condition at the values of $\beta_W$ considered here, so the inequality cannot be obtained from a Bakry--\'Emery argument either: for one link equal to $-I$ with trivial neighbours the second variation of $S$ along a unit direction on that link is $-6$, since each of its six plaquettes contributes $\partial_t^2(1+\cos t)=-1$, while the Ricci curvature of $\SU(2)$ with unit-speed geodesics $e^{tr}$, $\|r\|_{\rm op}=1$, is $2$; the Hessian of $\beta_WS$ plus the curvature is negative as soon as $\beta_W>1/3$.} \begin{figure*}[t] \centering \resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{% \begin{tikzpicture}[x=0.95cm,y=0.75cm,>={Stealth[length=2mm]}] \draw[->,thick] (0,0) -- (14.5,0) node[right] {scale $k$}; \foreach \x/\l in {0/0,2/{},4/{},6/{},8/{},10/{},12/{},13.4/{$m\sim\beta_W/b$}} \draw (\x,0.12) -- (\x,-0.12) node[below] {\footnotesize \l}; \draw[dashed,thick] (13.4,-0.3) -- (13.4,5.6); \node[above,align=center] at (13.4,5.6) {\footnotesize cube of fixed\\[-2pt]\footnotesize physical side}; \node[left] at (0,1) {\footnotesize Proposition~\ref{prop:coarsechess}, chessboard}; \fill[orange!60] (0,0.7) rectangle (3.0,1.3); \node[right] at (3.1,1) {\footnotesize $16^k\lesssim\beta_WA/\log\beta_W$: lost in the normalisation $Z_L$}; \node[left] at (0,2.2) {\footnotesize Propositions~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, \ref{prop:foresttilt}, $\SU(2)$ tilts}; \fill[red!50] (0,1.9) rectangle (4.2,2.5); \node[right] at (4.3,2.2) {\footnotesize $4^k\lesssim\beta_Wx^2$: lost on the gauge orbit of the vacuum, fixed direction or transported along a forest}; \node[left] at (0,3.4) {\footnotesize Corollary~\ref{cor:abeliancoarse}, $\U(1)$ tilt}; \fill[blue!45] (0,3.1) rectangle (14.2,3.7); \node[right] at (0.2,4.0) {\footnotesize rate $\beta_Wx^2$ at every scale and under every exterior}; \node[left] at (0,4.9) {\footnotesize Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy}, energy}; \fill[green!40!black!50] (0,4.6) rectangle (14.2,5.2); \node[right] at (0.2,5.5) {\footnotesize $Q\ge2r^2$ at every scale: the energy side is never the obstacle}; \end{tikzpicture}} \caption{Which scales the estimates of this subsection reach, along the tuning $\beta_W\sim b\log(1/a)$, where a cube of fixed physical side spans $m\sim\beta_W/b$ scales. The energy of a coarse defect is scale invariant (Lemma~\ref{lem:coarseenergy}), and for the abelian theory the Haar tilt makes coarse defects rare at every scale (Corollary~\ref{cor:abeliancoarse}). For $\SU(2)$ the chessboard estimate stops after $O(\log\beta_W)$ scales because the normalisation charges the whole fluctuation volume of a block against the defect (Proposition~\ref{prop:coarsechess}), and the tilt stops after $O(\log\beta_W)$ scales because its second variation grows like $4^k$ on the gauge orbit of the vacuum, whether the direction is fixed or transported along a forest (Propositions~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth}, \ref{prop:foresttilt}). The remaining scales are the open input of the cube condition.} \label{fig:scaleladder} \end{figure*} Along the tuning $\beta_W\sim b\log(1/a)$ a cube of fixed physical side spans $m\sim\beta_W/b$ scales. Proposition~\ref{prop:coarsechess} covers $O(\log\beta_W)$ of them, Propositions~\ref{prop:tiltgrowth} and~\ref{prop:foresttilt} cover $O(\log\beta_W)$ of them without the torus and uniformly in the exterior, and Corollary~\ref{cor:abeliancoarse} covers all of them for the abelian theory. What the cube condition needs for $\SU(2)$ is a translation of the Haar measures whose second variation is the energy of the direction up to a constant independent of the scale, together with a non-perturbative treatment of the last $O(1)$ scales, where the running coupling is of order one and coarse defects are not rare at all. Proposition~\ref{prop:foresttilt} shows that no translation transported along a forest does this: its constant is reached at zero action, with the growth $4^k$ of the energy of the smeared current under the residual gauge freedom, so the missing estimate is not a large-field remainder but a different section of the gauge orbits, with a Jacobian that enters the argument of part (ii). This is the content of Ba{\l}aban's large-field expansion~\cite{Bal89b}, and it is not carried out here. The cube condition itself is a mixing condition of Dobrushin--Shlosman type, which for compact spins with finite range is equivalent to a logarithmic Sobolev inequality uniform in the volume~\cite{SZ92}; the rarity of coarse defects is the part of that inequality that concerns the large fields. \section*{Acknowledgements} This paper rests on the work of many earlier scientists. Lattice gauge theory is due to Wilson~\cite{Wil74} and its Hamiltonian form to Kogut and Susskind~\cite{KS75}; reflection positivity and the reconstruction of the transfer matrix to Osterwalder and Schrader~\cite{OS73,OS75}, and their lattice form, with the first proof of a gap at strong coupling, to Osterwalder and Seiler~\cite{OSei78,Sei82}. The uniqueness method is Dobrushin's~\cite{Dob68,Dob70,DS85}, the curvature method is that of Bakry and \'Emery~\cite{BE85,BGL14} in the form of Shen, Zhu and Zhu~\cite{SZZ23}, the gauge fixing on a forest is Creutz's~\cite{Cre77}, and the curvature of Lie groups is Milnor's~\cite{Mil76}; the localisation estimate of Sec.~\ref{ssec:constrained} is that of Combes and Thomas~\cite{CT73}. The analysis of the single-link law uses results of Barta~\cite{Bar37}, Biernacki and Krzy\.z~\cite{BK55}, McShane~\cite{McS34}, Stein and Weiss~\cite{SW71} and Watson~\cite{Wat44}, and the continuum problem is the one formulated by Jaffe and Witten~\cite{JW06} and studied by Ba{\l}aban~\cite{Bal84a,Bal85a,Bal89b}. \section*{Data and code availability} The proofs are analytic except for the evaluations in Propositions~\ref{prop:cover} and~\ref{prop:cover2} and Lemma~\ref{lem:su3const} and the numerical bounds of Lemma~\ref{lem:vmfconst}, which are computations in interval arithmetic with rigorous error bounds, and for Proposition~\ref{prop:blockgapsharp} and Theorem~\ref{thm:certificate}, whose certificates are checked in exact arithmetic. The programs of these steps, in Python with python-flint (FLINT and Arb) and a C kernel for products of Taylor polynomials, their outputs and the list of certified boxes are in the repository \url{https://github.com/creelie/4Y-M}, release v4.31.0 (\href{https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23895262}{doi:10.5281/zenodo.23895262}), together with a Lean~4 certificate of the line field, independent exact or numerical checks of the other finite statements, our checks of the certificate of~\cite{Rom26}, and the certificate of Proposition~\ref{prop:blockgapsharp} with its exact check. The code was written by Deep Bhattacharjee, James Montgomery Lockwood and Tristan Romanov. The computations, the checks and parts of the drafting were done with AI assistance (Claude Opus~5.5, Claude Fable~5.1, GPT-6.1 Sol Ultra and GPT-6 Astra Ultra) under the direction of Deep Bhattacharjee. The combination of the forest gauge with the sharp quarter behind Theorem~\ref{thm:su2} was first assembled by Anaxia, the reasoning engine of the BLLM system~\cite{Bha26,Bha26b}; the line field, the free-boundary limit, the ceiling, the curvature bound, the $\SU(3)$ part, the plaquette blocks and the certified constants are the authors' own. All four authors approved the final text. \section*{Declarations} \emph{Funding.} None. \emph{Competing interests.} None. \emph{Ethics approval.} Not applicable: the work involves no human participants, animals or personal data. \appendix \section{The line field}\label{app:table} Table~\ref{tab:sigma} lists, for each residue class of $x$ modulo two, the direction $\sigma(x)$ and the permutation $\pi_x(\mu)=\sigma(x+e_\mu)$. In every row $\pi_x$ fixes $\sigma(x)$ and is a three-cycle on the other directions, which is the condition of Lemma~\ref{lem:cycle}. \begin{table}[h] \caption{The line field: $x$ modulo two (digits $x_0x_1x_2x_3$), the direction $\sigma(x)$ and the values $\sigma(x+e_\mu)$ for $\mu=0,1,2,3$.} \label{tab:sigma} \begin{ruledtabular} \begin{tabular}{cccccc} $x$&$\sigma(x)$&$\mu=0$&$\mu=1$&$\mu=2$&$\mu=3$\\ \colrule 0000 & 0 & 0 & 2 & 3 & 1 \\ 1000 & 0 & 0 & 3 & 1 & 2 \\ 0100 & 2 & 3 & 0 & 2 & 1 \\ 1100 & 3 & 2 & 0 & 1 & 3 \\ 0010 & 3 & 1 & 2 & 0 & 3 \\ 1010 & 1 & 3 & 1 & 0 & 2 \\ 0110 & 2 & 1 & 3 & 2 & 0 \\ 1110 & 1 & 2 & 1 & 3 & 0 \\ 0001 & 1 & 2 & 1 & 3 & 0 \\ 1001 & 2 & 1 & 3 & 2 & 0 \\ 0101 & 1 & 3 & 1 & 0 & 2 \\ 1101 & 3 & 1 & 2 & 0 & 3 \\ 0011 & 3 & 2 & 0 & 1 & 3 \\ 1011 & 2 & 3 & 0 & 2 & 1 \\ 0111 & 0 & 0 & 3 & 1 & 2 \\ 1111 & 0 & 0 & 2 & 3 & 1 \\ \end{tabular} \end{ruledtabular} \end{table} \section{The comparison lemma}\label{app:comparison} Let $(G,\delta)$ be a compact group with a bi-invariant metric of diameter $D$, $\Omega=G^A$, and $C_{ee'}$ the coefficients of Sec.~\ref{sec:state}, with row and column sums at most $\alpha<1$ and $C_{ee'}=0$ unless $e,e'$ share a plaquette, so that $|e-e'|\le1$ for the distance of link midpoints. Fix $\lambda>0$ with $\theta=\alpha e^\lambda<1$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:comparison} Let $S\subset A$, possibly infinite, and let $\mu_1,\mu_2$ be probability measures on $\Omega$ invariant under $\gamma^F_e$ for every $e\notin S$. Let $T\subset A\setminus S$ be finite, $w_b=e^{-\lambda\dist(b,T)}$, and suppose $\sum_{z\in S}w_z<\infty$. There is a coupling of $\mu_1,\mu_2$ whose link distances $\varrho(b)=\E\,\delta(\sigma_b,\sigma'_b)$ satisfy \[ \sum_{b\notin S}w_b\varrho(b)\le\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta}\sum_{z\in S}w_z . \] If $S=\emptyset$ then $\mu_1=\mu_2$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The couplings form a weakly compact set and $\Psi(\pi)=\sum_bw_b\E_\pi\delta( \sigma_b,\sigma'_b)$ is weakly continuous because $\sum_bw_b<\infty$; let $\pi^*$ be a minimiser. For $e\notin S$ replace the pair $(\sigma_e,\sigma'_e)$ by a sample of an optimal coupling of $\gamma^F_e(\cdot\mid\sigma)$ and $\gamma^F_e(\cdot\mid \sigma')$, chosen measurably~\cite[Cor.~5.22]{Vil09}. Both $\mu_i$ are invariant, so the result is again a coupling, and changing the finitely many links that enter $\gamma^F_e$ one at a time gives $W_1\le\sum_{e'}C_{ee'} \delta(\sigma_{e'},\sigma'_{e'})$. Minimality gives $\varrho(e)\le\sum_{e'}C_{ee'} \varrho(e')$. Multiply by $w_e$ and sum over $e\notin S$; where $C_{ee'}\ne0$, $w_e\le e^\lambda w_{e'}$, so \[ \sum_{e\notin S}w_e\varrho(e)\le\theta\Bigl[\sum_{e'\notin S}w_{e'}\varrho(e') +\sum_{z\in S}w_z\varrho(z)\Bigr], \] all sums are finite, and $\varrho\le D$ on $S$. If $S=\emptyset$, $\varrho\equiv0$. \end{proof} \begin{corollary}\label{cor:decay} Let $\mu$ be the Gibbs measure of $\gamma^F$, $F$ a local function with support $S_F$, $L_F$-Lipschitz in each link, and $H$ bounded with finite support $S_H$ disjoint from $S_F$. Then \[ |\Cov_\mu(F,H)|\le\|H\|_\infty L_F\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta}|S_H|\, e^{-\lambda\dist(S_F,S_H)}. \] \end{corollary} \begin{proof} Condition on the links of $S_H$~\cite[Ch.~3]{Kal21}; the conditional measures $\mu^\sigma=\mu(\cdot\mid\sigma_{S_H})$ are invariant under $\gamma^F_e$ for $e\notin S_H$. Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} with $S=S_H$ and $T=S_F$, for which $w_b=1$ on $S_F$ and $w_z\le e^{-\lambda\dist(S_F,S_H)}$ on $S_H$, gives $|\mu^\sigma(F)-\mu^{\sigma'}(F)|\le L_F\sum_{b\in S_F}\varrho(b)\le L_F\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta}|S_H|e^{-\lambda\dist(S_F,S_H)}$ for any two boundary values. Since $H$ depends only on $\sigma_{S_H}$, $\Cov_\mu(F,H)=\iint H(\sigma)\bigl(\mu^\sigma(F)-\mu^{\sigma'}(F)\bigr)\, d\mu(\sigma)\,d\mu(\sigma')$, and the bound follows. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:blockcomparison} Let the blocks partition $A$, let $C_{Bj}$ be the block coefficients of Sec.~\ref{sec:plaqblocks}, with $\sum_BC_{Bj}\le\alpha<1$ for every $j$ and $C_{Bj}=0$ unless every link of $B$ lies within distance $2$ of $j$, and fix $\lambda>0$ with $\theta=\alpha e^{2\lambda}<1$. Let $S\subset A$ be a union of blocks and let $\mu_1,\mu_2$ be invariant under $\gamma^{\mathcal B}_B$ for every block $B\not\subset S$. With $T$, $w_b$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} and $\sum_{z\in S}w_z<\infty$, there is a coupling with $\sum_{b\notin S}w_b\varrho(b)\le\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta}\sum_{z\in S}w_z$, and $\mu_1=\mu_2$ if $S=\emptyset$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Take a minimiser $\pi^*$ of $\Psi$ as before. For a block $B\not\subset S$ replace $(\sigma_B,\sigma'_B)$ by an optimal coupling, for the metric $d$, of the two block laws; it is again a coupling, and changing the boundary links one at a time bounds the expected new $d$-distance by $\sum_jC_{Bj}\varrho(j)$. Put $\bar w_B=\max_{i\in B}w_i$. Minimality gives \[ \sum_{i\in B}w_i\varrho(i)\le\bar w_B\sum_jC_{Bj}\varrho(j), \] and $\bar w_B\le e^{2\lambda}w_j$ whenever $C_{Bj}\ne0$. Summing over the blocks outside $S$ and using the column sums, \[ \sum_{b\notin S}w_b\varrho(b)\le\theta\Bigl[\sum_{j\notin S}w_j\varrho(j)+ \sum_{z\in S}w_z\varrho(z)\Bigr], \] which gives the claim as in Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison}. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:dscomparison} Let $n\ge2$ be even, let $V_x$, $x\in2\Z^4$, be the translates of Sec.~\ref{sec:bypass}, and suppose that $D(n,\alpha)$ holds. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item If a probability measure $\mu$ on $G^A$ is invariant under $\gamma^F_e$ for every $e$ in a finite set $V$, it is invariant under $\gamma_V$. \item Fix $\lambda>0$ with $\theta=\alpha e^{\lambda\rho_n}<1$. Let $S\subset A$, and let $\mu_1,\mu_2$ be invariant under $\gamma_{V_x}$ for every $x$ with $V_x\cap S=\emptyset$. With $T$, $w_b$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} and $\sum_{z\in S}w_z<\infty$, there is a coupling with \[ \sum_{b\notin S}w_b\varrho(b)\le\frac{D(1+c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n})}{1-\theta} \sum_{z\in S}w_z , \] and $\mu_1=\mu_2$ if $S=\emptyset$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (a) Let $\nu_\eta$ be the conditional law of $Q_V$ given the links $\eta$ outside $V$. For bounded $f$ on $G^V$ and bounded $g$ of $\eta$, $\gamma^F_e(fg)=g\,\gamma^F_ef$ for $e\in V$, so invariance gives $\int g(\eta)\bigl(\nu_\eta(\gamma^F_ef)-\nu_\eta(f)\bigr)\,d\mu=0$ for all $g$; taking $f$ in a countable dense set of continuous functions, $\nu_\eta$ is invariant under every $\gamma^F_e(\cdot\mid\cdot,\eta)$, $e\in V$, for $\mu$-almost every $\eta$. So is $\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$, whose conditional laws of single links are the $\gamma^F_e$. The composition $P_\eta$ of the kernels $\gamma^F_e$, $e\in V$, in a fixed order has a density with respect to Haar measure on $G^V$ bounded below by a positive constant, because each single-link density is at least $e^{-12N^2\beta}$ times its maximum over the group. A Markov kernel with such a lower bound has at most one invariant probability measure (Doeblin's condition), so $\nu_\eta=\gamma_V(\cdot\mid\eta)$. (b) Let $\pi^*$ minimise $\Psi$ as in Lemma~\ref{lem:comparison} and call $x$ admissible if $V_x\cap S=\emptyset$. For admissible $x$ replace $(\sigma_{V_x},\sigma'_{V_x})$ by an optimal coupling, for $d_{V_x}$, of the two block laws; both $\mu_i$ are invariant, so the result is a coupling, and changing the boundary links one at a time bounds the new expected $d_{V_x}$-distance by $\sum_jC_{V_x,j}\varrho(j)$. With $\bar w_x=\max_{i\in V_x}w_i$, minimality gives \[ \sum_{i\in V_x}w_i\varrho(i)\le\bar w_x\sum_{j\notin V_x}C_{V_x,j}\varrho(j), \] and $\bar w_x\le e^{\lambda\rho_n}w_j$ whenever $C_{V_x,j}\ne0$. Let $S'$ be the set of links outside $S$ that lie in a translate meeting $S$; each is within distance $\rho_n$ of a link of $S$, so $\sum_{i\in S'}w_i\le c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n}\sum_{z\in S}w_z$. A link outside $S\cup S'$ lies in $N_n$ translates, all admissible. Summing over admissible $x$ and using $\sum_{x:\,j\notin V_x}C_{V_x,j}=K_{c(j)}\le\alpha N_n$, \[ N_n\sum_{i\notin S\cup S'}w_i\varrho(i)\le\theta N_n\Bigl[\sum_{i\notin S\cup S'}w_i\varrho(i)+\sum_{i\in S\cup S'}w_i\varrho(i)\Bigr]. \] All sums are finite and $\varrho\le D$, so $\sum_{i\notin S\cup S'}w_i \varrho(i)\le\frac{\theta D}{1-\theta}(1+c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n})\sum_{z\in S} w_z$; adding $\sum_{i\in S'}w_i\varrho(i)\le Dc_ne^{\lambda\rho_n}\sum_{z\in S}w_z$ gives the bound. If $S=\emptyset$ then $S'=\emptyset$ and $\varrho\equiv0$. \end{proof} The covariance bound of Corollary~\ref{cor:decay} follows from part (b) in the same way, with $\theta D/(1-\theta)$ replaced by $D(1+c_ne^{\lambda\rho_n})/(1-\theta)$, since the conditional measures $\mu^\sigma$ there are invariant under $\gamma_{V_x}$ for $V_x\cap S_H=\emptyset$ by part (a). \section{The plaquette blocks}\label{app:plaqblocks} Table~\ref{tab:plaqblocks} lists the block plaquettes of Sec.~\ref{sec:plaqblocks} modulo $2\Z^4$: the plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\{\mu,\nu\}$ is a block plaquette exactly when $x$ modulo two and $\{\mu,\nu\}$ appear in the table. Eight lie in the plane $\{0,1\}$ and eight in $\{2,3\}$; together they contain the $48$ active links of a cell of side two, each once. \begin{table}[h] \caption{The sixteen block plaquettes modulo two: the base point $x$ (digits $x_0x_1x_2x_3$ modulo two) and the plane.} \label{tab:plaqblocks} \begin{ruledtabular} \begin{tabular}{cc|cc} $x$&plane&$x$&plane\\ \colrule 0000&$\{0,1\}$&0000&$\{2,3\}$\\ 0001&$\{0,1\}$&0011&$\{2,3\}$\\ 0010&$\{0,1\}$&0100&$\{2,3\}$\\ 0011&$\{0,1\}$&0111&$\{2,3\}$\\ 1100&$\{0,1\}$&1000&$\{2,3\}$\\ 1101&$\{0,1\}$&1011&$\{2,3\}$\\ 1110&$\{0,1\}$&1100&$\{2,3\}$\\ 1111&$\{0,1\}$&1111&$\{2,3\}$\\ \end{tabular} \end{ruledtabular} \end{table} In closed form, the plaquette at $x$ in $\{0,1\}$ is a block plaquette when $x_0\equiv x_1$ and the plaquette at $x$ in $\{2,3\}$ when $x_2\equiv x_3$; the blocks do not depend on the line field beyond the fact that every plaquette contains one fixed link. The bounds of Lemma~\ref{lem:vmfconst} are evaluated in ball arithmetic at $128$ bits: the series of $Z_0$ and of its first three derivatives in $s=r^2$ is summed to forty-eight terms, and the tail is bounded for $s\le5$ by twice the first omitted term, because consecutive terms decrease by a factor below one half. The program also writes the constants, rounded outward to $10^{-12}$, for a check of the chain~\eqref{eq:blockconst} at $\beta_W=\frac13$, $0.345$, $0.35$, $0.351$ in exact rational arithmetic by the Lean kernel (\texttt{gauge-fixed/blocks/sharp}). The constants of~\eqref{eq:blockconst} and $\alpha$ are then evaluated at a given $\beta_W$ from exact input. For $\SU(3)$ the bounds of Lemma~\ref{lem:su3const} are evaluated on the $841$ boxes of side $\frac3{16}$ at $r=\frac32$ and the $784$ boxes of side $\frac{19}{100}$ at $r=\frac{38}{25}$ and the $826$ boxes of side $\frac{77}{400}$ at $r=\frac{77}{50}$ with the moments of Appendix~\ref{app:cover}, and the constants of~\eqref{eq:blockconst3} and $\alpha_3$ are evaluated from these bounds and the cover of Proposition~\ref{prop:cover} or Proposition~\ref{prop:cover2} in ball arithmetic at $120$ bits. The cover of Proposition~\ref{prop:cover2} is computed as in Appendix~\ref{app:cover} with $r=\frac{38}{25}$ and the threshold $1.03$, and with $r=\frac{77}{50}$ and the threshold $1.0275$. \section{The blocks of Lemma~\ref{lem:local}}\label{app:blocks} \emph{Diagonal blocks.} Let $w_a=e^{i\phi}$. On the diagonal part, $f_p=-\cos\phi\,(y_1+y_2-y_3-y_4)^2$ and $c_p=2(y_1y_4-y_1y_2+y_2y_3-y_3y_4)$, so \[ \begin{split} \mathcal F={}&\sum_i\alpha_iy_i^2+\cos\phi\,(y_1+y_2-y_3-y_4)^2\\ &-\tfrac95(y_1y_4-y_1y_2+y_2y_3-y_3y_4) \end{split} \] with $y_k=0$ and weights $\alpha_{k\pm1}=\frac{21}{10}$, $\alpha_{k+2}=\frac54$. It is affine in $\cos\phi$, so positivity at $\cos\phi=\pm1$ suffices. For $k=1$ and $\cos\phi=1$ the matrix in $(y_2,y_3,y_4)$ is \[ \begin{pmatrix}\frac{31}{10}&-\frac{19}{10}&-1\\[2pt]-\frac{19}{10}&\frac94& \frac{19}{10}\\[2pt]-1&\frac{19}{10}&\frac{31}{10}\end{pmatrix}, \] and Table~\ref{tab:minors} lists the leading principal minors for every position; all are positive. \begin{table}[h] \caption{Leading principal minors of the diagonal blocks of Lemma~\ref{lem:local}.} \label{tab:minors} \begin{ruledtabular} \begin{tabular}{lll} Fixed link&$\cos\phi=1$&$\cos\phi=-1$\\ \colrule $e_1$, $e_4$&$\frac{31}{10},\ \frac{673}{200},\ \frac{8421}{2000}$& $\frac{11}{10},\ \frac{53}{200},\ \frac{21}{2000}$\\[2pt] $e_2$&$\frac{31}{10},\ \frac{861}{100},\ \frac{8421}{2000}$& $\frac{11}{10},\ \frac{21}{100},\ \frac{21}{2000}$\\[2pt] $e_3$&$\frac94,\ \frac{673}{200},\ \frac{8421}{2000}$& $\frac14,\ \frac{53}{200},\ \frac{21}{2000}$\\ \end{tabular} \end{ruledtabular} \end{table} \emph{Pair blocks.} Let $w_a=e^{i(\chi+\vartheta)}$ and $w_b=e^{i(\chi-\vartheta)}$. The terms of $f_p$ carry $w_a+\bar w_b=2\cos\chi\,e^{i\vartheta}$ or its conjugate, and $c_p$ carries $w_a\bar w_b=e^{2i\vartheta}$, so the Hermitian matrix $M(m,\vartheta)$ of $\mathcal F$, $m=\cos\chi$, is affine in $m$ with $M(-1,\vartheta)=M(1,\vartheta+\pi)$, and $m=1$ suffices. For the fixed link $e_2$, in the variables $(z_1,z_3,z_4)$ and with $c=\cos\vartheta$, \[ M=\begin{pmatrix}\frac{21}5+2c&-2e^{i\vartheta}&-\frac95-2e^{i\vartheta}\\[2pt] -2e^{-i\vartheta}&\frac{21}5+2c&\frac95+2e^{-i\vartheta}\\[2pt] -\frac95-2e^{-i\vartheta}&\frac95+2e^{i\vartheta}&\frac52+2c\end{pmatrix}. \] With $u=\cos^2(\vartheta/2)\in[0,1]$ its leading principal minors are \[ \tfrac{20u+11}5,\quad\tfrac{(20u+1)(20u+21)}{25},\quad \tfrac{400u(40u^2-23u+4)+21}{250}, \] and $40u^2-23u+4$ has negative discriminant $529-640$. The other positions give the same determinant and the leading minors $\frac{20u+11}5$ or $\frac{8u+1}2$ and $\frac{800u^2-180u+53}{50}$, whose discriminant $32400-169600$ is negative. Every block is positive definite. The inequality is not tight. In floating point the least eigenvalue of the whole form over $W\in\U(N)$, $N\le4$, is $0.0149$, which is also the least eigenvalue of the exact blocks; this slack is what the choice of the weights $\frac{21}{10}$, $\frac54$, $\frac9{10}$ trades against the constant $\frac{29}2$. \section{The certified computation}\label{app:cover} \emph{Truncation.} For a corner $b$ of a box the moments of Lemma~\ref{lem:characters} are derivatives of $Z$ at $(b,\bar b)$. The truncated series is $\E_H[A_t(UD)B_t(\bar UD')]$ with $A_t$ the part of $\sum_\lambda c_\lambda s_\lambda(UD)$ over partitions with $\lambda_1-\lambda_3\le34$ and $\lambda_3\le11$, and $B_t$ likewise. Every omitted partition has $|\lambda|>34$, because $3\cdot12>34$, and the omitted part is at most $T(\|D\|)=\sum_{n>34} (\frac32\|D\|)^n/n!$ in modulus. On the polydisc $|D_{ij}-b_{ij}|\le\rho$, $\|D\|\le\|b\|+3\rho$, and Cauchy's estimate bounds the $\alpha$-th derivative of the omitted part by $\alpha!\rho^{-|\alpha|}T(\|b\|+3\rho)$. The derivatives of the full exponential are at most $2^{-|\alpha|}e^{v/2}$ with $v=\sum_k|b_k|$, since $|\Tr(Ub)|\le\sum_k|b_k|$ for diagonal $b$. With $\varepsilon_\alpha=2^{|\alpha|}\alpha!\rho^{-|\alpha|}T(\|b\|+3\rho)$ the truncated moment differs from the true one by at most $\varepsilon_\alpha e^{v/2} +(e^{v/2}+\varepsilon_\alpha)\varepsilon_\beta$, and $\rho$ is chosen to minimise $\rho^{-6}T$. The largest error bound of an unnormalised moment at any corner is $1.7\times10^{-11}$. \emph{Weight zero.} Conjugation by the diagonal torus $T$ preserves Haar measure and $\ReTr(Ub)$ for diagonal $b$, and multiplies $u_{ij}$ by $t_it_j^{-1}$; a moment of a monomial on which $T$ acts by a nontrivial character is therefore $0$, and only $8278$ of the $134596$ monomials of degree at most six have the trivial character. The functions $\Tr(X)$, $e_2(X)$, $\det X$ of $X=DD'^\top$ and $\det D$, $\det D'$ are invariant under the same action on the variables, so after these are formed in the full ring of Taylor polynomials of degree six in the $18$ variables, the series is computed in the subring of weight-zero monomials. \emph{Rounding.} The truncated series is a Taylor polynomial of total degree six in the $36$ real directions of $(D-b,D'-\bar b)$, computed in double precision. Every operation is repeated on absolute values and carries an operation count $n$, so that the computed coefficient differs from the exact one by at most $\gamma_n=nu/(1-nu)$, $u=2^{-53}$, times the absolute-value coefficient~\cite[Sec.~3.1]{Hig02}. With $C$ in $2^{-30}\Z$, the polynomials $2^{31}q_h$, $X_a(2^{31}q_h)$, $12\cdot2^{31}(\varphi_h+\Delta q_h)$ and $12\cdot2^{31}\ip{\nabla\varphi_{F_k}} {\nabla q_h}$ for the coordinate vectors $h$ have coefficients in $\Z[i]$, and every partial sum in their computation is bounded, through the same operations on absolute values, by less than $2^{50}$; they are therefore computed exactly. Normalisation by $Z$, the products with the corner coordinates, the quadratic forms and their error matrices are formed with the same bookkeeping, and the largest eigenvalues are bounded in ball arithmetic~\cite{Joh17}. \emph{Separation.} The functional $c$ of a discarded box is the dual solution of a linear program for the gauge of the centre of the box with respect to a $72\times72$ grid of $T$. Only the final inequality is used: $\max_T\ell$ is bounded by its maximum over a $512\times512$ grid plus $\frac12H\delta^2/2$, with $\delta=2\pi/512$ and $H=|c_1|+|c_2|+2|c_3|$ a bound for its Hessian on the torus, and the inequality is checked with relative margin $10^{-12}$. \section{The transfer matrix}\label{app:transfer} This appendix recalls the Osterwalder--Schrader reconstruction for the lattice~\cite{OS73,OS75,OSei78} in the form used for the gaps, following our earlier paper~\cite{BB26a}. Let $\omega$ be a state on the gauge-invariant local functions of $\Z^4$ that is invariant under translations and the hypercubic group and reflection positive for reflections in planes through sites and in planes bisecting links; by Proposition~\ref{prop:state}(iii)--(iv) and its analogues in the other theorems, the states of this paper are of this kind. The reconstruction gives a Hilbert space with a vector $\Omega$, a map $F\mapsto\Psi_F$ with dense range, and a self-adjoint $\mathbb T$ with $0\le\mathbb T\le1$, $\mathbb T\Omega=\Omega$ and $\ip{\Psi_F}{\mathbb T^t\Psi_H}=\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tH)$, where $\vartheta$ is the time reflection and $\tau_t$ the time translation.\footnote{$\Psi_F$ is the class of $F$ in the completion of the positive-time local functions for the form $\ip FH=\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)H)$, which is positive semidefinite by reflection positivity. Since $|\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)F)|\le\omega(|F|^2)$ by the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality and the invariance of $\omega$ under $\vartheta$, functions that are close in $L^2(\omega)$ give close vectors.} \begin{proposition}\label{prop:gapdecay} For $m>0$ the following are equivalent: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item the spectrum of $\mathbb T$ on $\Omega^\perp$ lies in $[0,e^{-m}]$; \item for every $F$ in a class of gauge-invariant local functions supported at times in a bounded interval and dense in $L^2(\omega)$ on each such support, there is $C_F<\infty$ with $0\le\omega(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tF)-|\omega(F)|^2 \le C_Fe^{-mt}$ for all $t\ge0$. \end{enumerate} Under \textup{(a)} one may take $C_F=\|F\|_\infty^2$ for every bounded $F$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} If (a) holds, then \[ \omega(\vartheta(\bar F)\tau_tF)-|\omega(F)|^2=\ip{\Psi'_F}{\mathbb T^t\Psi'_F} \] with $\Psi'_F=\Psi_F-\ip\Omega{\Psi_F}\Omega\in\Omega^\perp$; this number lies in $[0,e^{-mt}\|\Psi_F\|^2]$, and $\|\Psi_F\|^2\le\|F\|_\infty^2$. Conversely, let $\sigma$ be the spectral measure of $\mathbb T$ at $\Psi'_F$ and let $\delta>0$. Then \[ \sigma\bigl((e^{-m+\delta},1]\bigr)e^{(-m+\delta)t}\le C_Fe^{-mt} \] for all $t$, so $\sigma((e^{-m+\delta},1])=0$. The spectral projection of $(e^{-m},1]$ restricted to $\Omega^\perp$ therefore annihilates the vectors $\Psi'_F$ of the class, which are dense by the footnote above, and it vanishes. \end{proof} The class in (b) cannot be replaced by one observable. On $\C^3$ let $\mathbb T=\mathrm{diag}(1,e^{-m},e^{-m/2})$, $\Omega=e_1$ and $\Psi'_F=e_2$: the function in (b) is $e^{-mt}$, while the spectrum on $\Omega^\perp$ reaches $e^{-m/2}$. The decay of one two-point function places only the spectral measure of $\Psi'_F$ in $[0,e^{-m}]$, and the gap follows when such vectors are dense in $\Omega^\perp$, as in (b) and in Theorem~\ref{thm:clustering}. Proposition~8.8 of~\cite{FaS26} draws the gap on $\Omega^\perp$ from the two-point function of one fixed observable. \section{Spectral measures and Laplace transforms}\label{app:spectral} This appendix collects the facts on spectral measures that the continuum step uses, with proofs. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:spectralmeasure} Let $T$ be a self-adjoint operator on a Hilbert space with $0\le T\le1$ and let $\psi$ be a unit vector. There is a unique probability measure $\nu$ on $[0,1]$ with $\ip\psi{h(T)\psi}=\int h\,d\nu$ for every bounded Borel function $h$ on $[0,1]$. If $T\psi'=\psi'$ implies $\ip{\psi'}\psi=0$, then $\nu(\{1\})=0$. If $\mu$ is the image of $\nu$ under $\lambda\mapsto-c^{-1}\log\lambda\in[0,\infty]$ for some $c>0$, then $\ip\psi{T^{\sigma/c}\psi}=\int_{[0,\infty]}e^{-\sigma E}d\mu(E)$ for $\sigma>0$, with the integrand $0$ at $E=\infty$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The spectral theorem~\cite[Sec.~VII.2]{RS80} gives the measure $\nu$, carried by the spectrum of $T$, which lies in $[0,1]$; uniqueness holds because the moments $\int\lambda^n d\nu=\ip\psi{T^n\psi}$ determine a measure on a compact interval, polynomials being dense in $C[0,1]$. The spectral projection $P=\mathbf 1_{\{1\}}(T)$ projects onto the eigenvectors of $T$ with eigenvalue $1$, so $\nu(\{1\})=\|P\psi\|^2=\ip{P\psi}\psi=0$ under the hypothesis. The last identity is the change of variables $\lambda^{\sigma/c}=e^{-\sigma E}$ for $\lambda=e^{-cE}$, with $\lambda=0$ corresponding to $E=\infty$. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:helly} Every sequence of probability measures on a compact metric space $K$ has a subsequence that converges weakly, that is, against every continuous function, to a probability measure on $K$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} $C(K)$ is separable; let $(h_j)$ be dense. The numbers $\int h_j\,d\mu_k$ are bounded by $\|h_j\|_\infty$, so a diagonal subsequence makes all of them converge. By density the limit $\Lambda(h)=\lim\int h\,d\mu_k$ exists for every $h\in C(K)$; $\Lambda$ is linear, positive and $\Lambda(1)=1$, so by the Riesz representation theorem it is integration against a probability measure. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:laplace} Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $[0,\infty]$ and $\rho(\sigma)=\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu(E)$ for $\sigma>0$. \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\alph*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\rho$ is nonincreasing and log-convex: $\rho(\sigma)^2\le\rho(\sigma-s)\rho(\sigma+s)$ for $00$ for one $\sigma>0$ if and only if $\mu([0,\infty))>0$, and then $\rho(\sigma)>0$ for every $\sigma>0$. \item $\rho(\sigma)\to\mu([0,\infty))$ as $\sigma\downarrow0$. \item If $\mu$ is carried by $[m,\infty]$, then $\rho(\sigma)\le e^{-m\sigma}$. \item For $M>0$, $\mu([0,M])\ge\rho(\sigma)-e^{-\sigma M}$. \item If $\mu_k\to\mu$ weakly on $[0,\infty]$, then $\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu_k\to\rho(\sigma)$ for every $\sigma>0$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (a) The integrand decreases in $\sigma$. By the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality, \[ \Bigl(\int e^{-\sigma E}d\mu\Bigr)^2\le\int e^{-(\sigma-s)E}d\mu\int e^{-(\sigma+s)E}d\mu . \] (b) The integrand is positive exactly on $[0,\infty)$. (c) The integrand increases to $\mathbf 1_{[0,\infty)}$ as $\sigma\downarrow0$, and monotone convergence applies. (d) The integrand is at most $e^{-m\sigma}$ on $[m,\infty]$. (e) Split the integral at $M$: it is at most $\mu([0,M])+e^{-\sigma M}$. (f) For $\sigma>0$ the function $E\mapsto e^{-\sigma E}$, extended by $0$ at $\infty$, is continuous on $[0,\infty]$. \end{proof} By (b) and (e), a lower bound $\rho(\sigma)\ge c>0$ at one $\sigma$ places mass at least $c/2$ on the bounded interval $[0,\sigma^{-1}\log(2/c)]$; for the measures $\mu_k$ of Theorem~\ref{thm:flowlimit} a bound uniform in $k$ therefore makes them tight on $[0,\infty)$ with a fixed fraction of their mass. Part (b) also excludes a positive Laplace representation for a spectral cutoff of compact support. If $\chi(\lambda)=\int_{[0,\infty)}e^{-s\lambda} d\nu(s)$ with $\nu$ a positive measure and $\chi(0)=\nu([0,\infty))>0$, then (b), applied to $\nu/\chi(0)$, gives $\chi(\lambda)>0$ for every $\lambda>0$, so $\chi$ vanishes nowhere. The cutoff $\chi_\sigma$ of~\cite[Sec.~9, Eqs.~(9.11), (9.12)]{FaS26} equals $1$ on $[0,\sigma]$ and $0$ on $[2\sigma,\infty)$ and is asserted to have such a representation. \section{The character expansion}\label{app:characters} Let $G$ be a compact connected Lie group with normalised Haar measure $dU$. For an irreducible unitary representation $\rho_\lambda$ of dimension $d_\lambda$ write $\chi_\lambda=\Tr\rho_\lambda$. The characters form an orthonormal basis of the square-integrable class functions (Peter--Weyl and Schur orthogonality~\cite[Chs.~2--4]{Bum13}). \begin{lemma}\label{lem:convolution} Let $w\in L^1(G)$ be a class function with $w(U^{-1})=w(U)$, and put \[ \hat c_\lambda=d_\lambda^{-1}\int w\,\chi_\lambda\,dU . \] Then $\int w(U)\rho_\lambda(U)\,dU=\hat c_\lambda I$, and $\int w(U)\chi_\lambda(U^{-1}V)\,dU=\hat c_\lambda\chi_\lambda(V)$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} $M=\int w(U)\rho_\lambda(U)dU$ commutes with every $\rho_\lambda(V)$, since $w(VUV^{-1})=w(U)$ and Haar measure is invariant; by Schur's lemma $M=cI$, and taking traces gives $c=\hat c_\lambda$. Then $\int w(U)\chi_\lambda(U^{-1}V)dU=\Tr(\int w(U)\rho_\lambda(U^{-1})dU\, \rho_\lambda(V))$, and the substitution $U\mapsto U^{-1}$ with $w(U^{-1})=w(U)$ turns the integral into $M$. \end{proof} \begin{lemma}\label{lem:wilsoncoeff} Let $G=\SU(N)$ and $\beta>0$, and let \[ w_\beta(U)=e^{\frac\beta N\ReTr U}\Bigl/\int e^{\frac\beta N\ReTr V}dV . \] Then $\hat c_\lambda(\beta)=d_\lambda^{-1}\int w_\beta\chi_\lambda\,dU$ is real, $0\le\hat c_\lambda(\beta)\le1$, and $\hat c_\lambda(\beta)<1$ for $\lambda\ne0$. Moreover \[ \hat c_\lambda(\beta)=1-\frac{N\,C_2(\lambda)}\beta+O(\beta^{-2})\qquad (\beta\to\infty), \] where $-\sum_a\rho_\lambda(T_a)^2=2C_2(\lambda)I$ for a basis $(T_a)$ of $\mathfrak{su}(N)$ orthonormal for $|X|^2=-\Tr X^2$, so that $C_2=(N^2-1)/(2N)$ on the fundamental representation. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Since $w_\beta(\bar U)=w_\beta(U)$ and $\chi_\lambda(\bar U)= \overline{\chi_\lambda(U)}$, and complex conjugation preserves Haar measure, $\int w_\beta\chi_\lambda=\int w_\beta\bar\chi_\lambda$, which is the complex conjugate of the left side; so $\hat c_\lambda$ is real. Next, $w_\beta$ is a multiple of $\exp(\frac\beta{2N}(\chi_{\mathrm F}+\bar\chi_{\mathrm F}))= \sum_{m}\frac1{m!}(\frac\beta{2N})^m(\chi_{\mathrm F}+\bar\chi_{\mathrm F})^m$, and each power is the character of a representation, hence a sum of irreducible characters with nonnegative integer coefficients. By orthonormality $\int w_\beta\bar\chi_\lambda\ge0$, so $\hat c_\lambda\ge0$. As $|\chi_\lambda(U)|\le d_\lambda$, with $\operatorname{Re}\chi_\lambda(U)=d_\lambda$ only where $\rho_\lambda(U)=I$, a proper closed subgroup when $\lambda\ne0$ and so a Haar null set, and $w_\beta>0$ everywhere, $\hat c_\lambda=d_\lambda^{-1} \int w_\beta\operatorname{Re}\chi_\lambda<1$ for $\lambda\ne0$. For the expansion, $\ReTr U\le N$ with equality only at $U=I$, so outside a neighbourhood $\{U=e^X:|X|<\delta\}$ both integrals $\int e^{\frac\beta N\ReTr U}\chi_\lambda$ and $\int e^{\frac\beta N\ReTr U}$ are smaller than their values near $I$ by a factor $e^{-c\beta}$. Near $I$ write $U=e^X$; the Haar density in these coordinates is $j(X)=1+O(|X|^2)$, even in $X$. For antihermitian $X$, $\Tr X^3$ is imaginary, so \[ \tfrac1N\ReTr e^X=1-\tfrac1{2N}|X|^2+r(X),\qquad 0\le r(X)\le C|X|^4, \] and $d_\lambda^{-1}\chi_\lambda(e^X)=1+d_\lambda^{-1}\Tr\rho_\lambda(X)+ \frac1{2d_\lambda}\Tr\rho_\lambda(X)^2+c_3(X)+O(|X|^4)$, with $c_3$ cubic and $\Tr\rho_\lambda(X)=0$, since $\mathfrak{su}(N)$ is perfect. Let $\langle\cdot\rangle$ denote the average against the Gaussian weight $e^{-\beta|X|^2/(2N)}$, under which the coordinates $x_a$ of $X=\sum x_aT_a$ are independent with variance $N/\beta$. With $h=j\,e^{\beta r}$, \[ \begin{split} \hat c_\lambda(\beta)&=\frac{\langle d_\lambda^{-1}\chi_\lambda(e^X)\, h\rangle}{\langle h\rangle}+O(e^{-c\beta})\\ &=1+\frac{\langle\frac1{2d_\lambda}\Tr\rho_\lambda(X)^2\,h\rangle} {\langle h\rangle}+\frac{\langle(c_3(X)+O(|X|^4))h\rangle}{\langle h\rangle}, \end{split} \] the averages being taken over $|X|<\delta$. Under $\langle\cdot\rangle$, $|X|^{2m}$ has mean of order $\beta^{-m}$ and $\beta|r(X)|\le C\beta|X|^4$ has mean of order $\beta^{-1}$, so $h=1+O(\beta^{-1})$ in every moment. The weight $h$ is even in $X$, since $\Tr X^k$ is imaginary for odd $k$ and $j$ is even, so the odd term $c_3$ contributes nothing; the quartic remainder and the correlation of the quadratic term with $h-1$ contribute $O(\beta^{-2})$. Finally $\langle\Tr\rho_\lambda(X)^2\rangle= \frac N\beta\sum_a\Tr\rho_\lambda(T_a)^2=-\frac{2NC_2(\lambda)d_\lambda} \beta$, which gives the expansion. For $\SU(2)$ and the representation of spin $j$ the integrals are explicit, $\hat c_j(\beta)=I_{2j+1}(\beta)/ I_1(\beta)$ with the modified Bessel functions $I_n$, in agreement with $C_2=j(j+1)$. \end{proof} \section{The single-link law of SU(2)}\label{app:sharp} This appendix proves the sharp quarter, $W_1(\nu_b,\nu_{b'})\le\frac14|b-b'|$ for the one-link law of $\SU(2)$, which Theorems~\ref{thm:su2} and~\ref{thm:blocks} use, and the exact value at $b=0$, which Theorem~\ref{thm:ceiling} uses. The argument is that of our earlier paper~\cite{BB26a}; it is given in full so that the present paper is self-contained. \subsection{The von Mises--Fisher law} Identify $\SU(2)$ with the unit quaternions, that is with the unit sphere $S^3\subset\R^4$, so that $\ReTr U=2x_0(U)$ and $\ReTr(UV)=2\ip u{\bar v}$ for the Euclidean inner product of $\R^4$ and quaternion conjugation $v\mapsto\bar v$. Fix a link $e$ and the field off $e$. Every plaquette through $e$ can be rotated cyclically so that its trace reads $\ReTr(Q_eA_p)$ with $A_p\in\SU(2)$, the staple of $e$ in $p$. The action therefore depends on $Q_e$ only through \[ N\beta\sum_{p\ni e}\ReTr(Q_eA_p)=\ip{x}{b},\qquad b=4\beta\sum_{p\ni e}\bar A_p\in\R^4, \] with $x=Q_e\in S^3$. Since there are six staples, each of norm one, \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:kappamax} \kappa:=|b|\le y:=24|\beta| . \end{equation} The conditional law of $Q_e$ is the von Mises--Fisher law\footnote{On the sphere $S^{p-1}\subset\R^p$ the von Mises--Fisher law with mean direction $\mu$ and concentration $\kappa$ has density proportional to $e^{\kappa\ip x\mu}$ with respect to the surface measure, and its normalising constant is $(2\pi)^{p/2}I_{p/2-1}(\kappa)/\kappa^{p/2-1}$; it is the maximum entropy law with prescribed mean resultant, and it plays on the sphere the role of the Gaussian in $\R^p$. For $p=4$ the Bessel index is $1$. The mean resultant length $\E\ip x\mu=I_{p/2}(\kappa)/I_{p/2-1}(\kappa)$ is the function $A$ of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}. See Mardia and Jupp~\cite{MJ00}, Ch.~9, for these facts and for the tangent-normal decomposition used in Appendix~\ref{app:vmfcomp}.} \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:vmf} \nu_b(dx)=Z(\kappa)^{-1}e^{\ip xb}\,\sigma(dx) \end{equation} on the unit sphere, with $\sigma$ the normalised surface measure. We use coordinates in which $b=\kappa e_1$. The density of $t=x_1$ is proportional to $(1-t^2)^{1/2}e^{\kappa t}$ on $[-1,1]$, so $Z(\kappa)=2I_1(\kappa)/\kappa$ with the modified Bessel function $I_1$, normalised so that $Z(0)=1$. \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:vmf} For every $\kappa\ge0$ the law $\nu_b$ on the unit sphere $S^3$ satisfies the Poincar\'e inequality $\Var_{\nu_b}(g)\le\frac13\int|\nabla g|^2d\nu_b$, and the constant $\frac13$ is attained at $\kappa=0$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} In the polar angle $\theta\in(0,\pi)$ from $e_1$ the generator of the reversible diffusion of $\nu_b$ is $L=\partial_\theta^2+b(\theta) \partial_\theta+\sin^{-2}\theta\,\Delta_{S^2}$ with $b(\theta)=2\cot\theta- \kappa\sin\theta$. On spherical harmonics of degree $\ell$ on $S^2$ it acts as a Sturm--Liouville operator $L_\ell$ with potential $\ell(\ell+1)\sin^{-2}\theta$. A ground state comparison of Barta's type~\cite{Bar37} with the trial function $\psi=\sin\theta\, e^{a\kappa\cos\theta}$ gives $-L_1\psi\ge3\psi$ for $a=-\frac15$, and the same trial function with $a=-\frac25$ gives the bound $3$ for the derivatives of zonal eigenfunctions; Appendix~\ref{app:vmfcomp} carries out both computations. Hence every nonzero eigenvalue of $-L$ is at least $3$. At $\kappa=0$ the first eigenvalue of the Laplacian of the unit $S^3$ is $3$. \end{proof} \subsection{Moments} Let $A(\kappa)=\E_{\nu_b}x_1=Z'(\kappa)/Z(\kappa)=I_2(\kappa)/I_1(\kappa)$. \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:moments} For every $\kappa>0$, in coordinates with $b=\kappa e_1$, \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item $\E x_2^2=\E x_3^2=\E x_4^2=A/\kappa$, $\E(1-x_1^2)=3A/\kappa$, the covariance matrix of $x$ is $\operatorname{diag}(A',A/\kappa,A/\kappa, A/\kappa)$, and $A'=1-A^2-3A/\kappa$; \item $\displaystyle\frac{\kappa}{2+\sqrt{\kappa^2+4}}\le A(\kappa)\le\frac{\kappa}{1+\sqrt{\kappa^2+9}}$; \item $A'\le A/\kappa\le\bigl(1+\sqrt{\kappa^2+9}\bigr)^{-1}\le\frac14$; \item $A(\kappa)\ge\kappa\big/\bigl(\frac32+\sqrt{\kappa^2+25/4}\bigr)$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} (i) Integrating by parts against $\frac{d}{dt}(1-t^2)^{3/2}=-3t(1-t^2)^{1/2}$ gives $\kappa\,\E(1-x_1^2)=3\E x_1$, and the three coordinates $x_2,x_3,x_4$ are exchangeable under $\nu_b$, with $\sum_ix_i^2=1$. The off-diagonal covariances vanish by the reflections $x_i\mapsto-x_i$, $i\ge2$, and $A'=\Var x_1$ because $A=(\log Z)'$. (ii) By (i), $A$ solves the Riccati equation $A'=1-A^2-3A/\kappa$ with $A(\kappa)=\kappa/4+O(\kappa^3)$. Appendix~\ref{app:vmfcomp} shows that the left side of (ii) is a subsolution and the right side a supersolution of this equation, with the same behaviour at $0$, and concludes by comparison. (iii) The middle inequality is (ii). For the first, put $s=\sqrt{\kappa^2+4}$. By (ii), $4A/\kappa\ge4/(2+s)$ and $1-A^2\le1-\kappa^2/(2+s)^2$, and \[ \begin{aligned} 1-\frac{\kappa^2}{(2+s)^2}\le\frac4{2+s} &\iff(2+s)^2-\kappa^2\le4(2+s)\\ &\iff s^2-\kappa^2\le4, \end{aligned} \] which holds with equality. So $A'=1-A^2-3A/\kappa\le A/\kappa$. (iv) is the comparison of (ii) with a third barrier, which improves the lower bound of (ii); it is carried out in the same appendix. \end{proof} \subsection{The Lipschitz rate of the family} Let $\delta$ be the chordal metric $\delta(x,x')=|x-x'|$ on $S^3$ and $W_1$ the Kantorovich distance for $\delta$. For $c\in\R^4$ and a unit vector $h\in\R^4$ put \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:rate} L(c,h)=\sup_g\Cov_{\nu_c}\bigl(g,\ip hx\bigr), \end{equation} the supremum over $1$-Lipschitz functions $g$ for $\delta$. Since $\frac{d}{dt}\nu_{c+th}(g)=\Cov_{\nu_{c+th}}(g,\ip hx)$, the Kantorovich--Rubinstein duality gives, for all $b,b'$, \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:w1segment} W_1(\nu_b,\nu_{b'})\le|b-b'|\sup_{c\in[b,b']}L\Bigl(c,\frac{b'-b}{|b'-b|} \Bigr). \end{equation} By rotation invariance $L(c,h)$ depends only on $\kappa=|c|$ and on the angle $\varphi$ between $h$ and $c^\perp$, and we write $L(\kappa,\varphi)$. \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:rate} For all $c$ and $h$, $L(c,h)\le1/(2\sqrt3)$. Moreover: \begin{enumerate}[label=\textup{(\roman*)},leftmargin=*] \item at $c=0$, $L(0,h)=\frac14$ for every $h$; \item if $h\perp c$, then $L(c,h)=\E_{\nu_c}x_2^2=A(\kappa)/\kappa\le\frac14$; \item if $\kappa\ge\sqrt{88}/3\approx3.127$, then $L(c,h)\le\frac14$ for every $h$. \end{enumerate} \end{lemma} \begin{proof} A $1$-Lipschitz function for $\delta$ is $1$-Lipschitz for the geodesic distance, which is larger, so $|\nabla g|\le1$ almost everywhere, and Lemma~\ref{q-lem:vmf} gives $\Var g\le\frac13$. By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(i), (iii) the largest eigenvalue of the covariance of $x$ is $A/\kappa\le\frac14$, so $\Var\ip hx\le A/\kappa$. The Cauchy--Schwarz inequality gives \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:csbound} L(c,h)\le\bigl(\tfrac13A/\kappa\bigr)^{1/2}\le\Bigl(3\bigl(1+ \sqrt{\kappa^2+9}\bigr)\Bigr)^{-1/2}\le\frac1{2\sqrt3}. \end{equation} (i) and (ii) are reflection arguments. Let $R$ be the reflection in the hyperplane $h^\perp$, and suppose $\nu_c$ is $R$-invariant, which is the case when $c=0$ or $h\perp c$. Then $\E\ip hx=0$ and \[ \begin{aligned} \Cov(g,\ip hx)&=\E\bigl[(g(x)-g(Rx))\ip hx;\ \ip hx>0\bigr]\\ &\le\E\bigl[2\ip hx^2;\ \ip hx>0\bigr]=\E\ip hx^2, \end{aligned} \] since $\delta(x,Rx)=2|\ip hx|$. Equality holds for $g=\ip hx$, which is $1$-Lipschitz. At $c=0$, $\E\ip hx^2=\frac14$; for $h\perp c$, $\E\ip hx^2=A/\kappa$. (iii) By~\eqref{q-eq:csbound}, $L\le\frac14$ as soon as $1+\sqrt{\kappa^2+9}\ge\frac{16}3$, that is $\kappa^2\ge\frac{88}9$. \end{proof} The reflection settles the directions $h\perp c$ and the point $c=0$; for an oblique $h$ the reflection no longer preserves $\nu_c$, and the Cauchy--Schwarz bound~\eqref{q-eq:csbound} is too weak for $\kappa<\sqrt{88}/3$. The next theorem closes this case. \begin{theorem}[The sharp quarter]\label{q-thm:quarter} For every $c\in\R^4$ and every unit vector $h\in\R^4$, \[ L(c,h)\le\tfrac14 , \] with equality at $c=0$. Equivalently, $W_1(\nu_b,\nu_{b'})\le\frac14|b-b'|$ for all $b,b'\in\R^4$, and the constant $\frac14$ is the best possible. \end{theorem} The equivalence is~\eqref{q-eq:w1segment} in one direction and the derivative formula above it in the other; the sharpness is Lemma~\ref{q-lem:rate}(i). The metric matters.\footnote{In the geodesic metric of $S^3$ the statement is false already at $c=0$: the function $\arcsin x_2$ is geodesically $1$-Lipschitz and its covariance with $x_2$ under the uniform law is $\frac8{9\pi}\approx0.283>\frac14$. A proof therefore has to use that the chordal distance between two points is shorter than their geodesic distance, that is, it has to see the sphere from the ball it bounds. The proof below does exactly this: it extends a chordally Lipschitz function to the ball and integrates by parts there.} The proof has four steps. A Lipschitz function on $S^3$ extends to the unit ball $B\subset\R^4$, and Green's formula in $B$ bounds the covariance by a negative Sobolev norm of the density (Lemma~\ref{q-lem:harmonic}). This norm splits into a zonal and a transverse part, both explicit series in modified Bessel functions (Lemma~\ref{q-lem:spectral}). The transverse part is at most $\frac14$ because a certain power series has nonnegative coefficients (Proposition~\ref{q-prop:transverse}), and the zonal part is at most $\frac14$ by a Riccati comparison (Proposition~\ref{q-prop:zonal}). \subsection{Harmonic extension} Let $\sigma$ be the normalised surface measure of $S^3$ and $H_k$ the space of spherical harmonics of degree $k$, the restrictions to $S^3$ of harmonic homogeneous polynomials of degree $k$ on $\R^4$. The spaces $H_k$ are orthogonal in $L^2(\sigma)$ and span it; we write $u_k$ for the component of $u$ in $H_k$, and for $u$ with $\int u\,d\sigma=0$ we put \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:Qnorm} \mathcal Q(u)=\sum_{k\ge1}\frac1k\,\|u_k\|_{L^2(\sigma)}^2 . \end{equation} This is $\ip u{\Lambda^{-1}u}$ for the Dirichlet-to-Neumann operator $\Lambda$ of $B$, which acts on $H_k$ as multiplication by $k$. \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:harmonic} Let $u$ be a real-analytic function on $S^3$ with $\int u\,d\sigma=0$ and let $g$ be $1$-Lipschitz for the chordal metric. Then \[ \int_{S^3}g\,u\,d\sigma\le\tfrac12\,\mathcal Q(u)^{1/2}. \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The chordal metric is the Euclidean metric of $\R^4$ restricted to $S^3$, so McShane's extension $G(y)=\inf_{x\in S^3}\bigl(g(x)+|x-y|\bigr)$ is $1$-Lipschitz on $\R^4$ and equals $g$ on $S^3$~\cite{McS34}; by Rademacher's theorem $|\nabla G|\le1$ almost everywhere. Let $\psi=\sum_{k\ge1}k^{-1}r^ku_k(\omega)$ in polar coordinates $y=r\omega$. Each term is a harmonic polynomial, the series converges with all derivatives on the closed ball because $u$ is real-analytic,\footnote{For real-analytic $u$ the norms $\|u_k\|$ decay geometrically in $k$, and the supremum of a function in $H_k$ is at most $(\dim H_k)^{1/2}=k+1$ times its $L^2(\sigma)$ norm, so the series for $\psi$ and for each of its derivatives converge uniformly on $\bar B$.} and $\partial_r\psi=u$ on $S^3$. Green's formula for the Lipschitz function $G$ and the smooth harmonic function $\psi$ reads $\int_{S^3}G\,\partial_r\psi\,dS=\int_B\nabla G\cdot\nabla\psi\,dy$. With $|S^3|=2\pi^2$ and $|B|=\pi^2/2$ the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality gives \[ \int g\,u\,d\sigma=\frac1{2\pi^2}\int_B\nabla G\cdot\nabla\psi\,dy\le \frac{|B|^{1/2}}{2\pi^2}\Bigl(\int_B|\nabla\psi|^2dy\Bigr)^{1/2}. \] Green's formula once more gives $\int_B|\nabla\psi|^2=\int_{S^3}\psi\, \partial_r\psi\,dS=2\pi^2\sum_kk^{-1}\|u_k\|^2=2\pi^2\mathcal Q(u)$, and the right side becomes $\frac12\mathcal Q(u)^{1/2}$. \end{proof} The lemma is a form of Thomson's principle. By Kantorovich--Rubinstein duality, $\sup_g\int gu\,d\sigma$ is the least cost of a flow in $\R^4$ that carries the positive part of $u\,d\sigma$ to its negative part, the cost being the total length travelled by the mass.\footnote{This is the Beckmann formulation of the transport problem with cost $|x-y|$: the optimal cost equals the least $\int|V|$ over vector measures $V$ on $\R^4$ with divergence $u\,d\sigma$. Restricting the flow to the closed ball does not change the infimum, since projecting onto $\bar B$ shortens paths. The gradient $\nabla\psi$ on $B$ is one admissible flow. It minimises the energy $\int|V|^2$ rather than the cost $\int|V|$, and the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality converts one into the other at the price of the factor $|B|^{1/2}$.} The harmonic field $\nabla\psi$ is one such flow, through the interior of the ball, and the lemma computes its cost. At $c=0$ the flow is optimal: for $u=\ip hx$ one has $\psi=\ip hy$, the field $\nabla\psi=h$ is constant, the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality is an equality, and $\mathcal Q(u)=\|u\|^2= \frac14$. \subsection{Spectral decomposition} Fix $c=\kappa e_1$ with $\kappa>0$ and write $h=\cos\varphi\,e_1+\sin\varphi \,e_2$, which is no loss of generality by rotation invariance. Let $\rho=d\nu_c/d\sigma=e^{\kappa x_1}/Z(\kappa)$, $Z(\kappa)=\int e^{\kappa x_1} d\sigma=2I_1(\kappa)/\kappa$, and \[ u=\bigl(\ip hx-\E_{\nu_c}\ip hx\bigr)\rho , \] so that $\Cov_{\nu_c}(g,\ip hx)=\int gu\,d\sigma$ and $\int u\,d\sigma=0$. Let $U_n$ be the Chebyshev polynomials of the second kind and put \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:dn} d_n(\kappa)=\frac{(n+1)\,I_{n+1}(\kappa)}{I_1(\kappa)},\qquad n\ge0 . \end{equation} \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:spectral} With this notation \[ \mathcal Q(u)=\cos^2\varphi\,\mathcal Q_z(\kappa)+\sin^2\varphi\, \mathcal Q_x(\kappa), \] where \[ \mathcal Q_z=\sum_{n\ge1}\frac{d_n'(\kappa)^2}n,\qquad \mathcal Q_x=\frac1{3\kappa^2}\sum_{n\ge1}(n+2)\,d_n(\kappa)^2 . \] \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The functions $U_n(x_1)$, $n\ge0$, are the zonal harmonics: $U_n(x_1)\in H_n$, and they are orthonormal in $L^2(\sigma)$ (Appendix~\ref{app:bessel}). The expansion $e^{\kappa t}=\frac2\kappa\sum_n(n+1)I_{n+1}(\kappa)U_n(t)$ of the same appendix gives $\rho=\sum_nd_n(\kappa)U_n(x_1)$, with $d_0=1$. Write $u=\cos\varphi\,u_z+\sin\varphi\,u_x$ with $u_z=(x_1-A)\rho$ and $u_x=x_2\rho$; here $\E_{\nu_c}x_1=A$ and $\E_{\nu_c}x_2=0$. The reflection $x_2\mapsto-x_2$ maps each $H_k$ to itself, fixes $u_z$ and reverses $u_x$, so the components of $u_z$ and $u_x$ in each $H_k$ are orthogonal and the cross term in $\mathcal Q(u)$ vanishes. Since $A=Z'/Z$, we have $u_z=\partial_\kappa\rho=\sum_nd_n'(\kappa)U_n(x_1)$, and the component of $u_z$ in $H_n$ is $d_n'U_n(x_1)$, of norm $|d_n'|$. This gives $\mathcal Q_z$. For $u_x$, let $y(t)=\cos t\,e_1+\sin t\,e_2$. The law $\nu_{\kappa y(t)}$ has density $\rho_t=e^{\kappa\ip{y(t)}x}/Z(\kappa)=\sum_nd_n(\kappa)U_n(\ip{y(t)}x)$, and $\partial_t\rho_t|_{t=0}=\kappa x_2\rho$. The function $U_n(\ip{y(t)}x)$ lies in $H_n$ for every $t$, hence so does its derivative $x_2U_n'(x_1)$ at $t=0$, and the component of $u_x$ in $H_n$ is $\kappa^{-1}d_nx_2U_n'(x_1)$. Its norm follows from the eigenvalue $n(n+2)$ of the Laplacian of $S^3$ on $H_n$. For $f=U_n(x_1)$, \[ \begin{aligned} n(n+2)&=n(n+2)\|f\|^2=\int|\nabla_{S^3}f|^2d\sigma\\ &=\int U_n'(x_1)^2(1-x_1^2)\,d\sigma , \end{aligned} \] since the tangential gradient of $x_1$ has squared length $1-x_1^2$. Given $x_1$, the point $(x_2,x_3,x_4)$ is uniform on the sphere of radius $(1-x_1^2)^{1/2}$, so $\E[x_2^2\mid x_1]=\frac13(1-x_1^2)$ and $\|x_2U_n'(x_1)\|^2=\frac13n(n+2)$. Summing $n^{-1}\kappa^{-2}d_n^2\cdot\frac13 n(n+2)$ over $n\ge1$ gives $\mathcal Q_x$. \end{proof} By Lemmas~\ref{q-lem:harmonic} and~\ref{q-lem:spectral}, \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:Lbyq} L(\kappa,\varphi)\le\tfrac12\max\bigl(\mathcal Q_z(\kappa),\mathcal Q_x( \kappa)\bigr)^{1/2}, \end{equation} and Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter} follows once both parts are at most $\frac14$. Both are $\frac14$ at $\kappa=0$, by continuity from the values $d_1\sim\kappa/2$, $d_1'\to\frac12$ and $d_n=O(\kappa^n)$. \subsection{Three Bessel sums} The series of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:spectral} reduce to closed forms. Write $I_j$ for $I_j(\kappa)$. \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:besselsums} For every $\kappa>0$, \begin{align*} \sum_{j\ge1}j^2I_j^2&=\frac\kappa4\,I_1(2\kappa),\qquad \sum_{j\ge1}j^3I_j^2=\frac{\kappa^2}4\bigl(I_0^2+I_1^2\bigr),\\ I_1(2\kappa)&=2\sum_{j\ge1}I_{j-1}I_j . \end{align*} \end{lemma} The first and third identities follow from Parseval's formula for $e^{\kappa\cos\theta}=\sum_{j\in\Z}I_je^{ij\theta}$, and the second from the recurrences of $I_j$ by telescoping; Appendix~\ref{app:bessel} gives the proofs. \subsection{The transverse part} \begin{proposition}\label{q-prop:transverse} $\mathcal Q_x(\kappa)\le\frac14$ for every $\kappa\ge0$. \end{proposition} \begin{proof} By~\eqref{q-eq:dn}, $\mathcal Q_x=(3\kappa^2I_1^2)^{-1}\sum_{j\ge2}j^2(j+1) I_j^2$, and the sum equals $\sum_{j\ge1}(j^3+j^2)I_j^2-2I_1^2$. By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:besselsums}, $\mathcal Q_x\le\frac14$ is equivalent to \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:Dfunction} \mathcal D(\kappa):=(8+2\kappa^2)I_1^2-\kappa^2I_0^2-\kappa I_1(2\kappa)\ge0 . \end{equation} Each term is an entire function of $\kappa$ that is even after the factor $\kappa^2$ is removed, so $\mathcal D(\kappa)=\sum_{n\ge0}\mathcal D_n \kappa^{2n}$. Lemma~\ref{q-lem:Dcoef} of Appendix~\ref{app:bessel} computes the coefficients: $\mathcal D_0=\mathcal D_1=0$, and for $n=m+1\ge2$ \[ \mathcal D_n=\frac{N_m}{4^m\,m!\,(m+1)!\,(m+1)(m+2)}, \] with \[ \begin{aligned} N_m={}&\binom{2m}m\bigl(4(2m+1)+(m-1)(m+1)(m+2)\bigr)\\ &-4^m(m+1)(m+2). \end{aligned} \] The numerator $N_m$ vanishes for $m=0,1,2$ and is positive for $m\ge3$ (Lemma~\ref{q-lem:Dcoef}). So every coefficient of $\mathcal D$ is nonnegative and $\mathcal D\ge0$. \end{proof} The first nonzero coefficient is $\mathcal D_4=\frac1{2304}$, so $\frac14-\mathcal Q_x=\mathcal D/(12\kappa^2I_1^2)$ is of order $\kappa^4$ at $0$: the transverse part leaves the value $\frac14$ very slowly, which is why no estimate that loses a constant can prove the proposition. \subsection{The zonal part} Let $A=I_2/I_1$ as before, so that $d_1=2A$ and, by Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(i), $A'=1-A^2-3A/\kappa$. \begin{proposition}\label{q-prop:zonal} For $0<\kappa\le\sqrt{88}/3$, \[ \mathcal Q_z(\kappa)\le\frac14+4A'^2+\frac{A^2}4-\frac A{2\kappa}- \frac{2A^2}{\kappa^2}<\frac14 . \] \end{proposition} \begin{proof} \emph{The higher modes.} With $r_\nu=I_{\nu+1}/I_\nu$ the recurrence $I_\nu'=I_{\nu+1}+\frac\nu\kappa I_\nu$ gives \[ \frac{d_n'}{d_n}=\frac{I_{n+1}'}{I_{n+1}}-\frac{I_1'}{I_1}=\frac n\kappa+ r_{n+1}-r_1 . \] By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:ratio} of Appendix~\ref{app:bessel}, $r_{n+1}\le r_1$, and $r_1=A\le\kappa/4$ by Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(iii). Hence $-n/\kappa\le n/\kappa-\kappa/4\le d_n'/d_n\le n/\kappa$ for $n\ge2$ and $\kappa^2\le16$, so $d_n'^2\le n^2d_n^2/\kappa^2$. With $d_1'=2A'$, \[ \mathcal Q_z\le4A'^2+\frac1{\kappa^2}\sum_{n\ge2}n\,d_n^2=4A'^2+\frac{S_3- S_2-4I_2^2}{\kappa^2I_1^2}, \] where $S_2=\sum_{j\ge1}j^2I_j^2$ and $S_3=\sum_{j\ge1}j^3I_j^2$; the second form uses $n\,d_n^2I_1^2=(j-1)j^2I_j^2$ with $j=n+1$. \emph{The closed form.} The recurrences $I_0-I_2=\frac2\kappa I_1$ and $I_1-I_3=\frac4\kappa I_2$ give $I_0/I_1=2/\kappa+A$ and $I_2I_3/I_1^2=A- 4A^2/\kappa$. By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:besselsums}, $S_3/(\kappa^2I_1^2)=\frac14(2/\kappa+A)^2+\frac14$, and, keeping three terms of the third identity, \[ \frac{S_2}{\kappa^2I_1^2}\ge\frac{I_0I_1+I_1I_2+I_2I_3}{2\kappa I_1^2}= \frac1{2\kappa}\Bigl(\frac2\kappa+3A-\frac{4A^2}\kappa\Bigr). \] Collecting terms, $\mathcal Q_z\le\frac14+4A'^2+T(A)$ with $T(a)=\frac{a^2}4- \frac a{2\kappa}-\frac{2a^2}{\kappa^2}$, which is the first inequality. \emph{The barrier.} Let $s=\sqrt{\kappa^2+25/4}$ and $A_\flat=\kappa/(\frac32 +s)$. By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(iv), $A_\flat\le A\le\kappa/4$. The function $a\mapsto1-a^2-3a/\kappa$ decreases on $a\ge0$, and $A'\ge0$ because $A'= \Var x_1$, so $0\le A'\le\alpha:=1-A_\flat^2-3A_\flat/\kappa$. For $\kappa^2\le 12$ the quadratic $T$ decreases on $[0,\kappa/4]$, since \[ T(a)-T(a')=(a'-a)\,\frac{2\kappa-(a+a')(\kappa^2-8)}{4\kappa^2} \] and $(a+a')(\kappa^2-8)\le\frac\kappa2(\kappa^2-8)\le2\kappa$ there. So $\mathcal Q_z\le\frac14+4\alpha^2+T(A_\flat)$. With $\kappa^2=s^2-\frac{25}4$ and $A_\flat/\kappa=2/(2s+3)$ both terms are rational in $s$: $\alpha=16/(2s+3)^2$, and \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:zonalfactor} \begin{aligned} 4\alpha^2+T(A_\flat)&=\frac{(2s-5)\,p(s)}{4(2s+3)^4},\\ p(s)&=8s^3+28s^2-98s-695 . \end{aligned} \end{equation} For $0<\kappa\le\sqrt{88}/3$ we have $\frac520$, and $p(4.004)<-120$. So the right side of~\eqref{q-eq:zonalfactor} is negative. \end{proof} \subsection{Proof of Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter}} At $c=0$ the theorem is Lemma~\ref{q-lem:rate}(i), and for $|c|\ge\sqrt{88}/3$ it is Lemma~\ref{q-lem:rate}(iii). For $0<|c|<\sqrt{88}/3$, Propositions~\ref{q-prop:transverse} and~\ref{q-prop:zonal} give $\mathcal Q_x, \mathcal Q_z\le\frac14$, and~\eqref{q-eq:Lbyq} gives $L\le\frac14$. \qed \section{Computations for the single-link law}\label{app:vmfcomp} \subsection{Barta's inequality} Let $\rho(\theta)=\sin^2\theta\,e^{\kappa\cos\theta}$ on $(0,\pi)$, let $V$ be a continuous potential, and let \[ T=-\rho^{-1}\partial_\theta\,\rho\,\partial_\theta+V . \] If $\psi>0$ is smooth on $(0,\pi)$ with $\rho\psi^2=O(\sin^4\theta)$ at the end points and $T\psi\ge\lambda_0\psi$, then \[ \int(|h'|^2+Vh^2)\rho\,d\theta\ge\lambda_0\int h^2\rho\,d\theta \] for every smooth $h$ vanishing to first order at $0$ and $\pi$. Indeed, writing $h=\psi u$ and integrating by parts, the boundary terms $\rho\psi\psi'u^2$ vanish and \[ \int(|h'|^2+Vh^2)\rho=\int\rho\psi^2|u'|^2+\int\frac{T\psi}\psi\,h^2\rho \ \ge\ \lambda_0\int h^2\rho . \] This is the inequality of Barta~\cite{Bar37} in the form of a ground state transformation. \subsection{The computations of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:vmf}} The generator of the reversible diffusion of $\nu_b$ on $S^3$ is $L=\Delta_{S^3}+\kappa\nabla x_1\cdot\nabla$. In the polar angle $\theta$ from $e_1$ the round metric is $d\theta^2+\sin^2\theta\,g_{S^2}$, so $\Delta_{S^3}=\partial_\theta^2+2\cot\theta\,\partial_\theta+\sin^{-2}\theta\, \Delta_{S^2}$, and $\nabla x_1\cdot\nabla=-\sin\theta\,\partial_\theta$. On $h(\theta)Y_\ell$ with a spherical harmonic $Y_\ell$ of degree $\ell$ on $S^2$ the operator acts as $L_\ell=\partial_\theta^2+b\,\partial_\theta-\ell(\ell+1) \sin^{-2}\theta$, $b=2\cot\theta-\kappa\sin\theta=\rho'/\rho$, so $-L_\ell=T$ with $V=\ell(\ell+1)\sin^{-2}\theta$. \emph{Degree $\ell\ge1$.} Take $\psi=\sin\theta\,e^{a\kappa\cos\theta}$. Then $\psi'/\psi=\cot\theta-a\kappa\sin\theta$ and $\psi''/\psi=(\psi'/\psi)^2+(\psi'/\psi)'$, and a short computation gives \[ \frac{-L_1\psi}\psi=3+(1+5a)\kappa\cos\theta-a(1+a)\kappa^2\sin^2\theta . \] For $a=-\frac15$ this is $3+\frac4{25}\kappa^2\sin^2\theta\ge3$. Since $V=\ell(\ell+1)\sin^{-2}\theta\ge2\sin^{-2}\theta$ for $\ell\ge1$, Barta's inequality gives $-L_\ell\ge3$ on every sector with $\ell\ge1$. \emph{Degree $\ell=0$.} Let $g(\theta)$ be a zonal eigenfunction, $-L_0g=\lambda g$, $g$ not constant, so that $g'(0)=g'(\pi)=0$. Differentiating $g''+bg'=-\lambda g$ gives, for $h=g'$, \[ -\bigl(h''+bh'\bigr)-b'h=\lambda h,\qquad -b'=\frac2{\sin^2\theta}+\kappa \cos\theta, \] so $h$ is an eigenfunction of $T$ with $V=2\sin^{-2}\theta+\kappa\cos\theta$, with eigenvalue $\lambda$, and $h\not\equiv0$ vanishes at both ends. With the same $\psi$, \[ \frac{T\psi}\psi=3+(2+5a)\kappa\cos\theta-a(1+a)\kappa^2\sin^2\theta, \] which for $a=-\frac25$ is $3+\frac6{25}\kappa^2\sin^2\theta\ge3$. Barta's inequality applied to $h$ gives $\lambda\ge3$. Together with the case $\ell\ge1$ every nonzero eigenvalue of $-L$ is at least $3$, which is Lemma~\ref{q-lem:vmf}; the spectrum is discrete because $S^3$ is compact and the drift is smooth. \subsection{Moments} The density of $t=x_1$ under $\nu_b$ is proportional to $(1-t^2)^{1/2}e^{ \kappa t}$. For every smooth $\phi$ on $[-1,1]$, \[ \frac d{dt}\Bigl[(1-t^2)^{3/2}e^{\kappa t}\Bigr]=(1-t^2)^{1/2}e^{\kappa t} \bigl(\kappa(1-t^2)-3t\bigr), \] and integration by parts gives $\E[\phi'(t)(1-t^2)]=\E\bigl[\phi(t)\bigl(3t- \kappa(1-t^2)\bigr)\bigr]$. With $\phi=1$ this is $\kappa\E(1-x_1^2)=3\E x_1$, the identity of Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(i). With $\phi=t^k$ it gives the recursion \[ m_{k+2}=m_k-\frac{k+3}\kappa\,m_{k+1}+\frac k\kappa\,m_{k-1},\qquad m_k=\E x_1^k, \] from $m_0=1$ and $m_1=A$; all polynomial moments of $\nu_b$ are rational in $\kappa$ and $A(\kappa)$.\footnote{For instance $m_2=1-3A/\kappa$, $m_3=A-3/\kappa+12A/\kappa^2$ and $m_4=m_2-5m_3/\kappa+2A/\kappa$. The joint moments with $x_2,x_3,x_4$ follow from exchangeability: $\E[\phi(x_1)x_2^2]=\frac13\E[\phi(x_1)(1-x_1^2)]$.} \subsection{The Riccati barriers} By Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(i), $A$ solves $A'=\mathcal F(\kappa,A):=1-A^2- 3A/\kappa$ on $(0,\infty)$, and $A(\kappa)=\frac\kappa4-\frac{\kappa^3}{96}+ O(\kappa^5)$ from the series of $I_1$ and $I_2$. Let $s=\sqrt{\kappa^2+4}$, $u=\sqrt{\kappa^2+9}$, $\phi_-=\kappa/(2+s)$ and $\phi_+=\kappa/(1+u)$. Direct differentiation gives \[ \begin{aligned} \phi_-'-\mathcal F(\kappa,\phi_-)&=-\frac{\kappa^2}{s(s+2)^2}\le0,\\ \phi_+'-\mathcal F(\kappa,\phi_+)&=\frac{(u-3)^2}{u(1+u)^2}\ge0, \end{aligned} \] and $\phi_\pm=\frac\kappa4+O(\kappa^3)$.\footnote{For the first identity write $\phi_-=(s-2)/\kappa$, which follows from $s^2-4=\kappa^2$; then $\phi_-'=(\kappa^2/s-s+2)/\kappa^2$ and $1-\phi_-^2-3\phi_-/\kappa= (\kappa^2-(s-2)^2-3(s-2))/\kappa^2$, and the difference simplifies with $s^2=\kappa^2+4$. The second is the same computation with $\phi_+=\kappa(u-1)/(u^2-1)=\kappa(u-1)/(\kappa^2+8)$ in place of $\phi_-$ and $u^2=\kappa^2+9$ in place of $s^2=\kappa^2+4$. After clearing the denominator $\kappa^2(1+u)^2$ the numerator becomes $\kappa^2(u-3)^2/u$, which is the stated residual.} The comparison is singular at $0$ because of the term $3A/\kappa$, and we carry it out with an integrating factor. Let $D=A-\phi_-$. Then \[ \begin{aligned} D'&=\mathcal F(\kappa,A)-\mathcal F(\kappa,\phi_-)-\bigl(\phi_-'-\mathcal F( \kappa,\phi_-)\bigr)\\ &=-\Bigl(A+\phi_-+\frac3\kappa\Bigr)D+R, \end{aligned} \] with $R=\kappa^2/(s(s+2)^2)\ge0$. Put $\mu(\kappa)=\kappa^3\exp\int_0^\kappa (A+\phi_-)$. Then $(\mu D)'=\mu R\ge0$, and $\mu D=O(\kappa^6)\to0$ as $\kappa\to0$, so $\mu D\ge0$ and $A\ge\phi_-$. The same argument with $D=\phi_+-A$ and $R=(u-3)^2/(u(1+u)^2)$ gives $A\le\phi_+$. This is Lemma~\ref{q-lem:moments}(ii). For (iv) let $s=\sqrt{\kappa^2+25/4}$ and $\phi_\flat=\kappa/(\frac32+s)$. Since $s^2-\frac94=\kappa^2+4$, the same differentiation gives \[ \phi_\flat'-\mathcal F(\kappa,\phi_\flat)=-\frac{5\,(s-\frac52)}{2\,s\, (\frac32+s)^2}\le0, \] so $\phi_\flat$ is a subsolution, and $\phi_\flat=\frac\kappa4-\frac{\kappa^3} {80}+O(\kappa^5)$.\footnote{With $\phi_\flat=\kappa(s-\frac32)/(\kappa^2+4)$ one has $\phi_\flat'=(\frac32 s+\frac{25}4)/(s(\frac32+s)^2)$, using $ds/d\kappa= \kappa/s$; and $\mathcal F(\kappa,\phi_\flat)=1-\phi_\flat^2-3/(\frac32+s)$. Clearing the denominator $s(\frac32+s)^2$ and replacing $\kappa^2$ by $s^2-\frac{25}4$ leaves $-\frac52 s+\frac{25}4$ in the numerator, which is the stated residual. The expansion follows from $s=\frac52+\frac{\kappa^2}5+ O(\kappa^4)$.} Hence $A-\phi_\flat=\frac{\kappa^3}{480}+O(\kappa^5)$, and the integrating-factor argument above, with $D=A-\phi_\flat$, $R=\frac{5(s-5/2)} {2s(3/2+s)^2}\ge0$ and $\mu=\kappa^3\exp\int_0^\kappa(A+\phi_\flat)$, gives $\mu D=O(\kappa^6)$ at $0$, $(\mu D)'=\mu R\ge0$, and so $A\ge\phi_\flat$. Since $\frac32+\sqrt{\kappa^2+25/4}<2+\sqrt{\kappa^2+4}$ for $\kappa>0$, this improves the lower bound of (ii). \section{Bessel functions}\label{app:bessel} This appendix proves the auxiliary statements used in Appendix~\ref{app:sharp} for Theorem~\ref{q-thm:quarter}. Throughout, $I_j=I_j(\kappa)$ with $\kappa>0$, and $I_{-j}=I_j$ for integers $j$. We use the series \[ I_\nu(\kappa)=\sum_{i\ge0}\frac{(\kappa/2)^{2i+\nu}}{i!\,(i+\nu)!}, \] the integral $I_j(\kappa)=\pi^{-1}\int_0^\pi e^{\kappa\cos\theta}\cos j\theta\,d\theta$, the Fourier series $e^{\kappa\cos\theta}=\sum_{j\in\Z} I_je^{ij\theta}$ and the recurrences \begin{equation}\label{q-eq:besselrec} I_{j-1}-I_{j+1}=\frac{2j}\kappa\,I_j,\quad I_j'=I_{j+1}+\frac j\kappa\,I_j , \end{equation} all of which are in Watson's treatise~\cite{Wat44}, \S\S3.7, 3.71, 2.22. All series below converge absolutely, because $00$ for $m\ge3$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} \emph{The coefficients.} Multiplying the series of $I_0$ and $I_1$ and collecting powers, \[ \begin{gathered} I_0^2=\sum_{m\ge0}\alpha_m\kappa^{2m},\qquad I_1^2=\sum_{m\ge0}\beta_m \kappa^{2m+2},\\ \kappa I_1(2\kappa)=\sum_{m\ge0}\frac{\kappa^{2m+2}}{m!\,(m+1)!}, \end{gathered} \] where \[ \begin{aligned} \alpha_m&=\frac1{4^m}\sum_{i=0}^m\frac1{i!^2(m-i)!^2},\\ \beta_m&=\frac1{4^{m+1}}\sum_{i=0}^m\frac1{i!\,(i+1)!\,(m-i)!\,(m-i+1)!}. \end{aligned} \] By Vandermonde's identity, $\sum_i\binom mi^2=\binom{2m}m$ and $\sum_i\binom mi\binom{m+2}{i+1}=\binom{2m+2}{m+1}$, so \[ \alpha_m=\frac{\binom{2m}m}{4^m\,m!^2},\qquad\beta_m=\frac{\binom{2m+2}{m+1}} {4^{m+1}m!\,(m+2)!}. \] The coefficient of $\kappa^{2m+2}$ in $\mathcal D$ is $\mathcal D_{m+1}=8\beta_m +2\beta_{m-1}-\alpha_m-1/(m!(m+1)!)$, with $\beta_{-1}=0$; for $m=0$ it is $\frac84-1-1=0$, and $\mathcal D_0=0$ because every term of $\mathcal D$ is $O(\kappa^2)$. For $m\ge1$ put $\Delta=4^m\,m!\,(m+1)!\,(m+1)(m+2)$ and $b=\binom{2m}m$. With $\binom{2m+2}{m+1}=\frac{2(2m+1)}{m+1}b$, \[ \begin{aligned} 8\beta_m&=\frac{4(2m+1)\,b}\Delta,\qquad\alpha_m=\frac{(m+1)^2(m+2)\,b}\Delta,\\ 2\beta_{m-1}&=\frac{2m(m+1)(m+2)\,b}\Delta,\\ \frac1{m!(m+1)!}&=\frac{4^m(m+1)(m+2)}\Delta, \end{aligned} \] and $2m-(m+1)=m-1$ gives $\mathcal D_{m+1}=N_m/\Delta$. \emph{The sign.} Directly, $N_0=N_1=N_2=0$ ($2-2$, $24-24$, $192-192$), $N_3=80$, $N_4=1140$ and $N_5=10416$. For $m\ge6$ we first show $16^m\le4m\binom{2m}m^2$ for $m\ge1$ by induction: it is an equality at $m=1$, and $(m+1)\binom{2m+2}{m+1}=2(2m+1)\binom{2m}m$ gives \[ \begin{aligned} 4(m+1)\binom{2m+2}{m+1}^2&=\frac{16(2m+1)^2}{m+1}\binom{2m}m^2\\ &\ge\frac{16(2m+1)^2}{4m(m+1)}16^m\ge16^{m+1}. \end{aligned} \] Since $(m-1)^2\ge4m$ for $m\ge6$, it follows that $\binom{2m}m^2(m-1)^2\ge 16^m$, that is $\binom{2m}m(m-1)\ge4^m$, and \[ \begin{aligned} N_m={}&\Bigl(\binom{2m}m(m-1)-4^m\Bigr)(m+1)(m+2)\\ &+4(2m+1)\binom{2m}m>0 . \end{aligned} \] \end{proof} \subsection{Monotonicity of Bessel ratios} \begin{lemma}\label{q-lem:ratio} For $n\ge1$ and $\kappa>0$, $I_{n+2}(\kappa)/I_{n+1}(\kappa)\le I_2(\kappa)/ I_1(\kappa)$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} We use a lemma of Biernacki and Krzy\.z~\cite{BK55}: if $f=\sum a_jx^j$ and $g=\sum b_jx^j$ have positive coefficients and $a_j/b_j$ is nonincreasing in $j$, then $f/g$ is nonincreasing on $x>0$. Indeed \[ \begin{aligned} f'g-fg'&=\sum_{i,j}(i-j)a_ib_jx^{i+j-1}\\ &=\frac12\sum_{i,j}(i-j)b_ib_j\Bigl(\frac{a_i}{b_i}-\frac{a_j}{b_j}\Bigr) x^{i+j-1}\le0 . \end{aligned} \] Take $x=\kappa^2$, $f=I_{n+1}(\kappa)/\kappa^{n+1}$ and $g=I_1(\kappa)/\kappa$. Then $a_j/b_j=2^{-n}(j+1)!/(j+n+1)!$ decreases in $j$, so $I_{n+1}/(\kappa^n I_1)$ is nonincreasing in $\kappa$. Its logarithmic derivative is, by the second recurrence of~\eqref{q-eq:besselrec}, \[ \begin{aligned} &\frac{n+1}\kappa+\frac{I_{n+2}}{I_{n+1}}-\frac n\kappa-\frac1\kappa-\frac{I_2} {I_1}\\ &\qquad=\frac{I_{n+2}}{I_{n+1}}-\frac{I_2}{I_1}\le0 . \end{aligned}\qedhere \] \end{proof} \section{The certificate bound}\label{app:certificate} This appendix derives the bound $h_F\le14.420001$ of Remark~\ref{rem:hf} from the data of~\cite{Rom26}. The argument is the proof of the bound in Theorem~\ref{thm:curv} with two changes. The divergence identity of Lemma~\ref{lem:identity}, taken there with the factor $\frac9{10}$, is replaced by a positive semidefinite form at each site, and the weights $\frac{21}{10}$ and $\frac54$ of Lemma~\ref{lem:local} are replaced by weights chosen plaquette by plaquette. Everything is proved by hand except the positivity of ninety-six matrices of trigonometric polynomials and the arithmetic of finitely many rational numbers.\footnote{The constant $14.420001$ is not the best possible for this kind of certificate: by the search reported in Remark~\ref{rem:hf} it cannot go below $14.384$, while the true value of $h_F$ is at least $13.123$.} \subsection{Ends and corners} At a site $y$ the eight \emph{ends} are \[ o_\mu(y)=X_{y,\mu},\qquad i_\mu(y)=Q^*_{y-e_\mu,\mu}X_{y-e_\mu,\mu}Q_{y-e_\mu,\mu}, \] for $\mu=0,1,2,3$, as in the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:identity}; the end of a link in $F$ or outside the box is $0$. Each link $e=(y,\mu)$ has the end $o_\mu$ at its tail $y$ and the end $i_\mu$ at its head $y+e_\mu$, both of norm $|X_e|$. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:corners} Let $p$ be the plaquette at $x$ in the plane $\mu<\nu$. Then \[ \begin{aligned} \ip{Y_1}{Y_4}&=\ip{o_\mu}{o_\nu}(x),\\ \ip{Y_1}{Y_2}&=\ip{i_\mu}{o_\nu}(x+e_\mu),\\ \ip{Y_3}{Y_4}&=\ip{o_\mu}{i_\nu}(x+e_\nu),\\ \ip{Y_2}{WY_3W^*}&=\ip{i_\nu}{i_\mu}(x+e_\mu+e_\nu). \end{aligned} \] Every pair of ends at one site in two different directions occurs in exactly one of these identities, for exactly one plaquette. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} The first identity is the definition of the ends. The inner product is invariant under conjugation by a unitary matrix, so $\ip{X_{e_1}}{Q_{e_1}X_{e_2}Q_{e_1}^*}=\ip{Q_{e_1}^*X_{e_1}Q_{e_1}}{X_{e_2}}$, which is the second identity, and the third follows in the same way from $\ip{Q_{e_4}X_{e_3}Q_{e_4}^*}{X_{e_4}}=\ip{X_{e_3}}{Q_{e_4}^*X_{e_4}Q_{e_4}}$. For the fourth, $WQ_{e_4}=Q_{e_1}Q_{e_2}Q_{e_3}^*$, so that $WY_3W^*= RX_{e_3}R^*$ with $R=Q_{e_1}Q_{e_2}Q_{e_3}^*$, and conjugating both vectors by $(Q_{e_1}Q_{e_2})^*$ gives $\ip{Q_{e_2}^*X_{e_2}Q_{e_2}}{Q_{e_3}^*X_{e_3}Q_{e_3}}$. The links $e_2$ and $e_3$ both have their head at $x+e_\mu+e_\nu$. For the last statement, the pairs $(o_\mu,o_\nu)$, $(i_\mu,o_\nu)$, $(o_\mu,i_\nu)$ and $(i_\mu,i_\nu)$ at $y$ come from the plaquettes in the plane $\mu\nu$ at $y$, $y-e_\mu$, $y-e_\nu$ and $y-e_\mu-e_\nu$ respectively. There are $4\binom42=24$ such pairs at each site and $6\cdot4=24$ corners of plaquettes per site. \end{proof} For each class of sites modulo $2$ let $G_y$ be a real symmetric $8\times8$ matrix indexed by the ends, with $G_y[o_\mu,i_\mu]=0$ for every $\mu$. For the plaquette $p$ at $x$ in the plane $\mu<\nu$ put \[ \begin{split} c^G_p={}&2G_x[o_\mu,o_\nu]\ip{Y_1}{Y_4} +2G_{x+e_\mu}[i_\mu,o_\nu]\ip{Y_1}{Y_2}\\ &+2G_{x+e_\nu}[o_\mu,i_\nu]\ip{Y_3}{Y_4}\\ &+2G_{x+e_\mu+e_\nu}[i_\mu,i_\nu]\ip{Y_2}{WY_3W^*}. \end{split} \] The matrix $G^0$ with $G^0[a,a]=2$, $G^0[o_\mu,o_\nu]=G^0[i_\mu,i_\nu]=1$ and $G^0[o_\mu,i_\nu]=-1$ for $\mu\ne\nu$ is the matrix of the form $|\sum_\mu(o_\mu-i_\mu)|^2+\sum_\mu|o_\mu+i_\mu|^2$ of Lemma~\ref{lem:identity}, and $c^{G^0}_p$ is the corner form $c_p$ of~\eqref{eq:corner}. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:siteidentity} On $\Z^4$, or on a box with free boundary, for every field $Q$ and every square-summable $X$, \[ \begin{split} &\sum_y\sum_{a,b}G_y[a,b]\,\ip{\mathrm{end}_a}{\mathrm{end}_b}(y)\\ &\quad=\sum_pc^G_p+\sum_e\bigl(G_{t(e)}[o,o]+G_{h(e)}[i,i]\bigr)|X_e|^2, \end{split} \] where $t(e)$ and $h(e)$ are the tail and the head of $e$, and $o$, $i$ are its two ends. If every $G_y$ is positive semidefinite, the left side is nonnegative. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Split the sum over $a,b$ at each site into the diagonal terms, the pairs $(o_\mu,i_\mu)$, whose coefficient is $0$, and the pairs of ends in different directions, each counted twice. The diagonal terms give the last sum, since each link has one end at its tail and one at its head, and the pairs in different directions give $\sum_pc^G_p$ by Lemma~\ref{lem:corners}. In a box the argument at the end of the proof of Lemma~\ref{lem:identity} applies. At each site the left side is the trace of $G_y$ times the Gram matrix of the eight ends, and the trace of a product of two positive semidefinite matrices is nonnegative. \end{proof} \subsection{From plaquettes to the Hessian} Number the positions of a plaquette as in~\eqref{eq:transport} and let $k_p$ be the position of its link in $F$; by Lemma~\ref{lem:structure} there is exactly one. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:certificate} Let every $G_y$ be positive semidefinite with $G_y[o_\mu,i_\mu]=0$, and let $a_{p,r}\ge0$ for the three positions $r\ne k_p$ of each plaquette. Suppose that for every plaquette $p$, every $N$, every $W\in\U(N)$ and all $Y_1,\dots,Y_4\in\mathfrak u(N)$ with $Y_{k_p}=0$, \begin{equation}\label{eq:certineq} f_p+c^G_p\le\sum_{r\ne k_p}a_{p,r}|Y_r|^2 . \end{equation} Then $|\Hess S_0(v,v)|\le h|v|^2$ for every field $Q$ and every $v=(X_eQ_e)$ with $X_e=0$ for $e\in F$, on $\Z^4$ and on every box, where \[ h=\max_{e\notin F}\Bigl(\sum_{p\ni e}a_{p,e}+G_{t(e)}[o,o]+G_{h(e)}[i,i] \Bigr) \] and $a_{p,e}$ is the weight of the position of $e$ in $p$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Summing~\eqref{eq:certineq} over the plaquettes and adding the identity of Lemma~\ref{lem:siteidentity}, whose left side is nonnegative, \[ \begin{split} \Hess S_0(v,v)&=\sum_pf_p\le\sum_p\Bigl(\sum_ra_{p,r}|Y_r|^2-c^G_p\Bigr)\\ &\le\sum_{e\notin F}\Bigl(\sum_{p\ni e}a_{p,e}+G_{t(e)}[o,o]+G_{h(e)}[i,i] \Bigr)|X_e|^2\\ &\le h|v|^2, \end{split} \] since $|Y_r|=|X_e|$ for the link $e$ at position $r$. In a box the links near the boundary lie in fewer plaquettes, and the weights are nonnegative. For the lower bound, apply~\eqref{eq:certineq} at $-W$. By~\eqref{eq:fp} this changes the sign of $f_p$, while $c^G_p$ does not change, and the same chain gives $-\Hess S_0(v,v)\le h|v|^2$. \end{proof} The hypothesis is needed on $\U(N)$ and not only on $\SU(N)$, since $-W\notin\SU(N)$ when $N$ is odd. \begin{lemma}\label{lem:certu2} If~\eqref{eq:certineq} holds for $N=2$ and every $W=\operatorname{diag}(e^{i\varphi_1},e^{i\varphi_2})$, it holds for every $N$ and every $W\in\U(N)$. \end{lemma} \begin{proof} Both sides are invariant under conjugation of $W$ and all $Y_i$ by one unitary matrix, so we may take $W=\operatorname{diag}(w_1,\dots,w_N)$. Every term of $f_p$, of $c^G_p$ and of $|Y_r|^2$ is a multiple of $\ReTr(Y_iD_1Y_jD_2)$ with $D_1,D_2\in\{I,W,W^*\}$, and \[ \ReTr(Y_iD_1Y_jD_2)=\operatorname{Re}\sum_{a,b}(Y_i)_{ab}\,(D_1)_{bb}\, (Y_j)_{ba}\,(D_2)_{aa}. \] The difference of the two sides of~\eqref{eq:certineq} is therefore a sum of one term for each $a$, in the entries $(Y_i)_{aa}$, and one term for each pair $a